Wednesday, February24, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Taunton, MA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:24AMSunset 5:30PM Wednesday February 24, 2021 9:57 PM EST (02:57 UTC) Moonrise 3:25PMMoonset 6:05AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ236 Narragansett Bay- 948 Pm Est Wed Feb 24 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday evening...
Tonight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft, except 4 to 6 ft at the bay entrance. Isolated showers.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sat and Sat night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft. Rain.
Sun..SW winds around 5 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Sun night and Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 948 Pm Est Wed Feb 24 2021
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. A clipper system will pass across northern new england this evening. Its associated cold front pushing across the waters Thursday morning. High pressure builds across the waters Thursday into early Saturday. Another front crosses the waters late on Saturday into Sunday. For additional information on possible hazardous weather for the week ahead, please visit www.weather.gov/boston/ehwo.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Taunton, MA
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location: 41.88, -71.1     debug


Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 250256 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 956 PM EST Wed Feb 24 2021

SYNOPSIS.

A cold front will bring blustery weather and a return to chillier temperatures Thursday and especially by Thursday night and Friday although with diminishing winds. Periods of unsettled weather this weekend into early next week with a series of fast-moving features passing by southern New England every couple of days into early next week. Mild over the weekend, then colder on Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/.

10 PM Update .

Cold front sliding across eastern New York State. Have not made any significant changes in the latest update other than bringing things in line with the latest observations. Increased sky cover toward the latest HRRRE guidance. Rest of forecast is on track.

7 PM Update .

Cold front moving across central NY led by 1 mb/hr pressure falls across New England and the Hudson Valley. Satellite shows clouds across Western MA and Northwest CT moving east. One patch of showers was crossing North central MA, with others along the front in Central NY. Also, BOX radar shows a 40-50 kt low level jet at 2000-3000 feet AGL supporting wind gusts of 25 kt/30 mph and potentially 30 kt/35 mph at the surface.

Forecast expectations continue, with a period of clouds moving across the region tonight, generating widely scattered showers. Movement of the front extrapolates to the Berkshires around 11PM or midnight, Central Hills around 1 AM, and MA East coast around 2 or 3 AM. Gusty south winds will turn from the west after the front moves through. Temperatures will fall from the upper 30s to mid 40s evening to the upper 20s and 30s by morning.

As everything is roughly on target, no changes are expected.

Previous Discussion .

After the mildest day in some locations in quite a while, temps will not drop that much this evening. A modest southwest LLJ of 55-65 knots will move overhead this evening ahead of an approaching cold front. The result will be gusty southwest winds of 20 to 30 mph developing this evening and perhaps up to 35 mph across the high terrain and portions of the Cape/Islands. This will only allow temps to drop into the upper 30s to middle 40s during the evening hours, although it will feel a bit cooler with the gusty winds developing.

The main impact of the approaching cold front this evening will be an abundance of mid level cloudiness and the gusty SW winds. Low level moisture is lacking, so not much more than a brief sprinkle/spot shower or two expected with the front. Therefore, just included a low pop in the forecast.

Winds will shift to the west behind the front toward morning. Temperatures will have dropped into the 30s by daybreak across most of the region, but still remain above freezing in most locations.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. Thursday .

It will be quite blustery on Thursday with strong cold advection aloft resulting in excellent mixing with NW wind gusts of 25 to 35 mph. However, the cold advection aloft will be offset by a relatively mild start and plenty of late February sunshine. This should push highs into the upper 30s/near 40 across the high terrain and well into the 40s elsewhere. It will feel a bit chillier though given the windy conditions.

Thursday night .

High pressure building in from the west will result in diminishing northwest winds and a return of seasonably chilly temps. Low temps by daybreak will be down into the middle to upper teens across the normally colder outlying locations; to the lower to middle 20s in the urban centers.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Big Picture .

