Sunday, December8, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Sharon, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 4:23PM Sunday December 8, 2019 2:47 AM EST (07:47 UTC) Moonrise 3:34PMMoonset 4:11AM Illumination 87% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 950 Pm Est Sat Dec 7 2019
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain after midnight.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Rain, mainly in the evening with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Rain.
Tue night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm after midnight.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Rain likely with chance of snow in the morning. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 950 Pm Est Sat Dec 7 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will settle over the area tonight, then pass east on Sunday. A warm front will approach on Monday and lift north Monday night. A cold front will approach on Tuesday and pass east Tuesday night into Wednesday. Arctic high pressure will then follow later in the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sharon, CT
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location: 41.89, -73.41     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 080545 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 1245 AM EST Sun Dec 8 2019

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will ridge in over the region tonight with clearing skies and cold conditions. The surface high will most east of the region tomorrow with an increasing southerly flow and fair conditions. A low pressure system and a frontal boundary will bring mainly rain to the region Monday into Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. Clear sky and light to calm winds with snow pack in place. Temperatures will continue to fall through daybreak, with lows in the single numbers but below zero to around zero northern areas. Around 10 in southern areas.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. Tomorrow . A cold sunrise with mostly sunny conditions to start the day, but the sfc high will drift off the New England Coast with a return flow of slightly more seasonable air commencing. The southerly flow will increase with weak low and mid level warm advection beginning. The southerly winds could increase to 10 to 20 mph in the confluent region of the Capital Region with some gusts 25 to 30 mph. Some cirrus will be increasing during the afternoon. Highs will still run a little below normal with mid and upper 30s in the valley areas, and upper 20s to lower 30s over the higher terrain.

Sunday night . Strong southwesterly flow will increase over the region ahead a frontal boundary over the Great Lakes Region and Midwest and the retreating anticyclone. The latest 12Z GEFS indicate +v-wind anomalies /southerlies/ +1 to +2 STDEVs above normal. Clouds will increase, as a thermal trough and a weak short-wave ahead of the cold front brings a light wintry mix into the southern Adirondacks and perhaps the Lake George Region especially after midnight. We used a top down method with the NAM thermal profiles and some sleet and spotty freezing rain is possible. It will be breezy with the low-level wind anomaly. Some warm advection pcpn associated with a warm front and a wave of low pressure near the eastern NC coast will brings some showers into the southern zones towards daybreak. Overall, temps will start at their coldest point early and then rise overnight. Temps rising into the lower to mid/upper 30s by daybreak with breezy conditions. Any ice accretions will be light before a transition to a plain rain ptype. We placed a brief mention in the HWO of the wintry mix in the northern most zones.

Monday - Monday Night . Periods of rain will overspread the region as low pressure moves south of the region off the Long Island Coast, and another low pressure system moves towards the eastern Great Lakes late in the day. Temps rise above normal with dewpts getting into the 30s to lower 40s. Some melting of the snow pack is likely. Expect patchy fog to form. The best isentropic lift and jet dynamics aid in perhaps moderate bursts of rainfall late Monday pm into Monday evening before a lull is possible after midnight. See our hydro discussion for details on QPF and the waterways. Highs were favored closer to the GFSMOS values with mid and upper 40s in most locations (a few isolated 50s near KPOU or KDDH) with upper 30s to lower 40s over the high peaks. The mild conditions last into the evening, as the cold front moves closer with lows in the mid 30s to around 40 north of the Capital Region, and lower to upper 40s south and east. Patchy fog will persist due to the melting snow pack.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Models are now in generally good agreement in tracking a sharp cold front through the area on Tuesday. How much precipitation occurs along the front is in question, as the GFS has been consistent in being fairly progressive with shifting the deeper moisture eastward, while the ECMWF has been slower and allowed more moisture to ride up along the front. The 12Z ECMWF has trended a bit quicker/drier with the front. The frontal timing may be such that areas north and west of the Capital District see temperatures falling throughout the day, with rain changing to snow. Tuesday night, a slower frontal passage may result in rain changing to snow for a greater portion of the area. Will continue to monitor this potential, but nothing to suggest significant accumulations at this point.

