Tuesday, August11, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Downsville, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:06AMSunset 8:11PM Tuesday August 11, 2020 2:40 PM EDT (18:40 UTC) Moonrise 11:09PMMoonset 12:45PM Illumination 47% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Downsville, NY
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location: 42.11, -75     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 111828 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 228 PM EDT Tue Aug 11 2020

SYNOPSIS. Hot and humid weather will continue Tuesday, with thunderstorms developing during the late afternoon. The remainder of the week will remain warmer than normal and unsettled, with afternoon showers or thunderstorms.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. 11 am update . Just made minor changes to cloud cover for later this afternoon and evening. It is looking more and more likely that thunderstorms will kick off out ahead of an approaching cold front and enter our northwestern counties by late this afternoon. SPC has now introduced a marginal risk across the region as the same short wave that kicked off the significant Derecho yesterday is crossing Ontario and will be entering the Saint Lawrence Valley by late afternoon. CAMs are showing a QLCS developing, but confidence is low on positioning and timing. Certainly doesn't look like it will be anything like yesterday's derecho, but it is possible for a fairly stout line of storms to organize by this evening and cross the region through midnight tonight. Damaging winds will be the main threat from these storms.

Previous Discussion . A ridge of high pressure over the eastern seaboard will give way to a trough rotating out of the Ohio Valley today.

A much warmer than normal air mass will combine with high dew points to produce heat indices between 90 and 95 degrees across portions of the northern and western forecast area. Thunderstorms will develop ahead of the trough late Tuesday afternoon, especially after 4 PM.

Shower and thunderstorm activity will diminish in waning instability overnight as temperatures fall into the 60s.

Weak high pressure will build up from the Mid-Atlantic by Wednesday. Temperatures will climb well into the 80s. We can't rule out a shower or thunderstorm, especially over the southeastern forecast area.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. 230 PM UPDATE .

A frontal boundary will settle across central or southern PA into Thursday, as high pressure edges in from Quebec. This will keep most of the area dry, though some showers and rumbles of thunder will be possible during the daytime hours Thursday and Friday across our northeast PA zones given the proximity to the boundary. Otherwise, looking at quiet weather with morning lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s and highs in the low to mid 80s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. 230 PM Update .

No changes to the forecast with much of the period dominated by high pressure. Previous discussion continues below.

300 AM UPDATE .

Period is controlled by high pressure ridging into the area from Southeast Canada. This will keep us dry much of the time, with only isolated or perhaps scattered showers, mainly over NEPA, as waves pass by to the south. Temperatures will be near normal through the period.

On Monday, a cold front moving in from the west will bring showers and thunderstorms to the area, mainly in the afternoon.

AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. VFR conditions are expected until later this afternoon and then a cold front will likely kick off thunderstorms late afternoon into early this evening and these storms will track across the NY terminals by 9 pm tonight. Brief IFR restrictions and strong gusty winds will be possible in thunderstorms and have added into tempo groups at this time with moderate forecast confidence. Less confident that storms will hold together by the time they reach AVP so have just gone with MVFR showers for now.

Clouds could preclude fog Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, but this will also depend on who sees thunderstorms as well . if ELM and BGM get any significant rain again from storms, it likely won't matter if clouds move in and the potential for fog will still exists.

Outlook .

Wednesday through Friday . Mostly VFR expected . possible afternoon thunderstorms at AVP and possible valley fog at ELM overnight.

Saturday and Sunday . Early morning fog possible, especially for KELM.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for NYZ015>018- 023>025-036-037-055-056.

SYNOPSIS . DJP NEAR TERM . DJP/MPK/MJM/MDP SHORT TERM . HLC LONG TERM . DGM/HLC AVIATION . MPK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 58 mi70 min SW 1.9 89°F 1013 hPa71°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Monticello, Sullivan County International Airport, NY30 mi44 minS 710.00 miPartly Cloudy85°F68°F57%1014.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMSV

Wind History from MSV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW7SW5SW9SW5S5S5E6NE3NE3CalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmE3N3CalmCalmSW4SW5SW8S10
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NW6SW3SW3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4N5CalmCalmCalmW33CalmSW645
2 days agoNW534SW5SW5S4SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4W6SW76
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Tide / Current Tables for Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York
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Kingston Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:54 AM EDT     1.21 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:34 AM EDT     3.28 feet High Tide
Tue -- 12:47 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 01:40 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:53 PM EDT     0.94 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:54 PM EDT     3.61 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.31.21.422.633.23.332.41.71.210.91.11.82.63.23.53.63.532.4

Tide / Current Tables for Tivoli, Hudson River, New York
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Tivoli
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Tue -- 02:24 AM EDT     1.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:04 AM EDT     3.48 feet High Tide
Tue -- 12:47 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 01:40 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:23 PM EDT     0.98 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:24 PM EDT     3.83 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.71.41.31.31.82.533.33.53.42.92.11.51.1111.52.33.13.63.83.83.52.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.