Monday, December9, 2019
Privacy Policy
L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Downsville, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:18AMSunset 4:33PM Monday December 9, 2019 1:07 PM EST (18:07 UTC) Moonrise 3:08PMMoonset 4:20AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Downsville, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 42.11, -75     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KBGM 091754 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 1254 PM EST Mon Dec 9 2019

SYNOPSIS. Periods of rain and areas of fog through tonight with a low pressure system tracking through the Great lakes. Colder air will follow for Tuesday afternoon, bringing snow showers that will linger into early Wednesday before dry weather returns Thursday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. 1045 AM Update .

Only very minor changes to the near term grids bases on latest radar trends and near term models. Still expecting periods of rain for the rest of the day, along with areas of fog.Temperatures are in the mid-30s to lower 40s and should warm a few more degrees by afternoon. Temperatures hold steady and even rise overnight. Total rainfall amounts across much of central NY will be light through tonight; a third of an inch or less. The exception will be some locally higher rain amounts across NE PA and the western Catskills where 0.50 to 1" is expected and northern Oneida county where 0.75 to 1.50" is forecast. Rivers and streams will see large rises over the next 24-48 hours, and a few points could reach action or caution stage. At this time flooding is not expected.

630 AM update .

With this latest update, fog has been added into our gridded forecast across our whole area. While today will be breezy, there will be quite a bit of moisture hanging around with rain throughout the day and a melting snowpack. Otherwise, allowed chances for freezing rain/drizzle to linger mainly across Pike and Sullivan counties over the next hour or so. Temperatures still hover around freezing in some spots, with the area being grazed by light rain and drizzle associated with a weak coastal system. Temperatures should continue to rise this morning, quickly ending any risk for icing.

Previous discussion .

Rain chances will fill in across our central zones heading towards sunrise as the surface cyclone tracks towards Lake Michigan. Healthy south/southwest flow out ahead of it continues to funnel warm, moist air into the NE US, with increasingly better chances for rain into the late morning as the low continues to track into Quebec. A strong 40 to 55 kt jet provides more upper level support into the afternoon, with steady, moderate rain becoming heavier at times. Rain becomes more patchy from west to east tonight as the low continues to push into northern Quebec, and a dry slot works in ahead of the cold front while our upper level jet support pushes northward out of the area.

PWATs in excess of an inch will be advected into the region today, but with the system moving pretty rapidly, rain totals will be comparatively limited across most of the area. Totals up to a quarter to three quarters of an inch are most likely area-wide, with higher totals in excess of an inch across northern Oneida county, where some orographic enhancement will be possible, and anywhere that can see any heavier downpours.

The non-diurnal trend will also continue today through tonight, with temperatures continuing to rise ahead of the cold front that is set to track through Tuesday. We should rise into the mid 40s by this evening, with otherwise breezy conditions today as winds gust up generally to 15 to 20 mph and up to around 25 mph across the nigher elevations.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. 345 AM Update . We will transition from initial warmth, back into an Arctic air mass through the midweek period in the wake of a cold front that passes through Tuesday. Main forecast issues in short term include potential for accumulating snow behind the front late Tuesday through early Wednesday for Poconos to Catskills and perhaps adjoining areas; then details of lake effect snow late Wednesday into early Thursday especially NY Thruway counties.

Models have trended slightly later with the frontal passage Tuesday. This will result in even milder morning readings in the mid 40s to lower 50s to be realized. Also, dry slot of system will quickly overtake the area aloft with remaining showers quite light most of the day; while also mixing with snow for hilltops as colder air advects in the region in the afternoon. That said, the front still does hang up to our southeast just as another wave of moisture and strong jet support arrive late Tuesday through Tuesday night, and then precipitation lingers into early Wednesday before pulling out. There is better model agreement now that forced ascent north of the front, with a cooling column, will cause a stripe of accumulating snow for at least the Poconos to Catskills. The uncertainty is just how far northwest that accumulating snow will include; perhaps extending to about Tunkhannock-Deposit-Delhi. Also, despite how thick the saturated layer gets and with good lift, almost all of it will be warmer than dendritic growth temperatures. That said, potential has enhanced enough to slightly increase the snow forecast in coordination with the Weather Prediction Center and adjoining NWS offices. We are figuring on 2-4 inches being likely in higher terrain east of I-81 in Northeast PA and at least 1-3 inches into the Catskills. Initial warmth and wetness of ground in the Wyoming Valley itself meanwhile will probably hold back accumulations to more like a slushy inch or so. The cutoff between the few inches of snow and barely any at all, will likely be sharp, so continue to monitor the forecast for shifts in these details.

By dawn Wednesday, temperatures will be in the 20s areawide, and there will not be much movement during the day as cold air advection continues. Low level flow will still be out of the west-southwest however, and models are not quite as cold for this period as had been indicated a few days ago. We are expected highs of upper 20s-mid 30s, with a few lake effect flurries in Central New York carrying over from Lake Erie. However, another low will move across Quebec and send a secondary front into the area Wednesday evening. This will veer flow to west-northwest Wednesday night-early Thursday. This along with a lowering of the dendritic growth layer will allow Lake Ontario snow to press into at least northern Oneida Wednesday evening and then across the NY Thruway Counties Wednesday night-Thursday morning. This could yield a few inches of fluffy accumulation, as temperatures drop into mainly teens for lows by dawn Thursday. The Arctic high will then pass overhead Thursday daytime, shutting down lake effect around midday, and allowing sunshine for most of the region other than lingering trapped stratocumulus along the Thruway counties. Highs Thursday are figured to be 20s to near 30.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. 345 AM Update . Moderating temperatures are anticipated late in the week, with quiet weather initially but then messier conditions over the weekend.

