Monday, August19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Raynham Center, MA

Version 3.4
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7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
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Sunrise 5:55AMSunset 7:40PM Monday August 19, 2019 1:17 PM EDT (17:17 UTC) Moonrise 9:55PMMoonset 9:38AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ234 Buzzards Bay- 1042 Am Edt Mon Aug 19 2019
This afternoon..SW winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Patchy fog.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue night..S winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed and Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 1042 Am Edt Mon Aug 19 2019
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. Southwest winds will blow across the waters this afternoon and evening ahead of an approaching cold front. This front will pass across the waters after midnight tonight. High pres builds over the waters Tue, then moves offshore Tue night. Another cold front will cross the waters sometime late Thu and be followed by high pres from the great lakes Fri into next weekend. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Raynham Center, MA
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location: 41.9, -71.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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Fxus61 kbox 191127
afdbox
area forecast discussion
national weather service boston norton ma
727 am edt Mon aug 19 2019

Synopsis
Very warm and humid conditions will continue through mid week,
along with showers or thunderstorms at times. A cold front will
cross the region later this week, followed by cooler and drier
conditions.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Only minor tweaks to the forecast this morning. Already had a
few brief spot showers pop up over portions of northern ct and
southern ma. Increased pops slightly this morning, as latest
mesoanalysis showed some lingering instability near our region.

Shear remains rather weak, on the order of around 20 kt, so not
expecting any thunderstorms just yet. Both mid and low level
lapse rates were poor, but should increase rapidly with the
increased sunshine and high humidity.

Main concern today will be the risk for excessive heat. After
looking at observed conditions from Sunday, though it necessary
to expand a heat advisory into portions of eastern ma using the
lower 2-day threshold of 95 degrees.

Expecting another shortwave to trigger another round of showers
and thunderstorms. Questions remain with the timing. Should
thunderstorms not arrive before sunset, thinking we will see a
diminishing trend as these storms move east into southern new
england. While shear values should be slightly higher than what
we saw on Sunday, thinking it will not be enough to sustain
storms much past sunset. This potential will need to be
monitored through the day.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Tuesday
Showers and thunderstorms diminish rather quickly after sunset,
leaving most of the night dry. Increasing risk for more showers
and thunderstorms late Tuesday afternoon as a warm front passes
by.

Temperatures remain above normal, but dew points should not be
quite as high as today. This should prevent the need for a heat
advisory continuing into Tuesday.

Long term Tuesday night through Sunday
Highlights...

* shower and thunderstorm chances Wednesday-Thursday
* a cold front brings dry & cooler conditions Friday through the
weekend
details...

Tuesday night through Thursday... .

A series of shortwaves and a strong cold front will bring periodic
shower and thunderstorm chances through Thursday. Starting late
Tuesday early Wednesday a warm front will begin to make its way
north across the region. With this warm front comes a very humid
airmass (dewpoints rising from the 50s Tuesday to the low 70s early
Wednesday, and pwats back up near 2"). As mid level energy
associated with a weak shortwave moves through and interacts with
the warm front it initiates showers and thunderstorms. There is
potential for some strong thunderstorms given the moist warm sector
and CAPE values 2000-3000 j kg with moderate to good bulk shear (35-
45kts). Any storms that form could produce gusty winds and heavy
downpours given how much moisture is in the column. At the moment
the best chance for heavier rainfall looks to be areas north and
west, with less QPF over southeast ma coastal ri. However, we're
still too far out to nail down specifics with much confidence.

The surface low and upper trough over the great lakes region then
slides north and east late Wednesday to Thursday dragging its cold
front across southern new england overnight Thursday. Along and
ahead of the front we again see shower and thunderstorm chances with
>2000 j kg CAPE and good shear parameters (>40 kts bulk shear).

Temperatures remain relatively steady through this period in the
80s before a cool down arrives to end the week.

Friday through Sunday...

the cold front exits off the south coast or in the vicinity by
Friday morning leaving a cooler and much drier post frontal airmass
in its wake. Pwats drop to 0.5" while surface dewpoints in the low
50s will make the air feel refreshing compared to the previous week.

Surface high pressure and mid level ridging builds in through the
period bringing dry and pleasant weather through the weekend. Cold
pool aloft (850mb temps 7-10c) will allow for surface highs in the
70s each day.

Aviation 12z Monday through Friday
Forecaster confidence levels...

low - less than 30 percent.

Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.

High - greater than 60 percent.

Short term through Tuesday ... Moderate confidence.

Today... MainlyVFR. Any leftover MVFR-ifr in fog and stratus
improved toVFR by mid morning. Another round of scattered
shra tsra move in late this afternoon, with local ifr
conditions as they cross.

Tonight... Leftover shra tsra this evening with brief MVFR-ifr
conditions, thenVFR cigs. Patchy fog with MVFR-ifr vsbys mainly
after midnight.

Tuesday... MainlyVFR. Risk for scattered MVFR in shra tsra
Tuesday afternoon.

Kbos terminal... Moderate confidence in taf.

Kbdl terminal... Moderate confidence in taf.

Outlook Tuesday night through Friday ... Moderate confidence.

Tuesday night:VFR. Chance shra and tsra.

Wednesday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance shra and
tsra.

