Monday, March8, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Pawtucket, RI

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:06AMSunset 5:45PM Monday March 8, 2021 11:07 AM EST (16:07 UTC) Moonrise 4:35AMMoonset 1:39PM Illumination 25% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ236 Narragansett Bay- 1016 Am Est Mon Mar 8 2021
This afternoon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed and Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Thu through Fri night..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 1016 Am Est Mon Mar 8 2021
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. High pressure moves over the waters today and early tonight. A weak front will cross the waters early Tuesday. Additional high pressure from the midwest arrives for midweek. A cold front then brings a few showers for Friday. For additional information on possible hazardous weather for the week ahead, please visit www.weather.gov/boston/ehwo.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pawtucket, RI
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location: 41.87, -71.38     debug


Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 081503 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 1003 AM EST Mon Mar 8 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure moves over the region today bringing dry weather. A warm front then sweeps east from the Great Lakes tonight bringing clouds. A second high pressure area approaches from the Great Lakes Tuesday, bringing clearing and warmer temperatures that will linger into Thursday. The greatest risk of precipitation is on Friday with a cold front, which will return temperatures to more seasonable levels towards next weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. 1000 am update .

hardly a cloud in the sky across the region, with the exception of the outer Cape which is getting clipped by some ocean effect clouds offshore. forecast is still on track, just minor nudges toward current observations was about it for this update.

7 AM UPDATE .

Previous forecast remains largely on track so only made minor changes to bring near-term forecast up to date with observations. Visible satellite imagery shows mid to high level clouds advancing eastwards across Western NY and PA this morning ahead of a warm front that will bring us the much advertised big warm up starting tomorrow. For today, we remain under the influence of surface high pressure. Most locations should see upper 30s to low 40s under mostly sunny skies before the aforementioned clouds move in later this afternoon.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION .

High pressure centered over the southern states extends up across Srn New England. Subsidence will maintain mostly clear skies. Cross sections show some increasing high-level moisture late in the day, suggesting increasing high clouds. Models continue to show today's mixed layer reaching 925 mb. This would support max sfc temps in the mid 30s. Meanwhile, two of four soundings show mixed layers reaching near 850 mb, which would support highs in the 40s. Will split the difference, with max temps in the mid 30s to low 40s, coolest in the hills and on Cape and Islands.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/. Tonight .

Warm front lifts through the region, with a southwest low level flow. This will be enough to bring in clouds. The supporting shortwave and upper jet move across Nrn New England, with the support for lift mostly over Nrn New England. Expect dry weather most places tonight. An isolated snow shower is possible, mostly over Northwest Mass. Model guidance shows lows in the 20s, which looks reasonable.

Tuesday .

Some clouds possible early, but with Great Lakes high pressure building in, expect clearing skies. Northwest winds behind the weather system will create cold advection, mixing stronger winds from 850 mb to the surface. Winds aloft support gusts to 20 kt. Temperatures in the mixed layer will tap minus 2C to minus 4C, so max sfc temps should reach the low to mid 50s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. Highlights .

* Significant warm up this week with peak of warmth on Wednesday and Thursday with highs in the 60s away from the immediate coast. * Chance for some scattered showers with the cold front on Friday. * Turning noticeably colder this weekend.

Tuesday night into Friday .

Not much change to this portion of the forecast. We are still looking at a significant warm up with daytime highs running 15 to 20 degrees above normal through Friday. Have used either the 90th percentile or maximum of available guidance to forecast the high temperatures for Wednesday to Friday. Current model guidance are still in the cool season mode, so actual temperatures tend to overperform due to a lack of snow cover, drying soil and the higher mid March sun angle. Downsloping will also play a role in boosting temperatures as well from the immediate coast. Both the NAEFS and ENS Situational Awareness Ensemble Table have continued to highlight the highly anomalous nature of the upcoming warmth, with heights and temperatures at 99th percentile or higher from Wednesday to Friday. The next chance for precipitation does not arrive till Friday with a cold front. But even then, latest guidance have slowed down the arrival of the cold air till later on Friday, so with overnight temperatures not dipping below 50 degrees for many locations, many locations could see upper 60s to even 70 degrees on Friday. It will also get increasingly muggy as well, as dew point temperatures rise from 20s to low 50s by Friday morning.

Overall, Thursday and Friday could be the warmest days of the year so far, which could potentially challenge the highest daily maximum temperature. Also, Thursday night could also be in the running for highest minimum temperature. See the Climate section for more details.

Finally, the frontal passage on Friday will bring about our next chance for precipitation. Indications are that the wave would be deamplifying as the attendant surface low lifts north from the Great Lakes into Newfoundland and Labrador. This would only give us scattered showers so we have kept precipitation probability no higher than chance.

Saturday into Sunday .

