Saturday, May30, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Port Jervis, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:25AMSunset 8:25PM Saturday May 30, 2020 4:05 AM EDT (08:05 UTC) Moonrise 1:11PMMoonset 2:05AM Illumination 57% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 327 Am Edt Sat May 30 2020
Today..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft this morning, then 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers early this morning. Patchy fog early this morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Sun night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Wed night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
ANZ300 327 Am Edt Sat May 30 2020
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A slow moving cold front moves to the vicinity of eastern long island this morning, then becomes nearly stationary before moving east of the waters this evening. High pressure builds in tonight through early next week. Another frontal system affects the waters for mid week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Port Jervis, NY
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location: 41.37, -74.66     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 300529 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 129 AM EDT Sat May 30 2020

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will through late tonight into Saturday morning. High pressure then builds to the south of the area Sunday through early next week. Another frontal system affects the region for mid week, with a potential return to high pressure for late week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. Showers entering the Orange county are slowly continuing eastward through the area. Soundings show some elevated CAPE may help hold these showers together overnight before coming to an end in the early morning.

Lead shortwave and associated low pressure moves NE up the St Lawrence River Valley tonight, with trailing weak cold front moving into and stalling over the region tonight.

Initial round of convection has dissipated as it moved east of the Hudson River into stable airmass this evening. Additional scattered shower activity possible across NYC and points N and W tonight as cold front approaches and shortwave axis makes closest approach. Limited threat for thunderstorms in this area should diminish after midnight. Elsewhere just an isolated shower threat overnight. Moist onshore flow ahead of the approaching weak front will perpetuate fog and low clouds across LI and SE CT, locally dense in spots.

Otherwise, a mild and muggy night with lows in the 60s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/. After some lingering early morning showers, the cold front moves through the entire area, with mainly dry conditions by mid morning to late morning continuing into Saturday night. Clouds and fog improve across eastern parts of the forecast area as the cold front pushes offshore and high pressure begins to build in.

Temperatures will be above normal with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s, cooler near the coast. With dew points forecast to drop throughout the day, humidity levels will become noticeably lower.

Temperatures drop to more seasonable levels Saturday night, but will still be a few degrees above normal, in the 50s region- wide.

There is a high risk for rip current development on Saturday due to residual 5 ft @7sec southerly swells. Higher probability across eastern ocean beaches, due to more southerly component to wind flow.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. Stubborn North Atlantic/Eastern Canadian omega blocking will be the theme through the week, with strong North Atlantic ridging and a persistent upper low over Eastern Canada. This will spell a mean troughing pattern for the NE US through the period.

The period will start with northern stream troughing deepening into the NE US on Sunday, with this axis gradually shifting east on Monday. At the surface, Canadian high pressure builds towards the region on Sunday, with gusty northwest flow ushering in an unseasonably cool airmass. Sct aft cu development possible, with temps running a few degrees below seasonable (upper 60s/lower 70s). Chilly night Sunday Night as cool airmass settles over the region, with potential for outlying areas to drop into the 40s with radiational cooling potential.

Trough axis crossing through on Monday will likely lead to considerable afternoon cloud cover and scattered instability showers. Convection looks to be quite low top, but cant rule out an isolated rumble of thunder with small hail potential with any pockets of better heating. Otherwise another below seasonable day on Monday(mid to upper 60s), with temps likely dropping towards 60 with any rain showers.

Forecast spread increases heading into mid to late week as upper flow flattens, but some differences exists in handing of a closed low entering California on Saturday, and how its translate through the upper flow and eventually interacts with the persistent Eastern Canadian low. General agreement on this energy and associated low pressure tracking across the Southern Canadian plains early week, and then work into Southern Ontario and then New England for mid week. Subtle differences exist in timing amplitude of shortwave energy and therefore track/timing during this associated frontal system, but in general this will bring the next potential for shower activity late Tue into Wed night.

Forecast spread continues on how quickly Canadian troughing lifts out for late week, which results in a lower confidence sensible weather forecast. General model agreement in rising heights and ridging building towards the area for the weekend with building warmth, but will have to see if this is too fast based on blocky pattern.

