Tuesday, June2, 2020
Privacy Policy
L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Erie Beach, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:38AMSunset 8:51PM Tuesday June 2, 2020 12:49 AM EDT (04:49 UTC) Moonrise 4:12PMMoonset 2:51AM Illumination 84% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LEZ041 Expires:202006012115;;594302 Fzus51 Kbuf 011739 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 139 Pm Edt Mon Jun 1 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez040-041-012115- Buffalo To Ripley Along Lake Erie- 139 Pm Edt Mon Jun 1 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 8 pm edt this evening...
This afternoon..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Tonight..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. Showers likely overnight. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Tuesday..South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots diminishing to less than 10 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers Wednesday night. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Thursday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ041


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Erie Beach, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 42.69, -79.27     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KBUF 012349 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 749 PM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020

SYNOPSIS. Tonight, a warm front will move into the area and tomorrow with a few showers, then there will be another round of showers and a few thunderstorms ahead of a cold front Tuesday night and Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/. Clouds will thicken and lower ahead of the warm front as warm advection and moisture transport increase. Rain chances will also increase late tonight, with the highest chance of rain across far Western NY near the track of a supporting mid level shortwave and associated DPVA. This is supported by the majority of mesoscale guidance, which brings this wave and associated QPF across far WNY. The Genesee Valley and western Finger Lakes look to fall between these two better areas of forcing, and should stay mainly dry through daybreak Tuesday. The increase in clouds and ongoing warm advection will keep temperatures milder than the past few nights. Expect lows in the low to mid 50s on the lake plains, with mid to upper 40s in the Southern Tier valleys and east of Lake Ontario.

A north to south oriented warm front will slowly push into Western New York on Tuesday. Showers associated with the shortwave should taper off rather quickly Tuesday morning, but diurnal heating may lead to a few instability showers and thunderstorms near the front Tuesday afternoon. Mostly cloudy skies will keep temperatures from rising too much during the day, with highs ranging from around 70 far west to the lower 60s east of Lake Ontario.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. A warm front will stall across our region Tuesday night, with model consensus suggesting multiple waves will develop and track along the front Tuesday night and Wednesday. Forecasting convectively driven waves is difficult at this time range, with uncertainty in timing and location of any waves. In general, the greatest risk for showers and thunderstorms is across WNY, roughly west of the Genesee River. What does develop has the potential to produce locally heavy rainfall and strong thunderstorms. Precipitable water values in the warm sector increase to around 1.75, which supports the heavy rain potential. Meanwhile, there is ample wind shear to produce strong to severe storms, with directional shear and 700 mb winds increasing to 50 kts. This risk is reflected in the SPC outlook, which suggests a marginal risk for severe weather across Western New York late Tuesday night and Wednesday.

In general, it appears the best chance for showers and storms is Wednesday morning with the majority of model guidance tracking the remnants of an MCS across WNY. Another round of diurnally enhanced showers and storms is possible Wednesday afternoon as a cold front drops south of the region. Otherwise, it will be humid, but with the boundary across the region sunshine should be limited with highs mainly in the 70s on Wednesday.

A weak and narrow ridge of high pressure will build across the region Wednesday night, and this will remain in place and provide generally dry weather through Thursday night. Temperatures may actually be a bit warmer on Thursday behind the 'cold front' because more sun will allow for greater daytime heating. However, it will be notably less humid.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Very warm and increasingly humid conditions expected Friday. Little in the way of a trigger but perhaps a few late day shower or storm on a lake breeze boundary. Likely the warmest day of the week with interior sections getting into the mid 80s.

Weak low pressure and its associated cold front will push through Friday night with scattered showers and possible thunderstorms. This activity will diminish Saturday, though an upper level trough will keep chances for showers across the Tug Hill region through Saturday afternoon. Temperatures on Saturday will be about 10 degrees cooler than Friday.

Refreshingly cooler and drier air mass expected for Sunday and Monday.

AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. VFR across all terminals for the majority of night. A warm front will then move into the western Great Lakes, then spread towards the eastern Great Lakes late tonight. This will bring about a gradual thickening and lowering clouds to the region overnight, with a few showers developing by around 09Z. The low levels will initially remain unsaturated, but increasing low level moisture will lower most locations to MVFR by early Tuesday morning.

