Wednesday, December11, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Sagamore, MA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 4:12PM Wednesday December 11, 2019 1:52 PM EST (18:52 UTC) Moonrise 5:01PMMoonset 7:10AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ231 Cape Cod Bay- 117 Pm Est Wed Dec 11 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from 7 pm est this evening through Thursday morning...
This afternoon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of rain with a slight chance of snow.
Tonight..W winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Thu night..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less.
Fri..SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..S winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Showers likely.
Sun and Sun night..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 117 Pm Est Wed Dec 11 2019
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. A secondary cold front will cross the waters this evening. This will be followed by large high pres building over the waters on Thu. The high will move off the coast on Fri as low pres approaches from the southwest Fri night and moves across the waters on Sat. High pres builds over the waters by Monday. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sagamore, MA
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location: 41.83, -70.55     debug


Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 111744 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 1244 PM EST Wed Dec 11 2019

SYNOPSIS.

Precipitation tapering off and skies clearing from west to east as high pressure nudges in from the southwest. Temperatures will keep dropping throughout the day due to cold air advection. A reinforcing cold front will slide in tonight bringing dry, gusty and even colder weather tonight. Large high pressure will bring cold and dry conditions Thursday and Friday. Developing low pressure across the southeast U.S. will shift up the coast with the potential for periods of heavy rain Friday night into Saturday, possibly beginning as a period of light snow across interior Massachusetts. Drier and cooler weather returns Sunday into Monday. Another storm may impact the region Monday night into Tuesday with snow or rain.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. 10 AM Update .

Snow tapering off across eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. Precipitation may linger into the early afternoon across the Cape and Islands.

Skies becoming sunny as high pressure builds in from the southwest. Expect much colder temperatures in comparison to the last two days as colder air filters in from the west. High temperatures have already been met and readings will continue to fall as the day progresses. Westerly winds will pick up and become gusty this evening due to a reinforcing cold front moving in.

Previous discussion .

We have received numerous reports of 3 to 4 inches of snow early this morning across portions of CT and into the Worcester Hills. May see some localized 5" amounts, but the back edge of the snow is near Bradley to Fitchburg. So while the bulk of the accumulating snow will be ending across the interior shortly, several more hours of snow will occur across RI into eastern MA so roads will be deteriorating in this region. Lingering rain across the Cape/Islands will be changing to snow over the next few hours.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY/. This afternoon .

Any remaining snow should exit the Cape/Nantucket by early afternoon. Otherwise, skies become partly to mostly sunny with afternoon temperatures mainly in the lower to middle 30s. We can not rule out a brief flurry or two toward evening in the Berks with a reinforcing cold front.

Tonight .

Reinforcing cold front crosses the region this evening. While this front comes through day other than perhaps a brief flurry in Berks, it will become quite cold. Low temps will bottom out mainly in the upper teens and lower 20s by daybreak. Wind chills will be in the high single digits to lower teens.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Highlights .

* Dry and cold conditions Thursday

* Southern stream system works up the coast Friday through Saturday, bringing milder temperatures and the potential for heavy rain & localized flooding especially late Friday night and Saturday. Melting snow may increase flood risks. * Leftover rain/snow showers linger into early Sunday. Drying out and seasonably cold on Monday before next system arrives on Tuesday. Details .

Thursday .

Will see dry conditions as high pressure moves east out of NY/PA during the day. NW winds will gust up to 20-25 early, which will combine with the cold early morning temps to produce wind chills in the single digits to the mid teens early. However, as the high approaches and pressure gradient relaxes, winds will diminish through the rest of the day. Still noting a rather deep cold layer aloft, so it will be a chilly day. Temperatures will only reach the mid to upper 20s well inland to the mid 30s along the S coast.

The center of the cold high will shift across the region Thu evening, then push toward Maine and the Maritimes around or after midnight which will allow light/variable winds to shift to S-SE. Clouds will start to increase N of the Mass Pike after midnight. It will remain cold as temps bottom out in the teens to near 20, except up to the mid 20s to near 30 along the immediate coast.

Friday through Saturday night .

***Heavy Rain and Flood Potential***

Low pressure will push out of the Gulf of Mexico early Friday, moving NE across the east coastal states before pushing across the region during this timeframe. This will bring a slug of tropical moisture up the coast, with PWATs up to 2-3 SD above normal by 12Z Saturday. Medium range models all in good agreement in bringing milder temperatures on S-SW winds as well as the increasing moisture.

