Sunday, December15, 2019
Privacy Policy
L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Stony Point, MI

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:52AMSunset 5:04PM Sunday December 15, 2019 2:12 AM EST (07:12 UTC) Moonrise 8:44PMMoonset 10:56AM Illumination 87% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LEZ162 Lake Erie Open Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- 945 Pm Est Sat Dec 14 2019
Overnight..West winds 15 to 25 knots. A slight chance of drizzle. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
Sunday..West winds 15 to 25 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday night..West winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. A chance of snow in the morning, then a chance of rain and snow in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north. Snow and rain likely in the evening, then snow likely overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Wednesday..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 2 feet.
Thursday..Southwest winds around 10 knots becoming south. Waves 2 feet or less.
LEZ162 Expires:201912150915;;799739 FZUS61 KCLE 150245 GLFLE Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland OH 945 PM EST Sat Dec 14 2019 For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. .SYNOPSIS... Low pressure 29.00 inches near Montreal moves to northeastern Quebec by early Sunday afternoon and deepens to 28.60 inches. Simultaneously, this low will extend a trough over the Lake Erie region. High pressure 30.20 inches will shift east across the Lower Great Lakes later on Sunday. Low pressure will track northeastward from the mid-Mississippi Valley Monday morning to the Canadian Maritimes by Wednesday and deepen to 29.20 inches. Simultaneously, this low will extend a trough over Lake Erie. High pressure 30.30 inches will spread over the lake by Thursday. LEZ162>164-150915-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stony Point, MI
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 41.8, -83.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KCLE 150531 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1231 AM EST Sun Dec 15 2019

. 06z Aviation Forecast Update .

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure currently over southern New York will continue to move north tonight and deepen rapidly with a secondary cold front moving southeast across the area early tonight. High pressure will build southeast across the Midwest and Ohio Valley on Sunday night. Another low pressure system will move northeast across the Ohio Valley late Monday and Monday night and off the New England coast by Tuesday. A ridge of high pressure will build east across the eastern CONUS Wednesday through Friday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. Update . Have made significant changes to the evening and overnight forecast. Forecast soundings show a loss of ice in the clouds overnight with only supercooled liquid clouds remaining across the region. Overnight forcing is weak which would favor a larger chance that any precip through the late evening and overnight would be drizzle vs snow. As temps drop this would become freezing drizzle. Have already seen pilot reports of icing and and few obs of light rain. Will continue with current advisory headlines across northwest PA and reword text to include more zl and less snow. Will also keep the warning. Although overnight snow will be limited, there is still a window Sunday morning to redevelop snow off the lake with dendrites again favored as colder air deepens. At this time, elsewhere will wait for development and not issue any additional advisories.

Original . A negatively tilted trough will continue to lift north along the northeast CONUS. This trough is responsible for forcing a deep low, currently located over southern New York. This low is expected to continue almost due north (with a slight east component) while undergoing significant cyclogenesis. This has resulted in widespread precipitation, with a rain/snow mix currently across northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania. Inland areas of northwest Pennsylvania and parts of inland northeast Ohio have completely transitioned to all snow where surface temperatures are a bit cooler. Precipitation associated with this low pressure will end from west to east early this evening into tonight. Beyond this, lake effect snow will develop tonight as northwest flow aloft continues and temperatures at 850 mb decreases to a minimum of 12 deg Celsius by 15 UTC Sunday. In addition lake effect, brief redevelopment of scattered snow showers may occur across northern Ohio tonight, adding to snow totals. Through 18 UTC Sunday, snow totals across the Ohio lake effect snow belt are expected to be 1 to 4 inches, with highest amounts in hills. Snow totals in northwest Pennsylvania are expected to be 5 to 9 inches with a very sharp gradient along the lakeshore. Gusty winds of 30 to 40 mph may introduce blowing snow and reduced visibility, especially closer to the lakeshore. Because of snow totals, a Winter Storm Warning has been issued for inland Erie County and a Winter Weather Advisory for lakeshore Erie and Crawford Counties, both of which are valid through 18 UTC Sunday.

