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Marine Weather and Tides Pawtucket, RI Version 3.4

NOTICE 1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17. 1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

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Sunrise 6:06AM

Sunset 5:45PM

Monday March 8, 2021 11:07 AM EST (16:07 UTC)

Moonrise 4:35AM

Moonset 1:39PM

Illumination 25%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pawtucket, RI

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Area Discussion for - Boston, MA

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FXUS61 KBOX 081503 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 1003 AM EST Mon Mar 8 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure moves over the region today bringing dry weather. A warm front then sweeps east from the Great Lakes tonight bringing clouds. A second high pressure area approaches from the Great Lakes Tuesday, bringing clearing and warmer temperatures that will linger into Thursday. The greatest risk of precipitation is on Friday with a cold front, which will return temperatures to more seasonable levels towards next weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. 1000 am update .

hardly a cloud in the sky across the region, with the exception of the outer Cape which is getting clipped by some ocean effect clouds offshore. forecast is still on track, just minor nudges toward current observations was about it for this update.

7 AM UPDATE .

Previous forecast remains largely on track so only made minor changes to bring near-term forecast up to date with observations. Visible satellite imagery shows mid to high level clouds advancing eastwards across Western NY and PA this morning ahead of a warm front that will bring us the much advertised big warm up starting tomorrow. For today, we remain under the influence of surface high pressure. Most locations should see upper 30s to low 40s under mostly sunny skies before the aforementioned clouds move in later this afternoon.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION .

High pressure centered over the southern states extends up across Srn New England. Subsidence will maintain mostly clear skies. Cross sections show some increasing high-level moisture late in the day, suggesting increasing high clouds. Models continue to show today's mixed layer reaching 925 mb. This would support max sfc temps in the mid 30s. Meanwhile, two of four soundings show mixed layers reaching near 850 mb, which would support highs in the 40s. Will split the difference, with max temps in the mid 30s to low 40s, coolest in the hills and on Cape and Islands.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/. Tonight .

Warm front lifts through the region, with a southwest low level flow. This will be enough to bring in clouds. The supporting shortwave and upper jet move across Nrn New England, with the support for lift mostly over Nrn New England. Expect dry weather most places tonight. An isolated snow shower is possible, mostly over Northwest Mass. Model guidance shows lows in the 20s, which looks reasonable.

Tuesday .

Some clouds possible early, but with Great Lakes high pressure building in, expect clearing skies. Northwest winds behind the weather system will create cold advection, mixing stronger winds from 850 mb to the surface. Winds aloft support gusts to 20 kt. Temperatures in the mixed layer will tap minus 2C to minus 4C, so max sfc temps should reach the low to mid 50s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. Highlights .

* Significant warm up this week with peak of warmth on Wednesday and Thursday with highs in the 60s away from the immediate coast. * Chance for some scattered showers with the cold front on Friday. * Turning noticeably colder this weekend.

Tuesday night into Friday .

Not much change to this portion of the forecast. We are still looking at a significant warm up with daytime highs running 15 to 20 degrees above normal through Friday. Have used either the 90th percentile or maximum of available guidance to forecast the high temperatures for Wednesday to Friday. Current model guidance are still in the cool season mode, so actual temperatures tend to overperform due to a lack of snow cover, drying soil and the higher mid March sun angle. Downsloping will also play a role in boosting temperatures as well from the immediate coast. Both the NAEFS and ENS Situational Awareness Ensemble Table have continued to highlight the highly anomalous nature of the upcoming warmth, with heights and temperatures at 99th percentile or higher from Wednesday to Friday. The next chance for precipitation does not arrive till Friday with a cold front. But even then, latest guidance have slowed down the arrival of the cold air till later on Friday, so with overnight temperatures not dipping below 50 degrees for many locations, many locations could see upper 60s to even 70 degrees on Friday. It will also get increasingly muggy as well, as dew point temperatures rise from 20s to low 50s by Friday morning.

Overall, Thursday and Friday could be the warmest days of the year so far, which could potentially challenge the highest daily maximum temperature. Also, Thursday night could also be in the running for highest minimum temperature. See the Climate section for more details.

Finally, the frontal passage on Friday will bring about our next chance for precipitation. Indications are that the wave would be deamplifying as the attendant surface low lifts north from the Great Lakes into Newfoundland and Labrador. This would only give us scattered showers so we have kept precipitation probability no higher than chance.

Saturday into Sunday .

The weekend looks to feature a return to much more seasonable temperatures across Southern New England. A weaker shortwave crosses northern New England on Saturday morning before a more amplified shortwave trough brings in a reinforcing shot of colder air on Sunday morning. So expect highs in the 40s on Saturday another 5 to 10 degrees colder on Sunday. The setup looks moisture starved so expect a mostly dry weekend although a few showers cannot be ruled out.

AVIATION /15Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Forecaster Confidence Levels.

Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent.

Today . High confidence

VFR with light northwest winds to start, shifting from the southwest this afternoon.

Tonight . High confidence

VFR with southwest winds at 5-15 kts and gusts of 15-25 kts. Highest speeds over the higher terrain, Cape Cod and the Islands. An isolated snow shower is possible, but vsbys should remain above 5 miles.

Tuesday . High confidence

VFR. Clearing skies. Northwest winds gusting to 20 kt.

KBOS TAF . High confidence in TAF.

KBDL TAF . High confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Tuesday Night through Friday/ .

Tuesday Night: VFR. Breezy.

Wednesday through Wednesday Night: VFR.

Thursday: VFR. Breezy.

Thursday Night through Friday: VFR. Breezy. Slight chance SHRA.