Despite offshore flow, there is a moderate risk for rip current development on Sunday, due to residual 2 to 3 ft S and SE swells.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. A cold front gradually approaches the terminals overnight and then moves just offshore of eastern Long Island through Saturday. The front then moves slowly east Saturday evening.

A line of showers will gradually weaken and dissipate as the line moves slowly across the region overnight.

Conditions will vary significantly overnight with LIFR/VLIFR conditions expected for the eastern terminals, KISP, KBDR, and KGON. KJFK, KLGA, and KHPN will likely see a period of IFR to LIFR ceilings, however, there is uncertainty for how long this will last as a cold front and pre-frontal trough move into the area overnight. Elsewhere, expecting VFR conditions. VFR conditions develop across the entire area by 15Z Saturday (KGON being the last).

S winds around 10 kt winds will veer to SW 5-10kt overnight and then W/NW with the cold frontal passage in the morning. The front stalls in close proximity to the coast Saturday, in fact, winds are likely to back to the S/SW in the afternoon before the front gets kicked eastward Saturday evening. Winds shift to NW 10 to 15 kt gusting to around 20 kt behind the cold front.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. Saturday Night-Tuesday Afternoon. VFR. Tuesday Night-Wednesday. MVFR possible. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.

MARINE. Dense fog advisory continues across the ocean waters, southern and eastern bays, and E LI Sound overnight with mild and moist flow over cool waters. These conditions will gradually improve from w to e Saturday morning, as cold front moves through the coastal waters.

Small Craft Advisories continue on the ocean waters through Saturday as the southerly flow continues. Waves begin to diminish Saturday from west to east. There is a possibility that the western ocean zone drops below 5 ft before the end of the day.

Sub-SCA offshore flow expected Sunday into Monday as high pressure build southwest and south of the waters, with ocean seas falling below SCA on Sunday.

Winds and seas then remain below SCA levels through Wednesday, but a developing S/SW fetch ahead of an approaching frontal system Tuesday Night through Wed, may result in marginal SCA seas by Wed.

HYDROLOGY. Localized and brief heavy downpours tonight can be expected, but widespread hydrological impacts are not anticipated.

Negligible hydrologic impacts expected thereafter through Friday.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is undergoing its final stages of testing, and is operating at full power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . High Rip Current Risk through this evening for NYZ075-080-081- 178-179. NJ . None. MARINE . Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for ANZ330-340- 345-350-353-355. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ350- 353-355.

SYNOPSIS . JP/NV NEAR TERM . DJ SHORT TERM . JP LONG TERM . NV AVIATION . MET MARINE . JP/NV HYDROLOGY . JP/NV EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 57 mi48 min 69°F 63°F1011.6 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 58 mi48 min 68°F 62°F1011.4 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 58 mi48 min SSW 6 G 8.9 67°F 1011.1 hPa

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sussex, Sussex Airport, NJ11 mi73 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy66°F64°F93%1011.6 hPa
Montgomery, Orange County Airport, NY23 mi72 minSW 410.00 miOvercast65°F64°F97%1010.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFWN

Wind History from FWN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr44SW6SW55545S56
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S5CalmSW4SW3S34CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalm3S45S9
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3S964S43Calm43S6SW3SW4SW4SW3
2 days agoCalmCalmCalm44SW5W64S7W65SW54SW6SW4S5SW3CalmSW4CalmSW3CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Newburgh, Hudson River, New York
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Newburgh
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Sat -- 12:48 AM EDT     0.62 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:12 AM EDT     3.02 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:08 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 01:38 PM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:15 PM EDT     2.93 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.60.91.62.32.8332.62.11.40.90.50.30.30.71.52.22.72.92.92.51.91.3

Tide / Current Tables for West Point, Hudson River, New York
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West Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:25 AM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 05:46 AM EDT     2.44 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:07 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 01:15 PM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:49 PM EDT     2.36 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.611.62.12.42.42.321.510.60.40.20.30.81.522.32.42.21.91.41

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.