Outlook .

Tuesday night and Wednesday . Areas of MVFR with showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Thursday . VFR. Friday and Saturday . Mainly VFR. A few showers possible.

MARINE. Winds and waves have gradually relax to allow for all hazards to expire. SSW winds will again increase with a warm front late tonight and Tuesday morning, but this wind direction will direct the greatest wave action into Canadian waters. Winds then pick up again with a cold front late Wednesday, but in each case are expected to remain below small craft criteria.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . None. MARINE . None.



SYNOPSIS . AR/Apffel NEAR TERM . AR/Apffel SHORT TERM . Apffel/Thomas LONG TERM . Thomas/TMA AVIATION . AR/Apffel MARINE . AR/Apffel


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45142 - Port Colborne 4 mi50 min SSW 9.7 G 9.7 56°F 52°F2 ft1018.5 hPa (-1.1)
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 12 mi50 min 58°F 1018.9 hPa (-0.8)
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 14 mi50 min SSE 5.1 G 7 58°F 1019.3 hPa (-0.9)
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 24 mi50 min S 2.9 G 5.1 58°F 62°F1019.2 hPa (-0.9)36°F
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 30 mi50 min 56°F 1018.7 hPa (-0.8)
45139 - West Lake Ontario - Grimsby 41 mi110 min WSW 7.8 G 12 60°F 52°F1 ft1017.8 hPa (-0.3)
NREP1 41 mi80 min S 7 G 8.9 60°F

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
Last
24hr
W12
W11
SW12
G15
SW11
G15
SW13
SW12
G17
W16
SW16
W13
W13
SW13
SW13
SW9
G13
SW12
G16
SW11
G15
SW13
G17
SW14
G19
SW13
G17
SW10
G14
SW9
G14
SW8
G11
SW8
G11
SW8
S4
G7
1 day
ago
N3
N5
N5
G8
NW8
NW8
G11
NW9
NW11
G14
NW11
NW10
G13
NW9
G12
NW10
G13
N7
G11
NW10
G13
NW11
G16
NW12
G18
SW15
SW17
W17
SW14
G18
SW16
W15
W16
W13
G16
W13
G16
2 days
ago
W7
W8
SW5
SW7
G10
SW6
W8
SW7
SW7
SW7
S6
G9
S9
SW12
G16
SW14
G18
SW15
G22
SW18
G25
SW16
SW16
G20
W19
W13
G17
NW11
G17
NW11
W5
W4
N4

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dunkirk, Chautauqua County / Dunkirk Airport, NY14 mi57 minS 710.00 miFair60°F37°F42%1019.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDKK

Wind History from DKK (wind in knots)
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
Last 24hrS4SW6SW6SW6SW5SW7SW7SW12
G19
W12
G16
W13
G18
SW12W9
G17
W12
G19
W14
G22
SW12
G21
SW14
G25
SW15
G22
SW14
G21
SW11SW7SW8S5SW5S7
1 day agoW5NW7NW6NW6NW6W5NW6NW9NW7W73W7W8W86W8W9W10W11SW8SW7SW8SW6S7
2 days agoSW6SW3SW4SW4S4CalmS5S8S9SW10SW15
G22
W15
G24
SW14
G21
W11
G23
SW16
G21
W11
G22
W10
G17
W10
G16
W6W5SW4SW4W3NW6

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (0,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Cookie Policy:
This website uses cookies to save your settings. No personal information is saved. I do not collect statistics on your visit. You can disable cookies in your browser if you like but it is not recommended for this site. I do not sell cookies. Go to a bakery for that. In fact I do not sell anything. To disable cookies from L-36.com, please refer to the Help button in your browser.
Privacy Policy:
I do not sell or share any user data or anything else for that matter. The only personal information I save is in the site log which has a line for each page view which includes the IP address your browser sends in the header as well as which page you requested. I use this to block hackers and other bad actors. I do not use this raw data to create profiles on users. I periodically delete the log files. If you are subject to CCPA, Google ads on this site will not be based on your past behavior so you will likely not see an ad for a lawn mower just because you looked for one at a big box website. I do not believe this site is subject to CCPA but I am doing what I can to follow the guidelines anyway.
Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.