Tuesday, March2, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Burdett, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:37AMSunset 5:58PM Tuesday March 2, 2021 9:27 PM EST (02:27 UTC) Moonrise 10:10PMMoonset 8:41AM Illumination 81% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202103030415;;379567 Fzus51 Kbuf 022247 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 547 Pm Est Tue Mar 2 2021 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-030415- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 547 Pm Est Tue Mar 2 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday evening...
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots. A chance of snow showers early. A chance of snow showers late. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Wednesday..West winds 15 to 25 knots. Rain showers likely in the afternoon. Waves 5 to 8 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
Wednesday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow and rain showers in the evening, then a chance of snow showers overnight. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Thursday..North winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest 15 to 20 knots. Scattered snow showers in the morning. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Friday..Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Scattered snow showers. Waves 3 to 6 feet building to 5 to 8 feet, then subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
Saturday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Sunday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less. The water temperature off rochester is 35 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Burdett, NY
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location: 42.42, -76.71     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 030141 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 841 PM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

SYNOPSIS. Milder, more seasonable temperatures will return Wednesday, as a frontal system drops into Upstate NY with a few rain or snow showers. Another shot of cold air will bring scattered snow showers to Central and Northern NY Wednesday night into Thursday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. 830 PM Update .

Made some minor changes to cloud cover temperatures based on latest METSAT and observation trends. Also lowered PoPs across Oneida County over the next few hours. Any precip from the low dropping out of Ontario later tonight is still just entering the Saint Lawrence Valley and is likely still a few hours out from coming into Northern Oneida County.

240 PM update .

A deep upper level cyclone over Eastern Canada will control our weather through the next few days. A surface front will spread clouds into Upstate NY tonight, allowing temperatures to slowly rise after midnight. Snow showers will drop into our northeastern counties overnight and spread a dusting to an inch of snow across the region.

As the cyclone retreats to the northeast on Wednesday, temperatures will rebound into the lower 40s along the Twin Tiers. Scattered rain and snow showers will fall along the front as it dips into Central NY.

The upper level storm will reload Wednesday night and drive another surge of cold air into NY and PA. Temperatures will fall into the upper teens and lower 20s as light snow showers continue.

1010 AM update .

Winds slackened across the region, allowing us to lower the remaining flags across our eastern and northern forecast area.

A brisk northwest wind is preventing temperatures from rising this morning. We altered near term temperatures to better reflect current observations and the latest guidance.

The new gridded forecast has been released.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. 330 PM Update .

A broad upper trough will remain situated over New England and the Canadian Maritimes Thursday and Friday, with cold northwest flow keeping in below-average temperatures through the period. Highs both days will only be in the mid and upper 20s, possibly the lower 30s in the typically warmer Wyoming valley. Expect lows in the teens and even single digits Thursday night.

Otherwise, much of the period is looking dry. A few snow showers may linger Thursday morning behind a passing shortwave, but a fairly dry airmass will keep additional snow amounts quite low. Will not rule out some stray lake effect flurries or snow showers southeast of Lake Ontario the rest of Thursday and Friday, otherwise expect at least partly sunny skies. Persistent northwest winds may gust up to 20 to 25 mph during the daytime hours, particularly over the hilltops.

Friday night, another shortwave drooping through will help to spread additional chances for snow showers across the rest of central NY with light accumulations possible. Temperatures fall back generally into the teens and lower 20s, though cooler values in the single digits will be possible towards northern Oneida county.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. 330 PM Update . Minor changes to allow for some lingering lake effect snow showers into early Sunday courtesy of cold northwest flow, otherwise the forecast remains on track.

355 AM Update . Remaining cool, with below average temperatures and a few snow showers around on Saturday. Then, the upper level trough begins to slowly shift east by the second half of the weekend. This should allow any lingering flurries to end, with partly sunny conditions returning by Sunday afternoon. Temperatures also gradually warm a few degrees, closer to the seasonal average . with highs in the 30s to around 40 on Sunday.

