Thursday, August13, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Beulah Beach, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:37AMSunset 8:33PM Thursday August 13, 2020 10:06 PM EDT (02:06 UTC) Moonrise 12:13AMMoonset 3:18PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- 718 Pm Edt Thu Aug 13 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 4 am edt Friday...
Tonight..East wind 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..Northeast wind 5 to 15 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less building to 2 to 4 feet.
Friday night..East wind 5 to 15 knots. Chance of showers after midnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Saturday..East wind 10 knots. Chance of showers through the day. Waves 1 foot or less.
LEZ144 Expires:202008140330;;408967 FZUS51 KCLE 132318 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH Issued by National Weather Service Buffalo NY 718 PM EDT Thu Aug 13 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake (name) LEZ144-140330-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beulah Beach, OH
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location: 41.38, -82.49     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 132339 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH Issued by National Weather Service Buffalo NY 739 PM EDT Thu Aug 13 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will begin to move northeastward into Canada tonight through tomorrow. A cold front will move through the area Sunday evening. Behind the front, another large area of high pressure will build in across the region.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/. Early this evening radar shows scattered showers across southeastern Ohio, with these likely the result of diurnal heating. Mesoscale guidance suggests the remnants of these showers will drift northeast toward Youngstown/Akron before dissipating around midnight. A stray shower cannot be ruled out south/east of these cities while the rest of the area should remain dry overnight. Low temperatures will generally be in the upper 60s to around 70.

Friday will start off dry, with patchy mid/high level cloud cover. By Friday afternoon, lingering low and mid-level moisture across the central and western portion of the area will become amplified from a developing surface low across the Tennessee Valley and aided by daytime heating. Forecast instability is expected to reach 1000 to 1500 J/kg, mainly across NW OH, though much of the activity appears to form just west of Toledo. Highs on Friday will once again reach the mid to upper 80s with dew points in the mid to upper 60s.

Will be continuing to monitor development and movement of the surface low across the Tennessee Valley to see if there are any shower/thunderstorm impacts overnight Friday into early Saturday morning. Too much divergence in model guidance precludes any higher PoP than low-end chance at this time.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/. Upper level trough will shift east across the area Saturday with an associated area of positive vorticity advection. Moisture associated with this upper level feature is expected to move east across the area as well by Saturday evening. A weak wave of low pressure at the surface will move east across the Ohio Valley with an inverted surface trough extending north across the local area Saturday night. Due to the upper level support and wave of low pressure along with the aid of day time heating, expecting showers and a few thunderstorms to develop Saturday and then lingering into Saturday night. A cold front is expected to move east across the area Sunday afternoon with a bit of a surge of moisture associated with the front and convergence along the boundary. This should bring a line of showers and thunderstorms east across the local area during the afternoon. Once front shifts east Sunday night, threat for showers and thunderstorms will diminish Sunday night into Monday morning. Then, by Monday afternoon, a surface trough and deep digging negatively tilted upper level trough will move over the local area. Cold air advection and upper level support will likely cause some lake induced showers over the northeast. Temperatures through the period will be in the middle to upper 70s most areas; except lower 80s extreme west Saturday. Lows Saturday night will be in the lower to middle 60s and highs Sunday in the middle to upper 70s east and upper 70s to lower 80s elsewhere. Lows Sunday night will be in the lower to middle 60s followed by highs in the middle to upper 70s Monday.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Large upper level trough will shift east of the area Monday night into Tuesday. Another upper level positively tilted trough will linger behind into Wednesday as an upper level high pressure over the Plains States continues to amplify and remain nearly stationary. This whole upper level pattern remains somewhat unchanged through Thursday but there are some signs the trough in thee east will make an attempt to break down slightly over southern Canada and cut-off the trough by the end of the week. Weak surface high pressure will build southeast over the eastern Great Lakes during this forecast period and will for the most part keep the forecast area dry. Temperatures will be in the middle to upper 50s each night and highs will be in the middle to upper 70s Tuesday and Wednesday and warming a bit for Thursday in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

AVIATION /00Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/. Mainly VFR flight conditions for the 00Z TAF cycle. Small risk for some radiation fog tonight, mainly at KFDY/KMFD. Otherwise, the majority of clouds will be mid/high level. Moderate E-NE flow will diminish this evening.

Outlook . Non-VFR with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms Friday night through Sunday night.

MARINE. A small craft advisory was issued this afternoon as winds along the lakeshore increased to 10 to 20 knots with some higher gusts. The northeast flow along the lakeshore can cause increased wave action along the lakeshore due to the shoreline effects. Waves of 4 to 5 feet expected through the afternoon into the evening hours. Winds should begin to shift around to an easterly direction later tonight as they diminish. This should push the higher waves offshore. Also issued a beach hazards statement for the threat for rip currents along the lakeshore. There is another potential for the need for small craft advisories again during the day tomorrow and tomorrow night in the northeast to east flow. Otherwise, light southeast flow develops into the weekend. A cold front is expected to move east across the area Sunday afternoon and this will result in some cold air advection to the area. There is the possibility for some waterspout activity Monday with the cold air advection. Winds will diminish and become light north to northwest by Thursday.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . Beach Hazards Statement until 4 AM EDT Friday for OHZ009>012- 089. PA . Beach Hazards Statement until 4 AM EDT Friday for PAZ001. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Friday for LEZ144>149.



SYNOPSIS . Kahn NEAR TERM . Apffel/Kahn SHORT TERM . Lombardy LONG TERM . Lombardy AVIATION . Apffel/Kahn MARINE . Lombardy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 1 mi81 min NE 5.1 77°F 1017 hPa68°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 3 mi66 min ENE 13 G 15 78°F 1016.3 hPa (+0.4)
LORO1 17 mi36 min ENE 17 G 20 79°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 17 mi78 min 78°F 76°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 21 mi26 min ENE 12 G 16 77°F 76°F1017.1 hPa68°F
CMPO1 30 mi96 min ENE 9.9 79°F
TWCO1 46 mi26 min NE 16 G 19 80°F 78°F65°F
45165 47 mi16 min NE 12 G 16 80°F 78°F2 ft64°F
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 47 mi78 min 78°F 74°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 48 mi66 min NNE 9.9 G 11 79°F
45164 49 mi66 min 77°F3 ft

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH17 mi73 minENE 710.00 miFair77°F59°F54%1016.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLPR

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5E4CalmCalmCalmCalmNW4CalmCalmCalmNE4NE5NE5NE7NE5N6NE7N11N10NE10NE9NE7NE7NE7
1 day agoW4CalmNE4NE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE8NE8NE9NE8NE8N7NE7NE10NE7NE7E5NE4NE4
2 days agoSW7SW8S8S8SW7W5W6SW8W6W6W7W96W8SW7W8NW7W6SW10SW8W6W7W4W4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.