The weekend looks to feature a return to much more seasonable temperatures across Southern New England. A weaker shortwave crosses northern New England on Saturday morning before a more amplified shortwave trough brings in a reinforcing shot of colder air on Sunday morning. So expect highs in the 40s on Saturday another 5 to 10 degrees colder on Sunday. The setup looks moisture starved so expect a mostly dry weekend although a few showers cannot be ruled out.

AVIATION /15Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Forecaster Confidence Levels.

Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent.

Today . High confidence

VFR with light northwest winds to start, shifting from the southwest this afternoon.

Tonight . High confidence

VFR with southwest winds at 5-15 kts and gusts of 15-25 kts. Highest speeds over the higher terrain, Cape Cod and the Islands. An isolated snow shower is possible, but vsbys should remain above 5 miles.

Tuesday . High confidence

VFR. Clearing skies. Northwest winds gusting to 20 kt.

KBOS TAF . High confidence in TAF.

KBDL TAF . High confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Tuesday Night through Friday/ .

Tuesday Night: VFR. Breezy.

Wednesday through Wednesday Night: VFR.

Thursday: VFR. Breezy.

Thursday Night through Friday: VFR. Breezy. Slight chance SHRA.

MARINE. Today through Tuesday . High confidence.

Midwest high pressure builds over the waters today. Expect northwest wind 10 to 15 kt today, becoming light variable this afternoon and southwest tonight. Winds shift out of the northwest Tuesday with gusts to 20 kt Seas 1 to 3 feet. but increasing to 5 feet on the outer waters Tuesday.

Outlook /Tuesday Night through Friday/.

Tuesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt.

Wednesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Thursday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft.

Thursday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of rough seas.

Friday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of rough seas. Slight chance of rain showers.

CLIMATE. March 11 record highest maximum temperatures:

BOS 67F (1990) PVD 71F (1990) ORH 66F (1977) BDL 75F (1977)

March 11 record highest minimum temperatures:

BOS 51F (1925) PVD 48F (1925) ORH 43F (1894) BDL 45F (1925)

March 12 record highest maximum temperatures:

BOS 71F (2012) PVD 72F (2012) ORH 68F (2012) BDL 74F (2012)

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. MA . None. RI . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . WTB/Chai NEAR TERM . WTB/Chai/Nash SHORT TERM . WTB LONG TERM . Chai AVIATION . WTB/Chai MARINE . WTB/Chai CLIMATE . Team BOX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 4 mi68 min NE 4.1 G 12 31°F 35°F1029.4 hPa (+0.4)
PVDR1 6 mi68 min NNW 7 G 12 32°F 1029.5 hPa (+0.4)9°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 11 mi68 min W 12 G 13 30°F 36°F1028.8 hPa (+0.5)
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 16 mi68 min NNW 6 G 9.9 33°F 1029.2 hPa (+0.0)
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 16 mi68 min 30°F 37°F1029.3 hPa (+0.0)
FRXM3 16 mi68 min 30°F 11°F
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 16 mi83 min N 7 33°F 1029 hPa11°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 16 mi68 min NE 7 G 12 31°F 1029.8 hPa (+0.4)
PRUR1 19 mi68 min 31°F 10°F
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 20 mi68 min N 4.1 G 11 30°F 37°F1029.2 hPa (+0.4)
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 25 mi68 min N 8.9 G 12 29°F 36°F1029.1 hPa (+0.6)
BHBM3 - 8443970 - Boston, MA 38 mi68 min 37°F1028.3 hPa (+0.8)
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA 38 mi68 min NW 8 G 9.9 1029.7 hPa (+0.7)
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 45 mi68 min 34°F 36°F1028.6 hPa (-0.0)
WAXM3 - Waquoit Bay Reserve, MA 49 mi83 min NW 2.9 34°F 1028 hPa17°F

Wind History for Providence, RI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pawtucket, North Central State Airport, RI3 mi72 minN 710.00 miFair30°F12°F47%1023.5 hPa
Providence, Theodore Francis Green State Airport, RI10 mi77 minNNW 810.00 miA Few Clouds32°F9°F38%1029.1 hPa
Taunton, Taunton Municipal Airport, MA19 mi76 minVar 610.00 miFair33°F11°F40%1028.5 hPa
Newport, Newport State Airport, RI23 mi75 minWNW 810.00 miFair30°F11°F45%1028.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSFZ

Wind History from SFZ (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Pawtucket, Seekonk River, Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island
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Pawtucket
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:35 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:47 AM EST     4.78 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:23 AM EST     0.29 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:39 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 04:17 PM EST     4.01 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:44 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 10:19 PM EST     0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.62.63.74.54.84.23.221.10.60.30.30.71.52.53.543.83210.40.20.2

Tide / Current Tables for Nayatt Point, Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island
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Nayatt Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:34 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:38 AM EST     4.78 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:12 AM EST     0.29 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:39 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 04:08 PM EST     4.01 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:44 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 10:08 PM EST     0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.72.83.94.64.74.131.910.50.30.40.81.62.73.643.72.91.80.90.40.20.3

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