Chester Center, CT Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Chester Center, CT

April 29, 2024 3:35 PM EDT (19:35 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:47 AM   Sunset 7:48 PM
Moonrise 1:02 AM   Moonset 9:36 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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ANZ331 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny To The Mouth Of The Connecticut River- 102 Pm Edt Mon Apr 29 2024

This afternoon - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Tonight - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: se 1 ft at 2 seconds. Isolated showers.

Tue - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 3 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the morning.

Tue night - E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 3 seconds, becoming E 1 ft at 3 seconds. Chance of showers and slight chance of tstms after midnight.

Wed - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: ne 1 ft at 3 seconds. Chance of showers.

Wed night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: E 1 ft at 2 seconds.

Thu - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Thu night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Fri night - SE winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.

ANZ300 102 Pm Edt Mon Apr 29 2024

Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - A back door cold front moves through the area this evening. A frontal wave then moves through the area Tuesday night into Wednesday, with high pressure returning thereafter for the end of the week. Another frontal system is expected for the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chester Center, CT
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Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 291818 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 218 PM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024

SYNOPSIS
A back door cold front moves through the region this evening, and becomes nearly stationary into Tuesday. A frontal wave then moves through the area Tuesday night into Wednesday, with high pressure returning thereafter for the end of the week. Another frontal system is expected for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
Temperatures along the coast have peaked as sea breezes were moving northward, while inland temperatures have risen into the mid 80s. Cumulus have developed along the sea breezes and inland, across northern New Jersey and into New York City mixed layer CAPE of around 500 J/kg has developed along with surface based instability. Slightly increased the probabilities of precipitation in these areas with CAMs showing development of convection possible as sea breeze boundaries and backdoor cold front pushes into the region. Limiting factor will be the ridge axis moving toward the area with dry upper levels and subsidence.

Ridging continues to build in aloft over the eastern CONUS, with the axis expected to be overhead sometime early Tuesday.

Today will be the warmest day of the year so far, with some humidity too, with dew points into the lower 60s, and highs into the lower to mid 80s for most. Bit of a tricky temperature forecast with the timing of the front, sea breezes and any clouds this morning being huge factors. The thinking is that skies will be mostly sunny this morning and temps will rise quickly with decent mixing in a northwest flow. Once the sea breezes kick in, temperatures will drop as always this time of the year. Long Island, coastal CT and portions of NYC and northeast NJ will likely see their highs in the early afternoon.

With sea breeze boundaries and some energy rounding the base of the ridge aloft, some afternoon convection is possible as SBCAPE values will be around 500-1000 J/kg for NYC north and west. Have added a slight chance of thunder to the forecast. The CAMs are in pretty good agreement with the location of any convection being NYC north and west.

Thicker cloud cover returns tonight with a moist onshore flow.
lows will be in the upper 40s in the eastern half of the area and mid 50s in the western half.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
A frontal boundary likely remains just south of the area through Tuesday night. As previously mentioned, the upper ridge axis will pass overhead early Tuesday. A shortwave then approaches with associated surface frontal wave Tuesday night. This will bring the next shot of rain to the area with chances Tuesday evening through the first half of Wednesday. Capped at 50% PoP for now, with the most likely period being Tuesday night. There is also a slight chance of thunder. High pressure starts building in from the north and east Wednesday night.

Temperatures will be cooler on Tuesday and Wednesday than they will be today, but still at or above normal for late April/early May.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
No major changes were made to the forecast Thursday through the upcoming weekend

*Key Points*

*Dry conditions expected Thursday and Friday.

*The next frontal system may impact the area for the upcoming weekend, bringing the next chance of showers.

*Temperatures will continue running slightly above normal.

Shortwave troughing that will be moving across the region Wednesday pushes offshore on Thursday. Upper ridging will reestablish itself over the eastern states to end the week. Another upper trough then lifts north out of the intermountain west on Friday, then up into the Great Lakes over the weekend. This will send another weakening frontal system into the area Saturday into Sunday. The modeling has been slowing down the timing for the ridge axis to weaken or shift east. This has also slowed down when higher probabilities for showers exist across the region. It may take until late Saturday or Saturday night for the ridge to weaken enough to allow the front to enter the area. Showers are possible late Saturday into Saturday night. Model spread increases further for Sunday with several solutions showing ridging trying to return and the front dissipating. There are also solutions showing the ridge moving to the western Atlantic on Sunday with a larger upper trough trying to edge closer to the east coast, which would act on the front to bring higher chances of showers. Maintained the chance of showers on Sunday based on the latest NBM. Did not include thunder as there is too much uncertainty with the mesoscale environment at this time range.

