Monday, June14, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Staatsburg, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:18AMSunset 8:34PM Monday June 14, 2021 11:07 PM EDT (03:07 UTC) Moonrise 8:52AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 25% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 902 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021
Tonight..SE winds around 10 kt, becoming S late this evening and overnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Isolated tstms early this evening. Showers likely. Chance of tstms after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Tue night..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..NW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SW winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..SW winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 1 ft. Chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 902 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A frontal system will slowly move across through Tuesday afternoon. High pressure will then gradually build from the north and west for mid week, and move offshore on Friday. A cold front will move through Saturday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Staatsburg, NY
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location: 41.83, -73.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 150145 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 945 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

SYNOPSIS. Showers and thunderstorms will gradually diminish tonight with some patchy fog possible. Below normal temperatures will continue on Tuesday and Wednesday. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected on Tuesday, but sunshine and drier weather will return for Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/.

UPDATE. As of 940 pm. Showers and thunderstorms have mostly weakened and moved east of the area. Exceptions include northwest Saratoga and Warren counties as well as portions of Rensalear county, where showers with isolated thunder are lingering through mid- evening. These showers will move east- northeast and dissipate over the next few hours. A few isolated showers are also evident across central New York west of Syracuse. These showers will tend to dissipate as they move east overnight, resulting in nothing more than an isolated shower west of the Hudson Valley after midnight. Dryer air is gradually working eastward from central NY with clearing working east into the Mohawk Valley, Catskills and mid-Hudson Valley. This trend will continue overnight with most areas seeing some clearing overnight. However, light winds and clearing will lead to some low cloud and fog formation toward daybreak. Overnight temperatures will settle into the 50s overnight.

As of 630 PM EDT . A broken line of showers and thunderstorms are located mainly along Hudson River locations and are starting to weaken as they enter a stable air mass. This activity will continue to push eastward and gradually dissipate this evening. In its wake, there is only isolated to scattered shower activity across the western Mohawk Valley and Adirondacks and this too is expected to decrease in coverage over the next few hours per latest CAMS.

The remainder of the night will feature a partly to mostly cloudy sky with only isolated chances at best for additional showers. Light winds and the moist ground will likely result in some areas of fog. Low temperatures will be mainly in the 50s to near 60, except some upper 40s across the Adirondacks.

Previous Discussion: As of 400 pm, convection has fired over the Mohawk Valley where clouds cleared out earlier along a low level convergence boundary. Temps there warmed into the mid- 70s which, combined with a pocket of midlevel lapse rates around 7 K/km, contributed to a local maximum of MLCAPE of 1000 J/kg. Midlevel forcing for ascent is increasing here as a shortwave trough approaches.

Going forward this evening, showers and storms should become more widespread from west to east from the midafternoon into the evening ahead of the shortwave trough. Areas along/east of I-87 will likely remain too stable to support vigorous surface based convection. West of I-87, still a marginal risk for a strong/borderline severe wind gust/large hail. Intense leading storm already dropped golfball size hail over southern Herkimer County. Will continue to monitor potential for locally heavy rainfall leading to flooding over areas that have received repeated rounds of thunderstorms.

Tonight, coverage of showers/thunderstorms will decrease from west to east 00-03Z. Patchy fog will become possible due to moist ground and calm/light southerly winds. Lows will be mainly in the 50s to low 60s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. Tuesday, anomalously deep 500 mb low (-1 to -2 stdev) will drift over the forecast area. Diurnal heating beneath cool temperatures aloft should generate scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms from late morning into the afternoon. SBCAPE is forecast to stay in the 250-750 J/kg range with deep layer shear less than 25 kt where CAPE is on the upper end of the range. So severe weather is not expected, but some small hail cannot be ruled out in stronger updrafts. Highs should be warmer than Monday in most areas given potential for at least partial sunshine, but still below normal in the mid-60s to mid-70s.

Drier airmass will begin to filter in Tuesday night, and a reinforcing midlevel wave will keep troughing around into Wednesday. The result will be a seasonably cool but dry period with mainly clear skies. Lows are expected to be in the mid-40s to mid-50s Tuesday night, with highs in the mid-60s to mid-70s Wednesday. A ridge of high pressure will build in from the west Wednesday night, which should result in good radiational cooling conditions despite the short night. Lows mainly in the 40s expected, around 5-10F below normal most places.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. High pressure will continue to build into the region through Friday as upper-level ridging also develops. Mainly dry weather is expected through Friday as a result. Highs on Thursday will range from the upper 60s in the higher terrain to the upper 70s in the valleys. Friday will be a bit warmer with highs ranging from the lower 70s to lower 80s.

