Sunday, December8, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Reedsport, OR

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:34AMSunset 4:42PM Sunday December 8, 2019 12:31 PM PST (20:31 UTC) Moonrise 2:58PMMoonset 3:44AM Illumination 90% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ350 Coastal Waters From Florence To Cape Blanco Or Out 10 Nm- 852 Am Pst Sun Dec 8 2019
Today..N wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell sw 4 to 6 ft at 9 seconds and nw 3 to 4 ft at 10 seconds.
Tonight..NE wind 5 kt...veering to E early in the morning. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell nw 5 ft at 15 seconds and sw 2 to 3 ft at 8 seconds.
Mon..S wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 6 ft at 14 seconds.
Mon night..S wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 5 to 6 ft.
Tue..S wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 6 to 8 ft. Rain likely.
Tue night..S wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 7 to 8 ft. Chance of showers.
Wed..S wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less...becoming 3 to 4 ft. W swell 9 ft.
Thu..S wind 15 to 20 kt...becoming sw 5 kt after midnight. Wind waves 5 ft...becoming 2 ft or less. Mixed swell W 13 ft and sw 7 ft...building to 16 ft and S 2 ft.
PZZ300 852 Am Pst Sun Dec 8 2019
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters..Weak high pressure will build into the waters today with improving conditions into Monday. Seas are likely to become steep Tuesday morning ahead of a cold front. The front will be the start of a new series of disturbances with steep seas possibly affecting the waters through the end of the week. This includes the potential for a high and steep long period west swell on Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Reedsport, OR
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location: 43.71, -124.1     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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FXUS66 KMFR 081656 AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 856 AM PST Sun Dec 8 2019

UPDATE. With the upper ridge pushing in the shower activity is dropping off faster than models are indicating. Have updated to trim off chances of precipitation through the day. Sven

PREV DISCUSSION. /Issued 401 AM PST Sun Dec 8 2019/

DISCUSSION . 2:30 AM radar is showing some very light showers over the Rogue Valley and Cascades in Oregon and also across southeastern Siskiyou County and Modoc County. This is in relation to a weak area of low pressure moving across northern California. This low is best seen in the upper level water vapor satellite imagery, despite the actual circulation appearing pretty messy.

These showers will continue this morning as the low moves farther east. Then, the shower activity will largely decrease throughout the day as a ridge of high pressure moves in its place. This means that the inversion will likely set up tonight with valley fog setting up tonight. Some areas may even see that fog become dense. This pattern will continue again through Monday with relatively mild weather and chilly nights.

Then, on Tuesday and Wednesday, a weak frontal system will move across southern Oregon and northern California. This will weaken the ridge; but will likely mean very little in the way of precipitation except for areas near the coast and the Coast range. Some areas of the Umpqua basin may also see some light rain as well. The important part of the front will be weakening the ridge to more of a zonal flow which will allow multiple fronts to approach our area in quick succession.

The first of these fronts will arrive Thursday night. This front will bring some light to moderate precipitation with it. Snow levels will increase ahead of the front again and be much higher than the previous storm (looking at snow levels around 7000-8000 feet). Some areas near the coast may even see some periods of heavy precipitation on Thursday night and Friday.

The next system will arrive on Saturday bringing another shot of moderate to locally heavy precipitation with it. Snow levels will start to fall as this front will bring in colder air, but most of the precipitation will start as rain for the passes. Snow levels will quickly drop to around 4000 feet by Saturday night and to around 3000 feet by Sunday night. By this time, the precipitation will become more showery in nature. Confidence in the details of this system are pretty low since model and ensemble spread is very large; but it is safe to mention that this storm system should continue to be monitored as it brings a higher chance for travel impacts next weekend. -Schaaf

AVIATION . For the 08/12Z TAFs . Showers will continue to taper off this morning. A wide variety of conditions will persist this morning, though with IFR or MVFR and mountain obscuration for a majority of the area. Conditions will briefly improve in the afternoon with VFR expected to develop for nearly the entire area, perhaps a few patches of lingering lower ceilings near the higher terrain. Conditions will deteriorate in valleys this evening into early Monday morning with LIFR/IFR low clouds and fog developing. -DW

MARINE . Updated 200 AM PST Sunday, 8 December 2019 . Weak high pressure will build into the waters today with improving conditions into Monday. Seas are likely to become steep Tuesday morning ahead of a cold front. The front on Tuesday will be the start of a new series of disturbances through the end of the week. This includes the potential for a high and steep long period west swell on Thursday that will accompany a stronger front. Peak swell is still indicated to occur on Thursday afternoon at around 17 feet at 18 seconds. Gradual improvement is likely to follow at the end of the week, though seas are forecast to remain high and steep. -DW

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OR . None.

CA . None.

Pacific Coastal Waters . None.

SBN/SBN/SBN


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46229 - UMPQUA OFFSHORE, OR (139) 24 mi32 min 52°F6 ft
CHAO3 - 9432780 - Charleston, OR 28 mi56 min W 1 G 2.9 50°F1020.2 hPa
46128 37 mi92 min 49°F 51°F

Wind History for Charleston, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Oregon Regional Airport, OR21 mi36 minWSW 49.00 miOvercast53°F50°F89%1020.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOTH

Wind History from OTH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN8--S4CalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmW3N7NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4
1 day agoSE4N4CalmN4CalmE3CalmE8E7SE6SE8SE6SE5SE3SE4SE3SE5N3S4SE6SE8SE8--SE3
2 days agoN3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmSE5S3CalmW3CalmSE4SE4CalmSE3SE6E4SE8S6SE6SE8S5E3E5

Tide / Current Tables for Reedsport, Umpqua River, Oregon
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Reedsport
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:44 AM PST     Moonset
Sun -- 04:09 AM PST     2.11 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:37 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:23 AM PST     6.85 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:57 PM PST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:39 PM PST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:24 PM PST     0.76 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:32 PM PST     5.20 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.63.93.12.42.12.334.15.26.26.86.76.153.72.41.30.80.91.52.53.64.65.1

Tide / Current Tables for Florence, Siuslaw River, Oregon
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Florence
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:43 AM PST     2.11 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:44 AM PST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:38 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:56 AM PST     6.71 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:57 PM PST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:38 PM PST     Sunset
Sun -- 04:58 PM PST     0.76 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:05 PM PST     5.09 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.23.52.72.22.12.53.44.55.66.46.76.45.54.331.810.81.11.9344.85.1

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.