Marine Forecasts

    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

---

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lyndonville, NY

   Hourly   EDIT   Help

---

Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY

      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KBUF 140530 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 130 AM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020

SYNOPSIS. Fair weather will continue through the end of the week with increasing humidity and shower chances this weekend. Above normal temperatures will continue until the passage of a cold front on Monday with below normal temperatures for much of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. High pressure overhead overnight with just some scattered to broken mid and high level clouds at times. Temperatures will fall to the mid to upper 50s for Southern Tier and cool spots of the North Country and stay in the low to mid 60s elsewhere. Overnight subsidence and radiation inversions will allow for some patchy valley fog in the Southern Tier.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/. A slow evolution of the mid-level flow pattern looks to unfold through Saturday as a weak circulation in the mid-Mississippi Valley treks northeastward toward our region. This is associated with the right entrance region of a jet streak that will be transitioning northeastward during that time frame such that its right entrance region will be over western New York by Saturday. The GFS really tags on shower activity developing in association with this as deeper moisture advances into the region as evidenced by PWAT values running back up toward 1.5 inches. Other models are not quite as bullish with this development, but the GFS has been consistent, so it's difficult to rule out at this time. Chances of showers and thunderstorms have thus been maintained in increasingly soupy air by Saturday. In the interim, however, fair weather should remain.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. The area will be sandwiched between the area of high pressure from earlier in the week and an approaching low from the Ohio Valley Saturday night. That said, mainly dry weather will persist in the North Country, while the southwestern portions of the forecast area will see chances for showers and thunderstorms increase. By Sunday, the area of high pressure will have receded across the Northeast into the Canadian Maritimes, allowing the surface low to push east into the Mid-Atlantic. This dwindles down to an increase in warm air and moisture advection into the region, promoting the likelihood for showers and thunderstorms Sunday.

A well defined upper level trough will push east across the Mid-West and eventually into the Northeast for the first half of the new work week. As the upper level trough approaches, its associated cold front will cross the central Great Lakes Sunday night before crossing the area on Monday. With its arrival and passage, expect the chances of showers and thunderstorms throughout the day on Monday.

As the front departs the region and enters the Northeast, chances for showers will decrease from west to east Monday night. Behind the departing system, a large area of high pressure will engulf much of the eastern half of the CONUS Tuesday before beginning to build overhead Wednesday and Thursday. Overall, the remainder of the forecast period will be dry, though conditions will be conducive to a few showers Tuesday as any residual instability mixes with the leftover moisture residing across the area.

Highs throughout the rest of the weekend through the first half of the work week will range in the 70s, with the exception of a couple of readings in the low 80s along the Lake Plains on Monday and Thursday.

AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. High pressure and VFR through the period. Dry weather and light winds expected through Friday morning. There will be some patchy fog in the river valleys of the Southern Tier late tonight, but it should stay east of JHW. Northeast winds increase some starting on Friday afternoon.

Outlook .

Friday Night . Mainly VFR with local IFR in river valley fog late across the Southern Tier. Saturday through Monday . Mainly VFR with a chance of showers. Tuesday . VFR.

MARINE. High pressure across the Great Lakes will maintain overall light winds and waves overnight. High pressure drifts to the north Friday and Friday night while low pressure moves through the Ohio Valley. This will lead to an increasing northeast flow, with small craft headlines possible Friday night.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . None. MARINE . None.



