Saturday, April4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Marblehead, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:06AMSunset 8:01PM Saturday April 4, 2020 11:10 PM EDT (03:10 UTC) Moonrise 2:51PMMoonset 4:28AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Expires:202004050215;;572460 Fzus51 Kcle 041946 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 346 Pm Edt Sat Apr 4 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez142>144-050215- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- 346 Pm Edt Sat Apr 4 2020
Tonight..East winds 10 knots or less becoming north. A slight chance of showers late this evening. A chance of sprinkles after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. A chance of sprinkles in the morning. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. Mostly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Northeast winds less than 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Tuesday through Thursday. The water temperature off toledo is 45 degrees, off cleveland 43 degrees, and off erie 41 degrees.
LEZ144


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Marblehead, OH
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location: 41.53, -82.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 050206 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1006 PM EDT Sat Apr 4 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak cold front over northwest Ohio will move to the east through the night, reaching central Pennsylvania by mid day Sunday. High pressure then builds in from the north and persists thorough Sunday night. A warm front will approach from the south Monday evening.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. No changes with this mid evening update. Forecast on track. Previous discussion follows.

Showers associated with a weak cold front are struggling to move eastward into NW Ohio late this afternoon. Believe this trend will continue as the drier air over the region limits the coverage of the showers. Best minimal chances will be through midnight across the western half of the region, then mainly a brief shower/sprinkle through the night elsewhere. The extra cloud cover overnight will help to keep lows around 40 near the lakeshore to the mid 40s inland.

A few showers could linger into Sunday afternoon across the southeastern third of the CWA. However confidence in this is low. High pressure ridges into the area quickly behind the weak cold front. Cloud cover will clear from north to south through the day with the most sunshine occurring closer to the lake. Cooler with the northerly winds which will keep highs below seasonal averages. Expect to see highs around 40 near the lakeshore to the mid 50s south.

High pressure should be in control of the area Sunday night with mostly clear/partly cloudy conditions anticipated. Light winds and fairly dry low levels will allow temperatures to dip into the 30s across the entire region. So expect to see frost early Monday morning.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. The short term forecast period begins on Sunday night with an upper ridge overhead and high pressure over the Great Lakes region. This will allow for dry and tranquil weather conditions for Monday with high temperatures around 60. A weakening cold front will move across the area Monday night. A weak shortwave trough is expected to move east across the upper Midwest and Great Lakes region on Tuesday and Tuesday night. This will result in low pressure moving across the upper Midwest on Tuesday and the Great Lakes region on Tuesday night. A warm front associated with this low will move north across the area, bringing day-time temperatures into the mid-upper 60s away from the lakeshore on Tuesday. Synoptic-scale forcing associated with the shortwave trough and downstream cold front will produce some thunderstorms on Tuesday and Tuesday night. Severe weather could be in play as models are suggesting MUCAPE around 1000 J/kg and 0-6 km bulk shear of 40-50 knots Tuesday evening and into the overnight hours. The chance for severe weather is fairly marginal at this point. Regardless though, it will be worth keeping an eye on this time period.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. A cold front will sweep across the area early Wednesday, bringing temperatures back down to near normal. A more prominent upper-level trough swings down from Canada on Wednesday/Thursday, producing a strong surface low pressure system. This low is expected to deepen as it moves east across Ontario, with associated precipitation and cold front moving across the area Wednesday night into early Thursday. As this large upper-level trough moves east of the area on Friday, the forecast becomes a little less clear, with smaller upper- level vorticity features keeping the chance of precipitation non- zero through Saturday. Temperatures are expected to be below normal on Friday following the cold front but should recover back to near normal on Saturday. If there is precipitation, it could be cold enough Thursday night and/or Friday night for some (dare I say it) snow to mix in.

AVIATION /00Z Sunday THROUGH Thursday/. A weak cold front will slow as it approaches the terminals tonight with low end VFR/MVFR ceilings and isolated showers or sprinkle. There may be some patchy IFR ceilings, but they should be hard to come by and only mentioned at TOL/FDY/MFD where guidance is showing slightly better probabilities. This is lower than previous forecast, but upstream ceilings are lower than guidance suggested and therefore have pulled more of that into our area. MVFR ceilings will improve to SCT VFR Saturday afternoon. Light/variable winds will shift to the northwest and north behind the front.

OUTLOOK. Non-VFR possible near a warm front Monday night into Tuesday as showers spread across the region. Cold front should bring continued non-VFR conditions to the region on Wednesday. Non-VFR possible again Thursday with another cold front.

MARINE. The marine weather forecast continues to be quiet over the next several days. A weak cold front moves east across the area this afternoon/evening with northerly winds up to 15 knots developing across the lake tomorrow morning/afternoon. High pressure builds east across the Great Lakes region Sunday through Monday resulting in winds less than 10 knots. On Tuesday, a low pressure system moves east across the Great Lakes with a warm front moving north across Lake Erie Tuesday morning (with southwesterly winds on Tuesday and Tuesday night). A cold front then moves east across Lake Erie on Wednesday. Westerly winds behind this cold front may approach 20 knots on Wednesday.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MM NEAR TERM . MM/Oudeman SHORT TERM . Saunders LONG TERM . Saunders AVIATION . Oudeman MARINE . Saunders


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 1 mi58 min WNW 4.1 G 5.1 44°F 46°F1016.8 hPa40°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 9 mi70 min N 1.9 G 2.9 47°F 1017.2 hPa (+1.7)
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 13 mi70 min N 8 G 13 45°F 1014.9 hPa (+1.0)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 15 mi145 min Calm 50°F 1015 hPa43°F
CMPO1 16 mi100 min NE 4.1 G 4.1
LORO1 28 mi40 min N 11 G 15 45°F
TWCO1 31 mi30 min NW 9.9 G 12
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 32 mi70 min NW 12 G 13 48°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 41 mi58 min NW 8 G 11 49°F 1017.6 hPa43°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH31 mi17 minNNW 1110.00 miOvercast52°F37°F57%1016.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLPR

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW3CalmCalmCalmW4CalmCalmCalmS4S3S33CalmW43N6NE6N3NE6NE6NE3E5CalmN11
1 day agoW3W4NW3NE4NW3CalmW5W4NW4N6N11N8N7N11N8N8N10N7N8N7NE10E6CalmCalm
2 days agoW4W5W3W5NW6N6NW6CalmW5NW8NW10N8N11N14
G19
N14N12N10N9--NW8----NW3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.