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Marine Weather and Tides Baiting Hollow, NY Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 5:53AM

Sunset 7:59PM

Saturday August 8, 2020 4:29 AM EDT (08:29 UTC)

Moonrise 10:46PM

Moonset 10:36AM

Illumination 81%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Baiting Hollow, NY

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Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY

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FXUS61 KOKX 080716 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 316 AM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

SYNOPSIS. A nearly stationary front will remain south of the area today. High pressure will build in for Sunday and Monday, then move out into the western Atlantic late Monday and Tuesday as a cold front approaches. The front will slowly pass across through Thursday, then stall to the south on Friday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. A nearly stationary front will slowly sink south today. Meanwhile, aloft, a shortwave will pass over the region today. Not much in the way of showers or thunderstorms are expected today, especially with the best forcing south of the area. However, still can not rule out some precipitation, so will continue to carry slight chance POPs. It will start off mostly cloudy or overcast with some gradual clearing expected towards mid to late afternoon.

Temperatures today will climb into the upper 70s and lower to middle 80s. This will be just a degree or two below our normal for this time of year.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/. Surface high pressure begins to build into the region tonight, with mainly dry conditions. While no precipitation is expected, low stratus/fog is expected to develop around midnight and continue through sunrise Sunday morning. Uncertain how dense and fog will be so will just call it patchy for now. Lows tonight will continue to be warm ranging from the middle 60s to lower 70s.

Ridging will continue to gradually build into the northeast on Sunday. A weak shortwave moves into the ridge during the afternoon, passing mainly to the north. There will be increasing CAPE and instability during the day and isolated convection will be possible along sea breeze boundaries with increased convergence. Some of the forecast models to indicate at least some light precipitation Sunday afternoon. Have continued to not included slight chance probabilities, however did increase POPs with sea breeze development.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. The building ridge will usher in increasing heat and humidity into mid week. There is increasing consensus and confidence that portions of the region will reach mid 90s heat indices Monday through Wednesday and possibly into Thursday, as temperatures will range 5 to 10 degrees above normal. The ridge will keep another shortwave moving to the north Monday. The only real change in the long term forecast is the slower trend in the longwave closed low moving across southern Canada and into the northern tier of the plains and upper midwest into the midweek period. This will delay the approach of a weak cold front, with Tuesday remaining mostly dry. There may be a few afternoon thunderstorms along the periphery of the ridge, and have slight chances into the Lower Hudson Valley.

As the mid and upper flow becomes more parallel to the cold front, the front will slow its eastward progression, and convection will once again be mainly to the west and north Wednesday. The front is expected to move through Wednesday into Thursday and then stall south of the region Friday.

AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. A stationary front will remain south of the area today before high pressure builds back into the region tonight.

MVFR ceilings will continue to develop through the overnight hours, with IFR conditions at Long Island terminals. Sub-VFR conditions will linger into mid-morning before conditions improve to VFR at all terminals by afternoon. An isolated afternoon shower or thunderstorm is possible for NYC/NJ and western terminals. MVFR or lower conditions may return overnight.

Light E-NE or light and variable winds will continue through the morning. By afternoon, SE flow develops with winds remaining less than 10 kt. Winds become light and variable at all terminals overnight tonight.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. Saturday Night through Monday. Mainly VFR. Low prob of late night/early morning MVFR conds. Tuesday and Wednesday. Low prob of aft/eve rain showers and isolated thunderstorms.

MARINE. Winds and seas will remain below SCA criteria through Wednesday with a light pressure gradient over the area.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts are expected through Wednesday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . BC/MET NEAR TERM . BC SHORT TERM . BC LONG TERM . MET AVIATION . FEB MARINE . BC HYDROLOGY . BC

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT	23 mi	60 min	Calm G 4.1	72°F	76°F		1020.3 hPa
44069	26 mi	75 min	E 5.8 G 7.8	71°F				70°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT	27 mi	60 min	NE 4.1 G 5.1	71°F	74°F		1020.4 hPa
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY	41 mi	30 min	NE 7.8 G 7.8	69°F	71°F		1020.5 hPa	69°F
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY	42 mi	60 min		70°F	70°F		1020.9 hPa
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT	44 mi	60 min	N 2.9 G 5.1	69°F	72°F		1020.6 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound	45 mi	45 min	NE 7.8 G 9.7	71°F				67°F

Wind History for New Haven, CT

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E1 G5

E2 G6

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NE3 G6

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SE1 G5

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SE8 G12

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
The Gabreski Airport, NY	11 mi	37 min	NE 3	4.00 mi	Fog/Mist	69°F	69°F	100%	1021.3 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY	12 mi	34 min	N 0	5.00 mi	Fog/Mist	72°F	68°F	87%	1020.7 hPa
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY	22 mi	34 min	N 3	9.00 mi	Overcast	70°F	70°F	100%	1020.7 hPa
New Haven, Tweed-New Haven Airport, CT	23 mi	37 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Overcast	72°F	68°F	87%	1020.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFOK

Wind History from FOK (wind in knots)

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SW11 G17

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Tide / Current Tables for Northville, Long Island Sound, New York

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Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (4,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY

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