Monday, June1, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Holley, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:34AMSunset 8:47PM Monday June 1, 2020 2:02 AM EDT (06:02 UTC) Moonrise 2:51PMMoonset 2:18AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ042 Niagara River To Hamlin Beach Along Lake Ontario- 432 Pm Edt Sun May 31 2020
Tonight..West winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers this evening. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Monday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely overnight. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..West winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance of showers Friday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
LOZ042 Expires:202006010315;;054254 FZUS51 KBUF 312032 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 432 PM EDT Sun May 31 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ042-010315-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Holley, NY
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location: 43.22, -78.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 010529 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 129 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020

SYNOPSIS. Monday will be mainly dry and a bit warmer as high pressure builds across Ohio. A warm front will arrive Tuesday, producing a few showers and bringing a return to warmer temperatures.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. Weak shortwave dropping southeast through the eastern Great Lakes, and will bring an increase in cloud cover for most of the area through the rest of the overnight. Radar imagery showing a few weak returns, that will manifest as a few scattered sprinkles and light showers.

In its wake, chilly northwest flow may support some upslope clouds, especially southeast and east of Lake Ontario, with a clearing trend developing toward daybreak as drier air moves into the eastern Great Lakes. Lows will drop into the mid 40s on the lake plains, and upper 30s in some of the colder Southern Tier valleys and east of Lake Ontario. Lewis county will likely be the coldest location, but clouds will likely limit frost potential.

High pressure across Ohio will ridge across the region on Monday, which will provide mainly dry weather for the day. The only exception is east of Lake Ontario where shortwaves embedded in an upper level trough will move across and will produce cloud cover and possibly a few showers Monday afternoon. Otherwise, Monday will be warmer with highs mainly in the 60s. A southwest gradient flow will be enhanced by a lake breeze, resulting in wind gusts to 35 mph northeast of Lake Erie on Monday afternoon.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. A warm front will push east through the western Great Lakes Monday night, before riding through the western Great Lakes Tuesday. As the front pushes eastward, warm air advection will allow for increased cloud cover and rain shower chances Monday night and Tuesday. Model guidances continue to show the upper level shortwave weakening. Resulting in a limited the amount of precipitation to fall in the eastern Great Lakes on Tuesday. Rain chances will continue Tuesday night and Wednesday as the frontal boundary lies across the eastern Great Lakes before sliding south.

Rain chances will begin to diminish Wednesday night from north to south. Surface high pressure will begin to build into the region which will begin to dry things out. Thursday.

Due to the warm air advection associated with the warm front, temperatures will continue to rebound back to normal. Highs are expected to climb into the mid and upper 60s Tuesday, whereas Wednesday and Thursday will rise up into the low to mid 70s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. High pressure will keep conditions dry through Friday.

Weak low pressure and associated cold front pushing through Friday night and early Saturday with the possible return of showers/storms.

Warming trend and more humid ahead of the front.

Refreshingly cooler and drier air mass moves in behind the front Sunday.

AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. A weak trough will cross the region through daybreak, bringing with it an increase in VFR level cloudiness and scattered sprinkles or light showers. The trough will exit early this morning, with VFR prevailing for the day as a few batches of high clouds cross the region. It will turn breezy this afternoon across Western NY, with gusts of around 25 knots northeast of Lake Erie.

A warm front will move into the western Great Lakes this evening, then spread towards the eastern Great Lakes late tonight. This will bring thickening and lowering clouds to the region overnight, with a few showers developing by around 09Z Tuesday. The low levels will initially remain unsaturated, with mainly VFR conditions prevailing even as the showers arrive.

Outlook .

Tuesday and Wednesday . Areas of MVFR with showers likely at times. Thursday and Friday . Mainly VFR.

MARINE. Winds will remain a bit elevated for the next few hours producing choppy conditions on the lakes. Winds and waves will then gradually diminish overnight as the pressure gradient relaxes.

Yet another trough will cross the eastern Great Lakes Monday afternoon. WSW winds will increase ahead of this trough, especially on Lake Erie where winds and waves will get close to Small Craft Advisory criteria.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . None. MARINE . None.



SYNOPSIS . AR/Apffel NEAR TERM . AR/Apffel/Hitchcock SHORT TERM . EAJ LONG TERM . TMA AVIATION . Hitchcock MARINE . AR/Apffel


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 22 mi51 min 50°F 1023.1 hPa
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 24 mi63 min WSW 5.1 G 8 52°F
OLCN6 - Olcott Harbor, NY 37 mi63 min SSW 4.1 G 6 52°F 1024 hPa (-0.7)

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rochester, Greater Rochester International Airport, NY21 mi69 minSW 510.00 miMostly Cloudy46°F43°F89%1023.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KROC

Wind History from ROC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmNE3CalmCalmNE4CalmN5N6N10
G17
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--NW7NW3W5W3SW5W5
1 day agoW7W8W5SW3SW4W6W7SW6W4SW9S8W10
G15
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2 days agoSW9SW7SW8SW5SW6SW7SW5SW8SW14W7
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W4W10SW9SW9SW8W16
G23
SW10W9W10
G18
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G21
W10W7W10

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.