Sunday, September19, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Stony Point, MI

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 7:37PM Sunday September 19, 2021 9:25 AM EDT (13:25 UTC) Moonrise 6:27PMMoonset 4:31AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ162 Detroit River Lt. To Maumee Bay Oh To Reno Beach Oh Beyond 5nm Offshoreline To Us-canadian Border- Reno Beach To The Islands Oh Beyond 5nm Off Shoreline To Us- Canadian Border- The Islands To Vermilion Oh Beyond 5 Nm Off Shoreline To Us- Canadian Border- 343 Am Edt Sun Sep 19 2021
Today..East winds 5 to 15 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. Showers during the day, then showers with a chance of Thunderstorms Tuesday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely during the day, then a chance of showers Wednesday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ162 Expires:202109191415;;841394 FZUS61 KCLE 190743 GLFLE Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland OH 343 AM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021 For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. .SYNOPSIS... High pressure 30.20 inches will build east across the region through Sunday before a warm front lifts northeast across the lake early Tuesday morning. Low pressure will develop along the cold front over the Ohio Valley and move north to eastern Lake Erie by Thursday deepening to 29.70 inches. LEZ162>164-191415-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stony Point, MI
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location: 41.8, -83.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 191035 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 635 AM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

. 12z TAF Aviation and Near Term Forecast Update .

SYNOPSIS. High pressure over the region today will move east on Monday. A warm front will lift northeastward across the area Monday night into early Tuesday. A strong cold front brings a significantly cooler airmass over the region Tuesday night into Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/. 630 am update . There were no forecast changes made to the ongoing forecast for today. The weather is quiet and it will be another very nice, warm day.

Previous discussion . The weather is very quiet this morning due to high pressure building southward from southern Ontario this morning. The only interesting weather topic to mention is a strong inversion causing a super-refraction on the KCLE radar beam this morning. Look for a science related social media post regarding something interesting being detected on the KCLE radar early this morning.

Otherwise, mostly clear skies with some patches of clouds scattered across the region along with some light fog in lower valleys. We will continue to see warmer than average temperatures again today with highs back in the lower to middle 80s away from the immediately lakeshore. A light lake breeze may develop closer to the lakeshore and keep temperatures below 80 along the lakeshore area.

Southerly winds return on Monday on the backside of an exiting high pressure system and the next weather system developing across the Upper Midwest. A weak mid level wave will move across the Midwest and into the Great Lakes region on Monday. We will see high and mid level clouds increase from the west on Monday. There may be a few showers by late Monday afternoon across western Ohio but moisture will be limited. Afternoon temperatures will once again be in the lower to middle 80s Monday.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. An upper level high pressure center will move off the East Coast Monday night allowing a digging upper level trough to descend deep into the Mississippi Valley region by Tuesday night. This overall upper level flow pattern will begin to allow moisture flux from the Gulf of Mexico and southeast Atlantic Coast into the forecast area. A very wet pattern is shaping up for this forecast period. As the surface high pressure slips off the East Coast, a return south to southwest flow will develop across the area producing warm air advection into the area. Low pressure in association with the upper level positive vorticity maximum will lift northeast through the western Great Lakes region Monday night. The surface low will force a cold front east toward the local area Tuesday and then stall over the local area Tuesday night as another wave of low pressure lifts north across the area. Deep upper level low will move northeast over the area Wednesday night helping to enhance rainfall across the western portions of the forecast area Wednesday into Wednesday night. This band of heavy rain will transition east after this forecast period. Copious amounts of moisture could result in a considerable amount of rainfall along the frontal boundary and in the vicinity of the wave of low pressure system. Obviously, we will have to monitor this situation for the possibility for flooding during this period and into the early part of the next period. As the surface low moves north of the area, cold front will begin to advance east allowing cold air advection to take place. Noticeably cooler temperatures will be noted Wednesday into Wednesday night.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Deep upper level low pressure will become parked over the forecast area through a good portion of this period and then eventually begin to lift out to the north-northeast Friday. Cold air advection in the wake of the cold front will keep temperature on the cool side during this period. A reinforcing cold front will move east across the area Friday night into Saturday with definitely the coldest air of the season. Moisture associated with the front will move into the region and bring with it another chance for showers to the area for the weekend. Otherwise, ahead of the cold front, a return back to fair weather will take place as high pressure builds east across the Ohio Valley region. As the high moves east, a brief period of warm air advection will take place ahead of the cold front but not expecting much in the way a rapid warmup. Seasonably cool temperatures expected through the period.

AVIATION /12Z Sunday THROUGH Thursday/. VFR conditions will continue for this TAF period. High pressure over the region will keep the fair weather conditions. Skies will be mostly clear today but high level cloudiness will increase late tonight into early Monday morning. Winds will generally be easterly 5 to 10 knots today with a gradual shift from southeasterly later tonight.

Outlook . Non-VFR possible in isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms Monday through Wednesday.

MARINE. Generally light flow on the lake through Tuesday and then a cold front and wave of low pressure move through the area Tuesday night into Wednesday night. This will shift the winds around to a northwest direction after the frontal passage. However, not expecting any major headline issuances through this forecast period. Potential for waterspouts possible after the cold frontal passage as lake induced CAPE develops in the cold air advection.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . Griffin NEAR TERM . Griffin SHORT TERM . Lombardy LONG TERM . Lombardy AVIATION . Griffin MARINE . Lombardy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 6 mi26 min NE 8.9 G 9.9 70°F
45165 12 mi26 min E 7.8 G 9.7 73°F 73°F1 ft
TWCO1 12 mi26 min E 8.9 G 13 73°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 17 mi26 min ESE 8.9 G 9.9 71°F 1022.2 hPa (+0.5)
CMPO1 18 mi116 min S 2.9 G 4.1 67°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 22 mi56 min NW 1.9 G 2.9 63°F 1021.6 hPa58°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 26 mi56 min SE 1.9 G 6 71°F 74°F1021.3 hPa58°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 37 mi36 min ESE 7.8 G 9.7 71°F 73°F2 ft1022.3 hPa62°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 40 mi86 min ESE 2.9 G 4.1 67°F 1021.3 hPa
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 42 mi101 min Calm 1022 hPa
45147 - Lake St Clair 48 mi26 min ENE 7.8 G 9.7 63°F 70°F1 ft1022.9 hPa (+0.5)
CLSM4 - St. Clair Shores, MI 48 mi26 min NE 5.1 G 7 64°F 1024 hPa (+0.3)

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Detroit/Grosse Ile, Grosse Ile Airport, MI21 mi31 minENE 610.00 miMostly Cloudy64°F57°F79%1023 hPa
Monroe, Custer Airport, MI21 mi31 minNW 410.00 miFair61°F56°F85%1022.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KONZ

Wind History from ONZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN7NE10
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NE7NE10NE5NE6NE7NE8NE9NE10NE8NE10
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NE8NE9NE7NE6NE6NE6E6NE4CalmNE4NE5E6
1 day agoS5S3S4S6S8S8SE7SE8SE5SE5CalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4NE11
G17
NE8N6N7N7
2 days agoNE3S5S6S9
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S10S9S6SE7SE4SE4CalmE3CalmE3CalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4S5S6

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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