Saturday, August24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bay Village, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 8:15PM Saturday August 24, 2019 1:39 AM EDT (05:39 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 2:30PM Illumination 38% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Expires:201908240215;;097099 Fzus51 Kcle 231943 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 343 Pm Edt Fri Aug 23 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez143>147-240215- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh- 343 Pm Edt Fri Aug 23 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from 10 pm edt this evening through Saturday morning...
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of waterspouts from late evening on. A slight chance of showers late this evening. A chance of showers after midnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers in the morning. A chance of waterspouts. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. Mostly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Monday through Wednesday. The water temperature off toledo is 76 degrees, off cleveland 77 degrees, and off erie 77 degrees.
LEZ146


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bay Village, OH
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location: 41.48, -81.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 240214
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
1014 pm edt Fri aug 23 2019

Synopsis
High pressure centered near lake superior will drift eastward across
ontario through Saturday reaching northern new england by Sunday.

A cold front will approach the region Monday night into Tuesday.

Near term through Saturday night
Forecast remains on track for tonight. Satellite imagery shows
scattered clouds near the south shore of lake erie at this time.

A more concentrated area of clouds is located across far
southwestern quebec and is expanding to the southwest. This
moisture will move across the eastern great lakes overnight,
and will combine with moisture off lake erie to see an expansion
of cloud cover with a chance of showers, mainly after midnight.

Previous discussion...

high pressure centered near lake superior will drift eastward
across ontario on Saturday reaching northern new england by
early Sunday morning. Drier air will persist over the region
into Saturday night. However an upper level trough to cross the
region overnight with cold advection in its wake. The cooler
air aloft combined with the warm waters of lake erie should at
least produce some lake enhanced cloud cover. Uncertainty at
this time is the coverage of the showers sprinkles that should
develop. Since we have a northeast flow these showers sprinkles
should be located from the NE ohio lakeshore to near cleveland
and could reach findlay. There will also be a chance of
waterspouts later tonight through mid afternoon Saturday. Highs
Saturday afternoon should range from the upper 60s to mid 70s
depending on the cloud cover.

As the high moves eastward into Saturday night winds shift to a
more easterly downsloping flow. Much of the cloud cover off the
lake should shift more into michigan. This should allow for a
cool night with lows away from the lake in the 50s.

Short term Sunday through Monday night
The short term begins Sunday with models continuing to show
high pressure extending into the area from quebec and the
maritimes. With the high to our northeast winds will transition
to a southerly return flow bringing low and mid level moisture
back to the region. Models however differ significantly on how
fast moisture makes it back with the GFS most aggressive. Will
trend forecast toward the slower nam ECMWF blend keeping Sunday
night dry. Monday will bring chance pops into the
west southwest, mainly for the afternoon as the ECMWF and nam
increase moisture ahead of an approaching upper trough. Monday
night and Tuesday looking wet as upper trough moves through and
Tuesday a cold front moves in from the west. Highs upper 70s to
near 80.

Long term Tuesday through Friday
Tuesday night a cold front will exit the area to the east. Will have
a chance of showers east. Wednesday the front should be to our east
and aside from a leftover shower east in the morning, the day should
be dry. High pressure will continue in control through Friday so
will keep forecast dry. Highs upper 70s to near 80.

Aviation 00z Saturday through Wednesday
Vfr in place to start the TAF period. LowVFR clouds will
increase off lake erie overnight with northeast flow and even a
few light showers passing in the vicinity of cle after 05z.

Clouds will shift more towards tol fdy into Saturday but will
tend to scatter out through the day as we mix into much drier
air aloft. Light north winds tonight will become northeasterly
on Saturday with locally around 10 knots or more near lake erie.

Outlook... NonVFR possible with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms on Monday afternoon and Tuesday.

Marine
High pressure over ontario will drift east across quebec to the
maritimes tonight through Sunday. Winds will increase this evening
and overnight from the north-northeast in neutral to cold advection
reaching around 15 knots with higher gusts. Current wave forecasts
suggest waves 3.5 to 4 feet through the overnight before diminishing
slowly on Saturday. Winds pick up again Saturday evening as flow
veers to easterly. Will have a small craft advisory starting this
evening ending Saturday morning however Saturday afternoon and
evening should still be quite choppy across the central basin. East
flow diminishes to around 10 knots Saturday night and Sunday. Sunday
night and Monday winds will veer to southeast between high pressure
to our east and low pressure in the central plains. Wind speeds
should reach 15 to 20 knots although with highest waves further
offshore may not need a small craft headline. Monday night winds
turn out of the south at 15 to 20 knots. Expect southwest flow 10 to
15 knots Tuesday behind a warm front and just ahead of an
approaching cold front.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... Beach hazards statement until 10 am edt Saturday for ohz007-
009>012.

Pa... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 10 am edt Saturday for lez143>147.

Synopsis... Mm
near term... Kec mm
short term... Tk
long term... Tk
aviation... Kec mm
marine... Tk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45176 10 mi40 min N 16 G 19 70°F 76°F4 ft
45169 11 mi30 min NNE 16 G 19 70°F 76°F4 ft
LORO1 14 mi70 min NNE 17 G 22 69°F
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 16 mi52 min NE 14 G 19 70°F 76°F1022.3 hPa52°F
45164 21 mi40 min 75°F3 ft
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 28 mi40 min NNE 19 G 25 68°F 1023.3 hPa (+0.9)55°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 31 mi115 min NNE 6 68°F 1022 hPa54°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 33 mi40 min NNE 19 G 23 69°F 1021.7 hPa (+1.0)
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 40 mi52 min ESE 6 G 8 68°F 76°F1022.2 hPa56°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 43 mi52 min NNE 14 G 19 68°F 76°F1022.9 hPa55°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 49 mi40 min NNE 6 G 9.9 65°F 1023.6 hPa (+1.3)

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH5 mi3.8 hrsNNE 510.00 miA Few Clouds66°F53°F63%1022.2 hPa
Cleveland, Burke Lakefront Airport, OH14 mi3.8 hrsNNE 710.00 miA Few Clouds69°F54°F59%1021.1 hPa
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH16 mi3.8 hrsN 010.00 miOvercast62°F54°F75%1022 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCLE

Wind History from CLE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------N6--N7N7NE9NE9N11N11
G17
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N10N11N8N7N5N5
1 day ago----SW5--------NW5NE10CalmNE6NE6E5NE9NE10NE9NE10NE8NE10N8NE8N7N4NE5
2 days ago----------------SW5SW6----SW9S7SW8W6W9SW11W11W11SW9SW8SW5S6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.