Saturday, January23, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Brocton, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:37AMSunset 5:19PM Saturday January 23, 2021 11:33 AM EST (16:33 UTC) Moonrise 1:02PMMoonset 3:11AM Illumination 78% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ061 Ripley To Buffalo Ny Extending From 5nm Off Shoreline To Us- Canadian Border-willowick To Geneva-on-the- Lake Oh Beyond 5nm Off Shoreline To Us-canadian Border-geneva-on- The-lake To Conneaut Oh Beyond 5 Nm Off Shoreline To Us- Canadian Border- Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny Beyond 5 Nm Off Shoreline To Us- Canadian Border- 954 Am Est Sat Jan 23 2021
This afternoon..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers, then a slight chance of snow showers late. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 2 to 3 feet.
Tonight..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of flurries early. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..East winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots. A chance of rain and snow showers during the day, then snow and rain showers likely Monday night. Waves 2 feet or less building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain and snow showers during the day. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
LEZ061 Expires:202101232115;;363813 FZUS61 KCLE 231454 GLFLE Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland OH 954 AM EST Sat Jan 23 2021 For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. .SYNOPSIS... High pressure 30.30 inches will build east across the Great Lakes through tonight. This high pressure area will remain just northeast of the region into Sunday night as low pressure 29.50 inches moves northeast into the lower Ohio Valley Monday afternoon and upper Ohio Valley by Tuesday morning. A ridge averaging 30.50 inches will extend southwest through the central Great Lakes Wednesday afternoon. LEZ061-167>169-232115-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Brocton, NY
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location: 42.5, -79.49     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 231522 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1022 AM EST Sat Jan 23 2021

SYNOPSIS. A cold northwest flow will continue to produce lake effect snow showers southeast of the lakes today and tonight, but with less intensity than the past few days. High pressure will build into the eastern Great lakes by Sunday morning, ending the lake effect snow. Low pressure will pass just to our south, bringing a chance of some accumulating snow Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Cold northwest flow will continue today behind the arctic front which moved through the eastern Great Lakes last night. Deep moisture has been stripped away as a drier airmass moves into the eastern Great Lakes, resulting in less intense lake bands.

Off Lake Ontario, multiple streamers are found along the entire south shore of the lake from Niagara County to Oswego County, and extending inland into the Finger Lakes region. The best banding is stretching from the Rochester area into portions of the Finger Lakes where the upstream connection to Georgian Bay is still tied in. There will still be a few localized areas of 2-3 inches of accumulation through the rest of today. Snowfall rates are much lower than last night however, and insolation filtering through the thin cloud cover will generally keep paved surfaces in good condition today. With that in mind, have ended all the Warnings and Advisories.

Off Lake Erie, multiple streamers are found across much of the western Southern Tier, with a few tied into Lake Huron banding. These bands will continue to meander today, with a few localized areas seeing 2-3 inches of fluffy accumulation across the higher terrain inland from the lake.

Outside of these areas, there will be scattered snow showers today with a fluffy inch possible in spots. Winds will gust to 25 to 30 mph, especially near the lake shores, so some blowing and drifting snow is possible. The cold airmass will only support highs in the teens to lower 20s today.

The air mass will become increasingly drier tonight, resulting in even more localized lake effect snow. Mesoscale guidance shows best upstream connection will be across the Western Southern Tier, with some lingering snow showers southeast of Lake Ontario as well. Mesoscale model guidance suggests a little better convergence band may develop from near Irondequoit Bay into Wayne County tonight as boundary layer winds start to weaken. In general looking for localized snow accumulations of an inch or two tonight. However, for most areas the main weather story will simply be the cold with lows in the teens at most locations. East of Lake Ontario, temperatures will fall into the single digits and even below zero, with wind chills as low as -15F in Lewis County.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. Surface high pressure will track across the region Sunday into Sunday night before moving into Quebec and northern New England for the start of the work week. This will provide a dry, albeit cool period across the region.

Warmer air aloft will move into the region Monday as the next storm system tracks from the Central Plains into the Mississippi Valley. A strong low-level jet will spread across the southeast CONUS with a warm front approaching the Northeast Monday - Tuesday. Light snow may enter WNY as early as Monday evening from the south. There remains uncertainty as to how far north and how much snow will reach WNY into Tuesday. While models have trended north with the track of the low, there remains the possibility of a weaker low that tracks across the central Appalachians. This southern track option would keep most snow south of the region. A northward track in the low could also introduce mixed precipitation types near the NY/PA border. At this time, went with a consensus with the low moving near but south of the NY/PA border and snow as the main ptype being on the northern side of the low. Snow will likely spread across Western NY into Tuesday night. Temperatures at 850mb may be cold enough to provide lake enhancement south of Lake Ontario. The high to the north will also keep most of the North Country dry through this event.

Temperatures will remain near to slightly below normal Sunday- Tuesday night with highs in the upper 20s to low 30s and lows in the single digits to teens Sunday night and the single digits (North Country) to low 20s (Western NY) Monday night.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. High pressure over the western Great Lakes Tuesday will push east for Wednesday and Thursday. With the area remaining on the eastern side of the surface high on Wednesday, general northeast flow may produce a few lake snows southeast of Lake Ontario Wednesday. Another shortwave trough and associated surface low will follow a similar track as to the one earlier in the week on Thursday. Depending on its track and the placement of the high pressure, some slight chances for snow showers are possible Thursday. High pressure then builds in for a dry day Friday.

Temperatures through the period will remain below normal, with highs ranging in the mid 20s for most of the area, and upper teens for the area east of Lake Ontario. Lows will be in the mid teens to low 20s, with single digits for east of Lake Ontario.

AVIATION /16Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Narrow bands of lake effect snow will continue southeast of the lakes today with local IFR conditions. This will continue to impact much of the south shore of Lake Ontario including KROC. Off Lake Erie lake effect snow showers will continue southeast of the lake, with some of this impacting KJHW at times. Outside of lake effect areas expect VFR VSBY with a mix of MVFR/VFR CIGS.

Mainly VFR tonight, with lingering MVFR across higher terrain and IFR in very localized lake effect snows southeast of the lakes.

Outlook .

Sunday . Generally VFR. Monday . Mainly VFR. Tuesday . Restrictions likely in snow. Wednesday . Mainly VFR.

MARINE. Moderate to strong northwest winds will maintain a period of small craft headlines for Lakes Erie and Ontario today. Winds will diminish tonight as high pressure builds toward the eastern Great Lakes. The surface high will then move across the area on Sunday.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for LEZ040- 041. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST Sunday for LOZ043- 044. Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Sunday for LOZ042. Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Sunday for LOZ045.



SYNOPSIS . Apffel/Hitchcock NEAR TERM . Apffel/Hitchcock SHORT TERM . HSK LONG TERM . HSK/PP AVIATION . Apffel/Hitchcock MARINE . Apffel/Hitchcock


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 7 mi33 min WNW 22 G 25 24°F 1024.8 hPa (+2.2)
NREP1 23 mi123 min NNW 19 G 23 25°F
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 27 mi45 min 21°F 1025 hPa
EREP1 39 mi63 min WNW 17 G 22
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 41 mi45 min 20°F 34°F1024.9 hPa-4°F
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 47 mi45 min 20°F 1025.1 hPa

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dunkirk, Chautauqua County / Dunkirk Airport, NY12 mi40 minWNW 10 G 193.00 miLight Snow23°F14°F68%1026.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDKK

Wind History from DKK (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSW16
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2 days agoNW9W13
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S13SW13SW12SW11SW15
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G28

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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