Sunday, July25, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Marshfield Hills, MA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:28AMSunset 8:11PM Sunday July 25, 2021 12:13 PM EDT (16:13 UTC) Moonrise 9:42PMMoonset 6:53AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ230 Boston Harbor- 1027 Am Edt Sun Jul 25 2021
.small craft advisory in effect until 8 pm edt this evening...
This afternoon..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Showers this morning.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft. Patchy fog. A chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..SW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 foot or less.
Mon night..W winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tue..W winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers.
Tue night..NW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers.
Wed..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers.
Wed night..S winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thu and Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 1027 Am Edt Sun Jul 25 2021
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. A warm front will bring another chance of showers and Thunderstorms this afternoon and early Mon. Low pressure lingers through mid week with periodic shower and Thunderstorm chances each day. For additional information on possible hazardous weather for the week ahead, please visit www.weather.gov/boston/ehwo


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Marshfield Hills, MA
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location: 42.16, -70.73     debug


Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 251411 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 1011 AM EDT Sun Jul 25 2021

SYNOPSIS.

Warm front lifts through New England this morning bringing increasing clouds, humidity and showers. A weak cold front brings showers through the day with scattered thunderstorms possible mainly this afternoon and evening. The cold front moves offshore tonight. High pressure then brings fair humid weather for Monday. Unsettled pattern returns with the risk for showers and a few thunderstorms each afternoon and evening Tuesday into Friday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/.

10 AM Update .

Dialed back on the thunderstorm chances through the AM as there just isn't much instability available per SPC mesoanalysis. Do have the thunder chances more isolated in nature as there is some instability west of ORH.

Think that the better opportunity for thunderstorms is this afternoon where there is destabilization as skies clear across western portions of the CWA. There still is potential for an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm or two. However, a potential mitigating factor will be the dry air moving in aloft per water vapor imagery, which has been well sampled by the 12Z BUF sounding. Given the dry air, did dial back PoP to slight chance and chance this afternoon into the evening with the highest risk west of ORH and for much of CT. Further east may remain dry and the instability may be limited as skies may clear a bit too late. If a storm can develop do have deep layer shear in the 35-40 kt range with 1000-2000 J/kg of CAPE across far western areas. Thinking the main risk would be gusty winds with DCAPE approaching 1000 J/kg in western areas, but if a supercell can develop it is not out of the question there could be some hail. The latest SPC Day 1 Outlook highlights the greatest risk of a stronger storm or two well today.

730 am update .

We've yet to see any lightning in the showers this morning and they should remain showers for much of the morning. Mesoanalysis indicates limited instability over land with CIN present in the limited area that does exist. This will change as we go into the late morning/afternoon behind the precip shield as we get some breaks in the cloud and diurnal heating. The best shear is out of sync with the good instability, but still enough exists this afternoon that we stand the chance of seeing a few severe thunderstorms, mainly over western/central MA and CT.

Previous Discussion .

Upper shortwave pushes a warm front through the region today. One 50- kt low level jet pushes up through VT into Canada, while a second 40- kt low level jet moves up the coast and across SE Mass. Plenty of moisture being moved into Srn New England by the latter jet, with PW values of 1.5 to 1.75 inches. By afternoon, this moisture concentrates along the South Coast and adjacent parts of CT-RI-SE Mass. This is above average for mid-late July although not excessive Still. could be some local downpours.

Convective parameters are modest but supportive. CAPEs of 1000-1500 J/Kg build along the NY border this afternoon, with 700 J/Kg moving across the region this afternoon/evening. LI values will be minus 1 to minus 2, mostly in the afternoon. Expecting showers, with a thunderstorm possible. If the storms are able to draw upon that 40- kt jet then there could be strong wind gusts. Best chance for this would be in Western MA and adjacent parts of CT. Note that SPC has these western areas in a Marginal Risk, meaning isolated severe tstms possible but limited in duration/coverage/intensity.

With a developing southwest wind and increasing moisture, expect increasing dew points this morning. Early morning values were 60 to 65, but values of 65 to 69 noted in SW CT and Long Island.

Data continues to suggest mixing will reach just to 925-mb. Winds in the layer suggest gusts to 25 kt, possibly 30 kt. Temperatures at 925-mb climb to 16-18C this afternoon . equiv to 8-10C at 850-mb. So expect max temps mostly in the mid 70s.

So to sum up . a cloudy muggy day with showers and scattered thunderstorms, some with local downpours and gusty winds.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/. Overview .

Weak cold front slides south of New England tonight. West-northwest flow behind the front will bring drier air and clearing . although South coast areas may hold on to the showers later into the night. High pressure then builds over the region for Monday, bringing warmer air.

Details .

Tonight .

