Sunday, August18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bratenahl, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 8:23PM Sunday August 18, 2019 5:42 PM EDT (21:42 UTC) Moonrise 9:14PMMoonset 8:23AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Expires:201908181415;;817052 Fzus51 Kcle 180758 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 358 Am Edt Sun Aug 18 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez144>147-181415- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh- 358 Am Edt Sun Aug 18 2019
Today..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. Partly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday night..North winds less than 10 knots becoming east. Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Tuesday through Thursday. The water temperature off toledo is 76 degrees, off cleveland 76 degrees, and off erie 76 degrees.
LEZ146


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bratenahl, OH
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location: 41.56, -81.61     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 182042
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
442 pm edt Sun aug 18 2019

Synopsis
A stationary front will remain west to east across the region
over the next several days. A series of weak troughs will move
along the front bringing on and off chances for storms through
the middle of this week. The front will move southeast through
the area Wednesday night. A cooler and drier weather pattern
will follow for the end of the week as high pressure builds
across the region.

Near term through Monday night
Convection beginning to impact the area this afternoon, a few
hours ahead of schedule as noted in the previous discussion. The
environment remains a bit marginal, with the better storms west
near a corridor of good mid level lapse rates and effective bulk
shear values of 30-35 kts. More storms continue to fire off an
outflow boundary across northeast ohio. Shear will be increasing
a bit into this evening, although it remains to be seen if this
convection will work over the moderate instability across the
area this afternoon. Even more uncertainty lies with upstream
convection potentially developing and moving into the area after
00z, as the bulk of the hi-res guidance suggests. Have hedged
with lingering chance pops through the evening into the
overnight. Any precip will quickly diminish after midnight.

The synoptic cold front will settle south into the area on
Monday. Depending on the amount of destabilization south of the
boundary, more showers and a few storms may develop as the day
progresses. Right now, have slight chance pops moving to chance
pops during the afternoon across portions of the area. The front
will remain anchored across the northern part of the area
Monday night, with pops generally diminishing through the night
with the loss of daytime heating.

Short term Tuesday through Wednesday night
The synoptic boundary will linger over the northern part of the
area Tuesday into Wednesday. This may promote diurnally induced
convection Tuesday and again Wednesday, with better, more
organized convection limited to any upstream MCS activity that
may sneak into the area. Have held with chance pops for now. A
stronger shortwave will move through the area Wednesday into
Wednesday night, which will push the front south through the
area, bringing a demise to local precipitation chances Wednesday
night. Above normal temps and humid conditions will persist
until the front moves through.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
A quiet, cooler pattern emerges by Thursday as high pressure
drifts east across the great lakes region. Seasonably cooler
temperatures in the mid to upper 70s Thursday and Friday will
recover into the low mid 80s by the end of the weekend. Dry
conditions will prevail until at least Sunday, as some moisture
return into the area may bring scattered shower thunderstorm
activity on Sunday.

Aviation 18z Sunday through Friday
Low confidence TAF with respect to tsra potential this evening.

Aside from tsra near ktol at the onset of the period, best
chances for tsra will be between 00z and 05z from west to east
across the area this evening. Given low confidence in model
solutions, have only mentioned tsra in prob30 tempo until
development becomes clearer. Outside of tsra, mainlyVFR
conditions expected, although some lowering ceilings to MVFR
possible at the end of the period as a cold front sinks south
into the area. Some gusts to 20 kts are possible this afternoon
out of the southwest. Winds will remain south to southwest,
becoming more west northwest as the cold front moves through at
the end of the period.

Outlook... Intervals of non-vfr possible primarily with
thunderstorms possible Monday and again on Wednesday.

Marine
A relatively quiet period on the lake this week, as a frontal
boundary will meander near the lake through Wednesday. This will
keep winds variable over the lake through Wednesday until a cold
front pushes south of the lake. This will bring northerly winds
to the lake until the end of the week as high pressure drifts
across the region. Winds will swing around to the south as the
high pushes into new england this weekend.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Greenawalt
near term... Greenawalt
short term... Greenawalt
long term... Greenawalt
aviation... Greenawalt
marine... Greenawalt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 2 mi54 min NE 8.9 G 11
45176 8 mi32 min E 5.8 G 7.8 76°F 78°F1 ft
45169 12 mi32 min ESE 1.9 G 5.8 77°F 77°F1 ft
45164 13 mi42 min 76°F2 ft
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 22 mi54 min 79°F 78°F1012.7 hPa72°F
LORO1 31 mi72 min N 6 G 12 77°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 43 mi32 min W 1.9 G 3.9 75°F 1012.1 hPa70°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 49 mi57 min NE 2.9 81°F 1013 hPa71°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland, Burke Lakefront Airport, OH5 mi1.8 hrsWNW 36 G 453.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity Light Rain and Windy79°F68°F69%1012.2 hPa
Cleveland / Cuyahoga, OH7 mi2 hrsWSW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy88°F71°F59%1013.5 hPa
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH16 mi1.9 hrsSW 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy91°F70°F50%1013 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBKL

Wind History from BKL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmS6S5S5S7S6S6S9S10S6S9S6SE6S8S8S9S8W15
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1 day agoNW5N3NE4E3CalmSE6S8S7S10S10SE10S12S10S10S10SW9SW12W7W10W8W7S4
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2 days agoNE9N9NE7NE8E5CalmNE4E4CalmSE3SE4SW6S6S6SW7SW12SW11W11W13W12W9W13W9NW5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.