Tuesday, November19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Huron, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:22AMSunset 5:09PM Tuesday November 19, 2019 2:35 AM EST (07:35 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 1:33PM Illumination 54% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- 336 Pm Est Mon Nov 18 2019
Tonight..North winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. A chance of drizzle from late evening on. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of drizzle. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Thursday through Saturday. The water temperature off toledo is 38 degrees, off cleveland 47 degrees, and off erie 44 degrees.
LEZ144 Expires:201911190315;;468960 FZUS51 KCLE 182036 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 336 PM EST Mon Nov 18 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ144>146-190315-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Huron, OH
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location: 41.4, -82.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 190554
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
1254 am est Tue nov 19 2019

Synopsis
A ridge of high pressure will briefly build across the region
late tonight into early Tuesday before a weakening, fast-moving
low pressure moves southeast across the region Tuesday into
early Tuesday night. High pressure will build northeast across the
region Wednesday into Thursday. A deepening low pressure will
move northeast across the central great lakes on Thursday and
Friday, with a trailing cold front moving east across the area
Thursday night.

Near term through today
Little change to the forecast for tonight. The lower, thicker
stratus is nearing the i-75 corridor. Temperatures will be slow
to cool there and elsewhere, lows will happen over the next few
hours and then hold steady slightly rise as the thicker cloud
cover arrives. The chance for drizzle is still there, but it may
be a while yet before we see any. As previous forecast stated
any attempt at freezing drizzle across inland NW pa will have
little impact if any, be brief and extremely light. Previous
discussion follows.

Previous discussion...

high temperatures today far exceeded the original forecast where
clouds were able to clear out, especially in northwest ohio
where high temperatures were as much as 10 degrees above
forecast models. For tonight, low clouds are expected to move in
from the west, which is apparent on satellite with low clouds
currently encompassing southwest ohio and most of indiana. This
low stratus, along with minimal temperature advection, should
keep temperatures from decreasing too much tonight, especially
areas west of i-77. For this area, decided to go with the
warmest possible guidance for low temperatures given the very
warm daytime high temperatures and low level clouds moving in.

This is ended up producing lows in the 35 to 37 range, which is
about 3 to 5 degrees higher than average model guidance. For
areas farther east of i-77, ended up trending closer to average
model guidance, which was closer to 30 and even in the upper 20s
for inland northwest pennsylvania. This is due to later onset
of low-level cloud coverage and thus more radiational cooling.

With the low-level clouds comes the chance for drizzle and
possibly a brief period of freezing drizzles for areas in far
northeast ohio and inland pennsylvania that reach freezing
temperatures. Impacts from freezing drizzle should be minimal
since air temperatures were fairly warm today and road
temperatures should remain above freezing tonight.

A series of vortices will rotate through the backside of the
upper level trough that is situated over the eastern conus. This
will result in weak low pressure developing and moving
southeast across the midwest and weakening as it moves into the
mid-atlantic. Very little moisture will be associated with this
system but it will be enough to produce some light showers
Tuesday afternoon. Some light lake effect showers will also
persist through Tuesday afternoon and into the overnight hours
for far northeast ohio and northwest pennsylvania. Temperatures
may be just cool enough late Tuesday night for some rain snow
mix in for the high terrain areas.

Short term tonight through Thursday night
A few light showers may linger into NW pa until drier air
overspreads the area on Wednesday. Meanwhile a large area of high
pressure will expand from the gulf coast to the eastern great lakes
as ridging builds aloft. Despite surface high pressure, several
models advertising a fair amount of stratus across the region so
will maintain a partly to mostly cloudy forecast.

High pressure and deep layer dry air will still have an influence on
the area during the first half of the day on Thursday and slowed
down the arrival of precipitation. Low pressure will develop in the
lee of the rockies and track northeast to near lake michigan by 21z.

Light showers will begin to work into the western half of the area
during the afternoon but may not expand east of 71 until the cold
front arrives on Thursday night. Temperatures on Thursday will be
near normal in the warm sector, generally in the lower to mid 50s.

It will take time for the airmass to cool with the front and
expecting precipitation on Thursday night to fall primarily as rain.

Most long range models show a wave of low pressure developing along
the cold front but the GFS is the only model that brings it all the
way north for any more moderate precipitation to reach our forecast
area.

Long term Friday through Monday
Precipitation expected to end rather quickly on Friday as dry air
quickly wraps in from the northwest. The exception will be across
the snowbelt where some lingering rain snow showers will persist. By
the end of the week, models really struggling to resolve the
interaction between energy moving through the northern and southern
stream. The 12z ECMWF still brings a wave of low pressure across
eastern ohio early Saturday while the canadian has the wave moving
through the tennessee valley. At this point will continue with just
a chance of precipitation on Saturday given the uncertainty but
changes will be needed as models come into better agreement. Beyond
Saturday, the upper trough passes to the east with a zonal flow to
follow. This should result in a fairly inactive weather pattern for
the second half of the weekend with surface high pressure returning.

Temperatures expected to remain below normal through the
weekend.

Aviation 06z Tuesday through Saturday
An area of stratus will work northeast across the region early
this morning in the wake of a departing upper trough. Some ifr
conditions anticipated for several hours this morning at ktol,
kfdy, and kmfd, with generally MVFR ceilings at other sites.

Improvement to MVFR expected at the western sites by
midday early afternoon, with MVFR ceilings lingering through the
day. Some dz br possible at western terminals as well this
morning. Winds will be light through the period, generally
southwest early becoming more westerly late.

Outlook Non-vfr possible likely on Thursday and Friday with
widespread rain.

Marine
A quiet stretch of weather will continue on lake erie through
Wednesday night. Southerly winds will increase on Thursday as low
pressure tracks out of the plains towards the western great lakes.

As the low continues northeast into canada, a cold front will be
pulled south across lake erie Thursday night into Friday. Waves will
build to 5 to 8 feet as the flow shifts to northwest behind the
front and small craft advisories will likely be needed on Friday. By
next weekend uncertainty increases in the forecast as models vary
with how far south the front pushes and if a secondary wave of low
pressure will impact the region.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Saunders
near term... Oudeman saunders sefcovic
short term... Kec
long term... Kec
aviation... Greenawalt
marine... Kec


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 1 mi36 min SW 4.1 G 8 34°F 1005.8 hPa (+0.0)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 3 mi111 min SW 2.9 32°F 1007 hPa31°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 13 mi54 min SW 5.1 G 8 36°F 42°F1006.9 hPa32°F
LORO1 20 mi66 min WSW 9.9 G 12 38°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 21 mi36 min W 5.8 G 7.8 40°F 1008 hPa (+0.0)37°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 22 mi36 min WSW 2.9 G 2.9 37°F 1007.8 hPa (+0.0)
CMPO1 26 mi126 min WSW 6 G 7 33°F
TWCO1 42 mi26 min W 6 G 8
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 45 mi96 min SW 5.1 G 5.1 36°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH21 mi43 minN 03.00 miFog/Mist31°F27°F85%1007.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLPR

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmS3CalmSW4S4SE4S4CalmCalmCalmN7N5N6N4N4CalmNW3SW3SW3CalmSW4SW4Calm
1 day agoS5S4S6S5SE7SE5S6S7S7S5S4S5S4S4S3NE3SE5S3CalmSE6CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoNE14NE8
G19
--NE6NE7NE7--E12E8--E9NE12NE11E11E9--E5E5E7E6E4E5E3SE3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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