Light lake effect snow showers may continue into the afternoon but should be over by early Sunday night. High temperatures are expected to be on the cool side, staying right around freezing. Are next system comes in the form of low pressure developing over the lower Mississippi Valley Sunday night. Precipitation associated with this system will approach from the south late Sunday night, likely staying as all snow through Sunday night. There some uncertainty with the onset of snow on Sunday night and the model trend right now is for most of the precipitation to stay to our south. For that reason have stuck with a max 50 PoP through 12 UTC Monday.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. Southwesterly flow aloft persists Monday morning through daybreak Tuesday as a trough aloft approaches from the west. Simultaneously, a surface low should track from near AR to near south-central PA, allowing our CWA to remain within the surface low's cold sector. Periods of widespread precipitation associated with warm air advection and isentropic lift are expected on Monday and Monday night. Temperatures at the surface and aloft will be critical in determining precip type(s) at the surface. In general, a rain/snow mix on Monday should change to all snow Monday night. However, periods of sleet and/or freezing rain may also occur and this potential will be watched closely. High temperatures should reach the low to mid 30's on Monday, while low temperatures should reach the mid 20's to lower 30's Monday night.

On Tuesday and Tuesday night, the surface low should continue moving northeastward from near south-central PA to near the Canadian Maritimes, allowing cold air advection to overtake our CWA. Simultaneously, the trough aloft should settle eastward over our CWA and merge with a potent mid- to upper-level low settling southeastward over northern ON. Widespread wraparound snow should end from west to east on Wednesday and transition to multiple bands of lake effect snow across the snowbelt Tuesday night as a westerly flow of progressively colder air crosses Lake Erie. High temperatures in the low to mid 30's on Tuesday should be followed by lows reaching the upper teens or lower 20's Tuesday night.

On Wednesday, northwesterly flow aloft is expected as the mid- to upper-low moves from near Georgian Bay to northern New England and high pressure at the surface and aloft builds from the west. Lake effect snow should continue in the snowbelt as the low-level flow veers from westerly to northwesterly and becomes even colder. Fair weather is expected outside the lake snow. Wednesday will likely be the coldest day of the week, with highs only reaching the 20's.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. High pressure aloft builds eastward over our CWA Wednesday night through Thursday night, causing northwesterly flow aloft to eventually become westerly. Simultaneously, surface high pressure crests over our region. Lingering lake effect snow in the snowbelt should end by daybreak Thursday as the stabilizing high pressure ridge allows lake-induced CAPE to diminish. Otherwise, fair weather is expected across our CWA. Low temperatures in the teens to lower 20's are expected overnight Wednesday night. On Thursday, afternoon highs should reach the upper 20's to mid 30's. Lows should reach the 20's Thursday night.

At this point, odds favor fair weather Friday through Saturday as high pressure ridging at the surface and especially aloft should remain in control over northern OH and northwest PA. Temperatures should moderate during this period, including high temperatures reaching the 30's to lower 40's.

AVIATION /06Z Sunday THROUGH Thursday/. Widespread MVFR and IFR is expected through the rest of the night into Sunday. MVFR is expected for the western TAF locations and IFR is expected for the I-71 corridor eastward into northeastern Ohio and NW Pennsylvania. Low ceilings between 700 feet to 1500 feet is expected along with areas of drizzle/light snow with visibilities dropping between 2sm and 5sm at most locations across the northeastern Ohio. A band of lake effect snow may develop late morning into the afternoon and impact ERI later today. MVFR ceilings are expected through the afternoon with ceiling lifting to around 5K feet by this evening.

OUTLOOK. Non-VFR possible Monday and Tuesday with periods of rain and/or snow. Freezing rain may also be possible on Monday. Non-VFR possible with lake effect snow on Tuesday and Wednesday.