Dueling jet streams. The southern stream is dominant through Sunday, with one shortwave in particular forecast to move through the flow and up the St Lawrence Valley. The northern stream then takes over across the Northeast USA the first half of next week. A trough from Hudsons Bay moves through the flow and across Eastern Canada, swinging a weak cold front across New England Monday evening and night.

Model mass fields are similar through the weekend, then diverge the first half of next week. As shortwaves are the weathermakers, confidence in timing is less than for a mature weather system. Thermal fields are similar through Sunday. These fields indicate the same trend to colder temps by Tuesday, but show different magnitudes with the GFS the coldest. Overall, moderate confidence through the weekend, trending to low confidence Tuesday-Wednesday.

Details .

Follow the shortwaves during the long term.

One shortwave in the southern stream races up the St Lawrence Valley Saturday, passing to our north and swinging a cold front through during the late day/early night. Temperatures Saturday may initially be cold enough for snow, but likely just a coating, before changing to rain for the midday and afternoon/evening. IVT continues to show a glancing blow by the vapor transport . most passes to our south Saturday 18Z-00Z, but GFS brings 700-800 kg/m-sec to Srn New England while ECMWF barely reaches 700 on the South Coast.

A second shortwave shows in the southern stream on Sunday night, but with disagreement between the models on how much it spreads into Srn New England. GFS says yes, the ECMWF says offshore. Will combine the effects of this shortwave with the third shortwave, which swings a cold front through on Monday. Will feature chance pops for mainly rain showers Sunday night and Monday morning.

A fourth shortwave, also in the northern stream, passes north of New England on Wednesday. Best dynamic lift remains to our north, but close enough to mention low-end chance pops for rain or snow showers.

Mixing temps Friday support sfc highs in the mid 30s to low 40s, then mid 40s to low 50s Saturday and Sunday. Radiational cooling Friday night would suggest upper teens to mid 20s. Dew points in the 30s Sat night and Sunday night suggest min temps no lower than the 30s each night.

AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Forecaster Confidence Levels.

Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent.

Tonight . High Confidence.

Mainly VFR despite an abundance of mid level cloudiness for a time tonight. Perhaps some brief marginal MVFR ceilings impact portions of the interior with the best chance across the high terrain. A few brief spot showers possible through 06z ahead of an approaching cold front. Main impact will be for SW wind gusts of 20 to 30 knots ahead of the front that will shift to the W toward daybreak behind the front. A few hours of LLWS is also expected overnight.

Thursday . High Confidence.

VFR with NW wind gusts between 25 and 30 knots on Thursday.

Thursday night . High Confidence.

VFR with gradually diminishing NW winds Thursday night.

KBOS TAF . High confidence in TAF.

KBDL TAF . High confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Friday through Monday/ .

Friday through Friday Night: VFR. Breezy.

Saturday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Windy with local gusts up to 30 kt. RA likely.

Saturday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Windy with gusts up to 30 kt. Chance RA.

Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible.

Sunday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA.

Monday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Breezy. Slight chance SHRA, slight chance SHSN.

MARINE. Tonight and Thursday . High Confidence.

A modest southwest LLJ developing ahead of an approaching cold front will bring gusty SW gusts of 25 to 35 knots. Winds will then shift from the WNW with gusts between 30 and 40 knots on Thursday . with the strongest winds across our eastern/northeast outer-waters. the forecast has strong Small craft to Gale Headlines for all waters into Thursday for all waters. Seas over the open waters will build to between 4 and 8 feet.

Thursday night . High Confidence.

NW winds may still gust between 25 and 35 knots early Thu evening, but will diminish to between 20 and 25 knots overnight. This in response to high pressure building in from the west. Seas will also diminish, but may still have some marginal 5 foot seas lingering across the eastern outer most waters through 12z Friday. Outlook /Friday through Monday/ .

Friday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Friday Night: Winds less than 25 kt.

Saturday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with areas of gusts up to 30 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of rain.

Saturday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of rough seas. Rain likely.

Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas. Slight chance of rain showers.

Sunday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain showers.

