Tuesday, June15, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Poquott, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:18AMSunset 8:27PM Tuesday June 15, 2021 12:14 AM EDT (04:14 UTC) Moonrise 9:57AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1141 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021
Overnight..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers likely. Isolated tstms late this evening, then slight chance of tstms late.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Tue night..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..NW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SW winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..SW winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 1 ft. Chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 1141 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A frontal system will slowly move across through Tuesday afternoon. High pressure will then gradually build from the north and west for mid week, and move offshore on Friday. A cold front will move through Saturday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Poquott, NY
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location: 40.95, -73.08     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 150115 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 915 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

SYNOPSIS. A frontal system will slowly move across through Tuesday afternoon. High pressure will then gradually build from the north and west for mid week, and move offshore on Friday. A cold front will move through Saturday night, followed by high pressure on Sunday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/. MUCAPEs around the area are still sufficient in combination with shortwave lift shifting through to produce showers and iso/sct thunderstorms. All of the thunderstorms over the forecast area so far have not produced any severe wx. Higher winds from aloft are having a tough time translating down to the surface, and although wet bulb zero heights are favorable, large hail will be hard to come by with diminishing CAPE in the hail growth region. Best chances overall for stronger convection this evening will be along southern zones where greater instability exists. Greatest threat with storms will be the heavy rainfall, and mainly minor urban/poor drainage flooding is anticipated.

Overnight, a weak wave of low pressure passing just S of Long Island should help keep elevated shower/tstm activity going, mainly over Long Island and closer to the coast.

Low temps tonight should range from the mid 60s in NYC, to the upper 50s well north/west of the city.

SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. On Tuesday the trough axis will still be over and just west of the area, with a potent mid level vort max moving across. This should help initiate more showers and a few tstms, mainly to the north/east of NYC. Dry conds expected going into Tue night throughout as the upper trough moves east, perhaps as early as afternoon from NYC north/west as downslope NW flow kicks in. As a result, forecast high temps a little warmer than MOS for NYC metro with lower 80s, and temps elsewhere should reach the mid/upper 70s. Temps Tue night will be a little cooler especially inland, with more widespread lows in the mid/upper 50s, while lows along the coast should still be mostly 60-65.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. High pressure tries to build in on Wednesday, but will have some trouble as a longwave trough axis remains aloft. It should remain dry anyway as moisture is limited. The trough axis slowly shifts east during Thursday and Friday with surface high pressure becoming more established. Continued dry through the period. Highs on Wednesday and Thursday near normal, then a few degrees warmer on Friday.

The flow aloft becomes cyclonic once again on Saturday with a surface pre-frontal trough developing nearby. Showers and thunderstorms possible, and for now it appears that they would be more likely in the afternoon and evening hours with greater destabilization and better lift with the trough and trailing cold front. Highs above normal on Saturday.

The cold front is progged to pass through the entire forecast area by Sunday morning. Dry weather expected with less humid conditions and highs generally in the 80s. Mainly zonal flow aloft for Monday, but there could be a weak warm front nearby or a boundary setting up where moisture convergence could be enhanced. Will go with a chance of showers and thunderstorms mainly in the afternoon and nighttime hours.

AVIATION /01Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. A frontal system will move across Tuesday. For tonight, showers will be likely but thunderstorms will be isolated to scattered. The showers will remain most likely for Long Island and this is where thunderstorms could be more scattered as opposed to isolated.

JFK and ISP may see some thunderstorm activity this evening with tempos for TSRA remaining for those terminals. Otherwise, not enough confidence to have TSRA for other terminals any longer.

Overall conditions will start out mainly VFR. Then, conditions will become MVFR to IFR in ceiling with MVFR to IFR visibilities in some fog possible as well for late evening, overnight into early Tuesday. KGON will have sub-IFR conditions through early Tuesday.

Winds will be light and variable, becoming more W-NW on Tuesday. The winds increase to near 10 kt in the afternoon with gusts 15-20 kt. Conditions are expected to improve to MVFR late Tuesday morning and then VFR for the afternoon from west to east. Isolated to scattered shower activity will be possible on Tuesday.

. NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

Amendments likely to refine shower and thunderstorm timing as well as MVFR/IFR timing. Timing of these features has low confidence.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. Tuesday night. Gusts diminish by late evening. VFR. Wednesday through Friday. VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. Sub SCA conditions will continue in the near term, with wind gusts no higher than 20 kt outside of tstms and ocean seas 3-4 ft.

Tropical Depression Two off the North Carolina Coast should not have any direct impact as it heads NE out into the open Atlantic, but may send SE swell toward the area Tue into Wed. Conds should still remain below SCA criteria.

Sub-advisory conditions otherwise continue through the day Friday before SW winds pick up and potentially build seas up to 5 ft along with gusts to around 25 kt on the ocean Friday night and Saturday.

HYDROLOGY. Additional rain accumulation of up to an inch of rainfall will be possible, mainly along southern portions of the city and Long Island. Prime threat is minor urban/poor drainage flooding.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. There is a moderate rip current risk at the eastern Suffolk ocean beaches for Wed.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . JC/BG NEAR TERM . JC/BG SHORT TERM . BG LONG TERM . JC AVIATION . JM/MW MARINE . JC/BG HYDROLOGY . JC/BG TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . JC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 16 mi56 min SSE 4.1 G 6 65°F 65°F1008.2 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 25 mi56 min SE 5.1 G 6 65°F 66°F1009.6 hPa
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 26 mi74 min SSE 1.9 G 3.9 65°F 65°F1 ft
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 27 mi59 min SE 5.8 G 7.8 67°F 63°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 38 mi56 min SSW 5.1 G 7 67°F 1009.3 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 49 mi44 min WSW 3.9 G 5.8 63°F1008.6 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY10 mi18 minS 610.00 miLight Rain66°F65°F96%1008.8 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY15 mi18 minS 99.00 miLight Rain66°F62°F87%1009.2 hPa
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT16 mi22 minESE 310.00 miOvercast66°F59°F78%1008.2 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY23 mi21 minS 610.00 miOvercast67°F64°F91%1008.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KISP

Wind History from ISP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS6S7S6S6S6S8S8S9S6S7SE6S8SE9S9S8SE9S10S6S10S7CalmSE7SW6S6
1 day agoW3W4W4W4CalmCalmW5W4W4SW4SE3S9SW9SW9SW11SW9SW9S8S10S8S9S8S6S6
2 days agoCalmNE3NE4CalmCalmN6NE7E7NE6NE7E9E6E3SE10S10SE5S5CalmSE3S6SW5SW5SW3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Port Jefferson, Long Island Sound, New York (2)
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Port Jefferson
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:05 AM EDT     7.09 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:29 AM EDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:56 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:41 PM EDT     6.72 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:48 PM EDT     1.08 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.15.66.67.16.75.642.51.20.60.61.42.84.45.76.56.764.73.32.11.31.11.6

Tide / Current Tables for Stratford Shoal, Long Island Sound, New York
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Stratford Shoal
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:53 AM EDT     7.09 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:17 AM EDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:56 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:29 PM EDT     6.72 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:36 PM EDT     1.08 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.45.86.87.16.65.33.72.21.10.50.71.63.14.75.96.66.65.84.531.91.21.11.8

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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