MARINE. Today through Tuesday . High confidence.

Midwest high pressure builds over the waters today. Expect northwest wind 10 to 15 kt today, becoming light variable this afternoon and southwest tonight. Winds shift out of the northwest Tuesday with gusts to 20 kt Seas 1 to 3 feet. but increasing to 5 feet on the outer waters Tuesday.

Outlook /Tuesday Night through Friday/.

Tuesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt.

Wednesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Thursday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft.

Thursday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of rough seas.

Friday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of rough seas. Slight chance of rain showers.

CLIMATE. March 11 record highest maximum temperatures:

BOS 67F (1990) PVD 71F (1990) ORH 66F (1977) BDL 75F (1977)

March 11 record highest minimum temperatures:

BOS 51F (1925) PVD 48F (1925) ORH 43F (1894) BDL 45F (1925)

March 12 record highest maximum temperatures:

BOS 71F (2012) PVD 72F (2012) ORH 68F (2012) BDL 74F (2012)

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. MA . None. RI . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . WTB/Chai NEAR TERM . WTB/Chai/Nash SHORT TERM . WTB LONG TERM . Chai AVIATION . WTB/Chai MARINE . WTB/Chai CLIMATE . Team BOX

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI	4 mi	68 min	NE 4.1 G 12	31°F	35°F		1029.4 hPa (+0.4)
PVDR1	6 mi	68 min	NNW 7 G 12	32°F			1029.5 hPa (+0.4)	9°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI	11 mi	68 min	W 12 G 13	30°F	36°F		1028.8 hPa (+0.5)
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA	16 mi	68 min	NNW 6 G 9.9	33°F			1029.2 hPa (+0.0)
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA	16 mi	68 min		30°F	37°F		1029.3 hPa (+0.0)
FRXM3	16 mi	68 min		30°F				11°F
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI	16 mi	83 min	N 7	33°F			1029 hPa	11°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI	16 mi	68 min	NE 7 G 12	31°F			1029.8 hPa (+0.4)
PRUR1	19 mi	68 min		31°F				10°F
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI	20 mi	68 min	N 4.1 G 11	30°F	37°F		1029.2 hPa (+0.4)
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI	25 mi	68 min	N 8.9 G 12	29°F	36°F		1029.1 hPa (+0.6)
BHBM3 - 8443970 - Boston, MA	38 mi	68 min			37°F		1028.3 hPa (+0.8)
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA	38 mi	68 min	NW 8 G 9.9				1029.7 hPa (+0.7)
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA	45 mi	68 min		34°F	36°F		1028.6 hPa (-0.0)
WAXM3 - Waquoit Bay Reserve, MA	49 mi	83 min	NW 2.9	34°F			1028 hPa	17°F

Wind History for Providence, RI

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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9 PM

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11 PM

12 AM

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Last 24hr

NE8 G14

N10 G13

NE6 G9

NW8 G14

N5 G12

NE5 G10

NE8 G13

N5 G10

N5 G9

NW4 G7

N5 G8

N6

N6 G9

N8

N7

N8 G12

N7 G11

N8 G12

N6 G9

N10 G14

N9 G13

N8 G11

NE7 G10

NE4 G12

1 day ago

NW7 G14

NW10 G13

N8 G12

N7 G11

NW9 G14

W10 G15

NW6 G17

NW11 G16

NW12 G17

NW12 G17

NW10 G14

NW12 G17

NW5 G12

NW6 G11

NW9 G12

NW9 G13

NW10 G15

N8 G14

N9 G12

N7 G10

N7

N9 G12

N11 G15

N9 G12

2 days ago

NW15 G22

N11 G19

NW10 G16

NW15 G26

N18 G28

NW14 G19

NW16 G22

NW12 G19

N14 G19

NW13 G20

NW9 G17

NW11 G17

N7 G15

N5 G11

NW4

W4

NW4 G7

N6 G10

N6 G9

NW6

N7

N8 G14

NE11 G15

NW8 G14

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Pawtucket, North Central State Airport, RI	3 mi	72 min	N 7	10.00 mi	Fair	30°F	12°F	47%	1023.5 hPa
Providence, Theodore Francis Green State Airport, RI	10 mi	77 min	NNW 8	10.00 mi	A Few Clouds	32°F	9°F	38%	1029.1 hPa
Taunton, Taunton Municipal Airport, MA	19 mi	76 min	Var 6	10.00 mi	Fair	33°F	11°F	40%	1028.5 hPa
Newport, Newport State Airport, RI	23 mi	75 min	WNW 8	10.00 mi	Fair	30°F	11°F	45%	1028.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSFZ

Wind History from SFZ (wind in knots)

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Last 24hr

NW12

NW9 G14

N8 G15

NW7 G14

NW7 G14

N7

NW3

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NW4

NW4

NW3

NW4

NW5

NW6

NW6

NW5

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NW7

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NW11

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N7

N5

1 day ago

W10 G14

W9 G18

W11 G17

W11 G15

W12

NW8

W12 G17

W11

W11 G16

NW8

NW7

W8

W5

W7

W7

NW6

NW5

NW6

NW6

NW4

NW6

N11

NW11

W10 G14

2 days ago

NW14 G19

W15 G23

NW17 G23

W12 G21

W16 G21

W12 G23

NW12 G23

W12 G20

W11

W11 G22

NW11 G16

NW10

W7

NW4

W3

NW4

NW5

W4

NW4

NW6

W8

NW9

NW11 G16

W11 G17

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Tide / Current Tables for Pawtucket, Seekonk River, Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island

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Tide / Current Tables for Nayatt Point, Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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