Thursday, September16, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Gardiner, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:18AMSunset 6:49PM Thursday September 16, 2021 3:30 PM EDT (19:30 UTC) Moonrise 5:03PMMoonset 12:55AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ153 Casco Bay- 253 Pm Edt Thu Sep 16 2021
Tonight..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Patchy fog after midnight. Vsby variable to less than one quarter nm after midnight.
Fri..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Patchy fog. Vsby variable to less than one quarter nm.
Fri night..SE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Widespread fog. Vsby variable to less than one quarter nm.
Sat..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Widespread fog in the morning. Vsby variable to less than one quarter nm in the morning.
Sat night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Scattered showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Tue night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
ANZ100 253 Pm Edt Thu Sep 16 2021
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm.. High pressure will drift east through the remainder of the week allowing an as of yet unnamed tropical low to recurve out to sea. It may send us some swells towards the end of the weekend. High pressure builds back in for much of the next work week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gardiner, ME
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location: 44.17, -69.84     debug


Area Discussion for - Gray/Portland, ME
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FXUS61 KGYX 161924 AFDGYX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gray ME 324 PM EDT Thu Sep 16 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure overhead shifts to the east through Friday while a remnant frontal boundary remains to our south. Onshore flow will lead to mostly cloudy conditions south of the mountains tonight through Friday night. Low pressure passes well southeast of the area this weekend while a cold front crosses Saturday. High pressure builds in early next week for fair weather and above normal temperatures.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. High pressure sliding overhead this afternoon will continue to the east tonight. Yesterday's cold front remains stalled near SE New England and will remain nearly stationary through tonight. This frontal boundary will maintain greater cloud cover across southern areas with low chances for a shower. As high pressure shifts to our east tonight moist onshore flow will develop leading to low clouds across coastal areas. Mostly clear skies across the north will lead to lows in the upper 40s while southern areas will drop to near 60F. Onshore flow will also lead to saturation of low levels and patchy fog along the coastal plain while radiation fog can be expected across the interior and therefore have kept patchy fog for all areas tonight.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. High pressure continues out into the Atlantic Friday while the remnant frontal boundary lurks to our south. Model guidance continues to spin up a subtropical low off the Mid-Atlantic with this system remaining well to our south and east through Friday night. Persistent onshore flow will lead to a relatively cool and cloudy day south of the mountains with slight chances for a shower and possibly some drizzle across coastal areas by tomorrow afternoon. Highs will range from the low 70s north, where there will be more sunshine, to upper 60s along the coast.

The onshore flow regime continues Friday night leading to patchy fog and low clouds across much of the area. More clouds and higher dewpoints will lead to lows generally in the upper 50s to low 60s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Overview: A weak trof passage early in the period ushers 96L out to sea. Then an seasonably strong ridge builds into the region for much of the rest of the week.

Impacts: Scattered thunderstorms are expected Sat . but expected to remain sub-severe. 96L will send some swell towards the coast by Sun . at this time forecast to be around 5 ft and 9 sec This is just below high surf criteria. but later forecasts may allow this to build depending on how strong the tropical low is able to get before recurving. A long stretch of largely dry weather will not help mitigate drought conditions in the Nrn zones.

Forecast Details: Approaching trof will push a cold front into the area Sat. However the trof shears out to the NE and this will limit forcing along the boundary. While convection is forecast to develop . it will likely remain rather scattered due to the weaker forcing and subsidence on the periphery of 96L. SREF calibrated severe thunderstorms probabilities are quite low . and not really indicative of any significant severe threat at this time.

As mentioned above whatever 96L develops into will send a swell thru the Gulf of ME late this weekend. Current forecasts around 5 ft and 9 sec would be borderline high surf advisory . but at the very least we may have to consider an increased rip current risk even if seas do not quite reach high surf criteria.

Strong high pressure settles over the region Sun night . and should make for a cool night. Would not be shocked to see some 30s in the Nrn valleys.