Will see precip to start during the morning with most areas receiving all rain. May see some colder air trapped in the colder inland valleys, so may see a mix of rain/snow or all snow to start. With the SW winds, though, milder air will work northward and scour out by midday or early afternoon.

00Z models all signaling the heaviest rain to occur from late Friday night through Saturday, with upwards to 1 to 1.6 inches. As the low moves across coastal areas early Saturday, some colder air may wrap back in across N central/NW Mass, so could still see some mixed rain/snow then.

Main concern will be the heavy rainfall especially across central and southern areas along with any additional influx of runoff from the melting snow from this event. Could see some rising river levels as well as localized urban and poor drainage flooding on roadways.

Expect highs on Saturday will range from the mid to upper 40s across N central and western areas to the mid-upper 50s along the coast.

Saturday night through Tuesday .

Scattered showers will linger early Sat night across the region then, as temps start to fall across the higher terrain, may see a mix of rain and snow before the precip ends Sunday morning.

As the low deepens across the Maritimes Sunday, expect strong W-NW winds especially across E MA and along the coast. Gusts up to 20-25 kt forecast across the higher inland terrain, but could be up to 30-40 kt along the immediate coast and especially across Cape Cod and the islands Sunday and Sunday night. If this trend continues, may need wind headlines along the coast as well as across the coastal waters.

Will see another surge of cold air moving in late Sunday night and Monday with continued gusty winds through midday along with temperatures running around 5 degrees or so below normal.

Yet another southern stream low may approach the region Monday night and Tuesday with another shot of deep moisture moving across. At this point, could see another round of snow that could mix with or change to rain, but some question whether the colder air may hang in longer across the interior. Low forecast confidence continues with this event.

AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Forecaster Confidence Levels .

Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Tonight/ .

Through 00Z . High confidence. VFR conditions at all terminals except for the Cape and Islands where snow is still tapering off. This activity should come to an end in the next hour or two per radar trends. These areas will see IFR/MVFR conditions become VFR as skies clear. There is some fair weather cumulus developing across central and eastern MA. This should diminish once the sun sets, but ceilings will be around 3-4 kft. This could result in brief periods of MVFR.

Tonight . High confidence. VFR with W to WNW wind gusts of 20 to 30 knots.

KBOS Terminal . High confidence. Could see occasional gusts to 30 knots between 02Z to 10Z.

KBDL Terminal . High confidence.

Outlook /Thursday through Sunday/ .

Thursday: VFR. Breezy.

Thursday Night: VFR.

Friday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Breezy. Slight chance RA, patchy BR.

Friday Night: Mainly IFR, with areas MVFR possible. Windy with areas of gusts up to 30 kt. RA, patchy BR.

Saturday: Mainly IFR, with areas MVFR possible. Windy with gusts up to 35 kt. RA, patchy BR.

Saturday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Breezy. Chance SHRA.

Sunday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Windy with gusts up to 35 kt. Slight chance SHRA.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tonight/ .

Today . High confidence. NW wind gusts of 10 to 20 kts over the open waters mid this morning diminishing into this afternoon. Wind gusts picking up late this afternoon into the evening as colder air moves in from the west. Rain and snow will result in reduced visibilities for mariners into the early afternoon across our east and southeast waters. Seas will remain rough.

Tonight . High confidence. A reinforcing cold front will result in strong mixing over the relatively mild ocean. Westerly wind gusts of 30 to gale force gusts of 35 knots will develop over the open waters. The timing of the Gales and SCA still look good.

Outlook /Thursday through Sunday/ .

Thursday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with local gusts up to 30 kt. Local rough seas.

Thursday Night: Winds less than 25 kt.

Friday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft. Slight chance of rain.

Friday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of rough seas. Rain likely. Local visibility 1 to 3 nm.

Saturday: Low risk for gale force winds with gusts up to 35 kt. Rough seas up to 11 ft. Rain, patchy fog. Local visibility 1 to 3 nm.

Saturday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Rough seas up to 12 ft. Chance of rain showers.

Sunday: Moderate risk for gale force winds with gusts up to 40 kt. Rough seas up to 12 ft. Slight chance of rain showers.

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. MA . None. RI . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Thursday for ANZ231>234. Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 4 AM EST Thursday for ANZ230-236. Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EST Thursday for ANZ235-237- 255-256. Gale Warning from 11 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Thursday for ANZ250-251-254.