Then, fairly good agreement and higher confidence that an upper level ridge and associated surface warm front push through the area on Monday. This will bring dry conditions, partly sunny skies and mild temperatures . with highs likely reaching well into the 40s. 500mb heights continue to rise heading into next Tuesday. There could be a very weak disturbance rolling through in the zonal, west- southwest flow . but not enough agreement to include PoPs at this time. The main story will continue to be the warming temperatures . early indications from NBM guidance are that highs may reach the mid-40s to lower 50s.

AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Skies will continue to be clear to mostly clear tonight with VFR conditions at all terminals, except SYR and RME where skies will be broken but still VFR. LLWS will be present at all terminals starting between 04 and 05z for ITH, ELM, BGM, and AVP and then a few hours later at SYR, and RME. LLWS will last until around 12 to 14z.

Sky cover increases Wednesday bringing conditions down to MVFR at all NY terminals by Wednesday afternoon, which is associated with a system that will also bring some light snow. While BGM, ELM, and ITH could see light snow late Wednesday afternoon, around 22z, confidence was too low to include that in this update. Light snow showers after 20z will bring reduced visibilities to SYR and RME, but will remain at MVFR conditions. During this time, AVP will remain at VFR through the period.

While wind gusts diminish tonight, they will pick back up Wednesday morning for AVP, BGM, and ELM with gusts around 17 kts.

Outlook .

Wednesday night through Thursday . Scattered lake effect snow showers may bring occasional restrictions to the NY terminals.

Thursday night through mid day Friday . Mainly VFR.

Late Friday through Saturday night . Scattered lake effect snow showers may bring occasional restrictions to the NY terminals.

Sunday . Mainly VFR.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . DJP NEAR TERM . DJP/MPK SHORT TERM . HLC LONG TERM . HLC/MJM AVIATION . BTL


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 73 mi189 min S 4.1 G 7 23°F 1020 hPa11°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 76 mi189 min 28°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Last
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NW36
G44
NW30
G40
NW34
G41
NW28
NW25
G31
NW26
G34
NW24
G30
NW25
G39
NW26
G33
NW21
G28
W18
G23
NW15
G23
NW12
G17
NW18
G22
W18
G23
W17
G22
W18
G23
W16
G21
W11
G17
W16
G21
SW5
S5
S7
G11
S9
G14
1 day
ago
SE11
G18
S13
G18
S11
G16
S13
G18
S16
G21
S16
G23
S12
G18
SW15
G20
W17
G24
W18
G26
W19
G26
W25
G36
NW26
W29
G35
W28
G35
W28
G35
W24
G32
W30
G37
W33
G41
NW33
G42
NW38
G50
W42
NW41
NW40
2 days
ago
S5
SW7
G10
SW4
G7
S3
S3
S6
G11
S4
G9
S8
G12
S5
G9
S5
G10
S10
S12
G17
SE12
G17
SE12
G18
SE13
G20
SE12
G20
SE17
G23
SE6
SE14
G23
SE9
G12
SE13
G18
SE13
G16
SE15
G23
S13
G18

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ithaca, Ithaca Tompkins Regional Airport, NY13 mi31 minESE 410.00 miFair17°F8°F68%1017.8 hPa
Elmira, Elmira / Corning Regional Airport, NY19 mi34 minN 010.00 miFair22°F11°F63%1017.7 hPa
Penn Yan, Penn Yan Airport, NY24 mi34 minN 010.00 miFair21°F13°F71%1017.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KITH

Wind History from ITH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW33
G38
NW20
G31
NW17NW24
G32
NW18
G24
NW24
G29
NW19
G26
NW21
G31
NW21
G28
NW19
G24
NW17
G21
NW19NW17
G21
NW14NW12
G23
NW13
G22
NW10NW9N5CalmCalmE5E5E4
1 day agoS19
G24
S17
G23
S14
G23
S12
G21
S13S15SE10S7W3NW3NW9NW14
G21
NW17NW21
G25
NW22
G27
NW17
G27
NW16
G23
NW16
G22
NW20
G24
W19
G25
W26
G34
NW21
G36
NW26
G34
NW21
G30
2 days agoNE3NE3E3E5SE3E3E4E6E7SE4SE7SE8SE6SE12SE11
G18
SE10
G15
SE15
G22
S15
G21
S11
G18
S13
G17
SE12--S13
G19
S17
G24

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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