Friday, March5, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Rocky Ridge, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:59AMSunset 6:30PM Friday March 5, 2021 9:19 PM EST (02:19 UTC) Moonrise 1:07AMMoonset 10:49AM Illumination 51% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ163 Expires:202103060315;;523374 Fzus61 Kcle 052041 Glfle Open Lake Forecast For Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 341 Pm Est Fri Mar 5 2021 For Waters Beyond Five Nautical Miles Of Shore On Lake Erie Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum.
Synopsis.. A trough averaging 29.90 inches remains over the eastern great lakes through Saturday night as high pressure of 30.50 inches approaches slowly from the northwest. This high becomes centered over the eastern great lakes on Sunday before moving toward bermuda through Wednesday. Behind the high, an associated ridge averaging 30.40 inches lingers over lake erie. Lez162>164-060315- detroit river lt. To maumee bay oh to reno beach oh beyond 5nm offshoreline to us-canadian border- reno beach to the islands oh beyond 5nm off shoreline to us- canadian border- the islands to vermilion oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border- 341 pm est Fri mar 5 2021
Tonight..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
LEZ163


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rocky Ridge, OH
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location: 41.71, -83.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 060008 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 708 PM EST Fri Mar 5 2021

. 00z TAF Aviation and Near Term Forecast Update .

SYNOPSIS. A trough will remain in place across the eastern half of the area through Saturday night as high pressure builds in from the northwest. The high will become centered over the area on Sunday before beginning to drift eastward on Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. 645 pm update . No impactful changes needed to the ongoing forecast for tonight. We updated some hourly cloud and temperature forecasts to match better with the latest trends.

Previous discussion . A trough will remain in place across the eastern half of the region through Saturday night, with multiple impulses pivoting across NE OH/NW PA during this timeframe. This combined with cold northwesterly flow off of Upper Great Lakes will promote additional chances lake effect flurries across NW PA and far NE OH through this evening. Expect snow chances to gradually increase across NW PA tonight as synoptic lift increases and low level moisture deepens. The best chance of snow will be with the best instability, lift, and low-level moisture Saturday morning and afternoon. An inch or two of snow accumulation is expected across NW PA. High pressure will continue to build into the western half of the area tonight through Saturday, which will foster dry weather and mostly clear skies. The aforementioned trough will finally begin to exit the area to the east Saturday night and high pressure will continue to build eastward, which will allow the dry air to filter into the snowbelt and PoPs to decrease Saturday night. There may be enough lift/instability over the lake for light lake effect snow showers or flurries to persist across NE OH/NW PA through the overnight hours, but little or no additional snow accumulation is expected.

Overnight lows will fall into the lower 20s tonight and Saturday's highs will be in the mid to upper 20s to lower 30s across the snowbelt and the mid to upper 30s to near 40 degrees west of the snowbelt on Saturday. Lows will fall into the lower 20s and teens Saturday night.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. High pressure at the surface and aloft builds eastward on Sunday as a mid- to upper-level trough and embedded shortwave disturbances depart our CWA generally to the east and southeast. Lingering and light lake effect snow showers streaming southeastward across the snowbelt and vicinity should dissipate by early afternoon as weak lake-induced CAPE wanes via low-level dry air advection and a lowering subsidence inversion. Little or no snow accumulation is expected and fair weather is likely outside the LES showers. High temperatures should range from near 30 degrees in northwest PA to near 40 degrees in our I-75 corridor counties as an unusually-cold air mass exits slowly to the east and southeast.

High pressure at the surface and aloft persists over our CWA Sunday night through Monday night. Simultaneously, the embedded surface high migrates from the eastern Great Lakes to Atlantic waters between NC and Bermuda. This will allow southerly surface winds to develop Sunday night and become southwesterly Monday into Monday night. These surface winds will be associated with low-level WAA. Lows should range from the mid teens in interior northwest PA to the upper 20's along the I-75 corridor. Monday's highs should range from near 50 degrees in northwest PA to the upper 50's along the I-75 corridor. Milder overnight lows in the mid 30's to lower 40's are expected Monday night.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Fair weather should persist through midday Wednesday as high pressure at the surface and aloft shifts eastward and a shortwave trough digs southeastward from BC toward the Canadian Prairies and the northern Great Plains. Persistent low-level WAA contributes to unusually-warm temperatures. Highs are forecast to reach the mid 50's to lower 60's Tuesday afternoon. Tuesday night should have lows in the upper 30's to upper 40's.

