Saturday, December7, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Limaville, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:33AMSunset 4:57PM Saturday December 7, 2019 1:30 AM EST (06:30 UTC) Moonrise 2:40PMMoonset 2:43AM Illumination 78% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 938 Pm Est Fri Dec 6 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 4 am est Saturday...
Rest of tonight..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A slight chance of rain and snow showers late this evening, then a slight chance of snow showers after midnight. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Saturday..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Partly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Monday through Wednesday. The water temperature off toledo is 39 degrees, off cleveland 42 degrees, and off erie 41 degrees.
LEZ146 Expires:201912070915;;967621 FZUS51 KCLE 070238 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 938 PM EST Fri Dec 6 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ146>149-070915-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Limaville, OH
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location: 40.93, -81.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 070626 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 126 AM EST Sat Dec 7 2019

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build east over the local area by Saturday morning and move east of the area by Saturday night. A warm front will move northeast across the region Saturday. A cold front will move southeast to just north of the local area by Monday morning and become nearly stationary. Low pressure will move northeast along the stationary front through the central Great Lakes region. A trailing cold front will move east across the local area Monday night. Meanwhile, a weak low pressure system will develop over the central Great Lakes and move northeast Wednesday. High pressure will build east into the Ohio Valley by Wednesday night.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Most of our near-term forecast remains valid. However, adjusted Saturday morning low temperatures downward slightly across essentially the western-third of our CWA. Here, mainly clear to partly cloudy skies and light surface winds should promote efficient radiational cooling and perhaps patchy fog development through daybreak Saturday. This change to low temperatures also required an adjustment to hourly temperatures and dew points through Saturday morning. Any fog that manages to form should disappear by late morning.

A northwesterly low-level flow of cold air is continuing to direct multiple bands of lake effect precip across much of the snowbelt in our CWA. Adjusted POPs to have at least a slight chance mention of lake effect precip across much of the northeast OH snowbelt and all of the northwest PA snowbelt through this evening. Any lingering lake effect precip should then be focused across the northwest PA snowbelt early Saturday morning. This lingering precip is still expected to end by daybreak Saturday due to a building high pressure ridge causing already limited lake-induced CAPE to wane.

Light lake effect snow may change to light freezing rain in northwest PA after midnight tonight and before lake effect precip ends altogether. This is due to the potential for the lake effect cloud layer to become too shallow and warm to support ice nucleation. Any snow accumulations are forecast to be less than an inch, while any ice accumulations should be no more than a hundredth of an inch. Road temperatures are above 32F and may remain above that value through most or all of this lake effect event. Thus, have refrained from issuing a Winter Weather Advisory since there is much uncertainty as to whether any icing will occur along roadways in northwest PA. This is something that will continue to be watched closely.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION . An upper level trough will dig into the eastern United States tonight and Saturday as a ridge of high pressure moves east toward the area. The ridge will move quickly east to the eastern seaboard Saturday night. Surface high pressure will move east into the Ohio Valley by Saturday morning and keep a northwest flow of cold air advection into the local area overnight. The combination of the cold air advection and flow will result in some lake effect rain/snow showers overnight that will gradually diminish as flow weakens and becomes variable. 850 mb temperatures will drop to between -6 c and -8 c overnight. Lake to 850 mb temperatures produce conditional instability overnight. Precipitation threat will be limited as inversion hovers between 4000 and 5000 feet overnight. Center of the high pressure will move east of the area tomorrow and this will bring a return southerly flow to the region and cut-off any lingering lake effect threat.

A large swath of clearing continues to push south across the area at this time. Fewer clouds were present over the western half of the forecast area due to lack of lake influence. East half still seeing lingering lake induced cloud cover. As the night progresses, cloud cover should gradually diminish overnight. Fair weather will prevail across the entire forecast area tomorrow and tomorrow night under the high pressure.

