Sunday, June13, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Essex Village, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:15AMSunset 8:26PM Sunday June 13, 2021 10:36 AM EDT (14:36 UTC) Moonrise 7:45AMMoonset 11:19PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ332 Long Island Sound East Of The Mouth Of The Connecticut River- 930 Am Edt Sun Jun 13 2021
Today..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S late. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, subsiding to 1 to 2 ft after midnight.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely.
Tue..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..W winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu night..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
ANZ300 930 Am Edt Sun Jun 13 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will continue to retreat offshore today, while a weak frontal system approaches from the west. The frontal system will be slow to move through the area from late tonight into Tuesday. High pressure will then gradually build from the north and west Tuesday night through Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Essex Village, CT
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location: 41.35, -72.37     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 131326 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 926 AM EDT Sun Jun 13 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will continue to retreat offshore today, while a weak frontal system approaches from the west. The frontal system will be slow to move through the area from late tonight into Tuesday. High pressure will then gradually build in from the west Wednesday and Thursday. A warm front lifts north of the area on Friday. A cold front and its pre-frontal trough approaches for the first half of the weekend. Weak high pressure should then follow on Sunday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Regional radar still showing some shower activity across NE PA and NW NJ. High res models continue to handle fairly well. Some of this activity could work into portions of NE NJ and Lower Hudson Valley late this morning, but do not think much if any will reach the ground. This is due to subsidence and dry air hanging on over the area from high pressure located just offshore.

The other forecast challenge today will be how quickly clouds across NE PA, NW NJ, and southern NY move eastward. The aforementioned subsidence will slow its progress, but mostly clear skies along and west of the Hudson River should increase later this morning, with partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies in the afternoon. Further east, mostly sunny conditions will continue through the day.

Shortwave energy over central Canada will descend across the Great Lakes today into tonight, amplifying as it does so. This will send a weak frontal system toward the area with a slow moving warm front moving in from the west. A spotty shower cannot be ruled out well NW of the NY/NJ metro in the afternoon.

Highs generally in the mid to upper 70s, but cooler along the immediate south shore of LI and SE CT. May also need to lower highs across the NW interior if clouds remain more widespread.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/. An amplifying upper trough over the Great Lakes will move across the area during this time period, first sending a warm front across the area late tonight into Monday, followed by a weak cold frontal passage or trough Monday night.

Airmass will gradually destabilize during this time as heights fall and vertical wind profiles strengthen. The limiting factor for any strong and/or severe weather will be the marine influence (SSE winds) through at least the first half of Monday, with the chance of moderate destabilization north and west of NYC in the afternoon.

Showers will develop later tonight, but mainly after midnight with an isolated thunderstorm possible. Expect the same on Monday as the upper trough approaches the area and once again will need to watch for potential strong and/or severe development north and west. Limiting factor will be how quickly the marine layer is eroded across the interior. Convection begins to wane late Monday evening, however with the cold front/trough possibly hanging up across the area on Tuesday there will be a chance for scattered convection. Upper trough axis still to the west on Tuesday.

The slow movement of the system and mostly cloudy skies/showers on Monday has resulted in a cooling trend. Leaned toward the cooler MOS in this case. Lows will be at or just below normal each morning with near normal highs on Tuesday.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. The upper level low will gradually push east Tuesday night and into early Wednesday. Any shower or isolated thundershower activity will die off early Tuesday night. Afterwards, heights should begin to gradually rise for later in the week. Therefore, a residual cold pool aloft could remain into Wednesday. This should lead to some diurnally driven afternoon clouds on Wednesday, but with high pressure building the weather should remain dry. A north to northwest flow on Wednesday will lead to very comfortable conditions as humidity levels will be rather low. Dew point readings by Wednesday afternoon may get as low as the upper 40s, quite dry for mid June. This dry weather regime will continue into Thursday on a light NW flow regime.

By Friday as a warm front passes west and north of the area, the low level flow should then turn more SW, then S. This will lead to a more noticeable rise in the humidity by Friday night into Saturday. With a rise in humidity and temperatures, along with shortwave energy attempting to approach, POPs get introduced. This will lead to shower and thunderstorm chances for Saturday afternoon and evening. In the wake of a cold frontal passage towards Sunday morning, weak high pressure should then take control for the second half of the weekend.

AVIATION /13Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Weak high pressure shifts offshore by this afternoon. A warm front approaches late today into tonight.

VFR for today. A few shwrs are possible near KSWF late this afternoon and this evening.

A light SW wind should prevail this morning, becoming S around 10 kt or less in the afternoon, then decreasing closer to 5 kt or so tonight.

. NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

No amendments are anticipated through today. Towards late tonight amendments may be needed as the arrival of showers and lower ceilings may be off by +/- 1-3 hrs.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. Monday. MVFR or lower possible, especially in any showers, Thunderstorms possible. Tuesday. Mainly VFR, with brief MVFR conditions possible in any showers or a thunderstorm. Wednesday through Thursday. VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. A gradually diminishing easterly swell will produce seas of 3 to 4 on the ocean waters today and 2 to 3 ft through Tuesday. Southerly winds will prevail during this time.

Behind a cold front a NW-N flow will result in occasional gusts up to 20 kt on the ocean waters Wednesday into the first half of Thursday with ocean seas approaching 4 ft. Sub SCA conditions will continue in Thursday night with ocean seas settling to around 2-3 ft.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts expected.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. There is a moderate rip current risk at the ocean beaches today and Monday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . JE/DW NEAR TERM . DS/DW SHORT TERM . DW LONG TERM . JE AVIATION . JE MARINE . JE/DW HYDROLOGY . JE/DW TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 15 mi49 min 72°F 59°F1013.5 hPa
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 16 mi57 min SW 8 G 9.9 63°F 1016.7 hPa56°F
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 21 mi97 min WSW 7.8 G 7.8 64°F 65°F1 ft
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 29 mi49 min SSW 8.9 G 8.9 65°F 66°F1014.2 hPa
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 30 mi49 min 63°F 61°F1013.6 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 45 mi49 min SSW 6 G 7 66°F 64°F1012.9 hPa
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 48 mi27 min SW 5.8 G 7.8 61°F 61°F1013.9 hPa58°F

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Chester, Chester Airport, CT8 mi42 minVar 410.00 miFair73°F59°F61%1013.5 hPa
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT17 mi41 minSSW 810.00 miFair66°F59°F78%1013 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSNC

Wind History from SNC (wind in knots)
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SE6SE43CalmCalmCalmCalmS4CalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmE3CalmE4
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SE6SE6SE5SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4E4Calm5

Tide / Current Tables for Essex, Connecticut
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Essex
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Sun -- 01:14 AM EDT     3.62 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:44 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:18 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:00 PM EDT     2.76 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:15 PM EDT     0.93 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.43.63.53.12.41.71.10.60.30.40.91.72.22.62.82.62.21.81.41.10.911.62.3

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current (2) (expired 1993-12-31)
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The Race
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Sun -- 01:49 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 05:24 AM EDT     -3.15 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 07:43 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:43 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:24 AM EDT     2.48 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 02:29 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:47 PM EDT     -2.46 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:43 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:17 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:35 PM EDT     2.42 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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21.1-0.3-1.7-2.7-3.1-3-2.2-0.90.41.62.42.31.70.7-0.7-1.8-2.3-2.4-2-0.90.31.42.2

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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