Seasonably strong ridging will dominate the weather for at least the first half of the work week. I have blended the 90th percentile temps into the multi-model consensus to account for this anomalous ridge. Temps should generally run in the 70s to low 80s. It will also remain dry as long as the ridge axis remains in place. Guidance differs slightly on timing of the next trof . with some Thu and others Fri. But given that it is expected to dig towards the Gulf of Mexico and the GFS tendency to be more progressive with the Nrn stream . I would favor higher PoP towards Fri at this time.

AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Short Term . Onshore flow develops tonight with low cigs and patchy fog leading to conditions deteriorating to MVFR to IFR tonight south and east of the mountains. At KLEB and KHIE, IFR/LIFR are expected for a few hours tonight in valley fog. Onshore flow continues Friday into Friday night with MVFR to at times IFR cigs south of the mountains, while KLEB and KHIE likely remain VFR through the day. Conditions drop to IFR/LIFR again Friday night in low cigs and fog.

Long Term . An approaching cold front will be the focus of scattered convection Sat. Local MVFR or lower conditions will be possible in SHRA and TSRA . otherwise widespread VFR during the daytime hours. Sun and Mon nights look favorable for valley fog development . where LIFR will be likely. HIE and LEB will be the most likely candidates to see fog.

MARINE. Short Term . Winds and seas will remain below SCA thresholds. High pressure passes to the north and then east of waters through Friday night leading to reduced visibility in fog and drizzle, particularly Friday afternoon and night.

Long Term . Invest 96L is expected to become better organized through the weekend as it moves N and eventually out to sea. The only impact will be an increase in swell by the end of the weekend and early next week. Seas may increase to 5 ft by Sun.

GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . None. NH . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . Schroeter NEAR TERM . Schroeter SHORT TERM . Schroeter LONG TERM . Legro AVIATION . Legro/Schroeter MARINE . Legro/Schroeter


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44032 - Buoy E0104 - Central Maine Shelf 41 mi87 min NE 9.7 G 12 62°F 62°F2 ft1026.1 hPa
CASM1 - 8418150 - Portland, ME 42 mi43 min 66°F 64°F
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 45 mi87 min N 7.8 G 7.8 62°F 61°F2 ft1026.7 hPa
44007 - PORTLAND 12 NM Southeast of Portland,ME 47 mi21 min NE 1.9 G 3.9 64°F 62°F1025.4 hPa56°F

Wind History for Wells, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Augusta, Augusta State Airport, ME11 mi38 minE 610.00 miFair71°F54°F55%1025.9 hPa
Wiscasset Airport, ME17 mi38 minVar 310.00 miFair71°F53°F53%1026 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAUG

Wind History from AUG (wind in knots)
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S3CalmCalm4SW3N3NW3NW6CalmNW3N7N4N6N5N6N9NE944E5E6
1 day ago34S6S9S7S6S7S7S8S6S9S9S10
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NW9NW9NW10NW8NW6W3W5W4NW5CalmW4NW6NW7NW7N4NW4CalmNE4Calm3NW546

Tide / Current Tables for Nehumkeag Island, Kennebec River, Maine
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Nehumkeag Island
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Thu -- 12:54 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:18 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:15 AM EDT     5.01 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:02 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:32 PM EDT     0.63 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:31 PM EDT     5.77 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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542.71.40.50.10.31.12.33.64.554.94.33.22.11.20.70.71.32.53.95.15.7

Tide / Current Tables for Upper Hell Gate (Sasanoa River, Maine) Current
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Upper Hell Gate (Sasanoa River
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 01:48 AM EDT     -0.85 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 05:42 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:39 AM EDT     0.80 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 09:11 AM EDT     0.80 knots Min Flood
Thu -- 09:35 AM EDT     0.80 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 12:19 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:15 PM EDT     -0.68 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 05:01 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:53 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:53 PM EDT     0.88 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.2-0.7-0.8-0.7-0.5-0.30.10.60.80.80.80.70.2-0.4-0.7-0.6-0.5-0.300.50.80.90.90.8

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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