Saturday, August8, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Eggertsville, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:12AMSunset 8:28PM Saturday August 8, 2020 1:17 AM EDT (05:17 UTC) Moonrise 10:10PMMoonset 10:02AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ020 Upper Niagara River And Buffalo Harbor- 203 Pm Edt Fri Aug 7 2020
This afternoon..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Sunny.
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable. Mainly clear.
Saturday..Light and variable winds. Sunny.
Saturday night..Southwest winds less than 10 knots. Mainly clear.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Mostly Sunny.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms Monday night.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off buffalo is 76 degrees.
LEZ020 Expires:202008072115;;082679 FZUS51 KBUF 071803 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 203 PM EDT Fri Aug 7 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ020-072115-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Eggertsville, NY
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location: 42.93, -78.81     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 080454 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1254 AM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure centered over the Lower Great Lakes this weekend will supply us with mainly fair and dry weather. This will include a gradual day to day warming trend that will peak on Monday when temperatures in some areas will climb into the upper 80s to near 90. A cold front will follow Monday night and Tuesday with some unsettled weather.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. A weak upper level trough is moving east across the eastern Great Lakes region tonight. A few isolated showers have recently developed east and southeast of Buffalo. A few more very spotty showers may develop through the rest of the overnight across this area and east across the Genesee Valley and western Finger Lakes where RGB IR satellite imagery shows cooling and glaciating cloud tops. Otherwise areas of stratocumulus will bring partly to mostly cloudy skies overnight. Valley fog will develop in the river valleys of the Southern Tier, with some patchy fog elsewhere.

High pressure will then remain over the region Saturday and Saturday night. This should guarantee fair and dry weather in the west with only a slight chance for a shower from Finger Lakes east.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. A continuation of quiet weather with additional warming is expected for the latter half of the weekend and the start of the next work week. Surface high pressure will slowly slide towards the Eastern Seaboard Sunday before sliding off into the Atlantic Monday. Though a weak upper level shortwave disturbance appears to pass across the region Sunday, surface high pressure will dominate, thus limiting the potential for diurnal showers and storms. Highs on Sunday will climb up into the low to mid 80s.

Similar to Sunday, a weak upper level disturbance will traverse across the region Monday. However, with the high pressure bubble pushing off into the Atlantic, diurnal showers along far Western New York can not be ruled out. In addition to this, southwesterly flow will return Monday resulting in an increase in heat and humidity. Highs Monday will approach the mid to upper 80s, although a few locations along the lake plains through the Genesee Valley and Northern Finger Lakes regions could reach the low 90s. Provided the rise in humidity levels, this may cross into heat advisory criteria. More than likely, the apparent heat values will rise up into the low 90s for a majority of the areas previously listed.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. As an upper level trough crosses the northern portions of the Manitoba and Ontario Canadian provinces Monday through Tuesday night, the area will begin to see height falls aloft starting Monday night. This will mark the start of a period of unsettled weather for the middle portions of the work week. At the surface, the associated cold front appears to make its passage across the region Monday night through Tuesday, with the best chances for showers and storms Tuesday. Depending on the timing of the frontal passage, some of the storms have the potential to be on the stronger side Tuesday. A quicker frontal passage will hinder the chances for storms to become strong, thus will have to keep an eye on this system as time progresses.

Some showers may linger into Tuesday night before high pressure builds back into the region. With the return of high pressure overhead, mostly dry weather is expected for Wednesday and Thursday. However, some of the models depict the front from earlier in the period stalling out just to our south. The combination of the stalled front together with the passage of the upper level trough axis will be enough to ignite a few diurnally fed showers and storms.

A stronger shortwave will traverse northeast across the Ohio Valley Friday, promoting the formation of a low along the stalled boundary. This may allow the above noted stalled boundary to drift northward. As a result, increased shower and storms chances for Friday.

Behind the cold frontal passage Tuesday, temperatures will dip ever so slightly. However with lower humidity levels, conditions will be bearable. Highs throughout the period will climb up into the low to mid 80s.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. A weak upper level trough will slowly cross the region overnight, producing areas of stratocumulus and even a few isolated showers. Valley fog will develop across the Southern Tier, with patchy fog elsewhere from the Genesee Valley to eastern Lake Ontario region, producing local IFR.

The fog will dissipate Saturday morning, leaving VFR to prevail. The remaining stratocumulus will give way to diurnal cumulus inland from the lakes as daytime heating works on a layer of low level moisture. The diurnal cumulus will fade away Saturday evening, with mainly clear skies giving way to some increase in mid level clouds late as another weak upper level trough approaches. Valley fog will develop across the Southern Tier overnight with local IFR.

Outlook .

Sunday through Monday . Mainly VFR. Tuesday . Showers and thunderstorms likely. Brief MVFR/IFR possible. Wednesday . VFR but with a shower or thunderstorm possible.

MARINE. High pressure builds into the eastern Great Lakes into Saturday. A southwest wind will increase Sunday on Lake Erie and the western end of Lake Ontario, but conditions are expected to remain well below Small Craft Advisory criteria.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . None. MARINE . None.



SYNOPSIS . RSH NEAR TERM . Hitchcock/RSH/Zaff SHORT TERM . EAJ LONG TERM . EAJ AVIATION . Hitchcock MARINE . Hitchcock


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 6 mi48 min N 2.9 G 2.9 72°F 77°F1021.4 hPa44°F
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 15 mi48 min 67°F 1021.5 hPa
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 21 mi48 min 70°F 1020.9 hPa
45142 - Port Colborne 29 mi138 min N 7.8 G 9.7 72°F 76°F1 ft1020.4 hPa (+0.7)
OLCN6 - Olcott Harbor, NY 29 mi18 min SSE 1.9 G 2.9 66°F 1021.7 hPa
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 42 mi18 min E 1 G 1.9 71°F 1021 hPa (+0.6)
45139 - West Lake Ontario - Grimsby 44 mi78 min Calm G 1.9 68°F 69°F1 ft1020.8 hPa (+0.5)

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Buffalo, Greater Buffalo International Airport, NY4 mi24 minN 310.00 miPartly Cloudy70°F59°F68%1020.8 hPa
Niagara Falls, Niagara Falls International Airport, NY14 mi25 minN 310.00 miFair62°F57°F84%1020.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBUF

Wind History from BUF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmN3CalmE3N4E6NE6NE7NE9NE8NE9NE10NE8N8NE10N8NE8NE7NE6E5CalmCalmN3N3
1 day agoSE4SE3SE3S4SE3SE3SE4CalmSE3E5E53E3E6CalmCalmN3N8N7NE5NE6E6E6E5
2 days agoW8SW9W9W10W8W10W9W7W7W11SW10SW12SW15
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W14SW16
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W12W7W4W4W3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.