Tuesday, August4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Rocky Ridge, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:30AMSunset 8:49PM Tuesday August 4, 2020 10:55 AM EDT (14:55 UTC) Moonrise 8:49PMMoonset 6:13AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ163 Expires:202008042015;;922327 Fzus61 Kcle 041357 Glfle Open Lake Forecast For Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 957 Am Edt Tue Aug 4 2020 For Waters Beyond Five Nautical Miles Of Shore On Lake Erie Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum.
Synopsis.. A trough averaging 29.90 inches will linger across the lake through tonight. High pressure 30.10 inches will build east across the lake Wednesday and become nearly stationary through Friday. The high will begin to slowly shift east Saturday. Lez162>164-042015- lake erie open waters from maumee bay to reno beach oh- lake erie open waters from reno beach to the islands oh- lake erie open waters from the islands to vermilion oh- 957 am edt Tue aug 4 2020
This afternoon..North winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A chance of waterspouts. A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers late. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Tonight..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. A chance of waterspouts early. A chance of showers early. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance of waterspouts in the morning. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..West winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Waves 1 foot or less.
LEZ163


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rocky Ridge, OH
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location: 41.71, -83.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 041046 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 646 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will drift eastward across the region through sunrise reaching the Ohio/Pennsylvania border shortly after sunrise. A reinforcing surge of cooler air will cross the region during the evening. In its wake high pressure will take control and persist into at least Thursday night.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Cold front was located from near Marion to Vermilion then northeast across the central portion of the lake as of 1030Z. The front should be near the OH/PA border by mid morning. Expect to see showers and isolated thunderstorms along this boundary.

The better chances of showers and thunderstorms should be mid afternoon into the evening as a secondary surge of cooler air moves southward across the region. It looks like it will be cold enough aloft to assist with the development of some small hail in the convection during the afternoon/evening, especially across the eastern half of the CWA. Highs this afternoon should be in the 70's.

Convection should move east with the surface trough during the late evening. We will then see what can generate off of Lake Erie as the cooler air associated with the upper level trough moves overhead. Current thinking is we will see some lake effect showers/thunderstorms from the central lakeshore region eastward to NW PA. High pressure building into the NW OH should keep this area dry. It will be cooler tonight with lows mostly in the 50's inland and near 60 along the lakeshore.

A few showers will linger off of Lake Erie from the central lakeshore region into NW PA through at least early afternoon. However the coverage should decrease through the morning. High pressure should take control of the entire region by late afternoon with dry conditions expected. Highs should be in the lower to mid 70's.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. Broad upper level trough will remain over the local area and the eastern United States during this forecast period. The trough will amplify slightly by Friday night. The trough will become centered over the eastern Great Lakes by Friday and shift east of the area Friday night. Surface high pressure will dominate the Great Lakes region through the period as it remains nearly stationary through Friday night. Fair weather should be the rule during the period but on the relatively cool side in the temperature department. Cold air advection will take place in the presence of the high pressure but trend toward slight warming by the end of the period as the center of the high pressure moves just east of the area. Lows will be in the lower to middle 50s Wednesday night, middle to upper 50s Thursday night and Friday night.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Digging upper level trough over the eastern United States will shift east off the eastern seaboard Saturday and Saturday night with weak upper level ridging taking place Saturday night into Sunday. Upper level ridging will persist over the Rocky Mountains through the period and send pieces of ridging east toward the region during the period. The weak ridges will be interspersed with fast moving shortwave troughs and associated upper level positive vorticity maximums. Persistent high pressure at the surface will remain nearly stationary over the eastern Great Lakes Saturday and Saturday night. The high will eventually begin to shift east Sunday into Monday off the East Coast. This will allow a warm front to lift northeast across the area Sunday night followed by an approaching cold front Monday night. The front appears to stall over the area Tuesday. As time goes on, increasing instability and moisture will take place with the passage of the warm front. This will bring increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms across the area. Temperatures will be in the middle to upper 80s most areas Saturday through Monday. Exception will be northwest Pennsylvania where highs will be in the lower 80s. Lows through the period will be in the upper 50s east to middle 60s west Saturday night, lower 60s east to upper 60s west Sunday night, and middle to upper 60s Monday night.

AVIATION /12Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/. MVFR conditions arrive in the wake of the front and in fog ahead of the front. Showers and thunderstorms will move across the region along the frontal boundary and again with a reinforcing surge of cooler air this evening. Cool air aloft may cause some small hail with the afternoon/evening convection. MVFR conditions will occur with the showers/thunderstorms. Showers and thunderstorms will move east during the evening but could linger near the lakeshore into tonight.

Light southerly winds ahead of a cold front this morning will become northerly in the wake of the front.

Outlook . Non-VFR in areas of fog Wednesday morning.

MARINE. Waterspouts will be a threat again for today through Wednesday morning in any showers and thunderstorms that affect Lake Erie. Otherwise, winds will be northwest 10 to 15 knots today increasing to 10 to 20 knots tonight. There will be a brief window tonight of waves in the central basin of Lake Erie around 4 feet and small craft advisory conditions. Will hold off on the advisory for the moment but may need to hoist it later today. Diminishing winds can be expected for Wedneday and Wednesday night from the west. Otherwise, as surface high pressure becomes the dominating feature through Saturday, winds will be light and variable.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MM NEAR TERM . MM SHORT TERM . Lombardy LONG TERM . Lombardy AVIATION . MM MARINE . Lombardy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 10 mi115 min NNW 15 G 18 66°F
45165 10 mi115 min NW 12 G 18 67°F 76°F2 ft61°F
TWCO1 10 mi35 min NNW 15 G 19 67°F 76°F62°F
CMPO1 12 mi85 min N 17 G 19 69°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 21 mi61 min NNW 5.1 G 9.9 67°F 1013.1 hPa58°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 22 mi61 min NNW 13 G 16 69°F 76°F1011.9 hPa63°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 35 mi55 min NNE 15 G 17 70°F 1011.9 hPa (+0.4)
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 36 mi35 min NNW 12 G 14 67°F 68°F1012.7 hPa63°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 38 mi70 min N 4.1 70°F 1013 hPa65°F

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Monroe, Custer Airport, MI24 mi60 minN 7 G 1410.00 miOvercast67°F64°F93%1013.9 hPa
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH24 mi62 minN 810.00 miOvercast68°F59°F73%1013.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTDZ

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW7SW7W8SW9W9W6W8SW75SW6S5SW5SW4CalmCalmNE6N6N6N6N5N10N9N6N8
1 day agoW11W13W10W14W11W12W8W8W7W5CalmS5SE4SE3CalmS7S3S4CalmS5S5SW3S7SW8
2 days agoCalmNE4SE5E5E7NE34NE8NE5NE6NE4NE4N4N3CalmN5NW4W3SW4SW5SW10SW8SW8W11

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.