Friday, March5, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Waterloo, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:33AMSunset 6:02PM Friday March 5, 2021 7:59 PM EST (00:59 UTC) Moonrise 12:44AMMoonset 10:19AM Illumination 52% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 /o.exp.kbuf.ma.w.0140.000000t0000z-201115t2300z/ 601 Pm Est Sun Nov 15 2020
.the special marine warning expired at 600 pm est... The affected areas were... Lake ontario from sodus bay to cape vincent... The Thunderstorms have moved out of the area and no longer pose a significant threat to boaters. Strong winds not related to Thunderstorms will continue tonight on lake ontario. Gale warnings are in effect. Lat...lon 4393 7608 4387 7609 4382 7618 4371 7616 4366 7610 4361 7615 4356 7616 4351 7620 4348 7629 4349 7640 4339 7659 4329 7667 4324 7697 4363 7697 4364 7679 4409 7644 4415 7634 4396 7601 time...mot...loc 2300z 270deg 58kt 4425 7602 4365 7615
LOZ044 Expires:202011152310;;898662 FZUS71 KBUF 152301 MWSBUF Marine Weather Statement National Weather Service Buffalo NY 601 PM EST Sun Nov 15 2020 LOZ044-045-064-065-152310-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Waterloo, NY
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location: 42.86, -76.9     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 060000 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 700 PM EST Fri Mar 5 2021

SYNOPSIS. Blustery and cold weather continues this weekend with lake effect snow showers. A few inches of snow will be possible tonight through Saturday especially across the Finger Lakes. A gradual warming trend begins on Monday, followed by much warmer weather by midweek.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. 330 PM Update

An upper low remains situated over the mouth of the St. Lawrence, while a ridge builds over the central US. This is leaving our region in cold, blustery northwest flow. While we remain sunny and dry this afternoon, a series of shortwaves rotating around the upper low into central NY will bring in renewed chances for snow showers into tonight through Saturday.

A few snow showers start to spread in towards the NY Thruway after 5pm, becoming more likely after 0Z. Snow showers continue to expand southward to finally reach the Southern Tier by around 10pm with some more isolated activity possible even in the northern tier of PA. Soundings throughout central NY moisten up fairly well, with a deep dendritic growth zone and fairly steep lapse rates. Northwest flow wavering from around 300 to 320 degrees would lead to a good setup for multi-banding, with the highest QPF immediately downwind of Lake Ontario and the Finger Lakes - particularly the higher elevations. However, if a more persistent band can develop and remain situated over any one area for an extended period of time, higher amounts will be possible. In general, around 1 to 3 inches are expected overnight across the Finger Lakes and towards the Thruway corridor from Syracuse to utica. Lighter totals up to an inch are possible across the remainder of central NY. Additionally, with gusty winds at least into the first half of the night, areas of blowing snow will be possible.

Chances for snow showers persist into the daytime Saturday courtesy of cold northwest flow. Another couple of inches possible across the Finger Lakes and western portions of the Thruway corridor. This could yield 24 hour totals up to 3 to 5 inches by 0Z Sunday, perhaps higher where any heavier, steady bands can develop. Given such borderline amounts and the expected transient nature of any snow bands, will continue to hold off on any advisories for now. While snow showers should be increasingly isolated Saturday night given increasingly drier airmass, will still keep in a chance for some lingering lake effect showers overnight.

Otherwise, as for temperatures: overnight lows tonight and Saturday night will be in the teens and even single digits across the higher elevations and northern Oneida county. Temperatures Saturday afternoon should only be in the 20s, perhaps closer to the 30F mark in the Wyoming valley. Saturday will be blustery once more, though not so much as today, with gusts around 20 to 25 mph.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. 3 PM Update .

By Sunday morning, drier air starts to push into the region, but 850mb ridge is still well west of the region. Lake effect snow showers will continue into at least the early afternoon, forecast soundings then show the column becoming too dry with a lack of ice by about 18Z. However, models usually tend to cut off the moisture a little quickly, and with the NW flow persisting Sunday afternoon, think there will at least a slight chance for a snow shower or flurries.

Heights really start to to rise by late Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening as ridging pushes in from the west. Sunday will likely be the last day in awhile where highs fail to hit the freezing mark, with temperatures only topping out in the mid 20s to lower 30s further south in the Scranton/Wilkes Barre area. The ridge axis and much warmer air will move in for the start of next week. Temperatures warm into the mid 30s north . and lower to mid 40s south and west on Monday and the forecast may trend warmer yet, depending on exactly how much sunshine we see across the region.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. 305 PM Update .

Not too many changes to the long term portion of the forecast, however, have increased high temperatures for Wednesday and Thursday. 60s are starting to look possible for portions of the region on Wednesday with upper ridging overhead and this taste of Spring should last at least through Thursday. However, forecast models are showing colder conditions returning on Friday with the passing of a cold front.

300 am update . The pleasant conditions continue through at least Wednesday with a low chance of some rain and/or snow from the Thruway north Monday night and early Tuesday as a weak front sweeps eastward into nrn New England. Otherwise, high pressure re- establishes itself Tuesday and Wednesday with quiet weather and some of the warmest temperatures since November last year. Highs will likely be climbing into the low to mid 50s on Tuesday and well into the 50s close to 60 on Wednesday.

The ridge begins to flatten out by Thursday and the next low pressure system will ride east across the southern Great Lakes with an area of rain showers spreading in from the west. Temperatures Thursday will likely still remain in the 50s, but with cloud cover and rain possible. This active and warm pattern is expected to continue into Friday before cooler temperatures arrive this weekend.

AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Lake enhanced snow showers and clouds will bring widespread MVFR conditions through most of the TAF period to the Central NY terminals. In any steadier snow showers, occasional IFR visbys are possible this evening and overnight, especially at KRME, KSYR, KITH, and KBGM. With gusty winds, some areas of blowing snow is possible as well. After 12Z, the potential for IFR visbys diminishes as snow showers become more scattered and lighter. However, MVFR ceilings hang on for the remainder of the TAF period across Central NY. Although brief MVFR ceilings cannot be totally ruled out overnight at KAVP, expecting primarily VFR conditions throughout the entire TAF period there.

Outlook .

Saturday night through Sunday . Scattered lake effect snow showers and clouds may bring occasional restrictions, mainly to the central NY terminals.

Sunday night through Wednesday . Mainly VFR expected.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . HLC NEAR TERM . HLC SHORT TERM . MPK LONG TERM . BJT/MPK AVIATION . BJG


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 46 mi60 min NW 26 G 33 32°F 1015.6 hPa (+1.4)
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 47 mi60 min WNW 31 G 37 29°F 1014 hPa (+2.1)15°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 48 mi60 min 32°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Penn Yan, Penn Yan Airport, NY17 mi67 minWNW 13 G 2310.00 miOvercast31°F11°F43%1014.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPEO

Wind History from PEO (wind in knots)
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1 day agoW7W6NW8
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmS5SW5SW8W11SW14SW16
G23
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Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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