Thursday, October1, 2020
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L-36.com

Marine Weather and Tides
North Syracuse, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:01AMSunset 6:46PM Thursday October 1, 2020 2:24 PM EDT (18:24 UTC) Moonrise 6:07PMMoonset 5:32AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202010012115;;646985 Fzus51 Kbuf 011445 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 1045 Am Edt Thu Oct 1 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-012115- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 1045 Am Edt Thu Oct 1 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 5 pm edt this afternoon...
Rest of today..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of waterspouts late. A chance of showers late. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of waterspouts. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. A chance of waterspouts. Showers likely. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday night..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of waterspouts. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..West winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..South winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..East winds around 10 knots becoming northwest. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 2 feet or less. The water temperature off rochester is 65 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Syracuse, NY
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location: 43.14, -76.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 011714 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 114 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2020

SYNOPSIS. Scattered lake effect rain showers will continue across upstate New York today. A storm will bring additional shower activity to the entire region Friday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/.

Only minor changes to the forecast with noontime update and discussion below is on track.

With the mid morning update, Skies were adjusted upward across the Southern Tier of NY and the Finger Lakes. These clouds are streaming in off the Great Lakes.

Persistent west-northwest flow over the lakes will continue to generate scattered showers due to lake-induced instability this afternoon. Shower activity will be mainly confined to the western and northern fringes of our NY forecast area. Otherwise, expect mainly sunny skies today with temperatures in the middle 60s.

Skies will remain mostly clear in advance of a weak storm system Thursday night. Temperatures will drop into the middle 40s.

A weak storm system will throw scattered rain showers across NY and PA on Friday as an upper level trough digs through the Great Lakes. QPF values will generally be under a tenth of an inch. Temperatures will reach the lower 60s.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. Surface ridge builds into the region on Saturday, however with upper trough over head and westerly flow across the lakes, some showers will be possible, mostly downwind of Lake Ontario. Away from the lakes, moisture is very limited in the low levels and the best chance for showers will be north of the NY Thruway corridor. Shower activity will diminish Saturday night and into Sunday as surface high pressure passes overhead and then heads east into New England. An open wave pushes NE across the Ohio Valley and into southwestern PA by Sunday afternoon. Although most of the shower activity with this wave should hold off until Sunday night, we will likely see an increase in clouds, and possibly a few showers entering our western zones by 0Z Monday.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Models are now in much better agreement for the end of the weekend and into the beginning of next week. Open wave of low pressure passes the region Sunday night through Monday morning and this will be our greatest shot at some showers. The Euro has actually trended more towards the GFS solution for Monday into Tuesday, with coastal low never really getting its act together before heading harmlessly out to sea Monday night. However, the pattern looks to remain active, as another highly amplified upper trough starts to dig into the Northeast U.S. mid week with another chance for showers and then much cooler temperatures.

AVIATION /17Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/.

All sites but KELM: VFR throughout the TAF period. Scattered to Cloud broken decks between 5,000 and 15,000 feet. Isolated showers can not be ruled out from 06-15Z Friday at all TAF sites. However, any light precipitation is not expected to create restrictions. A few lingering wind gust around 15 knots are anticipated through about 20Z today from the southwest.

For KELM: Above section does apply. However, a strong signal is present with our data indicating the potential for IFR or even LIFR restrictions with fog from roughly 09-13Z. However, the higher cloud deck may limit fog formation. Given uncertainty opted to add a IFR TEMPO group for this TAF.

Outlook .

Friday afternoon through Saturday . Mainly VFR. A few Lake effect showers Friday afternoon can not be ruled out at KSYR, KITH, KELM and KBGM.

Saturday night and Sunday . mainly VFR. Possible early morning fog especially ELM.

Sunday night through Tuesday . Restrictions possible in showers, mainly at AVP Monday.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . DJP NEAR TERM . DJP/MWG SHORT TERM . MPK LONG TERM . MPK AVIATION . MWG


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 31 mi54 min W 12 G 19 61°F 1011.7 hPa49°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 79 mi24 min SW 12 G 19 62°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 80 mi54 min 64°F 1010.5 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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SW12
G21
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G27
SW9
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S4
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G11
SE11
G16
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G25
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SE9
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G14
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G15
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G12
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SW4
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SW7
NW19
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G22
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G13
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G16
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G21
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S11
G17
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G13
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G18
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G22
S11
G17
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G16
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G16
SE8
G13
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G16
W22
W21
G26
W12
G16
SW5
G8
SW4
G11
S6
G10
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SE8
G11
S7

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY1 mi30 minWSW 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy64°F45°F50%1011.4 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY21 mi30 minW 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy65°F46°F51%1011.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSYR

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW11SW13
G17
SW10S10S9
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G18
S14
G20
SW5S4SW7S6S7SW5SW10SW9SW10SW12SW10SW15W14
G21
W12
G16
SW13W11
1 day agoSE6E6E6E3E4CalmN3CalmCalmE5NW3W3W4CalmCalmW8W12SW9SW12W9SW13
G19
SW10W19
G26
SW13
G25
2 days agoS10S11S12
G18
SE11SE7S14SE11S11
G20
SE11
G15
S12S8S14
G22
SE12
G18
SE12S9NW13NW10NW10
G18
NW6W7W5NW6CalmSE4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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