Tuesday, February25, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Butte Falls, OR

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 5:56PM Tuesday February 25, 2020 6:37 AM PST (14:37 UTC) Moonrise 8:12AMMoonset 8:02PM Illumination 4% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Butte Falls, OR
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location: 42.42, -122.49     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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FXUS66 KMFR 251222 CCA AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion . CORRECTED National Weather Service Medford OR 422 AM PST Tue Feb 25 2020

DISCUSSION. The latest suite of data and recent model trends suggest that the rest of the workweek will feature a continuation of dry, mostly sunny conditions. This will be followed by cooler and wetter conditions, representing what would be the first rainfall over inland areas in more than 2 week.

A weak front over the offshore waters this morning will move towards the coast today but will only bring some increasing high clouds. No precipitation is expected. With a very dry air mass still in place today, large daily swings in temperatures will continue (dry air cools/warms quicker than moist air). After a cold start to the morning (5 degrees below normal in valleys), temperatures will rise to readings that are about 10 degrees above normal for this time of year. Warm afternoons and cold mornings with sunshine will continue through Friday. Afternoon temperatures peak on Thursday and Friday with widepsread 60s expected and possibly 70 degrees in some West Side valleys.

Models depict a front with generally light precipitation arriving Saturday. Most likely this will be a sacrificial front, meaning it will serve to moisten the air mass some and change regimes, but it won't deliver much in the way of precipitation (if any). We don't have high precipitation chances for this front (less than 50% for Medford and less for most of East Side), and this seems reasonable. A better shot at significant precipitation across the forecast area is next week when ensembles are more clearly trending towards wetter and cooler conditions. Snow levels dip to 3500 feet with next week's system. Keene

CLIMATE. Taking a look at the latest data, most of the forecast area is between 40 and 60 percent of normal in terms of precipitation since Oct 1 (water year).

AVIATION. For the 25/12Z TAF Cycle . VFR conditions will continue through Tuesday night, except for LIFR ceilings/visibilities in low clouds and fog in the Umpqua Valley early this morning and some patches in the Illinois Valley. Also, patches of MVFR are likely to develop along the coast late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. -DW

MARINE. Updated 300 AM PST Tuesday, 25 Feb 2020 . A thermal trough will slowly develop today, then strengthen Wednesday. As a result, gusty north winds and choppy, steep wind driven seas will return south of Cape Blanco this afternoon and evening then become stronger and higher on Wednesday afternoon and evening. In addition, another swell train will move into the waters on Wednesday into Thursday so expect another period of advisory level conditions for most areas Wednesday afternoon into Thursday. Conditions will improve briefly on Friday before the weather turns more active next weekend. -BPN/DW

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OR . Frost Advisory until 9 AM PST this morning for ORZ021-022.

CA . None.

Pacific Coastal Waters . Frost Advisory until 9 AM PST this morning for PZZ350. Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 8 PM PST this evening for PZZ356-376.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rogue Valley International Airport, OR20 mi45 minN 010.00 miFair31°F23°F72%1034.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMFR

Wind History from MFR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmN33N4CalmCalmN5CalmCalmCalmS5S6S3W3CalmS4CalmCalmCalmCalmS4Calm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm5N7NW13
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NW11NW11NW9N10NE7NE7N7CalmN3NE3N3N5NE4N7
2 days agoCalmCalmSE3N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS6S5SE3CalmN3E4CalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Brookings, Chetco Cove, Oregon
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Brookings
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:55 AM PST     6.37 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:40 AM PST     2.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:59 AM PST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:19 AM PST     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:29 PM PST     6.68 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:01 PM PST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:01 PM PST     0.51 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:09 PM PST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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6.16.465.1432.32.22.73.74.966.66.65.94.73.31.90.90.50.91.93.24.7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.