The next upper-level trough will push across the region late Friday through Saturday night with clouds and rounds of showers and thunderstorms. This system will depart the area on Sunday, though a few showers may linger across far northern areas. Uncertainty in the model guidance begins early next week and may be based on the evolution of a possible tropical feature across the Gulf of Mexico/Southern US.

High temperatures Saturday through Monday will range from the mid- to upper 60s in the Adirondacks to the lower to perhaps mid-80s in the mid-Hudson Valley. Low temperatures Thursday night through Sunday night will generally be in the 40s and 50s, except 50s and 60s Friday night.

AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Showers will be ending across the TAF sites this evening, followed by some clearing. With light winds and some clearing we are expecting areas of fog and lower clouds to develop late tonight through early Tuesday morning, followed by partly cloudy conditions by Tuesday afternoon. Scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms will develop once again Tuesday afternoon. Cigs and vsbys will be MVFR as showers end this evening, improving to VFR by late evening, then lowering to areas of MVFR cigs and vsbys in patches of fog and low clouds late tonight. Conditions will improve to VFR once again by Tuesday afternoon.

Winds will be light and variable tonight, the mostly westerly at 5 to 10 kts on Tuesday.

Outlook .

Tuesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Scattered SHRA. Wednesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA. Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact Chance of SHRA. TSRA.

FIRE WEATHER. Below normal temperatures will continue for Tuesday and Wednesday. Tuesday, a disturbance will generate scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms from the late morning into the afternoon. Minimum RH values are expected to only reach the 50 to 70 percent range with moderate westerly winds. Much drier air will arrive on Wednesday with minimum RH values in the 30 to 40 percent range with sunny skies and moderate NW winds promoting good drying conditions.

HYDROLOGY. Multiple rounds of precipitation for areas along and north of I-90 has resulted in a general 0.50 to 1.00 inches of rainfall, although locally up to 2.00 inches has occurred in small swaths. Potential for additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms through this evening will bring the potential for localized flooding over areas that are susceptible given earlier rainfall. Otherwise, widespread hydro issues are not anticipated.

Scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected Tuesday, but amounts are expected to be hydrologically insignificant. Dry weather is expected for the remainder of the week.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . Thompson/Rathbun NEAR TERM . MSE/Thompson/Rathbun SHORT TERM . Thompson LONG TERM . Rathbun AVIATION . MSE/Evbuoma FIRE WEATHER . KL/Thompson HYDROLOGY . Thompson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPXN6 1 mi37 min NE 1.9 63°F 1010 hPa62°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 13 mi37 min Calm 64°F 1008 hPa62°F
TKPN6 13 mi49 min Calm G 4.1 65°F 75°F1008.8 hPa61°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 60 mi49 min Calm G 1.9 66°F 65°F1009 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 63 mi52 min NNE 1.9 G 3.9 67°F 63°F

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY13 mi74 minN 010.00 miFair63°F61°F93%1008 hPa
Newburgh / Stewart, NY24 mi82 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy63°F63°F100%1008.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPOU

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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1 day agoE3CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmE43SW7SW5W4W5W6W4W7SW7SW7S5S44S3S54
2 days agoSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3E3CalmCalmCalmSE5CalmCalmNW3S3CalmNE3S3S5S4CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Hyde Park, Hudson River, New York
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Hyde Park
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Mon -- 03:53 AM EDT     3.51 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:52 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:12 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:14 PM EDT     2.85 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:32 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:54 PM EDT     0.63 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.22.233.43.53.43.12.51.60.90.50.30.411.82.42.72.82.82.41.81.10.70.6

Tide / Current Tables for Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York
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Kingston Point
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Mon -- 04:13 AM EDT     4.07 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:51 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:34 AM EDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:34 PM EDT     3.30 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:32 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:16 PM EDT     0.76 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.12.13.23.84.143.73.12.21.40.70.40.40.91.82.633.33.332.41.610.8

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