Sunrise 5:48 AM   Sunset 7:42 PM Moonrise 11:02 PM   Moonset 6:59 AM

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LMZ046 Expires:202404261415;;391008 Fzus53 Kiwx 260735 Nshiwx
nearshore marine forecast national weather service northern indiana 335 am edt Fri apr 26 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore on lake michigan
lmz043-046-261415- new buffalo mi to st joseph mi-michigan city in to new buffalo mi- 335 am edt Fri apr 26 2024
Today - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers late. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Tonight - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to 20 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Saturday - South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. Gusts up to 25 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet. Saturday night - Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature at st. Joseph is 49 degrees and at michigan city is 50 degrees.

LMZ005
No data

FXUS63 KIWX 260956 AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 556 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Much warmer temperatures this weekend with highs around 80.

- Periodic chances for rain and a few storms, particularly tonight and Monday.

- The risk of severe weather is low at this time.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 300 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Dramatic warmup to summerlike conditions this period as heights build across the ern US downstream of deep wrn troughing. Lead arc of storms through ern KS/far wrn MO will fester newd into wrn zones by late aftn yet expected to decay with ewd extent as they outrun favorable low level moisture axis displaced west of here. That calculus changes tonight as flow veers swrly and ramps to 50kts at H85 as more substantial theta-e ridge overspreads the area.
Most cams develop at least sct storms which may linger into Sat morning before dissipating as LLJ weakens. Rest of the weekend looks mainly dry outside some low end potential for storms within low level confluence zone nw half late Sat aftn-early evening, commensurate with general decent instability axis that most models develop and basis for the DY2 marginal severe risk.

Thereafter deep swrn US parent low lifts bodily out through the upper midwest Mon and orphans its sfc frontal zone ahead of next sys progressing quickly ewd into the nrn Rockies. This sys will spread frontal based rains to the area later Tue followed by yet another more vigorous/developed sys through the upper midwest late Thu.
Temps generally well above normal but do look to cool down again by DY8 (FRI).

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 553 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Minimal changes were needed to the TAFs from the previous cycle. VFR conditions will dominate through 21Z thanks to high pressure. Between 21Z and 00Z tonight, ceilings quickly drop to MVFR as clouds move in ahead of our next weather system. A warm front will begin to surge north through Indiana late in afternoon, as showers start to take shape near after 00Z Saturday especially at KSBN. Rain is mostly likely late Friday into early Saturday morning, although showers (and a few embedded storms too) will remain widely scattered. Any showers that develop before 00Z Saturday are unlikely to reach the surface. In addition, winds will become increasing gusty during the afternoon/evening today, with gusts up to 20-25 knots possible in the 00-12Z Saturday timeframe. Just beyond this TAF period, another bout of gusty winds will ensue Saturday afternoon with gusts up to 30 kts.

IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IN...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for INZ005>009-017- 018-025>027-116-216.
OH...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for OHZ001-002-004- 005-015-016-024-025.
MI...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for MIZ078>081.
MARINE...None.

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