Thursday, August13, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Scotia, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:59AMSunset 8:01PM Thursday August 13, 2020 9:48 PM EDT (01:48 UTC) Moonrise 12:34AMMoonset 3:48PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Scotia, NY
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location: 42.89, -74     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 132329 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 729 PM EDT Thu Aug 13 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will dominate into the weekend with the weather turning unsettled Sunday into early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/. Cirrus clouds will move off to our east this evening and cumulus clouds will dissipated with loss of heating. The stalled boundary will remain to our south near Long Island as the Canadian high shifts gradually eastward across Quebec extending southward across the local area. With mostly clear skies and very light to calm winds some fog and stratus are expected to form in favorable valley locations overnight. Looking at lows in the lower to mid 60s with mid/upper 50s above 1500 feet.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/. Clearing taking place as weak high pressure builds in from the north. Some clouds in areas of terrain signaling some moisture trapped beneath a bit of an inversion and some weak midlevel flow form the west and southwest through tonight could support some scattered to broken mid level clouds later tonight and toward daybreak. Still, periods and areas of clearing will support some patchy fog in those areas that see the persistent clearing. Minor adjustments to temperatures and sky cover through daybreak. Previous AFD has a few more details and is below .

The Canadian high is expected to dominate our weather into the weekend with the stalled boundary settling farther to the south as a wave of pressure moves off the coast Friday and out to sea Saturday. The high will shift eastward to over the Canadian Maritimes over the weekend. A weak short wave trough is expected to pass over New England late in the day Friday into evening however any forcing will be very weak so very limit chance for isolated showers. Fair weather Saturday however an increase in clouds as another wave takes shape on the stalled boundary over the Tennessee Valley. Summer warmth will continue with Friday warmer than Saturday by a couple/few degrees. Unsettled weather returns Sunday as overrunning showers are expected especially as the day wears on and the low moves eastward toward the coast. Sunday will be cooler with highs expected to only be in the 70s with 60s above 2000 feet.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. Quite a bit of uncertainty still exists amongst forecast guidance regarding the timing of precipitation, but a period of unsettled weather is expected to take shape during the beginning parts of the extended forecast period before things thereafter trend drier and more tranquil.

Global forecast models continue to depict a northeast advancing low pressure system passing to our south across the Mid-Atlantic into the Atlantic Ocean and an eastward advancing surface cold front associated with an upper trough from the Great Lakes region Sunday- Monday. It's still early as to how these two weather features interact with one another if at all (whether or not these two feature phase/merge), but right now the latest forecast guidance has the latter impacting our FA the most on Monday. As far as timing, the GFS is the fastest solution, the ECMWF the slowest, and the Canadian-NH in between. Have 30-40% PoPs for showers (possibly embedded with some thunder) across the FA Sunday night into Monday persisting into early Tuesday given the timing spread amongst computer models. We should begin to dry out Tuesday as high pressure attempts to build in from the west. Things will remain dry through the rest of the forecast period with high pressure in fully control.

Temperatures will run near normal levels overall through the period (maybe even slightly cooler than normal during the beginning parts trending warmer towards the end). High temperatures will run from the upper 70s to lower 80s across the valleys (cooler higher elevations). Low temperatures run from the upper 50s/lower 60s across the valleys (cooler higher elevations). Dewpoint temperatures will run from the mid 50s to lower 60s during this time frame.

AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Clearing taking place as weak high pressure builds in. Some midlevel clouds could develop overhead as weak flow from the southwest and some moisture trapped under an inversion could support some cloud development. Outside of the clouds, mostly clear to clear, supporting some possible periods of fog through daybreak. Fog should be gone early in the morning and just some periods of high clouds Friday morning and afternoon.

So, periods of MVFR visibilities in fog at KGFL and KPSF between 03Z-06Z, the predominant visibilities in the MVFR range between about 06Z-13Z with a few clouds at 300 feet. Intervals of visibilities around 6SM at KALB and KPOU with possible few clouds around 300 feet about 09Z-13Z. Then, again VFR conditions Friday morning and afternoon.

Winds will be about calm tonight then northeast at near 6 Kt Friday morning and afternoon.

Outlook .

Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA. Sunday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA. Sunday Night: Moderate Operational Impact Chance of SHRA. TSRA. Monday: Moderate Operational Impact Chance of SHRA. TSRA. Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact Chance of SHRA. TSRA. Tuesday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.

FIRE WEATHER. High pressure will dominate into the weekend with the weather turning unsettled Sunday into early next week.

Winds will be light. Minimum relatively humidity values will be in the 40s both Friday and Saturday afternoons.

HYDROLOGY. High pressure will dominate into the weekend with the weather turning unsettled Sunday into early next week.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . IAA NEAR TERM . IAA/NAS SHORT TERM . IAA LONG TERM . Evbuoma AVIATION . NAS FIRE WEATHER . IAA HYDROLOGY . IAA


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 60 mi78 min Calm 74°F 1018 hPa69°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Schenectady Airport, NY4 mi56 minN 015.00 miFair75°F62°F65%1019.3 hPa
Albany International Airport, NY14 mi57 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds71°F61°F71%1018.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSCH

Wind History from SCH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW4------------------Calm--CalmCalmCalmCalm--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoW10
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2 days agoS5------------------SW3SW3SW3CalmSE4S6--S10
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S10S7--

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 12:54 AM EDT     4.62 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:56 AM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:14 PM EDT     3.53 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:45 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:00 PM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.44.64.33.42.51.91.30.60.20.81.82.73.33.53.42.71.81.20.70.2-0.10.41.73

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 12:47 AM EDT     4.62 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:46 AM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:06 PM EDT     3.53 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:45 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:50 PM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.54.64.23.32.41.81.20.50.30.922.83.33.53.32.61.71.10.70.1-0.10.51.93.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.