MARINE. Small Craft Advisories are in effect for Lake Erie today into Sunday. Westerly winds as strong as 20 to 25 knots are expected through tonight, resulting in waves as large as 4 to 8 feet, especially east of The Islands. Westerly to southwesterly winds will diminish gradually on Sunday and waves will lower gradually as a northeastward-moving low pressure system pulls away from Lake Erie and high pressure builds from the west. Quieter conditions should affect the lake on Monday, while Small Craft Conditions may return Tuesday into Wednesday as low pressure moves northeastward from the Ohio Valley to Canadian Maritimes Tuesday and then extends a trough over the lake into Wednesday.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for PAZ001-003. Winter Storm Warning until 1 PM EST this afternoon for PAZ002. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for LEZ147>149. Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for LEZ143- 144. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for LEZ145- 146.

SYNOPSIS . Saunders NEAR TERM . Griffin/TK SHORT TERM . Jaszka LONG TERM . Jaszka AVIATION . Griffin MARINE . Jaszka


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 6 mi73 min WSW 24 G 27 34°F
TWCO1 12 mi43 min WNW 27 G 32
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 17 mi73 min W 24 G 25 35°F 1007 hPa (+1.9)
CMPO1 18 mi103 min W 11 G 15 33°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 22 mi61 min W 16 G 25 32°F 1007.8 hPa25°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 26 mi61 min W 14 G 18 34°F 37°F1006.8 hPa29°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 40 mi73 min W 15 G 22 34°F 1005.1 hPa (+1.7)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 42 mi88 min W 6 35°F 1006 hPa31°F
CLSM4 - St. Clair Shores, MI 48 mi73 min WNW 13 G 20 33°F 1005.8 hPa (+1.4)

Wind History for Toledo, OH
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
Last
24hr
--
N2
NE1
S2
W1
NW4
NW3
NW4
NW6
G9
NW4
W5
NW6
NW8
G12
NW10
G16
W8
W7
G11
W6
G11
W10
G14
W7
G12
W5
G9
NW8
G13
NW10
G15
W10
G14
W17
1 day
ago
S9
G13
S8
G11
S5
G9
S6
S7
G10
S7
G10
S7
G10
S6
G11
S8
G12
S6
G9
SW6
SW6
G9
SW4
G7
S4
SE5
SE5
S4
S3
S4
S2
SE1
--
--
--
2 days
ago
SE4
S6
S6
G9
SE6
S9
S9
G12
S11
S10
G13
S10
G14
S10
G17
S11
G15
S11
G14
S8
G11
S11
G18
S11
G14
S12
G16
S10
G13
S10
G14
S10
G13
S8
G11
S7
G12

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Detroit/Grosse Ile, Grosse Ile Airport, MI21 mi18 minWNW 9 G 207.00 miOvercast32°F25°F78%1007.1 hPa
Monroe, Custer Airport, MI21 mi18 minW 12 G 197.00 miOvercast31°F26°F82%1007.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KONZ

Wind History from ONZ (wind in knots)
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3NW6N4N4NW7NW6NW8NW8NW7W9W8
G14
NW8W8W6NW9NW8W10W11
G20
1 day agoSW6SW6S7S8S8S9S8S9S8S9S6S5S5S6S5CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmE3E3SE5S12S11S14S11S13S11
G14
S10
G14
S13
G17
S9
G14
S11S13
G16
S11S11S11S11S13S13S8

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (2,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Cookie Policy:
This webiste uses cookies to save your settings. No personal information is saved. You can disable cookies in your browser if you like but it is not recommended for this site. I do not sell cookies. Go to a bakery for that. In fact I do not sell anything. To disable cookies from L-36.com, please refer to the Help button in your browser.
Privacy Policy:
I do not sell or share any user data or anything else for that matter. I do not keep site logs longer than I need to to keep bad actors off the site. Basically, I delete them after looking at them. If you are subject to CCPA, Google ads on this site will not be based on your past behavior so you will likely not see an ad for a lawn mower just because you looked for one at a big box website. I do not believe this site is subject to CCPA but I am doing what I can to follow the guidelines anyway.
Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.