Tuesday, January26, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bratenahl, OH

Version 3.4
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1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:41AMSunset 5:36PM Tuesday January 26, 2021 10:57 PM EST (03:57 UTC) Moonrise 3:24PMMoonset 6:16AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Expires:202101262115;;530215 Fzus51 Kcle 261802 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 102 Pm Est Tue Jan 26 2021 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez145>147-262115- Vermilion To Avon Point Oh-avon Point To Willowick Oh- Willowick To Geneva-on-the Lake Oh- 102 Pm Est Tue Jan 26 2021
This afternoon..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of rain and snow showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north. A chance of snow and rain showers in the evening, then a slight chance of snow showers overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest. A chance of snow showers overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Thursday through Saturday. The water temperature off toledo is 33 degrees, off cleveland 35 degrees, and off erie 34 degrees.
LEZ146


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bratenahl, OH
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location: 41.56, -81.61     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 270248 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 948 PM EST Tue Jan 26 2021

SYNOPSIS. A trough will linger across the area through Wednesday afternoon. A high pressure ridge will build east across the Great Lakes on Thursday and persist through Saturday morning. Another low pressure system will move northeast towards the Ohio Valley by the end of the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. Made some minor adjustments to pops through the overnight to match up with current conditions. Low level dry air seems to be winning at the moment, so have backed off pops slightly over the next few hours. A moisture plume from Lake Huron should swing southeast into north central Ohio over the next few hours, which may be the focus for most of the snow potential outside of NW PA through the overnight. The rest of the forecast looks on track.

Original discussion . Quite the dreary day across the region this afternoon with rain and drizzle seen across the eastern half and snow appearing across the western half of the area. Low clouds will persist throughout the near term period, though some breaks in the low-level cloud cover are possible across NW OH tomorrow and tomorrow night.

Otherwise, any remaining drizzle and/or rain this evening should turn over to all snow as an area of increased mid-level moisture associated with the departing low moves east across northern OH combined with moderate cold air advection aloft. Could see some lake enhancement of snow showers across portions of NE OH and NW PA this evening and overnight given the moisture depth, though lift within the DGZ is very marginal. Could see around an inch of snow across inland NW PA tonight through tomorrow morning. Otherwise, expecting less than an inch of snow elsewhere.

A trough will linger across the area on Wednesday, with heights not varying much across the area. Therefore, with the drier mid-level air approaching the area, could see a brief window of dry conditions across the entire region late Wednesday morning and afternoon. By Wednesday evening, colder northwest flow arrives across the lake, though moisture depth remains marginal with equilibrium heights around 4 to 5,000 feet. However, could see some scattered, light lake effect snow showers beginning late Wednesday evening across the primary and secondary snowbelts. Snow accumulation should be an inch or less.

The best chance for any accumulating snow across the snowbelt appears to be Wednesday night into Thursday morning and the associated near term period (see below discussion) as 850 mb temps drop to around -15 degrees Celsius with uniform northwest flow across the lake. Though equilibrium heights will remain rather marginal at first (5,000 feet), low-level lapse rates and lift within the DGZ begins to rise, so this will be a period to monitor. Nonetheless, any snow bands that do develop look to be fairly disorganized given the lack of moisture depth and dependence upon an upstream connection to Lake Huron.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. A strong cold front will move through the eastern Great Lakes region on Thursday and bring a strong push of colder air into the region for Thursday and Friday. With colder air over the region, along with residual low level moisture and generally ice-free Lake Erie, lake effect snow showers are expected through the short term forecast period. The best push of snow should be on Thursday night just behind the front with -17 to -20 C 850 mb temperatures and inversion heights rising to about 7000 ft. Tough to say how much accumulation is expected through the period as moisture seems to be present but very shallow and any meaningful accumulations may be dependent on help from a Lake Huron connection. For now, will have a forecast with 1 to 3 inches in the snow belt with further refinement down the road and in all likelihood that upper bound going up. Temperatures through the period will be below normal in the 20s for highs and teens for lows.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. The 850 mb ridge enters the region by Saturday morning and should be the cut off for any lake effect snow across the snow belt. Saturday will continue to be the quiet day of the forecast period with an upper ridge in place and winds becoming more easterly across the area. An upper trough will enter the central United States by Saturday night and support surface low pressure through the Ohio Valley on Sunday. This low appears to linger into Monday as another trough digs in from the northwest and will attempt to develop a cut- off low overhead. Through Sunday and Monday, keeping mid-chance PoPs across the forecast area, but timing is getting better with the extended guidance in a Sunday/Monday focused event. The most notable change with this forecast is that this system is colder than in past runs and have more snow than previous forecasts, although the southern portion of the forecast area is much less certain on precipitation type at this time. Eventually, the low will spin east of the area by Tuesday, allowing for drier conditions to return. Temperatures will slowly increase on Saturday and Sunday ahead of the low with highs in the 30s by Sunday and remaining near normal in the 20s-30s through the rest of the period.

