Monday, June1, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
North Eastham, MA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:06AMSunset 8:10PM Monday June 1, 2020 10:39 PM EDT (02:39 UTC) Moonrise 3:17PMMoonset 2:45AM Illumination 84% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ231 Cape Cod Bay- 1016 Pm Edt Mon Jun 1 2020
Overnight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A slight chance of showers.
Tue..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu and Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Showers likely.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Showers likely.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 1016 Pm Edt Mon Jun 1 2020
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. High pres will build across the waters through Tuesday. The high pres will be passing well S of the waters Tue. A cold front should move over the waters by Thursday morning. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Eastham, MA
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location: 41.92, -70.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 020136 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 936 PM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020

SYNOPSIS.

Any diurnal showers come to an end before midnight. Should be dry overnight and not as cool as last night, as high pressure builds in. Another shot for scattered showers Tuesday afternoon. Warm front lifts into southern New England late on Tuesday into early Wednesday bringing rain chances. A cold front will bring a chance of showers and possibly a thunderstorm on later on Wednesday. Dry and warm on Thursday. Another cold front will bring a chance of showers and thunderstorms Friday into Saturday. Dry, less humid, and cooler weather follows for Sunday and next Monday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/.

935 PM Update .

Just a left over spot light shower/sprinkle or two at mid-late evening. Boundary layer was quite dry, so very few places if any will see measurable precipitation. This activity should continue to dissipate over the next few hours with the loss of daytime heating.

Otherwise, mainly dry weather overnight. Model cross sections do show some scattered to broken mid level cloudiness at times. This will keep temps a bit milder than last night, but still rather cool for this time of year. Low temps by daybreak should be mainly in the 40s to near 50.

SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/.

430 PM update .

Highlights .

* Increasing cloud cover as a warm front lifts into the eastern Great Lakes on Tuesday. Could see a few showers across southern New England during the afternoon.

* Chance of rain showers across southern New England Tuesday night into Wednesday morning as the warm front lifts in.

Tuesday .

The mid level ridge slides offshore on Tuesday, while a shortwave digs from northern Ontario into the Ontario/Quebec border. A warm front will lift from the central Great Lakes into the Mid Atlantic and eastern Great Lakes.

Ahead of the front will see cloud cover increase across the region. Do have some weak vorticity advection aloft. This in combination with the increasing cloud cover, near adiabatic low level lapse rates and some MUCAPE. Could see some scattered shower activity across the interior. Not expecting much QPF across southern New England with this shower activity - few hundredths at the most. Hard to pin point the exact location of these showers.

Temperatures will be on an upward trend as warmer air advects in aloft. Will have winds shift to the west and southwest. This will advect 925 hPa temperatures of 10-15 degrees Celsius into the region. Highs range from the mid 60s to the mid 70s.

Tuesday Night .

Shortwave trough will dig from the Ontario/Quebec through southern New England. A warm front will lift into southern New England. This will bring cloudy skies and chances of rain showers

Lots of differences amongst guidance on how widespread shower activity will be across southern New England. Have leaned toward the ECMWF/GEM guidance versus the drier NAM/GFS. Expecting surface winds to become more southwesterly, which will advect more moisture into the region. The GFS/NAM solutions keep winds more westerly, which keeps the lower levels drier and inhibits shower activity. Any showers that do move through will bring relatively light QPF. Only anticipating rain amounts of a few hundredths to a tenth of an inch.

Warmer air will continue advecting into the region with westerly to southwesterly flow aloft. Expect 925 hPa temperatures of 12 to 17 degrees Celsius to move in. This will result in low temperatures in the 50s across southern New England.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. 430 PM update .

Highlights .

* Chances of showers/thunderstorms Wed and again Fri/Sat. * Dry and warm Thu. * Dry, cooler, and much less humid Sunday and Mon.

Overview . Fast upper level flow from the NW to W through midweek, then a deeper trough approaches Friday through Saturday night, exiting Sunday. At the surface, will have a cold front moving through on Wednesday and another one Friday into Saturday. Each will bring a chance of showers/thunderstorms, but the latter may be more widespread. Much drier air follows behind the upper trough for next Sunday and Monday.

Wed/Wed night . A cold front will be moving through the region. The best instability is to our west and south, however. Strong WNW flow aloft . with 55-60 kt at 500 mb on GFS and closer to 70 kt on NAM. Supercell parameter is rather high in southeast NY and models anticipate any storms moving ESE from there. Have highest chances of showers and possible thunderstorms therefore over northern CT, RI, and southeastern MA and the southern coastal waters for Wed. evening. Highs Wed. will be in the lower 80s with dewpoints climbing to the lower to mid 60s ahead of the front.

Thursday . Looks like the pick of the week with dry, post-frontal airmass overspreading the region. Mainly sunny skies and highs in the lower 80s with dewpoints in the 50s, making it more tolerable.

Thursday night to Friday night . An upper level trough deepens as it advances from the eastern Great Lakes. Showers and thunderstorms are possible over the southern waters and spreading into southern RI and southeast MA toward daybreak. There is a better chance of showers and thunderstorms across the entire forecast area Friday and Friday night, with the approach of the front. The front will slow down in eastern sections as the upper trough deepens. This could lead to locally heavy rainfall. Too early to know if this will materialize or where. Despite cloud cover, temperatures should manage to climb to the mid 80s with dewpoints climbing back to the lower to mid 60s on Friday.

