Saturday, January18, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bunker Hill, OR

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:43AMSunset 5:11PM Saturday January 18, 2020 2:26 PM PST (22:26 UTC) Moonrise 1:39AMMoonset 12:33PM Illumination 38% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ350 Coastal Waters From Florence To Cape Blanco Or Out 10 Nm- 211 Pm Pst Sat Jan 18 2020
.hazardous seas warning in effect until 8 pm pst this evening...
.gale watch in effect from Monday afternoon through late Monday night...
Tonight..S wind 15 to 25 kt...easing to 10 to 15 kt in the late evening and overnight. Cape arago southward, S wind 30 kt... Easing to 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 8 to 11 ft...subsiding to 5 to 8 ft. W swell 7 to 8 ft at 12 seconds...building to 13 to 14 ft at 15 seconds. Rain through the night. Slight chance of showers.
Sun..S wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 11 to 13 ft at 14 seconds.
Sun night..S wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 3 to 6 ft. W swell 9 ft at 13 seconds...subsiding to 7 to 8 ft at 13 seconds after midnight.
Mon..S wind 5 to 10 kt except S 10 to 20 kt cape arago southward. Wind waves 4 to 6 ft. W swell 9 ft... Building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Chance of rain.
Mon night..S wind 15 kt...rising to 25 kt after midnight. Cape arago southward, S wind 20 to 25 kt. Wind waves 4 to 7 ft... Building to 6 to 9 ft after midnight. W swell 10 to 11 ft. Rain.
Tue..SW wind 20 to 25 kt. Wind waves 7 to 9 ft...subsiding to 5 to 7 ft in the afternoon. W swell 10 to 11 ft...building to 15 to 17 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
Tue night..SW wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 3 to 6 ft. W swell 16 to 19 ft. Rain.
Wed..S wind 15 to 20 kt. Wind waves 3 ft. W swell 14 ft... Subsiding to 9 ft.
Thu..S wind 15 to 20 kt. Wind waves 3 ft... Becoming 2 ft or less. W swell 6 ft...building to 8 ft and W 4 ft.
PZZ300 211 Pm Pst Sat Jan 18 2020
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters..Hazardous seas remain behind a the cold front that produced strong gales and very steep seas today. Seas diminish some Sunday but remain high and steep. A front late Sunday night will start a new trend of building seas with a long period west swell. A stronger front late Monday will produce possible gales with very high and very steep long- period seas continuing through Tuesday night. The pattern will remain active for the rest of the week, though with fronts more likely to be of advisory strength.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bunker Hill, OR
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location: 43.36, -124.13     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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FXUS66 KMFR 181713 AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 913 AM PST Sat Jan 18 2020

DISCUSSION. Updates were made to the forecast today. Most notably was to reduce pops and precipitation amounts for the area. The latest radar image is rather benign showing mainly light returns mainly west of the cascades and in eastern Modoc County. However most of the surface observations are not reporting any precipitation. So while intermittent showers are possible today, they should be far and few in between and precip amounts, if any will be very light.

Also the morning sounding showed the freezing level at 5100 feet, which is an indicator that warmer air mass is already moving into the area. Thus snow levels have been adjusted higher for this morning and afternoon. The concern for road snow of the higher passes is low with not much more than an additional inch expected for places like Diamond Lake and Crater Lake.

Any precipitation will end this evening with dry weather tonight through Sunday. -Petrucelli

AVIATION. For the 18/12Z TAF Cycle . An approaching front will continue to produce rain west of the Cascades through tonight with a mix of VFR and MVFR ceilings and generally VFR visibility. A brief period of low level wind shear is possible as the front approaches.

Inland, downsloping south flow at the TAF sites will probably keep rain at bay through the early morning, but light rain and mountain snow is expected with associated terrain obscurations through this afternoon. Ceilings and visibilities will be mainly MVFR or VFR as mixing associated with the front will prevent fog and low ceilings from forming. However, at Medford, low ceilings are possible around dawn as winds lift over a stable surface layer, then may continue for most of the morning. -DW/BPN

MARINE. Updated 230 AM PST Saturday 18 Jan 2020 . A cold front will produce strong gales and very steep building seas through Saturday. The front will be relatively slow moving with gales continuing over all of the waters into Saturday morning. Winds will begin to diminish over the far outer waters late in the morning while gales continue elsewhere into Saturday afternoon. Seas will reach a peak during Saturday evening.

Seas on Sunday diminish but remain high and steep with weak high pressure briefly moving into the waters. A front late Sunday night will start a new trend of building seas with a long period west swell. The long period swell component will likely reach a peak around 10 ft at 17 seconds on Monday afternoon. But, seas will continue to build as the long period west swell combines with a shorter period west swell and building south wind waves.

A stronger front late Monday afternoon through Monday night may produce gales with very high and very steep seas building through Tuesday afternoon then persisting through Tuesday night. Peak seas are forecast at around 23 ft at 15 seconds. bar conditions are likely to become hazardous during this time.

The pattern will remain active Wednesday through Saturday, though with fronts more likely to be of advisory strength with high and steep seas. -DW/BPN

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OR . None.

CA . None.

Pacific Coastal Waters . Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 4 AM PST Sunday for PZZ356-370-376. Gale Warning until 1 PM PST this afternoon for PZZ350-356-370-376. Hazardous Seas Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 4 AM PST Sunday for PZZ350-356-370-376.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CHAO3 - 9432780 - Charleston, OR 11 mi50 min S 2.9 G 12 48°F1022.7 hPa
SNTO3 11 mi56 min SSW 6 56°F 1023 hPa50°F
46229 - UMPQUA OFFSHORE, OR (139) 36 mi56 min 51°F16 ft
PORO3 - 9431647 - Port Orford, OR 47 mi56 min 52°F 50°F1024.5 hPa

Wind History for Charleston, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Oregon Regional Airport, OR8 mi30 minESE 510.00 miLight Rain52°F50°F93%1023.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOTH

Wind History from OTH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE8SE8SE8SE5SE8SE5SE5------------------SE5SE5SE5SE5SE5SE5SE7SE5
1 day agoW4NW4NW4W4CalmCalmCalm------------------SE6SE6SE6SE6SE10SE10SE8SE5
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SE14------------------S7S7S5SE3SE4SE5CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Charleston, Oregon
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Charleston
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:39 AM PST     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:16 AM PST     7.89 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:45 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:33 PM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 01:13 PM PST     1.07 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:10 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:18 PM PST     5.32 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.82.43.44.86.27.37.97.76.95.642.61.51.11.3234.14.95.35.24.73.93.1

Tide / Current Tables for Charleston, Oregon (2)
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Charleston
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:39 AM PST     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:14 AM PST     8.25 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:45 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:33 PM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 01:13 PM PST     1.23 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:10 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:19 PM PST     5.56 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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22.63.75.26.67.78.287.25.84.32.81.71.21.42.13.24.35.15.55.44.943.2

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.