Wednesday, August21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Burdett, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:17AMSunset 8:00PM Wednesday August 21, 2019 4:33 PM EDT (20:33 UTC) Moonrise 10:09PMMoonset 11:01AM Illumination 63% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:201908212115;;986295 Fzus51 Kbuf 211438 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 1038 Am Edt Wed Aug 21 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-212115- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 1038 Am Edt Wed Aug 21 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from late tonight through Thursday evening...
This afternoon..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south less than 10 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms this afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Thursday..West winds 15 to 20 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Thursday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Partly cloudy. Waves subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.
Friday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. Due to upwelling, the water temperature off rochester is 56 degrees. Meanwhile, the central lake ontario buoy water temperature is 71 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Burdett, NY
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location: 42.42, -76.71     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 211849
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
249 pm edt Wed aug 21 2019

Synopsis
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will dissipate
this evening. A cold front crosses the region on Thursday with
isolated to scattered showers, especially for northeast
pennsylvania. Dry and cool high pressure builds in behind the
front to end the week and lasts through the weekend.

Near term through Thursday
Short wave continues to push east and is just about exiting our
forecast area as of 1830z. There is an area of convergence at
the surface, where a weak line of convection has developed
between i88 and i90 corridors. However, water vapor shows very
dry air aloft and any updrafts are having a very hard time
punching into this dry air layer, so convection has remained
quite weak. Convection this morning also had hindered
instability this afternoon, as cloud cover limited much surface
heating from occurring. There has been some recovery over the
last hour or two and low level lapse rates are increasing, but the
dry air mentioned above should be enough to limit the vertical
extent of any storms that can get going.

Showers and thunderstorms will dissipate as forcing continues to
push further east this evening and with the loss of heating.

Skies will likely remain partly cloudy overnight, but may see an
increase in clouds by morning with a cold front dropping down
from the north. Valley fog development seems likely with the wet
antecedent conditions from rainfall earlier today and light
winds overnight, but if clouds push into the region sooner than
expected, then this could hinder fog development.

Tomorrow cold front crosses the area, but instability will be
weak, but there could be enough instability realized across ne
pa for a few thunderstorms to develop. A much drier and cooler
airmass pushes in behind the front with high pressure overhead
by early Friday morning.

Short term Thursday night through Saturday
Frontal boundary will be just south of the area on Friday
morning and may trigger a few light showers over the extreme
south early in the day. Then, high pressure will build in for
the weekend with much drier air. Closed upper low will drop into
eastern ny and may trigger some instability showers, especially
east of i-81, but coverage will be very limited. Otherwise,
expect below normal temperatures through the period with the
northerly flow.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday
A relatively quiet weather period as an upper low slowly
withdraws from eastern ny into new england on Monday. This may
result in a few instability showers over the eastern zones,
especially with daytime heating. Behind the low, some weak
upper ridging develops. At the surface, ridging noses down from
northern new england as remains in place into Tuesday. So
despite a few light showers due to the upper low, the period
should generally be dry and comfortable with afternoon highs
trending from below to near normal by Tuesday.

Aviation 18z Wednesday through Monday
Tricky aviation forecast with a couple waves of convection
moving across the terminals. The first will finish carrying
through the area 12z-15z. While isolated to scattered
convection will generally be possible through the day, another
primary time of focus is expected from mid-afternoon northwest
to early evening southeast due to a boundary sweeping through
with newly developing storms from daytime heating. For that
second batch there are currently no thunder groups for kelm-
kith-ksyr-krme due to likelihood of storms only just starting to
form as the boundary passes; but watch for amendments in case
confidence increases. Winds will be variable to light southeast,
will veer southwest to west later today under 8 knots, though
erratic gusts are possible in vicinity of storms. Behind the
front, at least minor ceiling restrictions are expected to
develop later tonight for the ny terminals. Depending on where
heavier rain falls today, lingering moisture tonight could cause
lower restrictions than currently indicated in the tafs.

Outlook...

Thursday... Scattered showers and possible brief restrictions as
a front passes, otherwiseVFR.

Thursday night through Sunday...VFR, except late night early
morning fog possible at kelm over the weekend.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Mpk
near term... Mpk
short term... Dgm
long term... Dgm
aviation... Mpk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 73 mi46 min W 8.9 G 12 1010.4 hPa
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 75 mi34 min ENE 5.1 G 6 75°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 76 mi46 min 1009.4 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ithaca, Ithaca Tompkins Regional Airport, NY13 mi98 minS 810.00 miA Few Clouds81°F69°F70%1012.2 hPa
Elmira, Elmira / Corning Regional Airport, NY19 mi41 minW 610.00 miA Few Clouds85°F66°F55%1010.4 hPa
Penn Yan, Penn Yan Airport, NY24 mi41 minW 610.00 miPartly Cloudy85°F66°F53%1010.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KITH

Wind History from ITH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--S5S6SE4SE4SE4------------S6S6S3----NW3SW7--------NW9
1 day agoNW10NW8NW7CalmN4Calm--------E3CalmE4--E4E3CalmCalm3455CalmW5
2 days agoS8S7SE3S8S7S9----S6--SE6----S6S6CalmSW4S4--W7W8W7NW8--

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.