SYNOPSIS . Fries/TMA NEAR TERM . Fries/JLA/TMA SHORT TERM . Fries LONG TERM . EAJ AVIATION . Fries/JLA/TMA MARINE . Fries/TMA

---

Weather Reporting Stations

   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
OLCN6 - Olcott Harbor, NY	30 mi	49 min	SSE 2.9 G 4.1	69°F			1020 hPa (+0.0)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY	36 mi	49 min		76°F			1018.9 hPa (-0.4)
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY	38 mi	49 min	SE 7 G 8	76°F
45012 - Lake Ontario Buoy - 20NM North Northeast of Rochester, NY	43 mi	29 min	ENE 14 G 18	76°F	75°F		1018.9 hPa	69°F
45159 - NW Lake Ontario Ajax	44 mi	49 min	ENE 12 G 14	76°F	74°F		1018.9 hPa (-0.2)

Wind History for Buffalo, NY

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

4 AM

5 AM

6 AM

7 AM

8 AM

9 AM

10 AM

11 AM

12 PM

1 PM

2 PM

3 PM

4 PM

5 PM

6 PM

7 PM

8 PM

9 PM

10 PM

11 PM

12 AM

1 AM

2 AM

3 AM

Last 24hr

NE2

E3

E2

E4

E4

E3

E4

E4 G8

E5 G13

SE6 G9

NE5 G8

E8 G11

E7 G11

NE5 G11

E7 G12

NE7 G10

NE9 G13

NE7 G11

NE6 G10

E4 G7

E7 G10

E6 G10

E4 G7

E4 G7

1 day ago

NE1

N1

N3

NE1

S1

S4

SW2

SW6

SW4 G7

SW6

SW9

W8

W7

SW5

SW7

W6

NW2

SE1

S2

SE2

E3

E2

N2

2 days ago

S12 G15

S12 G15

S15

S13 G16

S14 G17

SW17 G24

SW19 G24

SW17 G24

SW20 G25

SW19 G24

SW15 G22

SW14 G20

SW17 G21

SW14 G19

SW11 G17

SW13 G16

W14 G17

W8

NW9

NW7

N5 G8

N2

N2

---

Airport Reports

    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.

Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Rochester, Greater Rochester International Airport, NY	41 mi	55 min	WSW 3	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	64°F	61°F	90%	1019.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KROC

Wind History from ROC (wind in knots)

4 AM

5 AM

6 AM

7 AM

8 AM

9 AM

10 AM

11 AM

12 PM

1 PM

2 PM

3 PM

4 PM

5 PM

6 PM

7 PM

8 PM

9 PM

10 PM

11 PM

12 AM

1 AM

2 AM

3 AM

Last 24hr

SW3

W3

SW4

SW4

SW5

SW4

SW4

SW4

E4

E7

E6

NE8

NE11

NE12

NE11

NE8

E5

E5

NE4

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

SW3

1 day ago

Calm

Calm

Calm

SW5

W5

SW3

W5

W7

3

NW6

4

S6

NE9

4

E5

NE5

N5

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

SW3

2 days ago

SW4

S5

SW6

SW9

SW10

SW9 G16

SW13

SW13 G20

SW12 G21

W16

W16

W15 G25

W19 G26

W16 G22

W13 G18

W14 G19

W12

W6

W9

W7

NW6

Calm

W3

SW3

---

Tide / Current Tables for

   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help

---

Tide / Current Tables for

   EDIT      (on/off)   Help

---

Weather Map

       (on/off)   Help Weather Map

---

GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

---

Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (3,6,7,8)

      (on/off)   Help

---

Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY

   (on/off)   Help

---

Cookie Policy: This website uses cookies to save your settings. No personal information is saved. I do not collect statistics on your visit. You can disable cookies in your browser if you like but it is not recommended for this site. I do not sell cookies. Go to a bakery for that. In fact I do not sell anything. To disable cookies from L-36.com, please refer to the Help button in your browser. Privacy Policy: I do not sell or share any user data or anything else for that matter. The only personal information I save is in the site log which has a line for each page view which includes the IP address your browser sends in the header as well as which page you requested. I use this to block hackers and other bad actors. I do not use this raw data to create profiles on users. I periodically delete the log files. If you are subject to CCPA, Google ads on this site will not be based on your past behavior so you will likely not see an ad for a lawn mower just because you looked for one at a big box website. I do not believe this site is subject to CCPA but I am doing what I can to follow the guidelines anyway. Disclaimer: The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.