Monday, August19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Liverpool, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:13AMSunset 8:03PM Monday August 19, 2019 4:59 PM EDT (20:59 UTC) Moonrise 9:16PMMoonset 8:59AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:201908191515;;876133 Fzus51 Kbuf 191023 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 623 Am Edt Mon Aug 19 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-191515- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 623 Am Edt Mon Aug 19 2019
Today..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers early. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Light and variable winds. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday night..Light and variable winds. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest and increasing to 15 to 25 knots. Showers and Thunderstorms likely during the day, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms Wednesday night. Waves 1 foot or less building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Thursday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Friday..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. Mainly clear. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 44 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Liverpool, NY
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location: 43.12, -76.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 191844
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
244 pm edt Mon aug 19 2019

Synopsis
Other than an isolated shower or thunderstorm in northeast pa
and the catskills early this evening, tonight will become clear
as high pressure builds across the region. Tuesday looks to be
fair after a foggy start in the valleys of the twin tier region.

Another system will affect the region Tuesday night and
Wednesday with showers and thunderstorms becoming likely by
Wednesday. A strong cold front will pass south of the region
Thursday with more scattered showers. A large canadian high
pressure system will follow this front and lead to fair and
comfortably cool weather into the weekend.

Near term through Tuesday
For the rest of this afternoon into the early evening... A few
isolated showers and thunderstorms still are possible given mixed
layer capes of 500-1000 j kg from northeast pa to the catskills.

Upper level wave as per the water vapor imagery showed that
most of central ny and northeast pa was now behind the trough
axis and was in the subsident region. For grids have isolated
showers and thunderstorms much of northeast pa to the catskills
with chance pops in pike county for late afternoon early
evening. Not expecting anything severe given that the capes were
not high enough coupled W minimal shear.

For the later evening and overnight high pressure builds across ny
and pa with mainly clear skies and light winds. Typical valley fog
will form under this synoptic set-up.

Then for Tuesday most of the day will be fair with the next wave
taking shape over the ohio valley. The low-level flow will back to
southwest in the afternoon ahead of this wave and accelerate by
evening. This will lead to significant moisture and warm
advection and scattered showers and storms breaking out in the
evening and especially overnight. Have pops increasing through
Tuesday night to likely pops late.

Short term Tuesday night through Thursday
Period will be rather unsettled as an upper long wave trough
digs into the western great lakes and short waves rotate through
the area. On Wednesday, short wave looks to tap southern
moisture and will likely develop widespread showers and
thunderstorms, some with heavy rain.

For Thursday, surface cold front sweeps through with additional
showers and storms. At this range, timing differences are
evident in the models and will determine the severity of the
potential storms.

Long term Thursday night through Sunday
High pressure and a northerly flow build in behind the front on
Thursday night. This flow continues through the period under a
large upper trough. Surface front will stall south of the area
and continue to be the focus of showers and storms right into
Sunday. It's possible that a stray shower could get into the
southern sections of the forecast area at times, but pops are
too low to be included for now. Otherwise the period will be dry
and somewhat cooler than normal.

Aviation 19z Monday through Saturday
We haveVFR in broken cumulus for the afternoon. We don't
have enough confidence to put thunder or restrictions in any
terminals. From the visible satellite imagery the cumulus were
clumping along the lake ontario breeze. Cumulus will be broken
most of the afternoon and then thin out and vanish by sunset.

For overnight skies will be mainly clear and with light winds we
expect more valley fog and have vlifr fg at kelm and ifr br at
kbgm with MVFR br at kith. Rest of terminalsVFR.

Winds will be westerly 5 to 10 knots this afternoon and mainly
calm tonight.

Outlook...

Tuesday afternoon... Small chance of a thunderstorm at kavp
Tuesday afternoon. OtherwiseVFR.

Tuesday night through Wednesday night... Restrictions possible
in showers and storms, especially Wednesday afternoon-evening.

Thursday through Saturday...VFR conditions likely.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Djn
near term... Djn
short term... Dgm
long term... Dgm
aviation... Djn


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 28 mi65 min W 12 G 15 75°F 1015.2 hPa67°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 74 mi59 min NNW 14 G 16 74°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 75 mi65 min 74°F 1014.6 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY5 mi65 minW 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F66°F58%1014.7 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY19 mi65 minW 910.00 miFair82°F63°F53%1015.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSYR

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW9
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CalmSE3CalmSE4E3E5SE5E5E4SE4E3CalmE4CalmE3CalmW9W10W12SW9W8
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1 day agoSE83E4E3NE4E4E4E3E4CalmCalmE4E3E3E4CalmSE4E445S7SW7S10S12
G21
2 days agoE8E8SE9SE7E5CalmS8S10CalmCalmNE3CalmSE3CalmE3SE3E4E4E4SW9SW7N7SW7S5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.