AVIATION /00Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/. Widespread MVFR to IFR conditions will persist through the first half of the period as low pressure moves northeast away from the area. Some light SN possible at terminals downwind of Lake Erie through the first half of the period. IFR conditions will persist the longest downwind of Lake Erie past 12Z. Some improvement to MVFR expected towards the end of the period. West to northwest winds will become more northerly by the end of the period.

Outlook . Non-VFR to continue across NE OH/NW PA Wednesday night through Thursday morning. Non- VFR possible in NE OH/NW PA in lake effect snow Thursday through Friday.

MARINE. Low pressure over the eastern basin of Lake Erie this afternoon will depart to the northeast this evening. Winds will shift around to the northwest behind this low and winds may briefly approach 20 knots over the eastern portion of the lake this evening but will withhold a new Small Craft Advisory at this time. A residual trough will linger over the lake on Wednesday and north to northwest flow will continue tomorrow. A cold front will cross the lake on Thursday and winds will increase out of the northwest on Wednesday night into Thursday with this feature. A small craft advisory may be needed with building waves with the onshore flow. Winds back more to the northwest by Thursday evening and decrease slightly as high pressure builds into the region. This surface high becomes centered over Lake Erie on Friday and flow will become light and variable by Friday evening. As the surface high shifts east for Saturday, easterly flow will overtake the lake and persist through Sunday as low pressure enters from the southwest late in the period.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . Kahn NEAR TERM . Greenawalt/Kahn SHORT TERM . Sefcovic LONG TERM . Sefcovic AVIATION . Greenawalt MARINE . Sefcovic


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 2 mi477 min W 15 G 17 35°F 37°F1006 hPa (+1.9)31°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 22 mi477 min WSW 24 G 27 35°F 33°F1004.4 hPa (+1.4)35°F
LORO1 31 mi507 min W 17 G 20 34°F
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 39 mi507 min W 16 G 20
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 49 mi492 min WSW 4.1 34°F 1006 hPa

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland, Burke Lakefront Airport, OH5 mi64 minNW 179.00 miLight Snow33°F27°F78%1014.7 hPa
Cleveland / Cuyahoga, OH7 mi72 minNW 1020.00 miOvercast30°F27°F86%1013.5 hPa
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH16 mi66 minNNW 119.00 miLight Snow31°F28°F89%1016.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBKL

Wind History from BKL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--NE5NE6NE7NE8E9E9SE5E3SE3NE4NE6NE4W5SW12SW13W13W16W13W14W15W12NW17NW17
1 day agoS5SW3SW5SW3CalmSW3W4W4CalmCalmCalmSE4N3N7N8N6NE8NE9NE11NE9NE8NE9NE9NE7
2 days agoSE5SE6SE7SE7SE9SE9SE8SE8SE7SE6SE10SE12SE9
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Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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