Sunrise 6:05 AM   Sunset 8:21 PM Moonrise 2:36 AM   Moonset 12:55 PM

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This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
PZZ310 Coos bay bar- coastal waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca out 10 nm- waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca from 10 to 60 nm- 134 pm pdt Wed may 29 2013 a long-duration moderate to strong north wind event is expected to last from this weekend into early next week. Winds should begin to increase Friday into Saturday - .peaking Sunday with storm force wind gusts possible. Very steep and hazardous waves will accompany this wind event and mariners should prepare for dangerous conditions at sea. The strongest winds and highest seas will occur beyond 5 nm from shore.

PZZ300 258 Am Pdt Thu May 2 2024
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters - A weak front will continue to move onshore this morning, with a modest increase in short period west northwest swell. A break later today and tonight will bring calmer conditions, but an active pattern resumes Friday with rain likely and small craft advisory conditions expected through Saturday morning.

FXUS66 KMFR 021129 AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 429 AM PDT Thu May 2 2024

New Aviation Section

.AVIATION (12Z TAFs)...

Wind speeds along the coast have turned westerly with the front moving inland now. This will lead to rain showers diminishing through the morning hours with relief expected later today for ceilings. In fact, VFR could become common across the region with skies generally clearing through the afternoon and evening. North Bend may be the exception here with MVFR sticking around. Timing of MVFR and rainfall will be tricky this morning, but generally looking at the "roughest" conditions this morning with noticeable improvements later today.

PREV DISCUSSION
/Issued 326 AM PDT Thu May 2 2024/

DISCUSSION...The pattern continues to be progressive into the next week, with several fronts bringing wet and cool weather with brief dry breaks in between. The first system moves through overnight today with light showers lingering into the evening, followed by a stronger front Friday into Saturday. Showery weather continues into next week, with another weak front moving through Monday.

A broad precipitation shield associated with a frontal system is moving quickly ESE through southwest OR. Radar returns are indicating some pretty good areas of precipitation, with areas of 40-50 dbZ embedded in the main band. This front will pass through the region early this morning, followed by light, scattered showers which will bring on-and-off again precipitation for the remainder of the day, mostly over the higher terrain. With seasonably mild temperatures, snow levels will remain at or above 5,000 feet and snow restricted to the higher mountains.

After a brief break in the weather, the next front arrives Friday and slowly pushes inland into Saturday. Similar to the frontal system today, this front will move in from the west, resulting in much less downsloping for western valleys than in other patterns.
Precipitable water associated with this front, however, will be greater with a stronger inflow of moisture, resulting in greater precipitation amounts. Rain amounts of a half inch or more are almost guaranteed for almost all areas in southern Oregon and far northern California, with up to 2 or even 3 inches of rain possible along the coast.

Snow levels will initially be quite high at the beginning of the event, rising to above 7,000 feet, before decreasing overnight Friday into Saturday to 3,000 to 4,000 feet as the cold front passes and precipitation becomes more intermittent/showery. This will result in snow lowering down to area passes, including those over the Cascades on Hwys 140 and 138 (where we're expecting 3-6 inches early Saturday through early Sunday) and Siskiyou Summit on I-5 (likely less than an inch). As road surfaces are still quite warm, a lot of this will melt on paved surfaces, but lower visibilities could still make travel over the mountains difficult.

Showery, on-and-off again precipitation continues late Saturday into Sunday as low pressure lingers aloft. Shower coverage will shrink and taper off through the day Sunday as the low moves SE and another transient ridge moves into the area. Another front moves in Monday, this one much weaker with the majority of light to moderate precip falling over northwest portions of the region.
Snow levels will generally be 4,000 to 5,000 feet. Onshore flow and lingering moisture will lead to light, scattered showers continuing into Tuesday. About a third of models included in the National Blend indicate periods of precipitation are possible into the mid-week, but the outlook for the late week/following week is for warmer, drier conditions per the Climate Prediction Center.
-CSP

AVIATION
02/06Z TAFs
Ceilings have lowered to MVFR along the coast and just offshore and will likely lower to IFR as a front reaches the coast. Even though the TAF at North Bend shows a prolong period of IFR ceilings, it's possible there could be brief periods of MVFR ceilings after 15z.

Inland west of the Cascades, VFR ceilings will lower to MVFR late tonight north of the Umpqua Divide, confidence on the timing of lowering ceilings indicated in the Roseburg TAF could be delayed by an hour or two. Medford is expected to remain VFR through the TAF period, however the higher terrain will be at least partly obscured towards 11z.

East of the Cascades, VFR ceilings will continue into tonight, then MVFR will follow at Klamath Falls as precipitation moves in. Areas of mountain obscuration are expected after 12z until the end of the TAF period.
-Petrucelli

MARINE
Updated 230 AM Thursday, May 2, 2024
A weak front will continue to move through the waters this morning with a modest increase in short period west-northwest swell. A break later today will bring calmer conditions this afternoon and evening; however, the active pattern resumes Friday morning with rain over the waters likely (90% - 100%) and small craft advisory conditions in place through Saturday morning. Weak winds and a slight increase in short period west-northwest swell dominated seas are expected during the weekend with rainfall (no thunder) chances (60%-90%). The next in a series of fronts is likely to arrive on Monday with conditions hazardous to small craft possible Tuesday.
-Guerrero

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR
CA
None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM Friday to 11 AM PDT Saturday for PZZ350-356-370-376.

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Port Orford
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Thu -- 01:05 AM PDT     3.52 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:36 AM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:10 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:35 AM PDT     5.99 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:45 PM PDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:55 PM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:20 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:43 PM PDT     5.99 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Port Orford, Oregon, Tide feet

Port Orford
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Thu -- 01:11 AM PDT     3.46 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:36 AM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:10 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:44 AM PDT     5.94 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:49 PM PDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:55 PM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:20 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:45 PM PDT     5.98 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Port Orford, Oregon (2), Tide feet

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Medford, OR,