Saturday . Some question as to how quickly the upper trough progresses east. The ECMWF briefly develops a closed upper low near NYC Saturday evening. Overall, expecting chances of showers or thunderstorms to mainly be in eastern areas, especially in the morning and early afternoon, then drying out. Highs near 80.

Sunday and Monday . In the wake of the upper trough and surface front, we should have drier, cooler, and pleasantly less humid weather. Highs mainly 70 to 75 both days with dewpoints in the 40s.

AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Forecaster Confidence Levels .

Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent.

2315Z update .

Thru 03Z . High confidence

VFR conditions expected, with BKN clouds between 5000 and 8000 ft. Widely scattered light rain showers will gradually dissipate. Winds could gust to 20-25 kt with the shower activity.

Later tonight . High confidence

VFR with most cloudiness in western MA and northern CT. Winds shifting to the W with speeds of 5 to 10 kts. Any gusty winds end as the mixed layer decouples.

Tuesday . High confidence

VFR conditions expected. Warm front approaches from the west, bringing increasing sky cover. Expect ceilings around 5 to 7 kft. A few showers are possible with no visibility restrictions anticipated.

Tuesday Night . Moderate confidence

Ceilings falling to MVFR limits with IFR possible late across the eastern slopes of the Berkshires. Chance of rain showers. No visibility restrictions anticipated at this point in time.

KBOS Terminal . High confidence in TAF.

KBDL Terminal . High confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Wednesday through Saturday/ .

Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.

Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.

Thursday: VFR.

Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.

Friday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Chance SHRA, slight chance TSRA.

Friday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Breezy. Chance SHRA, slight chance TSRA.

Saturday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.

MARINE. 715 PM update .

High confidence in the forecast with southwest winds of 10-15 kts initially this evening shifting to the west and eventually the northwest late tonight. Will have gusts of 15-20 kts decreasing to 10-15 kts late. Seas 2 to 4 feet.

Northwest winds quickly shifting to the southwest at 5-10 kts on Tuesday. Winds shifting to the south during the afternoon at 10-15 kts with gusts of 15-20 kts. Waves remaining below 3 feet.

Outlook /Wednesday through Saturday/ .

Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain showers.

Wednesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of rain showers.

Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas.

Thursday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain showers, slight chance of thunderstorms.

Friday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain showers.

Friday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Rain showers likely, slight chance of thunderstorms.

Saturday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain showers.

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. MA . None. RI . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . BL/GAF NEAR TERM . Frank SHORT TERM . BL LONG TERM . GAF AVIATION . BL/GAF MARINE . BL/GAF


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44090 17 mi39 min 57°F
CHTM3 17 mi81 min SSW 2.9 G 5.1 55°F 71°F1017.8 hPa
44018 - SE Cape Cod 30NM East of Nantucket, MA 21 mi49 min SSW 5.8 G 12 54°F 1 ft1018 hPa (-0.0)43°F
44020 - NANTUCKET SOUND 32 mi39 min WSW 9.7 G 12 57°F 60°F1017.6 hPa (+0.0)48°F
WAXM3 - Waquoit Bay Reserve, MA 35 mi114 min Calm 55°F 1018 hPa49°F
44013 - BOSTON 16 NM East of Boston, MA 44 mi49 min NW 12 G 16 58°F 56°F1 ft1017 hPa (+0.5)44°F
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 44 mi51 min 60°F 60°F1018.3 hPa
NTKM3 - 8449130 - Nantucket Island, MA 44 mi51 min WSW 4.1 G 5.1 55°F 62°F1018.8 hPa

Wind History for Nantucket Island, MA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Provincetown Municipal Airport, MA11 mi43 minSW 710.00 miOvercast55°F46°F72%1018.3 hPa
Chatham, Chatham Municipal Airport, MA15 mi47 minWSW 410.00 miOvercast56°F39°F55%1018.5 hPa
Hyannis, Barnstable Municipal-Boardman Airport, MA21 mi43 minSW 410.00 miOvercast57°F48°F72%1017.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPVC

Wind History from PVC (wind in knots)
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N12NW12N9N7N8N9NW9NW10NW9NW10NW10N7NE6NE75NE3S7S6S5S6SW7
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Tide / Current Tables for Wellfleet, Massachusetts
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Wellfleet
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:03 AM EDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:45 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:56 AM EDT     10.57 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:28 PM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:17 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:30 PM EDT     11.14 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.21.30.51.33.25.589.910.69.98.36.13.81.50.10.21.84.26.99.410.9119.87.8

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Cod Lighthouse, SE of, Cape Cod, Massachusetts
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Cape Cod Lighthouse
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:44 AM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:45 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:54 AM EDT     8.05 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:09 PM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:17 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:28 PM EDT     8.49 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.10.70.41.32.84.56.37.687.56.14.42.50.8-00.41.83.65.57.38.48.37.35.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Boston, MA (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.