Showers/thunder will taper off early in the night in the interior. Showers/thunder will linger through midnight along the South Coast before tapering off. A west-northwest upper flow will bring clearing skies to the region. Dew points remain in the mid 60s along the NH border and upper 60s/around 70 along the South coast, so expect at least some humidity through the night. Clearing skies and light wind will allow areas of fog to form, especially in the usual favored spots. Based on expected dew points, expect min temps in the 60s, except around 70 along the South coast.

Monday .

Upper trough maintains a weak cyclonic flow over the Northeast USA. Moisture cross sections continue to show a brief moist layer between the 800-mb and 700-mb levels. With mixing reaching into that layer, expect diurnal cu to once again develop, although limited in coverage. So a mostly sunny day, with wind gusts 15 kt or less. Temperatures at 800-mb show readings of 10-11C, equiv to 15-16C at 850-mb. This would support max sfc temps in the mid to upper 80s, except 80 or low 80s along the Berkshire East Slopes. West winds will be persistent enough to limit sea breezes to the South Coast.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/.

Highlights .

* Periodic rain and thunderstorm chances through the period, first on Tuesday then again Thursday into Friday

* Near to slightly above normal temperatures continue Tuesday, then trend below normal Wednesday through the weekend

Details .

Tuesday through Wednesday .

The broad trough that remains overhead through the end of the week reloads on Tuesday bringing the return of rain and thunderstorm chances. Zonal steering flow Monday night becomes more amplified by Tuesday afternoon as the shortwave rounds the base of the trough. At the surface a weak warm front is followed quickly by a trailing cold front Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning, while placement of a 300 mb jet favors large scale ascent. With PWATs near 1.75" and instability on the order of 1000 J/kg of CAPE some embedded thunderstorms are expected. Guidance is divided on how favorable or not the shear will be, but the higher resolution NAM would favor a poor shear, weaker thunderstorm environment; something to watch as we approach. By Wednesday high pressure returns with dry and partly sunny conditions. Behind the front temperatures will top out in the 70s compared to upper 80s on Tuesday.

Thursday through Saturday .

For the second half of the week ingredients come together for a more potent period of unsettled weather followed by a break by the weekend. A deeper shortwave digs in from the Great Lakes region Thursday into Friday bringing a surge of moisture in the form of more clouds, rain, and thunderstorms. Timing of the wettest period is uncertain but at this point Thursday evening into Friday morning look like the best shot at heavier rain. Beyond that high pressure may return bringing a drier start to the weekend. Temperatures remain below normal through the extended forecast period, in the 70s for most, low 80s in the typical warmest locations.

AVIATION /14Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/.

Forecaster Confidence Levels.

Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent.

Today . High confidence in trends, moderate in timing.

Ceilings/vsbys lower to MVFR this morning from west to east as a warm front brings showers and humid air. A few areas, such as the Central Hills, may lower to IFR for a time. The showers will be joined by scattered thunderstorms, especially in Western Mass and Hartford County CT this afternoon. Southwest winds will be 10-15 kt with gusts to 25 kt possible especially across CT-RI-SE Mass.

Tonight . Moderate confidence.

The risk of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will diminish most places early tonight, but may linger along the South Coast until just after midnight. Expect improving ceilings and vsbys as skies clear from northwest to southeast.

Light wind and wet ground may favor patchy fog late tonight, with IFR cigs/vsbys where it occurs.

Monday . High confidence.

High pressure builds over Southern New England, bringing light wind and mostly clear skies. VFR.

KBOS TAF . High confidence in TAF. VFR conditions overnight with showers arriving around 7-9AM and continuing through the morning. There may be a break, but showers return during the afternoon and possibly a thunderstorm.

KBDL TAF . High confidence in TAF. VFR conditions, lowing to MVFR in showers 5-7AM continuing through the morning. There may be a break, before scattered showers/thunderstorms develop during the afternoon.

Outlook /Monday Night through Thursday/ .

Monday through Monday Night: VFR.

Tuesday through Tuesday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, slight chance TSRA.

Wednesday: VFR. Chance SHRA, isolated TSRA.

Wednesday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.

Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy. Chance SHRA, slight chance TSRA.

MARINE.

Forecaster Confidence Levels.

Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent.

Today .

South winds turn more from the southwest, with gusts increasing to 25-30 kt. Seas build to 5-6 feet on the southern waters and outer eastern waters.

Showers develop this morning from west to east, and may be accompanied by a thunderstorm. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will move across the waters this afternoon and evening, with best chance over the southern waters as well as the waters around Cape Cod. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for all waters today.

Tonight .

Cold front moves offshore tonight, stalls for a time, then slowly moves out to sea overnight. This will maintain a chance of showers/thunder until the front moves off. Gusty winds and 5-foot seas linger on the Southern waters overnight, but winds/seas will diminish on the waters farther north.

Monday .

Winds less than 15 kt all waters. Seas near 5 feet on the Southern Outer waters, where a Small Craft Advisory will continue, but less than 5 feet on most of the waters.