Strong cold advection ensues for Wednesday into Wednesday night, with 850 mb temperatures falling to around -15 to -20C by Thursday morning as a strong 1040 mb high builds into the region. A period of lake effect snow is likely downwind of Ontario Wednesday into Wednesday night, with lower chances for snow showers elsewhere. It looks dry but cold Thursday into Thursday night with the high overhead.

By Friday into Saturday, the high shifts east and warm advection occurs once again as indications are that the flow remains amplified with strong southern stream energy approaching. We will be monitoring the potential for low pressure developing in the Southeast and potentially bringing the next chance for widespread precipitation for the end of the forecast period and thereafter.

AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. VFR Conditions forecast all TAF sites through 09/00Z. Clouds will increase during Sunday afternoon and begin to lower during the evening with MVFR ceilings forecast at KPSF and KPOU before 09/06Z.

Winds will be light and variable or calm overnight. Winds turn southerly Sunday morning and increase to 10-20 kts by afternoon. Wind shear is in the TAFS after 09/21Z.

Outlook .

Sunday Night: Low Operational Impact. Breezy Slight Chance of RA. Monday: High Operational Impact Definite RA. FG. Monday Night: High Operational Impact Definite RA. FG. Tuesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Likely SHRA. Tuesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact Chance of SHRA. SHSN. Wednesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHSN. Wednesday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHSN. Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

HYDROLOGY. Temperatures will remain below normal through Sunday, so little melting and/or runoff is expected on the weekend. This will allow the snow pack to be maintained and for some ice to build up and thicken on shallow waterways, especially during the overnight hours.

Temperatures will likely rise to above normal values late Sunday night into Monday and continue into Tuesday, with periods of rain likely. There is uncertainty with the amount and placement of the heaviest rain, however our current forecast is for about a half an inch to an inch and half in the HSA with the highest totals in the southeast extreme over the Housatonic Basin in NW CT, and also in the west/southwest Adirondacks. The GEFS and NAEFS continue to show no points reaching flood in the latest MMEFS guidance, and the older SREFS have 3 or 4 points with a low chance /Eagle Bridge and Williamstown on the Hoosic, and Bennington on the Walloomsac were a few points/

Some ripening and melting of the snowpack and runoff is expected, although widespread flooding is not anticipated at this time. Rises on area waterways are likely during this timeframe.

It will turn sharply colder Tuesday into Wednesday and continue through the end of the week, which should put a stop to any melting/runoff, and allow river levels to recede.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including latest observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . Wasula NEAR TERM . NAS SHORT TERM . Wasula LONG TERM . Thompson AVIATION . SND HYDROLOGY . NAS/Wasula


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 28 mi78 min E 1.9 15°F 1033 hPa10°F
NPXN6 28 mi78 min NE 2.9 17°F 1034 hPa13°F
TKPN6 29 mi54 min Calm G 1.9 18°F 35°F1034.3 hPa14°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 50 mi54 min NW 2.9 G 5.1 26°F 41°F1033.1 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 51 mi54 min N 1.9 G 2.9 24°F 45°F1033 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY30 mi55 minN 010.00 miFair14°F8°F77%1033.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPOU

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW5CalmCalmCalmCalm3CalmCalmCalmNW654NW9NW6NW5CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3Calm
1 day agoW10SW7SW5S3SW4CalmCalmS5S5SE5S9S73CalmCalmCalmW8W11NW8NW9NW6NW4W9NW6
2 days agoS3SW4CalmCalmCalmSW6SW9W13W10W10W11W13
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Tide / Current Tables for Hyde Park, Hudson River, New York
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Hyde Park
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Sun -- 03:13 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 04:17 AM EST     0.20 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:22 AM EST     3.12 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:35 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:24 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 04:54 PM EST     0.31 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:44 PM EST     2.85 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.11.50.90.50.20.411.82.42.93.13.12.72.11.40.90.50.30.71.322.42.82.8

Tide / Current Tables for Tivoli, Hudson River, New York
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Tivoli
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:13 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 05:09 AM EST     0.25 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:11 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:12 AM EST     3.83 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:35 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:23 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:46 PM EST     0.40 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:34 PM EST     3.50 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.12.51.71.10.60.30.51.42.33.13.63.83.73.22.41.71.10.60.40.91.82.53.13.4

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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