Wednesday night: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy.

Chance shra and tsra.

Thursday:VFR. Chance shra and tsra.

Thursday night:VFR. Slight chance shra.

Friday:VFR.

Marine
Forecaster confidence levels...

low - less than 30 percent.

Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.

High - greater than 60 percent.

Short term through Tuesday ... High confidence.

Relatively tranquil boating conditions expected through Tuesday.

Winds generally less than 20 kt with seas of 4 feet or less. The
main concern will be the risk for fog across the eastern coastal
waters and around nantucket this morning with visibility less
than 1 nmi. Smaller risk of poor visibility in patchy fog
tonight around nantucket.

Outlook Tuesday night through Friday ... Moderate confidence.

Tuesday night: winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching
5 ft. Chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday: winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching
5 ft. Chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday night: winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Chance
of rain showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday: winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of
rain showers, chance of thunderstorms.

Thursday night: winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas
approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.

Friday: winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.

Slight chance of rain showers.

Box watches warnings advisories
Ct... Heat advisory from 11 am this morning to 8 pm edt this evening
for ctz002-003.

Ma... Heat advisory from 11 am this morning to 8 pm edt this evening
for maz005-011-013-014-017-018.

Ri... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Belk bw
near term... Belk
short term... Belk
long term... Bw
aviation... Belk bw
marine... Belk bw


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 16 mi48 min S 9.9 G 13 83°F 1014.8 hPa
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 16 mi48 min 85°F 79°F1015.2 hPa
FRXM3 16 mi54 min 84°F 74°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 21 mi48 min S 8.9 G 14 85°F 75°F1014.4 hPa
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 21 mi48 min SSE 15 G 17 77°F 77°F1014.9 hPa
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 25 mi48 min SW 5.1 G 8.9 81°F 1015.6 hPa
PRUR1 25 mi48 min 75°F 74°F
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 25 mi93 min SSW 6 81°F 1016 hPa75°F
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 30 mi54 min S 13 G 16 76°F 72°F1015.2 hPa
BHBM3 - 8443970 - Boston, MA 31 mi48 min 88°F 1013.9 hPa
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 32 mi54 min SSW 11 G 13 75°F 67°F1015.5 hPa
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 32 mi48 min 76°F 73°F1016 hPa
WAXM3 - Waquoit Bay Reserve, MA 34 mi93 min SSE 2.9 82°F 1016 hPa75°F
44090 37 mi48 min 71°F
44013 - BOSTON 16 NM East of Boston, MA 37 mi28 min SE 5.8 G 7.8 73°F 71°F2 ft1012.7 hPa (-0.8)72°F
44020 - NANTUCKET SOUND 48 mi28 min SSW 14 G 16 73°F 75°F1 ft72°F
44029 - Buoy A0102 - Mass. Bay/Stellwagen 49 mi74 min S 9.7 G 12 71°F 69°F2 ft1013.7 hPa

Wind History for Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Taunton, Taunton Municipal Airport, MA1 mi86 minWSW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy87°F71°F59%1014.8 hPa
New Bedford, New Bedford Regional Airport, MA15 mi85 minSSW 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy87°F73°F63%1014.8 hPa
Plymouth, Plymouth Municipal Airport, MA15 mi86 minWSW 10 G 1810.00 miFair90°F69°F50%1014.9 hPa
Pawtucket, North Central State Airport, RI20 mi82 minVar 410.00 miFair86°F72°F63%1009.6 hPa
East Milton, MA22 mi82 minSW 13 G 19 mi89°F70°F53%1015.5 hPa
Norwood, Norwood Memorial Airport, MA22 mi85 minWSW 810.00 miFair92°F70°F49%1014.1 hPa
Marshfield Airport, MA23 mi83 minSW 8 G 169.00 miFair90°F69°F52%1014.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTAN

Wind History from TAN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS4S6S5S635S7S4SW8SW5S43S55S6SW4SW3S3Calm4S6S5W6SW8
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1 day agoSE64SE6SE7SE6SE6E4SE6SE5CalmSE5CalmCalmCalmCalmW3W3CalmSW3NW4SW5Calm43
2 days ago3SE4S7SE9S5SE6SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE5SE4CalmSE3CalmSE3E44SE5E5E6S4

Tide / Current Tables for Taunton, Taunton River, Massachusetts
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Taunton
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Mon -- 05:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:26 AM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 12:11 PM EDT     2.92 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:44 PM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:39 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:55 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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32.72.21.60.90.50.20.30.71.21.92.52.92.82.51.91.30.70.40.40.71.21.72.3

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Cod Canal, Massachusetts Current
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Cape Cod Canal
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:30 AM EDT     -0.06 knots Slack
Mon -- 03:30 AM EDT     -4.45 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:35 AM EDT     0.19 knots Slack
Mon -- 09:35 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 09:35 AM EDT     4.16 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 01:05 PM EDT     -0.19 knots Slack
Mon -- 03:53 PM EDT     -4.20 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 06:50 PM EDT     0.15 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:47 PM EDT     4.00 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 09:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2-2.1-3.6-4.4-4.4-3.7-2.31.93.44.14.13.72.90.8-2.8-3.9-4.2-3.8-2.71.133.843.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Boston, MA (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.