Isentropic lift aloft associated with an unusually-moist low-level return flow from the Gulf of Mexico should allow periods of soaking rain to affect our CWA Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday night as the aforementioned shortwave trough advances toward the western Great Lakes and the accompanying surface cold front sweeps southeast to near southeastern Lower MI and the Mid MS Valley by daybreak Thursday. Wednesday through the end of the forecast period will have to be monitored for potential hydrologic concerns. Low-level WAA contributes to balmy temperatures with daytime highs reaching the upper 50's to lower 60's on Wednesday. Wednesday night's lows should reach the mid 40's to lower 50's. Greater discrepancies in model guidance result in lower forecast confidence Thursday through Friday. In general, westerly mid- to upper-level flow and embedded shortwave troughs should affect our region. The surface cold front may sweep southeast through our CWA Thursday and then settle near the OH Valley Thursday night into Friday. Simultaneously, a surface low potentially moves northeastward along the front from the TX Panhandle toward the Upper OH Valley. Additional periods of rain are expected Thursday through Friday due to the aforementioned frontal passage and continued isentropic lift. Thursday's highs should reach the mid 50's to lower 60's prior to the cold frontal passage, while lows should reach the 40's Thursday night. Friday's highs may reach the 50's.

AVIATION /00Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/. Generally VFR conditions are expected with mostly clear skies for most of our TAF sites and area airports. The only exception will be ERI with lake effect clouds developing and bring down ceilings to MVFR. ERI will also have the potential for scattered lake effect light snow showers possible late tonight through Saturday morning. Visibilities may drop down to around 5 sm with the passing snow showers and ceilings around 2500 to 3000 feet. The rest of the area will continue to see fair skies with no aviation concerns for the next 24 to 30 hours. Winds will continue to be from the northwest around 5 to 10 knots. There may be an uptick in winds later Saturday morning through the afternoon around 10 to 12 knots. Have included some gusts up to 20 knots for CAK, YNG, and ERI as well late Saturday morning through the afternoon.

Outlook . Non-VFR conditions possible with snow showers in NW PA through Saturday evening. Non-VFR possible with rain on Wednesday.

MARINE. Northwest winds of 10 to 20 knots continue across Lake Erie through Saturday as surface high pressure builds very slowly southeastward into the Great Lakes region. This high becomes centered over Lake Erie on Sunday, when light and variable winds are expected. As the high moves toward NC and then Bermuda by midweek, southerly to southwesterly winds develop over Lake Erie and persist through the rest of the forecast period. These winds may reach 20 knots by Wednesday. Waves should trend no larger than about 3 to 4 feet.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . Maines NEAR TERM . Maines SHORT TERM . Griffin/Jaszka LONG TERM . Jaszka AVIATION . Griffin MARINE . Jaszka


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CMPO1 12 mi110 min NW 6 G 7 36°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 21 mi50 min NW 6 G 8.9 37°F 1021.5 hPa16°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 22 mi50 min W 8.9 G 9.9 34°F 34°F1020.6 hPa26°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 35 mi20 min W 6 G 7 34°F 1020 hPa (+0.0)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 38 mi95 min Calm 30°F 1022 hPa20°F

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Monroe, Custer Airport, MI24 mi25 minNW 810.00 miFair34°F14°F44%1022.3 hPa
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH24 mi27 minWNW 610.00 miFair29°F18°F63%1023.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTDZ

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmW4W5W5NW6NW6N8NW6NW7W7NW9NW9NW10NW13
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1 day agoNW9NW9NW9NW8N4N8N4NW6NW6NW9N7N12N6
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N7NE8
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N10NW8N7NE5N3E3
2 days agoS9SW7SW7SW9SW9SW9SW10SW8SW9SW7SW10SW8SW11W13
G21
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G20
SW13W12W9
G18
W10W12NW13NW11N10NW9

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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