Thursday, September16, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Veneta, OR

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 7:22PM Thursday September 16, 2021 11:25 AM PDT (18:25 UTC) Moonrise 4:43PMMoonset 12:40AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ255 Coastal Waters From Cascade Head To Florence Or Out 10 Nm- Waters From Cascade Head To Florence Or From 10 To 60 Nm- 318 Am Pdt Thu Sep 16 2021
.gale watch in effect from Friday afternoon through late Friday night...
Today..N wind 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 20 kt, easing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves N 3 ft at 5 seconds. NW swell 6 ft at 10 seconds.
Tonight..NW wind 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt with gusts to 15 kt then backing to S 10 kt with gusts to 15 kt late. Wind waves nw 2 ft at 4 seconds, shifting to the sw at 4 seconds after midnight. NW swell 5 ft at 10 seconds.
Fri..S wind 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Wind waves S 6 ft at 7 seconds. NW swell 5 ft at 8 seconds. Chance of rain. Patchy dense fog in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW wind 20 to 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt possible. Combined seas 9 ft with a dominant period of 8 seconds. Rain and patchy fog.
Sat..SW wind 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Wind waves sw 3 ft at 5 seconds. W swell 7 ft at 9 seconds. Showers.
Sat night..SW wind 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Wind waves sw 3 ft at 5 seconds. W swell 9 ft at 10 seconds. Showers.
Sun..W wind 10 to 15 kt, easing to 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft. W swell 9 ft.
Mon..N wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft. W swell 9 ft.
PZZ200 318 Am Pdt Thu Sep 16 2021
Synopsis for the southern washington and northern oregon coast.. High pres over the region today will shift inland later tonight and Fri as a front approaches from the west. This front will push across the coastal waters Fri night, with southerly gales in advance of this front. Unsettled weather continues for the weekend, as broad area of low pres sits over the region.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Veneta, OR
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location: 44.05, -123.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Portland, OR
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FXUS66 KPQR 161632 AAA AFDPQR

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATE National Weather Service Portland OR 930 AM PDT Thu Sep 16 2021

Updated Aviation discussion

SYNOPSIS. An upper ridge will bring dry and seasonable weather today. A potent Pacific frontal system will usher in cool, wet, and blustery weather to the entire forecast area by Friday night, where rain will be locally heavy into Saturday. Cool and showery conditions will follow into Sunday, while isolated thunderstorms are possible both Saturday and Sunday. Rain will be orographically enhanced over the Coast Range and Cascades, where over three inches of rain is possible.

SHORT TERM /Today through Sunday/. In the calm before the storm, an upper ridge will bring dry weather today. This morning's dry airmass has allowed for minimum temperatures down into the upper 30s to mid 40s, which will quickly warm today into the mid 70s in the lowlands and into the mid 60s in the higher terrain and along the coasts. Clouds should begin increasing tonight

Clouds will begin increasing tonight as the vigorous weather system moves in closer, while winds will turn more southerly. A warm front will rise up over the area ahead of the surface low digging down along the western B.C. coast, increasing the southerly winds. Overall, models have slowed the system a bit, so have adjusted the arrival of the precipitation, however they continue to keep the strongest forcing and moisture transport north of our area on Friday, mainly toward the Olympic Peninsula and Vancouver Island. With the slower arrival time and strong southerly winds, have warmed Friday's high temperature forecast, especially over the southern Willamette Valley. Further north, light rain and drizzle will spread inland north and west of Portland during the daytime hours. Southerly winds will increase, especially along the coast. Model guidance continues to show possible gusts to 50 mph Friday evening here, with up to 35 mph possible for the Willamette Valley.

The brunt of the system is expected to push in late Friday night through Saturday morning, when the cold front slides across the forecast area. The frontogenesis has trended slightly stronger than previous model runs, ahead and under the 115+kt jet aloft. Rain will become heavier, mainly in the midnight to sunrise on Saturday time frame for areas near Portland and northwest, then sunrise to noon south and east of Portland. Instability with the frontal passage and good turning of the lower level winds may allow for isolated thunderstorms Saturday afternoon and into the evening. Snow levels will be lowering to near 7000 feet by Saturday noon then down to near 6000 feet by Saturday night through Sunday. Widespread rain showers will continue Sunday with the continued chance for thunder as the upper level trough passes overhead. Sunday's temperatures will be down in the 50s to low 60s. /Kriederman

LONG TERM. Monday through Thursday . Showers may continue Monday morning, but overall should be pretty much done. Total rainfall amounts for the weekend event continues to range around 1-2 inches for the inland valleys by Monday morning, and 2-4 inches for the higher terrain.

