Wednesday, December11, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Stottville, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 4:23PM Wednesday December 11, 2019 4:23 AM EST (09:23 UTC) Moonrise 5:12PMMoonset 7:25AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 409 Am Est Wed Dec 11 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from this evening through late tonight...
Today..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W early this afternoon, then increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late. Seas 1 ft or less. Snow this morning, then slight chance of snow early this afternoon. Vsby less than 1 nm, increasing to 1 to 3 nm late this morning and early afternoon.
Tonight..W winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..SE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the afternoon.
Fri night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
Sat..E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less. Rain.
Sat night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Chance of rain.
Sun..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sun night..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
ANZ300 409 Am Est Wed Dec 11 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A weak wave of low pressure passes offshore this morning. Arctic high pressure then builds across the waters late today into Thursday. The high shifts offshore Thursday night with low pressure approaching from the south Friday. This low passes through on Saturday with high pressure returning on Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stottville, NY
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location: 42.33, -73.76     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 110909 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 409 AM EST Wed Dec 11 2019

SYNOPSIS. Light snow across southeastern areas will end this morning and clouds will break for some sun. As much colder air moves back into the region, some lake effect snow will develop for northern and western parts of the area for late today through tonight. Cold temperatures will continue for Thursday, but milder temperatures and more rain is expected for Friday into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 409 AM EST . Surface cold front is located offshore New England and the mid-Atlantic States, with a weak wave of low pressure moving along the boundary. A strong jet streak (around 180 kts) over the Northeast is helping develop precip on the cold (ana-frontal) side of the boundary. The back edge of the precipitation shield is slowing moving southward and snowfall is now limited to just Ulster, Dutchess, Columbia, Litchfield, Berkshire and Windham Counties. Snow will continue to taper off from northwest to southeast and by daybreak, only Litchfield County should still being seeing snowfall. Will continue the Winter Weather Advisory for Litchfield, as although total snowfall amounts are fairly light (generally a coating to a few inches), the falling snow and snow covered roadways will make for a tricky commute across NW CT. Based off hires model guidance, snow will end across Litchfield County by about 9 AM to 10 AM.

Elsewhere, it will be a cloudy start to the day, but breaks in the clouds are expected at some point during the day, although it may take until afternoon for all the higher clouds to finally clear out. It will be noticeably cooler today, as temperatures will only be reaching the mid 20s to mid 30s for high today.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. A secondary boundary (an Arctic cold front) will be moving across the area for this evening. Some snow showers are expected across the western Adirondacks after 6 PM as a combination of some lake moisture, upslope flow and the passing boundary all contribute to a broken line of snow showers. Some of these may see some locally heavier bursts, as 00z HREF suggest rates may briefly exceed 1 inch per hour across northern Herkimer and northwestern Hamilton Counties for this evening. Otherwise, winds will switch to the northwest behind the front and become gusty for this evening into tonight.

For later tonight (around and just after midnight), a broken band of lake effect snow looks to develop across the Mohawk Valley. Inland extent may not be quite as far as what models suggested yesterday, but a coating to an inch of snowfall is possible for areas west of Amsterdam for tonight. Still can't rule out a few flurries reaching the Capital Region, but best chance for accumulation looks to be to the west. This band looks to recede closer to the lakeshore and lift northward towards daybreak Thursday. Lows tonight will be in the teens.

On Thursday, any lake effect will end across our area thanks to an approaching area of high pressure. As a result, skies will be fairly clear, but temps will be rather chilly, with highs only in the 20s. Some clouds may return for Thursday night, but it still looks fairly chilly in teens and 20s, but it will continue to be dry.

Clouds will increase even more for Friday morning, as the next system approaches. This will be a low pressure area lifting northward out of the Southeast and will have plenty of Atlantic moisture associated with it. Models still don't agree on the exact track, but both temps aloft and within the boundary layer will be warming quickly. Precip should be beginning sometime between Friday afternoon and Friday evening, with fairly steady precip expected for Friday night. There could be a little wintry mix at the onset across the higher terrain (lingering longest across the sheltered valleys of the Adirondacks and within southern Vermont), but most of the precip will be in the form of rain as temps warming through the 30s on Friday and hold steady or slowly rise for Friday night.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Long term looks to be a period of active weather.

