Monday, May10, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Milford, MI

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:14AMSunset 8:45PM Monday May 10, 2021 5:52 PM EDT (21:52 UTC) Moonrise 4:59AMMoonset 6:48PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LCZ423 231 Pm Edt Fri May 7 2021
.line of Thunderstorms approaching the waters... The areas affected include... Lake st. Clair... Detroit river... Michigan waters of lake erie... At 229 pm edt, doppler radar indicated Thunderstorms, capable of producing winds to up 30 knots and small hail. These Thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 25 nm west of st. Clair shores to near bolles harbor of refuge, moving east at 25 knots. Strong Thunderstorms will be near, Monroe harbor, detroit beach and woodland beach around 245 pm edt. Stony point and estral beach around 255 pm edt. Lake erie metropark harbor around 300 pm edt. Detroit river light around 305 pm edt. NEw baltimore, mt clemens harbor of refuge and st. Clair shores around 330 pm edt. Other locations impacted by strong Thunderstorms include woodland beach, stony point, gibraltar, estral beach and detroit beach. Precautionary/preparedness actions... Mariners can expect gusty winds up to 30 knots, locally higher waves, and lightning strikes. Boaters should seek safe harbor immediately until these storms pass. && lat...lon 4173 8350 4180 8350 4195 8337 4197 8328 4226 8317 4233 8311 4239 8295 4254 8291 4259 8285 4266 8285 4271 8271 4270 8261 4255 8264 4238 8282 4229 8310 4224 8313 4205 8315 4196 8311 4172 8340
LCZ423 Expires:202105071930;;746307 FZUS73 KDTX 071831 MWSDTX Marine Weather Statement National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 231 PM EDT Fri May 7 2021 LCZ423-460-LEZ444-071930-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milford, MI
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location: 42.65, -83.74     debug


Area Discussion for - Detroit/Pontiac, MI
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FXUS63 KDTX 101856 AFDDTX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 256 PM EDT Mon May 10 2021

DISCUSSION.

Seasonably cool May conditions again entrenched locally this afternoon, owing to renewed height falls featured south of a closed mid level circulation pivoting toward the northern great lakes. Lower amplitude mid level impulse preceding this main height fall center now transiting the lower peninsula, offering some mid level cloud but absent of meaningful low level moisture advection. A brief light shower or occasional sprinkle still plausible going forward through the evening, as modest mid level ascent works to capitalize on the underlying steeper lapse rate environment. Lingering evening cloud will give way to a period of open sky overnight. Perpetuation of a modest northwest gradient suggests some limitation to radiational cooling, but the inbound main upper trough axis will initiate another period of cold air advection throughout the morning hours. Magnitude of the existing thermal profile will support lows in the 30s all locations. Regionally collaborated frost/freeze headlines highlight the general expectation for where a meaningful dip below the freezing mark is more likely /northwest of metro Detroit/.

Low-mid level thermal troughing maintains residence into the Tuesday period - the reinforcing shot of colder air easing 850 mb temperatures below -4C. Highs upper 40s to mid 50s. Standard diurnal boundary layer destabilization will engage a cold, weakly cyclonic mid level flow to provide a favorable background environment for possible afternoon shower production. Lean moisture depth may tend to limit the overall response in terms of coverage and duration, supporting simply a lower probability mention. The cold thermodynamic profile would encourage ice within the column should healthier updrafts materialize, allowing for instances of small hail/graupel and perhaps a rumble of thunder. High pressure nosing into the region Tuesday night offers another frosty morning Wednesday.

No significant weather through the late week period. Low level anticyclonic flow remains a fixture during this time, as residual mid level troughing or weak upper level low pressure struggles to vacate the region. Lack of meaningful moisture quality or tangible forcing through this window suggests dry conditions with an incremental warming trend back toward seasonable levels by Thu-Fri.

MARINE.

High pressure begins to build over the region from the west tonight. Moderate northwest winds continue through the day Tuesday as the pressure gradient remains tightened over the central Great Lakes. Strongest gusts will be across northern and central Lake Huron reaching 25 knots. The offshore component should keep wave heights in the Lake Huron nearshore waters at bay through midweek, although choppy at times especially in portions of outer Saginaw Bay and around the tip of the Thumb. Winds will trend lighter and more variable towards Thursday as the core of the high pressure settles overhead.

PREV DISCUSSION. Issued at 200 PM EDT Mon May 10 2021

AVIATION .

A weak wave with associated VFR clouds will be moving across the Great Lakes this afternoon. The majority of CIGS through the afternoon will be 6-8 kft with only occasional FEW-SCT at or slightly below 5 kft. Some light returns on the radar can be seen this afternoon, but the dry low levels is preventing most of this from reaching the ground. Will continue to leave any mention of light rains showers out of the TAFs as it appears unlikely to impact any terminals. VFR conditions continue into tonight with some lingering FEW-SCT clouds and the potential for some clears skies for at least part of the night.

DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES .

* Low for ceiling 5000 feet or less this afternoon and tonight.

DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MI . Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 8 AM EDT Tuesday for MIZ047>049-053>055- 060>063-068.

Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 8 AM EDT Tuesday for MIZ069-070-075-076- 082-083.

Lake Huron . NONE. Lake St Clair . NONE. Michigan waters of Lake Erie . NONE.

DISCUSSION . MR MARINE . KDK AVIATION . AA

You can obtain your latest National Weather Service forecasts online at www.weather.gov/detroit.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CLSM4 - St. Clair Shores, MI 47 mi53 min W 9.9 G 15 55°F 1018.3 hPa
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 68 mi65 min W 11 G 16 54°F 1018 hPa32°F

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Howell, Livingston County Airport, MI13 mi58 minW 11 G 1610.00 miMostly Cloudy54°F29°F37%1018.6 hPa
Pontiac, Oakland County International Airport, MI17 mi60 minWNW 10 G 2010.00 miMostly Cloudy53°F25°F34%1018.2 hPa
Flint, Bishop International Airport, MI23 mi60 minWNW 1410.00 miOvercast52°F27°F38%1018.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOZW

Wind History from OZW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4N3CalmCalmCalmCalmSW4W3NW6NW5CalmW4W3NW4N3W5NW8NW5NW5W9W12
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1 day agoN5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmSE4S4SE5S5E3E9E5E7NE3Calm
2 days agoNW9
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CalmNW6NW6NW8NW8NW7NW6NW10
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W8W7W7NW4CalmW4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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