Temperatures will drop into the lower to middle 20s across the area tonight in the cold air advection with highs recovering to the middle 30s tomorrow. Slightly warmer temperatures expected Saturday night in the return southerly flow.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. The short term begins Sunday with high pressure from the mid atlantic to New England. Low pressure will be moving east across James Bay. A cold front will extend southwest into the Northern Plains. This cold front will be the main weather maker towards the end of the short term. The front will hang up in the central lakes Monday as a wave of low pressure develops along the front in the Mid Mississippi Valley. By Monday afternoon the low will be moving northeast across the central lakes. The cold front will track east across the east early Tuesday. Expect rain to develop ahead of the low Sunday night with rain continuing Monday and Monday night. Tuesday, colder air will sweep east into the area behind the front likely resulting in steady or falling temps through the afternoon. Also expect rain to change to snow from the west during the day although any snowfall amounts will be light as the colder air will also be drier. The only exception of course will be developing lake effect snow during the late afternoon. Highs Sunday mid and upper 40s. Highs Monday lower 50s. Highs Tuesday mid 30s west to lower 40s east . possibly before dawn.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. The long term begins Tuesday night with developing lake effect across across northeast Ohio and nwrn PA. This far out, there is some question as to how much of the area will be affected as Tuesday night winds back taking any bands offshore. Wednesday winds veer northwest as instability to the lake becomes extreme. At this time, synoptic moisture appears sufficient so early Wednesday into afternoon would be favored. Wednesday evening and night drier air moves in from the west as high pressure builds backing winds and ending the event. The remainder of the area will not have much weather however temperatures will be sharply lower for all with highs Wednesday in the low to mid 20s and Thursday in the mid to upper 20s. Friday will have highs bounce into the upper 30s.

AVIATION /06Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/. Fairly quiet TAF period as high pressure builds in from the west tonight into the daytime hours on Saturday. Northerly flow over the lake ahead of the high is allowing for some lower lake effect clouds over NE Ohio and NW PA. Ceilings will remain VFR across the region but clouds will be low VFR under 5000 ft overnight, especially around KERI, KYNG, and KCLE. High pressure moves overhead during the day on Saturday and will scatter out these lower lake clouds. Winds will back around to the south during the day with just some nuisance high clouds over the region. VFR will persist well into Sunday.

OUTLOOK. Non-VFR likely late Sunday through Monday night with rain. Non-VFR expected across the snowbelt on Tuesday into Wednesday with lake effect precipitation. Most of this precip should fall as snow.

MARINE. Will continue with the small craft advisory as is. Winds are just under criteria but as expected, the northwest fetch has build waves to 4 to 6 feet in the nearshore waters. Winds will be diminishing slowly this evening allowing waves to drop back under 4 feet overnight. Otherwise winds will turn light Saturday as high pressure crosses the area. Saturday night winds will turn southerly and increase to 10 to 15 knots as the high moves east. Sunday, and Sunday night, expect 15 to 20 knots from the south as the high moves east as a cold front moves through the central lakes. Low pressure will develop on the front Monday and reach the central lakes Monday night keeping winds out of the south to southwest. A cold front associated with the low will sweep east across the lake late Monday night and early Tuesday bringing in sharply colder air and west winds around 20 knots. West flow will continue Tuesday night and Wednesday at 20 to 25 knots.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST early this morning for LEZ146>149.

SYNOPSIS . Lombardy NEAR TERM . Jaszka/Lombardy SHORT TERM . TK LONG TERM . TK AVIATION . Sefcovic MARINE . TK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 48 mi55 min N 13 G 16 33°F 42°F1027.1 hPa20°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 58 mi43 min NNW 13 G 16 33°F 38°F1027 hPa22°F
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 65 mi61 min NW 12 G 15 36°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Akron Canton Regional Airport, OH11 mi40 minN 510.00 miFair29°F23°F78%1027.3 hPa
Akron, Akron Fulton International Airport, OH15 mi37 minN 410.00 miFair30°F21°F69%1027.1 hPa
Portage County Airport, OH19 mi56 minNNW 410.00 miFair28°F20°F73%1026.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCAK

Wind History from CAK (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Pittsburgh, PA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.