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Marine Weather and Tides Saco, ME Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 5:09AM

Sunset 8:25PM

Friday July 10, 2020 2:58 AM EDT (06:58 UTC)

Moonrise 11:50PM

Moonset 10:37AM

Illumination 77%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Saco, ME

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Area Discussion for - Gray/Portland, ME

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FXUS61 KGYX 100335 AFDGYX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gray ME 1135 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

SYNOPSIS. Hot and humid conditions are forecast again for Friday, with isolated showers and storms. Widespread moderate to possibly heavy rainfall is expected Friday night and through Saturday as a remnant tropical system nears. An upper level trough may bring scattered showers or thunderstorms early next week to the region.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/. Update . Minor changes to adjust for latest observational trends.

Previous discussion . Hot and sticky afternoon in place across the region as weak high pressure remains generally in control. Across southern New Hampshire dewpoints in the upper 60s with temperatures in the low 90s are pushing the heat index into the upper 90s and the heat advisory remains in effect through this evening.

Overnight expect fog to again form across the region with the muggy airmass remaining in place. Have put dense fog in the more typical valley locations, with more widespread patchy fog. A Dense fog advisory may again be needed but will let the evening shift assess that further after the heat advisory expires.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. Update . NHC has initiated tropical storm warnings for TS Fay . but the most important point is that functionally does not change the forecast locally. The main threat continues to be the potential for heavy rainfall . though a track farther W would limit that potential.

Previous discussion . For tomorrow our focus turns to our south. Pressure falls northeast of Cape Hatteras, along with increasing convection are likely to become a tropical storm this evening. This storm will then track up the coast bringing rain to our region by Friday night. deterministic guidance has shifted west with the track of this low, with some options keeping the low entirely west of our CWA. Feel this is probably a bit to aggressive and have leaned towards a more easterly track which brings the core of the heavy precipitation through our region late Friday night and into Saturday. With a deep tropical moisture feed Flash flooding will be a threat overnight Friday into Saturday especially across the southern part of the area.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. 12Z models track with tropical moisture continues to shift somewhat from run to run on Saturday. Latest guidance trends shift the bulk of the moisture just west of our region and across westernmost New England or eastern New York State Saturday morning. However, much uncertainty continues as to exactly where this tropical moisture will advect.

The possibility of localized flash flooding continues for Saturday morning, but again, the location or confidence of an axis of heavy rainfall is relatively low at this time. If the system does track west of our region, it does open the possibility of dry intrusion to its east. This may allow for sunshine and increased diurnal destabilization, allowing CAPE values to quickly increase in a highly sheared environment during the day. Therefore, the possibility of damaging winds and locally heavy rainfall will persist through the afternoon hours. This is in good agreement with latest SPC forecast.

Warm conditions and very humid conditions are expected throughout the weekend, but not as hot as the heat index values we have experienced over the last couple days.

Thereafter, a persistent upper level trough will lead to scattered convection to start off next week. This will mostly be diurnally driven.

AVIATION /04Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Short Term . A few cumulus clouds this afternoon won't impact flight category and will dissipate at sundown. Not long after that expect to see a return to the fog and LIFR conditions seen last night. Less than 1/4SM is expected at HIE and LEB and BML in the northern river valleys. Along the coast will also see LIFR ceilings with fog. The wildcard is the Merrimack Valley. Expect both CON and MHT to drop to at least IFR but may not be quite as dense as the rest of the area. Fog will lift again after sunrise tomorrow and be replaced by increasing high clouds as a system move up the coast. This will bring increasing onshore wind with rain developing from south to north on Friday night.

Long Term . Areas of IFR conditions and possibly LIFR in storms and coastal fog on Saturday. Conditions gradually improve Sunday and into early next week. However, there may be localized and mainly diurnally driven showers and storms during this period lowering ceilings and visibilities from time to time.

MARINE. Short Term . Overnight expect fog to reform across the ocean waters. May see some lifting in the morning but increasing clouds ahead of a coastal low may keep some fog in place all day. Onshore flow and rain showers move in from south to north on Friday evening ahead of the low.

Long Term . Winds and seas may bring the waters to SCA thresholds on Saturday into Sunday. Otherwise, conditions will remain below SCA thresholds.

HYDROLOGY. While flash flooding is possible late Friday night into Saturday, the track of tropical moisture remains highly uncertain and may end up passing to our west. Nevertheless this will need to be closely monitored as flash flooding is a possibility by Saturday morning in a very highly precipitable water and dynamic environment, and perhaps once again Saturday afternoon in association with convection.

GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EDT Friday for MEZ019>028. NH . None. MARINE . None.



NEAR TERM . Legro

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
WEXM1 - Wells Reserve, ME	12 mi	59 min	N 5.1	67°F				67°F
WELM1 - 8419317 - Wells, ME	13 mi	59 min	NNE 5.1 G 6	67°F	63°F		1016.5 hPa (+0.3)
CASM1 - 8418150 - Portland, ME	16 mi	59 min		66°F	63°F
44030 - Buoy B0102 - Western Maine Shelf	22 mi	115 min	NNW 3.9 G 3.9			2 ft	1022 hPa
CMLN3	32 mi	175 min	NW 2.9	68°F
44073	33 mi	115 min	W 1.9 G 3.9	72°F	68°F
BGXN3 - Great Bay Reserve, NH	36 mi	74 min	Calm	68°F			1016 hPa
IOSN3 - Isle of Shoals, NH	37 mi	59 min	SSW 7 G 8	71°F			1015.5 hPa (+0.0)	71°F

Wind History for Wells, ME

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Portland, Portland International Jetport, ME	14 mi	68 min	E 5	0.50 mi	Fog	68°F	64°F	90%	1016.8 hPa
Sanford, Sanford Regional Airport, ME	15 mi	63 min	NE 5	0.50 mi	Fog	68°F	68°F	100%	1016.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPWM

Wind History from PWM (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Old Orchard Beach, Maine

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Tide / Current Tables for Wood Island Harbor, Maine

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Gray/Portland, ME (2,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME

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