Friday, August23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Saugerties, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:10AMSunset 7:46PM Friday August 23, 2019 6:15 PM EDT (22:15 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 1:54PM Illumination 41% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 341 Pm Edt Fri Aug 23 2019
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Patchy drizzle after midnight.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Patchy drizzle in the morning.
Mon night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
ANZ300 341 Pm Edt Fri Aug 23 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds to the north through the weekend, and across the canadian maritimes early next week. Low pressure may pass south and east of the local area during the middle of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Saugerties, NY
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location: 42.07, -73.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 231944
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
344 pm edt Fri aug 23 2019

Synopsis
Cooler and less humid conditions are expected tonight into
Saturday as high pressure builds into the region. A weak upper
level disturbance could bring a passing shower to portions of
the region Sunday, mainly across higher elevations, otherwise
fair conditions are expected.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Updated at 1 pm. A band of high and mid-clouds continues to
spread from southwest to northeast across southern ny and
southern new england. Meanwhile, scattered CU has developed
across northern ny in a dry northwest flow. The result is a
partly cloudy late summer day for our area with temperatures a
few degrees below normal and dew points down in the 50s with
some 40s across the north country.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Sunday night
Skies will remain partly cloudy for awhile from the capital
district south as the band of mid and high level cloudiness
slowly recedes to the south. Meanwhile, skies will clear quickly
across the north with the loss of heating and associated cu.

Much of the area will be clear later tonight with areas of fog
developing after midnight, especially in the river valleys.

Tonight will be the coolest night that we have had for awhile as
lows reach the 40s across the north country with lower to mid
50s in most areas from the capital district southward.

Quiet, pleasant late summer weather looks to be in the forecast
for the next few days. A mid-level trough will be located over
the northeast conus. Some energy moving southward through the
trough later this weekend may be strong enough to cause the
development of a weak mid-level low center over the northern
mid-atlantic or southern new england, however surface high
pressure located over quebec southward to the northeast conus
will keep the atmosphere dry enough so that this system will not
be able to produce many if any showers. At this point the best
chance for a brief shower would appear to be Sunday afternoon
over higher terrain in the catskills. High temperatures through
the weekend will be mainly in the 70s with lows in the 40s
across the north country and normally colder outlying areas,
with lower to mid 50s elsewhere.

Long term Monday through Friday
The period starts out on Monday with surface high pressure
anchored along the maine coast, providing continued dry
conditions and slightly below normal temperatures. The high is
expected to remain in place through much of Tuesday, while a
potential tropical system passes by well east of the mid
atlantic region.

Will only mention a slight chance of showers Tuesday night
ahead of a front approaching from the west. A better chance of
at least scattered showers looks to move in Wednesday into
Wednesday night, as the surface boundary moves through and just
ahead of an upper level trough tracking east through the the
great lakes. GEFS indicating pwat anomalies increasing to around
+1 to +2 stdev, although forecast instability looks relatively
weak at this time. So will only mention slight chance thunder
for now. It will become more humid compared to recent days, with
dewpoints rising into the 60s across much of the area.

Some showers could linger into Thursday, especially across the
eastern half of the area, as the upper level trough axis passes
through. GFS indicating a stronger disturbance than the ecmwf,
but there is enough confidence in mentioning 20-30 pops on
Thursday.

Drier weather is expected by Friday, as surface high pressure
tracks east across the ohio valley and mid atlantic region with
ridging extending northward into our region. Temperatures look
to be close to normal for late august, as the flow pattern is
forecast to be zonal late next week.

Aviation 20z Friday through Wednesday
A band of high clouds in the kpou and kpsf areas with thinner
high clouds around kalb and kgfl this afternoon. Just some thin
high clouds at times through tonight as high pressure builds
into the region with light to near calm winds.

Some fog may form around swamps and rivers between midnight and
daybreak, especially around kgfl and kpsf. Included some MVFR
visibilities for fog there and did not include at kalb and kpou
but can amend tonight if conditions change. Any fog will burn
off shortly after daybreak Saturday and just a few clouds well
above 3000 feet Saturday morning.

North to northwest winds at less than 10 kt this afternoon will
become nearly calm tonight. Winds become north to northwest
again Saturday morning at less than 10 kt.

Outlook...

Saturday night to Tuesday: no operational impact. Patchy fg.

Tuesday night: low operational impact. Slight chance of shra.

Wednesday: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra... Tsra.

Fire weather
Cooler and less humid conditions are expected for today
into Saturday as high pressure builds into the region. A weak upper
level disturbance could bring a passing shower to portions of the
region Sunday, mainly across higher elevations, otherwise fair
conditions are expected.

Rh values will decrease to minimum values of around 40 to 50
percent this afternoon and again Saturday afternoon, and
increase to around 80 to 100 percent tonight with areas of dew
formation likely.

Winds will be from the north to northwest at 5 to 15 mph today,
decreasing to 5 mph or less tonight. On Saturday, winds will be
from the north to northeast at 5 to 15 mph.

Hydrology
Some light rain showers will be possible this morning across
the mid hudson valley and northwest connecticut. Otherwise, dry
conditions are expected Friday through Saturday night. Isolated
showers are possible Sunday mainly for higher elevations as an
upper level disturbance passes across the region.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed
and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the
advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Iaa mse
near term... Mse
short term... Mse
long term... Jpv
aviation... Nas
fire weather... Kl jpv
hydrology... Kl jpv


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 4 mi46 min Calm 71°F 1016 hPa62°F
TKPN6 4 mi46 min Calm G 0 70°F 80°F1016.1 hPa60°F
NPXN6 17 mi46 min Calm 72°F 1017 hPa62°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 74 mi52 min NNW 6 G 7 74°F 75°F1015 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 77 mi46 min N 7 G 11 74°F 75°F1014.5 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY30 mi23 minN 010.00 miFair73°F60°F64%1015.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPOU

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSE4CalmSE3CalmN7N4N3CalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3N4NE34N8N7N4N3NW3Calm
1 day agoCalmN7CalmCalmN3N3CalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3SW4W7W33NW5S34W6CalmSE4
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4E5CalmCalmSE4S6SW5N73CalmCalm56SW12
G19

Tide / Current Tables for Tivoli, Hudson River, New York
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Tivoli
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:10 AM EDT     1.18 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:41 AM EDT     3.52 feet High Tide
Fri -- 10:58 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 01:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 01:54 PM EDT     0.90 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 07:59 PM EDT     4.06 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.31.21.31.72.53.13.53.53.32.92.11.410.911.52.43.33.94.13.93.52.9

Tide / Current Tables for Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York
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Kingston Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:40 AM EDT     1.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:11 AM EDT     3.31 feet High Tide
Fri -- 10:58 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 01:24 PM EDT     0.86 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:29 PM EDT     3.82 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.21.11.422.73.13.33.232.41.61.10.90.91.11.82.73.53.83.83.63.12.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.