Friday, May29, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Sunset Bay, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:40AMSunset 8:48PM Friday May 29, 2020 9:12 PM EDT (01:12 UTC) Moonrise 11:16AMMoonset 12:53AM Illumination 54% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ041 Expires:202005291530;;925688 Fzus51 Kbuf 290806 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 406 Am Edt Fri May 29 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez040-041-291530- Buffalo To Ripley Along Lake Erie- 406 Am Edt Fri May 29 2020
Today..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Scattered showers this morning, then showers and Thunderstorms this afternoon. Some Thunderstorms may be severe with strong winds. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely with scattered Thunderstorms in the evening. Waves 2 to 3 feet.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Saturday night..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Mainly clear, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Mainly clear, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ041


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sunset Bay, NY
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location: 42.56, -79.13     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 292357 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 757 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020

SYNOPSIS. Showers will end from west to east tonight as a cold front crosses the area. The weekend will be much cooler and less humid. The majority of the time will be rain free this weekend through early next week, although a few brief showers are possible.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/. The back edge of the convective rain will come through the area late this evening as the cold front sweeps through the area. The last of the showers will exit the eastern Lake Ontario region by daybreak Saturday. Low stratus behind the front later this evening will partially clear overnight before more clouds begin to move back into the region toward Saturday morning.

Flow will turn from southwest to northwest on Saturday as a secondary cold front shifts through the area. A nice thermal gradient at 850 hPa is evident with this boundary that should key up the lake boundaries and develop scattered showers from the Niagara Peninsula eastward along the Lake Ontario shore by the afternoon as it tracks across the area. This may also occur along the Lake Erie lake breeze, however the farther north you go, the better the mid-level lapse rates are, so the better chance of showers seem to be farther north.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. The flood gates for cold air will be open through the weekend as 850 hPa temperatures fall below 0C across the entire area on Saturday night. Should we see substantial clearing, there will be a chance for frost, particularly in Jefferson and Lewis Counties.

Further cold air aloft transits the area late Sunday PM as the main mid-level trough swings across the North Country. This looks set to drop 500 hPa temperatures toward -26C to -28C there. Given the mid-level cold pool transiting especially the St. Lawrence Valley on Sunday afternoon, a few showers are not out of the question there, while the remainder of the area should finally be mainly dry. Dry weather will not translate into warmer conditions, however, as the drastically suppressed 850 hPa temperatures will allow for convective temperatures and cloud development in the 50s. Thus, getting much above 60F anywhere in the CWA will be tough, even with the extremely strong late May sunshine.

By Sunday night, the loss of diurnal "heating" should translate into cumulus activity waning. Some clearing will again mean a shot at some frost, especially in Jefferson and Lewis counties.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Slow day to day warming throughout this period, although it will be unsettled at times.

A minor shortwave will ride southeasterly through on the backside of the longwave trough, clipping the eastern portions of New York and therefore bringing slight chances of showers to the areas east of Lake Ontario Monday morning. Outside of these chances, Monday will be dry as surface high pressure drifts southeast. Temperatures on Monday will mark the slow start of the rebound in temperature, with highs climbing up into the low to mid 60s.

A warm front will push through the region Tuesday, only to be quickly followed by a cold front Tuesday night, bringing the chance for some showers during this time. The next potent upper level trough and associated cold front will cross the area on Wednesday, keeping the chance for showers and a few afternoon rumbles of thunder in the forecast. The cold front will be south of the area Thursday, however cool cyclonic flow aloft may be enough to touch off a few more showers, especially during peak heating inland from the lakes.

A dry weather day is expected for Friday as surface high pressure fills into the region.

High temperatures in the mid to upper 60s Tuesday, will rise back into the lower to mid 70s for most areas by Friday.

AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Showers will end from west to east during the evening with the passage of the cold front. There will be a period of MVFR or IFR CIGS in stratus along and behind the cold front tonight.

Outlook .

Saturday through Monday . Mainly VFR. Tuesday and Wednesday . MVFR with chance of showers

MARINE. A brief period of stronger west winds will develop tonight in the wake of a cold front, producing a short period of Small Craft Advisory conditions on Lake Ontario. Winds will quickly diminish by daybreak Saturday. West to northwest winds will increase again later Saturday afternoon and Saturday night behind another cold front, with another round of Small Craft Advisory conditions possible on Lake Ontario.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . Beach Hazards Statement from 1 AM EDT Saturday through Saturday morning for NYZ005>007. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Saturday for LOZ042-043. Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 9 AM EDT Saturday for LOZ044-045.



SYNOPSIS . Fries/Hitchcock/TMA NEAR TERM . Fries/TMA SHORT TERM . Fries LONG TERM . EAJ/JM AVIATION . EAJ/Hitchcock/TMA MARINE . Fries/Hitchcock/TMA


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 10 mi60 min 57°F 1010.9 hPa
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 13 mi72 min WSW 19 G 23 57°F 1011.1 hPa (+1.4)
45142 - Port Colborne 15 mi72 min WSW 14 G 16 56°F 54°F2 ft1011.1 hPa (+2.2)
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 25 mi54 min SW 14 G 17 57°F 61°F1011.2 hPa49°F
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 36 mi60 min 63°F 1010.7 hPa
NREP1 41 mi102 min W 8.9 G 15 60°F

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dunkirk, Chautauqua County / Dunkirk Airport, NY9 mi19 minWSW 12 G 1710.00 miOvercast60°F55°F86%1012.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDKK

Wind History from DKK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmS10S14SW6S7S10S8S8SW8S9S11S14S10S11
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1 day agoS11S8
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S9S5NW5SE5N3N4NW7N6SW9SW12SW10SW6CalmNE3
2 days agoSE3S3S3CalmCalmCalmS10SW7S9S10S9S7S7S7S7S4N6N6N75N5NE3CalmS8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.