Sunday, February28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Parc, NY

Version 3.4
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1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:30AMSunset 5:41PM Sunday February 28, 2021 10:05 PM EST (03:05 UTC) Moonrise 8:25PMMoonset 8:36AM Illumination 94% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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SLZ024 Expires:202101011615;;234493 Fzus61 Kbuf 011150 Glfsl Forecast For The Saint Lawrence River Including The Thousand Islands Region National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 650 Am Est Fri Jan 1 2021 Slz022-024-011615- Saint Lawrence River From Cape Vincent To Saint Regis 650 Am Est Fri Jan 1 2021
Today..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Partly Sunny this morning, then becoming mostly cloudy.
Tonight..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Snow through the early overnight, then snow, rain and freezing rain late.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. Snow and freezing rain in the morning, then snow likely in the afternoon.
Saturday night..West winds less than 10 knots. Mostly cloudy.
Sunday..East winds less than 10 knots becoming northeast. A chance of snow.
Monday..North winds less than 10 knots becoming west. Mostly cloudy.
Tuesday..West winds less than 10 knots becoming northwest. Mostly cloudy.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Parc, NY
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location: 44.68, -73.41     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 010243 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 943 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

SYNOPSIS. After a mild weekend, a polar vortex will quickly pass through the North Country Monday night, blasting Arctic air that will produce dangerously low wind chills through Tuesday morning. While the very cold air will ease, most of the week appears on the colder side for early March. A blocking pattern keeps winds out of the northwest bringing shots of polar air and scattered mountain snow showers.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. As of 941 PM EST Sunday . The winds just started gusting here at the Burlington International Airport and we saw temperatures rise to 44 degrees. This trend will likely be seen across the North Country over the next few hours as warm air advection and southerly channeled winds are now in full effect. Looking at the Whiteface Observatory observations, their temperature warmed 5 degrees over the past 4 hours and Mt. Mansfield is now on a steady upwards climb as well. There is a high likelihood that we have seen our low temperatures for the night with cloud cover and warm southerly winds acting against the typical diurnal curve. The radar has quieted down a bit this evening with just some light scattered rain showers across the region.

Previous Discussion . March is poised to roar like a lion with strong winds and bitterly cold air arriving tomorrow night. Expect to need headlines for wind chills, with wind gusts also potentially sufficient for wind advisories across much of the region during the same time frame. Wind chills should be as low as -20 to -25 F range in much of eastern Vermont and the Adirondack region during the early morning hours with slow improvement after sunrise. Simultaneously, gusts in will be commonly 40-45 mph at times with the strongest cold air advection, which should gradually ease up after daybreak, as well.

Prior to the arctic blast tomorrow night, an initial front will move eastward through the North Country during the morning and bring widespread rain showers and gusty southerly winds out ahead of the boundary. This occluded front will have plenty of moisture to work, but sharply drier air behind the boundary will begin to limit any kind of widespread snowfall to the higher terrain as top-down cooling processes take place gradually. Between this front and the arctic front, there will be a lull in winds and precipitation across the region.

We still will monitor the potential for snow squalls tomorrow afternoon through the early evening, but it looks like only marginal instability and convergence will exist ahead of the supporting only scattered snow showers. Still, with a relatively mild surface temperature that is expected to be well above freezing across southern Vermont and southern portions of northern New York, where high resolution models continue to suggest best chances for a quick burst of snow, there is some flash freeze potential given how fast temperatures may fall.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 306 PM EST Sunday . Unseasonably cold weather is expected on Tuesday behind Monday's arctic frontal passage. Other than a few mountain flurries mainly dry weather is expected as gusty northwest winds of 25 to 40 mph in the morning gradually abate by afternoon. Highs to only top out in the mid teens to lower 20s.

Another weak trough then approaches from the northwest by later Tuesday night with a broad increase in areal coverage of snow showers into Wednesday morning across northern counties, especially the northern mountains. Given clouds and light southerly return flow in advance of this feature overnight low temperatures will hold near seasonal early March norms from the upper single digits to mid teens, then rebound into the 30s for Wednesday before cooler air arrives by later in the day.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 306 PM EST Sunday . Looking further out, the large scale hemispheric picture shows a pronounced North Atlantic/Greenland blocking pattern evolving for the middle and later portions of next week. This essentially bogs down the upstream flow leading to development of a pronounced northeastern CONUS upper trough and lingering late winter cold. The mean axis of the 500 mb trough sets up nearly atop the region however, so the main storm track will be shunted well southeast and/or offshore with no large-scale systems expected. That said, it does appear another surface trough passage may occur by next Friday with some re- invigoration of mainly northern mountain snow shower activity. As touched on above temperatures trend seasonably cold after Wednesday with daily highs mainly from the upper teens into the 20s and overnight lows in the single digits and teens.

AVIATION /03Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Through 00Z Tuesday . VFR conditions at all terminals currently, despite some light rain showers across the international border. Clouds will lower with time and we'll have MVFR ceilings at MPV, MSS and SLK after 02z. Gusty winds are anticipated at all TAF sites, as well as LLWS. A front crosses the area between 08z and 12z, have some showers mentioned during that timeframe, especially MSS and SLK, other sites less likely. Winds will become more westerly behind the surface front, and jet will weaken. All sites will have MVFR ceilings thru much of the day Monday. VFR conditions should return headed into the evening hours areawide.

Outlook .

Monday Night: VFR. Windy with gusts to 35 kt. Chance SHSN. Tuesday: VFR. Windy with gusts to 30 kt. NO SIG WX. Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHSN. Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance SHSN. Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHSN. Friday: VFR. Slight chance SHSN.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. VT . Wind Chill Advisory from 10 PM Monday to 11 AM EST Tuesday for VTZ003-004-006>008-010-016>018. NY . Wind Chill Advisory from 10 PM Monday to 11 AM EST Tuesday for NYZ029>031-034.

SYNOPSIS . Kutikoff NEAR TERM . Clay/Kutikoff SHORT TERM . JMG LONG TERM . JMG AVIATION . Neiles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Plattsburgh International Airport , NY4 mi73 minSE 910.00 miOvercast39°F28°F65%1012.5 hPa
Burlington, Burlington International Airport, VT20 mi72 minS 410.00 miOvercast40°F26°F58%1013.6 hPa
Franklin County State Airport, VT24 mi71 minS 710.00 miOvercast40°F25°F56%1012.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPBG

Wind History from PBG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW7--44N5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE4SE8SE10SE12SE14SE15SE9S8SE10SE8SE9SE9S16
1 day agoCalmCalmCalm3CalmS4S11S5S13
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2 days ago3NW8NW4CalmCalmNW5N3CalmCalmNW3CalmSE6SE8SE11SE10SE10SE11S11S6CalmCalmW3CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Sorel, Quebec
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Sorel
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Sun -- 06:32 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:35 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 08:02 AM EST     1.96 meters High Tide
Sun -- 12:34 PM EST     1.95 meters Low Tide
Sun -- 05:37 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:23 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:50 PM EST     1.97 meters High Tide
Sun -- 11:08 PM EST     1.97 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.91.91.91.91.922222221.91.92222222222

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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