Temperatures Thursday and Friday will reach the lower to middle 60s near the coast with onshore component to the wind. Further inland, highs should reach the lower to potentially middle 70s.
Highs are much more uncertain this weekend with NBM box and whisker plots showing ranges of highs from the lower 60s to the upper 70s, especially away from the immediate coast. This is likely due to the aforementioned uncertainties with cloud cover, potential showers, and proximity of the front.

AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
A back door cold front approaches this afternoon and moves through this evening.

VFR through at least 01-03z for most spots before lowering to IFR soon thereafter. A few showers are possible late this afternoon and early this evening and an isolated shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out. Have VCSH in the TAFs to reflect this potential, mainly for NYC metro and Lower Hudson Valley terminals. IFR conditions will prevail early Tuesday morning with conditions to improving to MVFR mid to late Tuesday morning.

SE-S winds this afternoon around 10kt or less. Winds then begin to back to the ESE-E this evening and then E overnight. E-ENE winds for Tuesday.

NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

A shower, possibly a thunderstorm, may occur approx 20-01z.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

Tuesday aftn: MVFR, possibly VFR at times.

Tuesday night: Lowering to IFR with showers possible.

Wednesday: IFR early, improving to MVFR with showers possible.

Thursday-Saturday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
No changes to the winds and seas at this time.

Given a weak pressure gradient over the area for several days, winds and waves will remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria through the first half of the weekend.

HYDROLOGY
There are no hydrologic concerns through the weekend.

CLIMATE
Here are the record high temperatures for Monday, April 29:

EWR: 91/1974 BDR: 86/2017 NYC: 89/1974 LGA: 88/2017* JFK: 85/2017 ISP: 85/2017

*Also occurred in previous years

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
NLHC3 20 mi47 min 70°F 53°F29.98
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 23 mi20 min E 19G21 54°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 26 mi47 min SW 1.9G2.9 64°F 52°F29.99
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 38 mi47 min 67°F 49°F29.94
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 43 mi47 min SE 8G8.9 69°F 29.92


Wind History for No Ports station near this location
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No data


Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KSNC CHESTER,CT 6 sm20 minS 0710 smOvercast75°F61°F61%29.99
KMMK MERIDEN MARKHAM MUNI,CT 20 sm42 minENE 0410 smOvercast79°F59°F51%29.97
KHFD HARTFORDBRAINARD,CT 22 sm42 minN 0610 smA Few Clouds75°F59°F57%29.98
KGON GROTONNEW LONDON,CT 23 sm39 minESE 1210 smOvercast64°F59°F83%29.99
Link to 5 minute data for KSNC


Wind History from SNC
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Tide / Current for East Haddam, Connecticut
   
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East Haddam
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Mon -- 01:01 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:02 AM EDT     3.37 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:35 AM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:57 PM EDT     2.45 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:30 PM EDT     0.93 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

East Haddam, Connecticut, Tide feet
12
am
1.3
1
am
2
2
am
2.7
3
am
3.2
4
am
3.4
5
am
3.2
6
am
2.8
7
am
2.2
8
am
1.6
9
am
1.1
10
am
0.7
11
am
0.4
12
pm
0.4
1
pm
0.8
2
pm
1.4
3
pm
2
4
pm
2.3
5
pm
2.5
6
pm
2.3
7
pm
2
8
pm
1.6
9
pm
1.3
10
pm
1.1
11
pm
1



Tide / Current for Higganum Creek, Connecticut
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Higganum Creek
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Mon -- 01:02 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:15 AM EDT     3.03 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 12:07 PM EDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:10 PM EDT     2.21 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Higganum Creek, Connecticut, Tide feet
12
am
1
1
am
1.5
2
am
2.2
3
am
2.8
4
am
3
5
am
3
6
am
2.7
7
am
2.2
8
am
1.6
9
am
1.2
10
am
0.8
11
am
0.5
12
pm
0.3
1
pm
0.5
2
pm
1.1
3
pm
1.6
4
pm
2
5
pm
2.2
6
pm
2.1
7
pm
1.9
8
pm
1.6
9
pm
1.3
10
pm
1.1
11
pm
0.9




Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Upton, NY,



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