Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Marblehead, OH

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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH

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FXUS61 KCLE 050206 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1006 PM EDT Sat Apr 4 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak cold front over northwest Ohio will move to the east through the night, reaching central Pennsylvania by mid day Sunday. High pressure then builds in from the north and persists thorough Sunday night. A warm front will approach from the south Monday evening.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. No changes with this mid evening update. Forecast on track. Previous discussion follows.

Showers associated with a weak cold front are struggling to move eastward into NW Ohio late this afternoon. Believe this trend will continue as the drier air over the region limits the coverage of the showers. Best minimal chances will be through midnight across the western half of the region, then mainly a brief shower/sprinkle through the night elsewhere. The extra cloud cover overnight will help to keep lows around 40 near the lakeshore to the mid 40s inland.

A few showers could linger into Sunday afternoon across the southeastern third of the CWA. However confidence in this is low. High pressure ridges into the area quickly behind the weak cold front. Cloud cover will clear from north to south through the day with the most sunshine occurring closer to the lake. Cooler with the northerly winds which will keep highs below seasonal averages. Expect to see highs around 40 near the lakeshore to the mid 50s south.

High pressure should be in control of the area Sunday night with mostly clear/partly cloudy conditions anticipated. Light winds and fairly dry low levels will allow temperatures to dip into the 30s across the entire region. So expect to see frost early Monday morning.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. The short term forecast period begins on Sunday night with an upper ridge overhead and high pressure over the Great Lakes region. This will allow for dry and tranquil weather conditions for Monday with high temperatures around 60. A weakening cold front will move across the area Monday night. A weak shortwave trough is expected to move east across the upper Midwest and Great Lakes region on Tuesday and Tuesday night. This will result in low pressure moving across the upper Midwest on Tuesday and the Great Lakes region on Tuesday night. A warm front associated with this low will move north across the area, bringing day-time temperatures into the mid-upper 60s away from the lakeshore on Tuesday. Synoptic-scale forcing associated with the shortwave trough and downstream cold front will produce some thunderstorms on Tuesday and Tuesday night. Severe weather could be in play as models are suggesting MUCAPE around 1000 J/kg and 0-6 km bulk shear of 40-50 knots Tuesday evening and into the overnight hours. The chance for severe weather is fairly marginal at this point. Regardless though, it will be worth keeping an eye on this time period.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. A cold front will sweep across the area early Wednesday, bringing temperatures back down to near normal. A more prominent upper-level trough swings down from Canada on Wednesday/Thursday, producing a strong surface low pressure system. This low is expected to deepen as it moves east across Ontario, with associated precipitation and cold front moving across the area Wednesday night into early Thursday. As this large upper-level trough moves east of the area on Friday, the forecast becomes a little less clear, with smaller upper- level vorticity features keeping the chance of precipitation non- zero through Saturday. Temperatures are expected to be below normal on Friday following the cold front but should recover back to near normal on Saturday. If there is precipitation, it could be cold enough Thursday night and/or Friday night for some (dare I say it) snow to mix in.

AVIATION /00Z Sunday THROUGH Thursday/. A weak cold front will slow as it approaches the terminals tonight with low end VFR/MVFR ceilings and isolated showers or sprinkle. There may be some patchy IFR ceilings, but they should be hard to come by and only mentioned at TOL/FDY/MFD where guidance is showing slightly better probabilities. This is lower than previous forecast, but upstream ceilings are lower than guidance suggested and therefore have pulled more of that into our area. MVFR ceilings will improve to SCT VFR Saturday afternoon. Light/variable winds will shift to the northwest and north behind the front.

OUTLOOK. Non-VFR possible near a warm front Monday night into Tuesday as showers spread across the region. Cold front should bring continued non-VFR conditions to the region on Wednesday. Non-VFR possible again Thursday with another cold front.

MARINE. The marine weather forecast continues to be quiet over the next several days. A weak cold front moves east across the area this afternoon/evening with northerly winds up to 15 knots developing across the lake tomorrow morning/afternoon. High pressure builds east across the Great Lakes region Sunday through Monday resulting in winds less than 10 knots. On Tuesday, a low pressure system moves east across the Great Lakes with a warm front moving north across Lake Erie Tuesday morning (with southwesterly winds on Tuesday and Tuesday night). A cold front then moves east across Lake Erie on Wednesday. Westerly winds behind this cold front may approach 20 knots on Wednesday.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MM NEAR TERM . MM/Oudeman SHORT TERM . Saunders LONG TERM . Saunders AVIATION . Oudeman MARINE . Saunders

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH	1 mi	58 min	WNW 4.1 G 5.1	44°F	46°F		1016.8 hPa	40°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH	9 mi	70 min	N 1.9 G 2.9	47°F			1017.2 hPa (+1.7)
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH	13 mi	70 min	N 8 G 13	45°F			1014.9 hPa (+1.0)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH	15 mi	145 min	Calm	50°F			1015 hPa	43°F
CMPO1	16 mi	100 min	NE 4.1 G 4.1
LORO1	28 mi	40 min	N 11 G 15	45°F
TWCO1	31 mi	30 min	NW 9.9 G 12
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH	32 mi	70 min	NW 12 G 13	48°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH	41 mi	58 min	NW 8 G 11	49°F			1017.6 hPa	43°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH	31 mi	17 min	NNW 11	10.00 mi	Overcast	52°F	37°F	57%	1016.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLPR

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for

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Tide / Current Tables for

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (23,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH

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