Though high pressure scoots to our northeast Thursday night into Friday, a dry ridge will still extend over our region which will keep our weather quiet. However, an upper trough will be amplifying over the western Great Lakes-Midwest as we head into the weekend. Ahead of that, most guidance is depicting a negatively-tilting southern stream wave riding up between the amplifying trough and the large high well offshore. This will bring thickening clouds Friday, followed by a good chance for precipitation as we head into weekend. Also, the warm air advection between the trough and high will cause temperatures to rise not just at the surface but especially aloft. Thus precipitation type will be mainly rain, though some freezing rain could occur Friday night if it arrives early enough before surface temperatures get well into the 40s Saturday.

Behind the wave, modest cool air advection during the second half of the weekend within the still somewhat moist cyclonic flow of the upper trough, could result in additional snow and/or rain showers.

AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/.

Periods of rain and restrictions will continue through the taf period. RME, SYR, ELM and ITH will fluctuate between MVFR and Fuel alternate CIGS the rest of the afternoon and into tonight. Meanwhile AVP and BGM will have lower CIGS/VSBYs, fluctuating between IFR and Fuel alternate much of the time. There could also be patchy fog around as the warmer rain falls on the cold ground/snow . bringing localized lower vsbys. There could be some improvement after 15z Tuesday as winds turn northwest and begin to push the dense, low level moisture out of the area. ELM, ITH and perhaps even BGM may come up to borderline MVFR/VFR CIGS toward 18z Tuesday.

South-southeast winds 10-20kts this afternoon and evening. Winds gradually turn toward the southwest late tonight around 10 kts. Winds then shift westerly behind the front late Tuesday morning 8-15 kts.

Otherwise, still looking at LLWS this afternoon into the tonight with a strong 50 kt jet at around 2000 to 3000 ft starting to push into the area. The LLWS eventually diminished and moves off to the east of the area after 12z Tuesday for the NY terminals and after 15z for AVP.

Outlook .

Tuesday afternoon and night . Restrictions possible in rain changing to snow showers. Periods of snow possible Tuesday night near KAVP, with more restrictions.

Wednesday . Restrictions possible in snow showers for NY terminals. Likely VFR at KAVP.

Thursday . Lingering snow showers possible near KSYR and KRME, otherwise VFR expected.

Thursday night . VFR expected areawide.

Friday . VFR to start, then rain moves in late with possible restrictions.

Friday night and Saturday . Restrictions likely in periods of moderate rain.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . HLC NEAR TERM . HLC/MJM SHORT TERM . MDP LONG TERM . MDP AVIATION . MJM


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 58 mi37 min Calm 37°F 1013 hPa36°F

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Monticello, Sullivan County International Airport, NY30 mi11 minESE 40.25 miLight Rain Fog39°F37°F96%1014.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMSV

Wind History from MSV (wind in knots)
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
Last 24hrS7S9S5SE4S5SE4SE3CalmCalmSE4N3E3CalmE5E5NE5E4E4NE3E3CalmSE4NE3SE4
1 day agoW12
G18
NW11
G16
NW9NW10
G15
NW8W3NW4W3W3CalmCalmCalmNW3N3SW6N4SE3CalmCalmCalmCalm4S9S11
2 days agoSW7SW5W3W8
G14
W13
G19
NW14
G20
NW10
G16
W11NW10
G16
NW7
G15
NW8NW7NW12
G15
W6W7NW6NW11NW8NW7W10W5W12
G17
NW13
G20
W10

Tide / Current Tables for Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Kingston Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:15 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 05:21 AM EST     0.12 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:11 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:22 AM EST     3.83 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:03 PM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:24 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:02 PM EST     0.17 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:47 PM EST     3.38 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
3.12.51.710.50.20.312.12.93.53.83.83.32.51.710.40.20.51.32.22.83.3

Tide / Current Tables for Tivoli, Hudson River, New York
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Tivoli
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:15 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 05:50 AM EST     0.13 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:11 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:52 AM EST     4.07 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:03 PM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:23 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:32 PM EST     0.18 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
3.53.12.31.40.80.30.10.61.72.73.43.94.13.83.12.21.40.70.30.30.91.92.73.3

Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (13,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Cookie Policy:
This webiste uses cookies to save your settings. No personal information is saved. You can disable cookies in your browser if you like but it is not recommended for this site. I do not sell cookies. Go to a bakery for that. In fact I do not sell anything. To disable cookies from L-36.com, please refer to the Help button in your browser.
Privacy Policy:
I do not sell or share any user data or anything else for that matter. I do not keep site logs longer than I need to to keep bad actors off the site. Basically, I delete them after looking at them. If you are subject to CCPA, Google ads on this site will not be based on your past behavior so you will likely not see an ad for a lawn mower just because you looked for one at a big box website. I do not believe this site is subject to CCPA but I am doing what I can to follow the guidelines anyway.
Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.