/Outlook /Monday Night through Thursday/ .

Monday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.

Monday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Slight chance of rain showers, isolated thunderstorms.

Tuesday Night through Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Chance of rain showers, slight chance of thunderstorms.

Wednesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Slight chance of rain showers.

Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain showers, slight chance of thunderstorms.

HYDROLOGY.

No active river flood warnings are in effect for rivers and waterways across southern New England.

However, after having a tremendous amount of rainfall from early to mid July, many rivers and streams are running much higher than normal. This is resulting in swift currents that would not typically be seen in the summer. These swift currents can catch those swimming or tubing/kayaking on area waterways off guard. There have been 3 total reports of drownings in the last week on the Farmington River in CT and Squannacook River in MA given the higher than usual flows and swift currents.

Through the weekend, those with interests swimming, tubing or kayaking on area rivers and waterways should be aware that swift currents due to high flows are occurring. This can result in dangerous conditions, and it is generally discouraged to swim, inner-tube, or kayak until flows decrease.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. Tides reached their monthly astronomical peak and will now trend lower each day. Tides will not flood, but could still cause minor splashover with the evening high tide tonight. Minor splashover is possible on typically vulnerable shoreline roads.

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. MA . None. RI . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Monday for ANZ231-232. Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for ANZ233- 234-250-251. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ230- 236. Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Monday for ANZ235-237. Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT Monday for ANZ254>256.

SYNOPSIS . WTB/BL/BW NEAR TERM . WTB/BL/BW SHORT TERM . WTB LONG TERM . WTB AVIATION . WTB/BW MARINE . WTB/BW HYDROLOGY . TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44013 - BOSTON 16 NM East of Boston, MA 14 mi43 min SSW 18 G 25 69°F1013.3 hPa
BHBM3 - 8443970 - Boston, MA 22 mi55 min 72°F 1012.3 hPa
44029 - Buoy A0102 - Mass. Bay/Stellwagen 27 mi129 min SSW 14 G 16 69°F 69°F2 ft1013.4 hPa
44090 31 mi47 min 70°F2 ft
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 39 mi55 min SSW 15 G 22 71°F 1014.8 hPa
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 39 mi55 min 71°F 74°F1015.1 hPa
FRXM3 40 mi55 min 71°F 70°F
WAXM3 - Waquoit Bay Reserve, MA 41 mi88 min SSE 4.1 73°F 1015 hPa64°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 43 mi55 min SW 11 G 16 70°F 69°F1014.8 hPa
PVDR1 43 mi55 min SSW 14 G 19 71°F 1014.9 hPa65°F
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 44 mi55 min 69°F 73°F1015.7 hPa
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 45 mi55 min 70°F 73°F1014.3 hPa
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 48 mi88 min WSW 8 69°F 1015 hPa65°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 48 mi55 min WSW 8.9 G 15 70°F 1015.3 hPa
PRUR1 49 mi55 min 70°F 67°F

Wind History for Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Marshfield Airport, MA5 mi18 minSSW 13 G 2110.00 miMostly Cloudy70°F64°F83%1013.5 hPa
Plymouth, Plymouth Municipal Airport, MA17 mi21 minSSW 11 G 2010.00 miOvercast70°F63°F79%1014.2 hPa
Boston, Logan International Airport, MA22 mi19 minSW 14 G 235.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist71°F64°F79%1013.2 hPa
Norwood, Norwood Memorial Airport, MA23 mi20 minSW 99.00 miLight Rain71°F63°F76%1013.5 hPa
Taunton, Taunton Municipal Airport, MA24 mi21 minSSW 9 G 1810.00 miOvercast71°F64°F79%1014.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGHG

Wind History from GHG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr4NE65E6E54SE4SE4S4CalmCalmCalmCalmSW4SW4SW3Calm3S4S6S7S8S9
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NE7E7NE6E5SE4SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3W3CalmCalmW3Calm--43NE655
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Tide / Current Tables for Damons Point, North River, Massachusetts
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Damons Point
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Sun -- 12:40 AM EDT     10.37 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:52 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:22 AM EDT     -1.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:22 PM EDT     8.94 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:32 PM EDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:41 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1010.39.47.65.32.70.3-0.9-0.70.72.95.57.78.88.77.75.93.81.60.20.21.53.66.2

Tide / Current Tables for Boston Harbor, Massachusetts Current
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Boston Harbor
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:08 AM EDT     -1.40 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 05:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:34 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:53 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 09:48 AM EDT     1.32 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 12:33 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:39 PM EDT     -1.26 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 06:55 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:43 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:07 PM EDT     1.27 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.1-0.6-1-1.3-1.4-1.3-0.60.411.21.310.4-0.3-0.7-1-1.2-1.2-0.80.10.91.21.31.1

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