For Saturday into Sunday a negatively tilted longwave trough at 500mb moves from the Tennessee Valley northeast across New England. During this time, surface low pressure over the Southeast U.S. is forecast to consolidate over New York State and move into eastern Canada. Precipitation looks to be mainly rain, although there could be a period of freezing rain Saturday morning across the southern Adirondacks and southern Vermont, and it may end as some snow showers across the higher terrain on Sunday. Rainfall and snowmelt will likely lead to near bankfull rises on area rivers again. High temperatures on saturday in the 30s and 40s. Low temperatures Saturday night from the upper 20s to upper 30s. Highs on Sunday in the 30s and 40s.

Behind the low pressure system, a brief shot of Arctic air will move across the area on Sunday night and Monday. There will be some scattered snow showers downwind of Lake Ontario over the southern Adirondacks and western Mohawk Valley. Lows Sunday night mid teens north to mid 20s south. Highs on Monday from the mid 20s north to mid 30s south.

Another storm system is forecast to impact the region on Tuesday. Trends have been to bring system farther northward with time so precipitation type is in question. A mixed bag is likely. Lows Tuesday mid teens north to mid 20s south. Highs Tuesday from the upper 20s north to upper 30s south.

AVIATION /09Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Area of snow will affect KPSF and KPOU through 10-11Z. MVFR/IFR conditions expected at KPOU/KPSF with snow. Steady snow will likely not make it as far north as KALB and KGFL, with generally VFR conditions through the overnight. Mainly VFR conditions returning at KPOU and KPSF Wednesday morning. Patchy MVFR during the day Wednesday all TAF sites.

Winds will generally be northwest around 5-15 kt, becoming westerly on Wednesday.

Outlook .

Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of RA. Friday Night: High Operational Impact. Definite RA. Saturday: High Operational Impact. Definite RA. Saturday Night: Moderate Operational Impact Likely SHRA. RA. Sunday: Moderate Operational Impact. Breezy Chance of SHRA. Sunday Night: Low Operational Impact. Breezy Slight Chance of SHSN. Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

HYDROLOGY. As temperatures cool off for today and tonight, runoff from the recent rainfall and snow melt should slow down. Any additional precipitation in the form of snow early this morning for southern areas won't have any immediate impact on rivers and streams.

For the remainder of the work week, rivers and streams will slowly recede, although some rivers (such as the Housatonic River) may remain elevated. Another storm may bring more moderate to significant rain to the region for Friday into Saturday, which will cause rivers and streams to rise once again. Many rivers may approach bankfull levels and some flooding will be possible, especially across western New England.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including latest observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . Winter Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for CTZ001-013. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . Frugis NEAR TERM . Frugis SHORT TERM . Frugis LONG TERM . SND AVIATION . SND HYDROLOGY . Frugis


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 23 mi53 min Calm 31°F 1021 hPa27°F
TKPN6 24 mi59 min NNW 2.9 G 7 31°F 34°F1022 hPa26°F
NPXN6 36 mi53 min N 1.9 33°F 1022 hPa31°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 85 mi53 min N 4.1 G 9.9 34°F 42°F1021.1 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 86 mi59 min N 5.1 G 8 34°F 44°F1021.2 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pittsfield Municipal Airport, MA26 mi29 minW 810.00 miOvercast27°F19°F72%1020.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPSF

Wind History from PSF (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Coxsackie, Hudson River, New York
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Coxsackie
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:06 AM EST     3.58 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:25 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:00 AM EST     0.03 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:25 PM EST     4.88 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:12 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:22 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 09:44 PM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.22.93.43.63.32.41.610.400.41.52.83.84.54.84.73.92.81.91.10.300.6

Tide / Current Tables for Hudson, Hudson River, New York
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Hudson
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:04 AM EST     3.74 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:25 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:23 AM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:10 PM EST     4.55 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:12 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:22 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 09:10 PM EST     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.93.53.73.62.91.910.3-00.112.33.54.34.54.43.82.81.70.90.2-0.20.11.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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