Sunday, September20, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Hampden, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:19AMSunset 6:37PM Sunday September 20, 2020 5:07 AM EDT (09:07 UTC) Moonrise 10:09AMMoonset 8:41PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ151 Penobscot Bay- 342 Am Edt Sun Sep 20 2020
Today..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt late. Seas around 2 ft.
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tue night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less.
Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less.
ANZ100 342 Am Edt Sun Sep 20 2020
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm.. High pressure will crest over the waters on today. Tropical system teddy will move north toward nova scotia and bring large swells and gusty winds early in the week. Seas will be most rough on Tuesday before gradually improving mid to late week as the system exits.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hampden, ME
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location: 44.75, -68.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 200453 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 1253 AM EDT Sun Sep 20 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build over the region through Sunday and will remain overhead Monday. Hurricane Teddy will pass east of the area Tuesday and Tuesday night. Weak high pressure follows for Wednesday and Thursday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. 1250 am update: Patches of remaining cloudiness have eroded over the past hour. There remains some bkn skies over Lincoln and Springfield, but much of the FA will remain clear tonight. Temperatures are on track for another frosty night, values in the north woods are already knocking on the mid-20s with locations Downeast in the mid-30s. Winds have fallen off, with just a light breeze at higher/exposed elevations.

Previous discussion: Ample cloudiness on this cool afternoon particularly for northern areas given moisture beneath very dry mid levels and ahead of a potent /albeit moisture-starved/ shortwave pinwheeling south and east through Quebec. Expect clouds to gradually dissipate with the loss of daytime heating this evening.

Coldest airmass of the season thus far settling overhead tonight with high pressure centered north of northern New York and T8s falling below 0 . nearing 10C below the climatological norm. This sets up a good frost/freeze scenario with perhaps some light residual northerly flow keeping conditions just a touch warmer than possible. However, a widespread frost/freeze is expected and in coordination with GYX have issued headlines accordingly.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. Very quiet weather period as the aforementioned high pressure directly overhead with some upper level cloudiness possible as sharpening mid level shortwave dives south and east across the region atop the surface high. Temperatures aloft change little and thus don/t foresee much difference in afternoon highs from today with readings in the mid 50s for most for most of the forecast area with highs a bit warmer /low 60s/ for the downeast coast. While another chilly night is likely Sunday night under clear skies and light northerly winds . the airmass aloft will not support temps quite as cold as the night previous.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. High Impact Weather Potential: Variety of potential impacts surrounding the approach of Hurricane Teddy. Beyond this, no additional significant weather impacts are expected.

Pattern: Trough along the east coast will cutoff . first steering Hurricane Teddy northward . and then nudging it somewhat west before strengthening westerlies over Canada push the circulation to the east with strengthening westerlies over North America for the remainder of the week with flow from the Pacific dominating across much of the United States favoring temperatures moving above normal over the northeast.

After another dry and somewhat warmer day Monday under high pressure, all eyes turn to the progress of Hurricane Teddy which will make it/s closest approach to the region Tuesday and Tuesday night. A well offshore solution is well-agreed upon in the deterministic/ensemble guidance suite with the EC ensemble just a bit west of the Canadian Ensemble . with the GEFS further south and east with the closest approach. These differences in outcomes are important . however with the potential for tropical storm force winds to reach at least the marine waters. Far less likely that this scenario would favor winds of this strength over land . but will continue to monitor the complex interaction of Teddy with the developing cutoff circulation to it/s west. This type of scenario is notoriously difficult for numerical models to handle and thus confidence is only moderate despite the ensemble agreement.

As far as potential impacts . certainly will see a significant increase in swell with the potential for minor coastal flooding / splashover / beach erosion. As mentioned by the previous shift . in locations where rain does not fall, the dry conditions and increasing northerly winds will favor an increased fire risk. Certainly not expecting enough rain for a hydro risk and . as mentioned above the threat from strong winds, with the greatest potential threat being over coastal Washington County.

Beyond any impact from Teddy . quiet weather returns for Wednesday as the flow aloft looks to become increasingly progressive with temperatures moving above seasonal norms for the second half of the week with another moisture-starved cold front arriving by the end of the week with a return to seasonable temperatures next weekend.

AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Short Term: VFR through Sunday night with localized fog possible each night . especially near inland lakes.

Long Term: VFR Monday. While the center of Hurricane Teddy looks to remain well east of the region . peripheral impacts including gusty northerly winds /Tue-Tue night/ and the potential for MVFR restrictions in showers /Tue afternoon-eve/ particularly close to the New Brunswick border.

Returning to VFR Wednesday/Thursday.

MARINE. Short Term: Northerly winds strengthen late tonight necessitating renewed SCAs for the offshore waters.

Long Term: The focus will be on Teddy which will make its closest approach to the waters on Tuesday and Tuesday night. Waves will continue to gradually build through this period with the potential for winds/wind gusts to near tropical storm force. The primary window for strong winds would begin around daybreak Tuesday and continue through midnight Tuesday night before gradually decreasing.

CLIMATE. The dry weather continues. Only 0.08" of rain in Caribou so far this September, which is the driest month to date on record. In Bangor, only 0.05" of rain has been observed so far this month, which is also the driest September month to date on record.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . Freeze Warning until 9 AM EDT this morning for MEZ001>006-010- 011-015-031-032. Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for MEZ016-017-029- 030. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ050- 051.



Near Term . Cornwell/ARNOTT Short Term . ARNOTT Long Term . ARNOTT Aviation . Cornwell/CB/ARNOTT Marine . Cornwell/CB/ARNOTT Climate . CB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 41 mi50 min NNW 9.9 G 12 45°F 55°F1030.1 hPa
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 49 mi124 min N 18 G 19 51°F 56°F2 ft1028.6 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 59 mi124 min N 16 G 19 50°F 54°F3 ft1030 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bangor, Bangor International Airport, ME4 mi75 minN 010.00 miFair32°F27°F82%1030.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBGR

Wind History from BGR (wind in knots)
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2 days agoS7S5S7SW4SW64NW7NW9NW10N12N10N5N3CalmCalmNW4N9N8N8N7N10N7N10N8

Tide / Current Tables for Hampden, Penobscot River, Maine
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Hampden
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:33 AM EDT     15.55 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:41 AM EDT     -1.56 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:55 PM EDT     15.95 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:12 PM EDT     -1.97 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:41 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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13.115.215.313.5105.51.5-1-1.50.33.78.112.315.115.914.811.87.53-0.4-1.9-1.31.25.2

Tide / Current Tables for Sandy Point, Penobscot River, Maine
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Sandy Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:15 AM EDT     12.68 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:27 AM EDT     -1.27 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:37 PM EDT     13.01 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 07:58 PM EDT     -1.61 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:41 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.412.612.210.37.23.60.5-1.1-10.83.97.610.812.712.911.58.75.11.6-0.8-1.6-0.71.75.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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