Monday: Winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of rain showers.

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. MA . None. RI . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST Thursday for ANZ232>235- 237. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Thursday for ANZ230-236. Gale Warning until 4 PM EST Thursday for ANZ231-250-251-254. Gale Warning until 10 AM EST Thursday for ANZ255-256.

SYNOPSIS . WTB/Frank/BL NEAR TERM . WTB/Frank/BL SHORT TERM . Frank LONG TERM . WTB AVIATION . WTB/Frank MARINE . WTB/Frank


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 13 mi58 min 44°F 38°F1009.6 hPa (-2.5)
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 13 mi58 min SSW 22 G 26 44°F 1009 hPa (-2.5)
FRXM3 13 mi58 min 44°F 38°F
PVDR1 16 mi58 min SSW 12 G 16 46°F 1009.1 hPa (-2.0)34°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 17 mi58 min SSE 19 G 25 44°F 38°F1008.4 hPa (-2.5)
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 17 mi58 min SW 8.9 G 12 46°F 37°F1009 hPa (-2.0)
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 21 mi73 min WSW 12 43°F 1009 hPa35°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 21 mi58 min WSW 12 G 20 44°F 1009.6 hPa (-2.4)
PRUR1 22 mi58 min 44°F 37°F
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 26 mi58 min SW 21 G 26 44°F 38°F1008.6 hPa (-2.8)
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 29 mi58 min SSW 14 G 17 41°F 39°F1009.3 hPa (-2.4)
BHBM3 - 8443970 - Boston, MA 33 mi58 min 46°F 35°F1005.7 hPa (-1.9)
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 33 mi58 min 41°F 36°F1009.6 hPa (-3.1)
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA 34 mi58 min SSW 23 G 25 1009.4 hPa (-3.3)
WAXM3 - Waquoit Bay Reserve, MA 37 mi73 min SSE 7 44°F 1010 hPa36°F
44013 - BOSTON 16 NM East of Boston, MA 40 mi38 min SSW 19 G 25 43°F 39°F1006.9 hPa34°F
44090 41 mi62 min 37°F3 ft

Wind History for Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Taunton, Taunton Municipal Airport, MA4 mi66 minSSW 10 G 2110.00 miOvercast45°F34°F66%1008.3 hPa
New Bedford, New Bedford Regional Airport, MA15 mi65 minSW 910.00 miPartly Cloudy45°F35°F68%1008.7 hPa
Pawtucket, North Central State Airport, RI16 mi62 minSW 10 G 1610.00 miMostly Cloudy43°F32°F65%1002.9 hPa
Providence, Theodore Francis Green State Airport, RI20 mi67 minSW 13 G 2410.00 miMostly Cloudy45°F33°F63%1008.6 hPa
Plymouth, Plymouth Municipal Airport, MA20 mi66 minSSW 13 G 2410.00 miMostly Cloudy43°F34°F71%1008.1 hPa
Norwood, Norwood Memorial Airport, MA22 mi65 minSSW 11 G 2010.00 miOvercast45°F28°F52%1007.2 hPa
East Milton, MA23 mi67 minSSW 22 G 31 miBreezy41°F28°F60%1007.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTAN

Wind History from TAN (wind in knots)
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmSE3SE3S12
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Tide / Current Tables for Taunton, Taunton River, Massachusetts
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Taunton
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:45 AM EST     0.16 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:04 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 06:26 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:31 AM EST     2.83 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:41 PM EST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:25 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:54 PM EST     2.52 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.20.40.81.42.22.72.82.51.91.30.70.30.10.10.30.81.52.22.52.31.91.30.7

Tide / Current Tables for Fall River, Massachusetts
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Fall River
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:04 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 05:53 AM EST     4.51 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:26 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:49 AM EST     0.16 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:25 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:29 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:16 PM EST     4.01 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:49 PM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.91.62.43.44.24.54.131.80.80.30.20.40.81.62.53.543.831.80.70

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