Monday, June14, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Port Jervis, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:21AMSunset 8:34PM Monday June 14, 2021 11:39 PM EDT (03:39 UTC) Moonrise 8:57AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 902 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021
Tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt late this evening, then becoming E after midnight, becoming nw late. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers and chance of tstms. Vsby 1 to 3 nm after midnight.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the morning.
Tue night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..W winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SW winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..SW winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves may be higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 902 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A frontal system will slowly move across through Tuesday afternoon. High pressure will then gradually build from the north and west for mid week, and move offshore on Friday. A cold front will move through Saturday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Port Jervis, NY
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location: 41.37, -74.66     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 150115 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 915 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

SYNOPSIS. A frontal system will slowly move across through Tuesday afternoon. High pressure will then gradually build from the north and west for mid week, and move offshore on Friday. A cold front will move through Saturday night, followed by high pressure on Sunday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/. MUCAPEs around the area are still sufficient in combination with shortwave lift shifting through to produce showers and iso/sct thunderstorms. All of the thunderstorms over the forecast area so far have not produced any severe wx. Higher winds from aloft are having a tough time translating down to the surface, and although wet bulb zero heights are favorable, large hail will be hard to come by with diminishing CAPE in the hail growth region. Best chances overall for stronger convection this evening will be along southern zones where greater instability exists. Greatest threat with storms will be the heavy rainfall, and mainly minor urban/poor drainage flooding is anticipated.

Overnight, a weak wave of low pressure passing just S of Long Island should help keep elevated shower/tstm activity going, mainly over Long Island and closer to the coast.

Low temps tonight should range from the mid 60s in NYC, to the upper 50s well north/west of the city.

SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. On Tuesday the trough axis will still be over and just west of the area, with a potent mid level vort max moving across. This should help initiate more showers and a few tstms, mainly to the north/east of NYC. Dry conds expected going into Tue night throughout as the upper trough moves east, perhaps as early as afternoon from NYC north/west as downslope NW flow kicks in. As a result, forecast high temps a little warmer than MOS for NYC metro with lower 80s, and temps elsewhere should reach the mid/upper 70s. Temps Tue night will be a little cooler especially inland, with more widespread lows in the mid/upper 50s, while lows along the coast should still be mostly 60-65.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. High pressure tries to build in on Wednesday, but will have some trouble as a longwave trough axis remains aloft. It should remain dry anyway as moisture is limited. The trough axis slowly shifts east during Thursday and Friday with surface high pressure becoming more established. Continued dry through the period. Highs on Wednesday and Thursday near normal, then a few degrees warmer on Friday.

The flow aloft becomes cyclonic once again on Saturday with a surface pre-frontal trough developing nearby. Showers and thunderstorms possible, and for now it appears that they would be more likely in the afternoon and evening hours with greater destabilization and better lift with the trough and trailing cold front. Highs above normal on Saturday.

The cold front is progged to pass through the entire forecast area by Sunday morning. Dry weather expected with less humid conditions and highs generally in the 80s. Mainly zonal flow aloft for Monday, but there could be a weak warm front nearby or a boundary setting up where moisture convergence could be enhanced. Will go with a chance of showers and thunderstorms mainly in the afternoon and nighttime hours.

AVIATION /01Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. A frontal system will move across Tuesday. For tonight, showers will be likely but thunderstorms will be isolated to scattered. The showers will remain most likely for Long Island and this is where thunderstorms could be more scattered as opposed to isolated.

JFK and ISP may see some thunderstorm activity this evening with tempos for TSRA remaining for those terminals. Otherwise, not enough confidence to have TSRA for other terminals any longer.

Overall conditions will start out mainly VFR. Then, conditions will become MVFR to IFR in ceiling with MVFR to IFR visibilities in some fog possible as well for late evening, overnight into early Tuesday. KGON will have sub-IFR conditions through early Tuesday.

Winds will be light and variable, becoming more W-NW on Tuesday. The winds increase to near 10 kt in the afternoon with gusts 15-20 kt. Conditions are expected to improve to MVFR late Tuesday morning and then VFR for the afternoon from west to east. Isolated to scattered shower activity will be possible on Tuesday.

. NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

Amendments likely to refine shower and thunderstorm timing as well as MVFR/IFR timing. Timing of these features has low confidence.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. Tuesday night. Gusts diminish by late evening. VFR. Wednesday through Friday. VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. Sub SCA conditions will continue in the near term, with wind gusts no higher than 20 kt outside of tstms and ocean seas 3-4 ft.

Tropical Depression Two off the North Carolina Coast should not have any direct impact as it heads NE out into the open Atlantic, but may send SE swell toward the area Tue into Wed. Conds should still remain below SCA criteria.

Sub-advisory conditions otherwise continue through the day Friday before SW winds pick up and potentially build seas up to 5 ft along with gusts to around 25 kt on the ocean Friday night and Saturday.

HYDROLOGY. Additional rain accumulation of up to an inch of rainfall will be possible, mainly along southern portions of the city and Long Island. Prime threat is minor urban/poor drainage flooding.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. There is a moderate rip current risk at the eastern Suffolk ocean beaches for Wed.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . JC/BG NEAR TERM . JC/BG SHORT TERM . BG LONG TERM . JC AVIATION . JM/MW MARINE . JC/BG HYDROLOGY . JC/BG TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . JC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 57 mi51 min 68°F 67°F1008.2 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 58 mi51 min 68°F 65°F1008.9 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 58 mi51 min SE 1.9 G 4.1 67°F 1008.3 hPa

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sussex, Sussex Airport, NJ11 mi46 minN 07.00 miOvercast65°F65°F100%1008.4 hPa
Montgomery, Orange County Airport, NY23 mi45 minN 00.50 miFog61°F60°F97%1008.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFWN

Wind History from FWN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmS3CalmCalmCalmSW33SW444S36SW5S3S966S65SW4CalmCalmCalmCalm
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3SW33Calm3CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Newburgh, Hudson River, New York
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Newburgh
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:39 AM EDT     3.11 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:03 AM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:00 PM EDT     2.52 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:45 PM EDT     0.59 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.12.83.13.132.621.30.80.40.30.51.11.72.22.42.52.42.11.50.90.70.60.8

Tide / Current Tables for West Point, Hudson River, New York
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West Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:13 AM EDT     2.51 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:40 AM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:34 PM EDT     2.03 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:22 PM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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22.42.52.52.321.40.90.50.30.30.61.11.61.9221.91.510.70.60.60.9

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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