SYNOPSIS . Frank/BL/EVT NEAR TERM . BL SHORT TERM . Frank LONG TERM . EVT AVIATION . BL MARINE . Frank/BL/EVT


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44090 12 mi53 min 46°F3 ft
WAXM3 - Waquoit Bay Reserve, MA 17 mi68 min W 2.9 1023 hPa
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 22 mi53 min 30°F 43°F1023 hPa (-1.8)
44020 - NANTUCKET SOUND 27 mi33 min 7.8 G 9.7 43°F1022.7 hPa
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 34 mi53 min 30°F 43°F1023.2 hPa (-2.4)
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 34 mi53 min WNW 6 G 7 35°F 1023.1 hPa (-2.2)
44018 - SE Cape Cod 30NM East of Nantucket, MA 34 mi63 min NW 12 G 16 31°F 3 ft1022.5 hPa (-1.0)30°F
FRXM3 35 mi53 min 30°F 29°F
44013 - BOSTON 16 NM East of Boston, MA 36 mi63 min WNW 9.7 G 12 33°F 47°F2 ft1022 hPa (-1.7)26°F
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA 39 mi53 min NNW 9.9 G 11 30°F 1023.4 hPa (-1.9)
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 43 mi53 min NW 6 G 7 32°F 44°F1022.8 hPa (-2.2)
PRUR1 43 mi53 min 30°F 30°F
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 44 mi68 min NNW 2.9 32°F 1023 hPa30°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 44 mi53 min NNW 2.9 G 8.9 30°F 1023.6 hPa (-2.4)
PVDR1 44 mi53 min WNW 6 G 8.9 33°F 1023.1 hPa (-2.4)23°F
BHBM3 - 8443970 - Boston, MA 45 mi53 min 35°F 41°F1021.2 hPa (-2.2)
NTKM3 - 8449130 - Nantucket Island, MA 45 mi53 min NW 4.1 G 8.9 32°F 45°F1023 hPa (-1.2)
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 45 mi53 min N 8 G 9.9 33°F 40°F1022.9 hPa (-2.4)
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 47 mi53 min NNW 5.1 G 7 30°F 42°F1022.8 hPa (-2.4)
44029 - Buoy A0102 - Mass. Bay/Stellwagen 48 mi109 min NNW 9.7 G 14 30°F 46°F1021.1 hPa
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 48 mi53 min NNW 4.1 G 6 30°F 44°F1023.1 hPa (-2.5)

Wind History for Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Plymouth, Plymouth Municipal Airport, MA11 mi61 minNNW 64.00 miFog/Mist30°F27°F88%1022.9 hPa
Otis Air National Guard Base, MA12 mi68 minNW 67.00 miA Few Clouds28°F28°F100%1022.7 hPa
Hyannis, Barnstable Municipal-Boardman Airport, MA18 mi1.9 hrsWNW 61.50 miLight Snow Fog/Mist32°F28°F88%1023.1 hPa
Marshfield Airport, MA20 mi58 minVar 610.00 miMostly Cloudy34°F28°F81%1022.7 hPa
Provincetown Municipal Airport, MA22 mi57 minW 910.00 miLight Rain33°F32°F96%1022.8 hPa
New Bedford, New Bedford Regional Airport, MA24 mi60 minN 410.00 miMostly Cloudy32°F27°F82%1022.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPYM

Wind History from PYM (wind in knots)
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1 day ago--------------SW11
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2 days agoSW10S7SW95S5S4SW6S4S4SW8S8SW11
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Tide / Current Tables for Cape Cod Canal, Sagamore, Massachusetts
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Cape Cod Canal
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:58 AM EST     0.64 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:10 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 06:59 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:04 AM EST     8.62 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:00 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:11 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 04:32 PM EST     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:38 PM EST     7.68 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.94.32.61.20.61.32.84.66.488.68.26.95.13.21.3-0-0.112.64.56.37.57.6

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Cod Canal, Massachusetts Current
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Cape Cod Canal
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:23 AM EST     0.13 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:23 AM EST     4.10 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:10 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 06:59 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:42 AM EST     -0.19 knots Slack
Wed -- 11:38 AM EST     -4.53 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 02:46 PM EST     0.20 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:01 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:11 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:50 PM EST     4.30 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 09:15 PM EST     -0.03 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-4.1-3.4-1.92.33.64.143.52.5-1.7-3.5-4.4-4.5-3.9-2.71.53.34.14.343.21.6-2.7-4

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Boston, MA (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.