Deterministic models build in an upper ridge quickly after the departing weather system. Yet that ridge will be shoved east just as quick as another upper trough pushes in from the Pacific, quite normal in this changing of seasons. A chance of rain will come again for Tuesday into Wednesday, before agreement between the models becomes poor quite quickly. /Kriederman

AVIATION. Dry, northerly flow will keep skies mostly clear through this afternoon while a weak upper ridge builds over the region today. The flow aloft will turn more westerly tonight ahead of an approaching warm front. Will see increasing mid and high clouds tonight through Friday morning across the forecast area. Low clouds along with some light rain will likely push onshore along the north Oregon and southwest Washington coast around 12Z Friday. Hi-Res model guidance suggests possible MVFR conditions developing at KAST Friday morning.

Northerly surface winds along the coast will likely become breezy this afternoon. Winds are expected to shift later this evening becoming more southeasterly, sometime after 06Z-08Z Friday.

For detailed regional Pac NW aviation weather information, go online to: https://weather.gov/zse

KPDX AND APPROACHES . VFR expected next 24 hours as dry, stable conditions continue. Northerly winds will increase again to around 10 kts this afternoon into early evening. Southeasterly wind shift likely after 10Z Friday along with increasing high and mid clouds. /DH

MARINE. A relatively quiet period for the about the next 24 hours as surface high pressure over the waters remain gradually weakens. The high pressure then yields to a robust Pacific system. An initial warm front moves across the northern zones early Friday with a trailing cold front following during the afternoon. Gale force winds appear likely for the northern zones so have upgraded the Gale Watch to a Warning spanning from 8 am Friday through Friday night. The warning duration is probably a bit generous, but left some buffer in case models pickup on small scale features that may delay the front. Left the southern zones as a Gale Watch for now as latest models not as strong as yesterday. Seas also rise a tad to 10 to 12 ft, primarily consisting of steep wind driven waves. /mh

PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OR . None. WA . None. PZ . Gale Warning from 8 AM Friday to 5 AM PDT Saturday for coastal waters from Cape Shoalwater WA to Cascade Head OR out 60 nm.

Gale Watch from Friday afternoon through late Friday night for coastal waters from Cascade Head OR to Florence OR out 60 nm.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SBEO3 - 9435380 - South Beach, OR 54 mi56 min SSE 1.9 G 4.1 55°F 49°F1019.2 hPa
NWPO3 - Newport, OR 54 mi86 min NE 5.1 G 6 55°F
46229 - UMPQUA OFFSHORE, OR (139) 66 mi60 min 52°F8 ft

Wind History for South Beach, Yaquina River, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Eugene, Mahlon Sweet Field, OR8 mi32 minN 1510.00 miA Few Clouds60°F42°F52%1018.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KEUG

Wind History from EUG (wind in knots)
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1 day agoN5N5N6NE6N8N6NE8N8N8N6NE5NW4CalmN3NW4N5N5NW4W3NW4N12N12N16N11
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N15N15N16N20N12NE7N9N8N6N7E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm34

Tide / Current Tables for Florence, Siuslaw River, Oregon
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Florence
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:43 AM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:17 AM PDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:57 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:04 AM PDT     5.28 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:15 PM PDT     2.74 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:45 PM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:24 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:58 PM PDT     6.52 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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42.61.30.3-0.100.71.83.14.255.35.14.53.73.12.82.93.54.45.46.26.56.2

Tide / Current Tables for Entrance, Siuslaw River, Oregon
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Entrance
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:43 AM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:22 AM PDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:57 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:14 AM PDT     5.89 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:20 PM PDT     3.30 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:46 PM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:24 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:08 PM PDT     7.28 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.11.60.5-0.1-00.71.93.34.65.55.95.75.24.43.73.33.444.966.97.376.2

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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