Sunday, April5, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lincoln Beach, OR

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:43AMSunset 7:47PM Sunday April 5, 2020 2:32 AM PDT (09:32 UTC) Moonrise 3:57PMMoonset 5:00AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ255 Coastal Waters From Cascade Head To Florence Or Out 10 Nm- Waters From Cascade Head To Florence Or From 10 To 60 Nm- 232 Am Pdt Sun Apr 5 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from 1 pm pdt this afternoon through Monday morning...
Today..N wind 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Wind waves N 3 ft at 5 seconds. W swell 5 ft at 14 seconds. Chance of rain before Sunrise.
Tonight..N wind 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Wind waves N 3 ft at 6 seconds. W swell 7 ft at 13 seconds.
Mon..N wind 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Wind waves N 3 ft at 5 seconds. NW swell 7 ft at 8 seconds.
Mon night..N wind 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Wind waves N 3 ft at 5 seconds. NW swell 6 ft at 8 seconds.
Tue..N wind 10 to 15 kt. Gusts to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves N 2 ft at 4 seconds. W swell 6 ft at 16 seconds.
Tue night..N wind 15 to 20 kt. Gusts to 25 kt, becoming 20 kt after midnight. Wind waves N 4 ft at 6 seconds. W swell 6 ft at 17 seconds.
Wed..N wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 4 ft. NW swell 8 ft.
Thu..N wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 4 ft. W swell 7 ft.
PZZ200 232 Am Pdt Sun Apr 5 2020
Synopsis for the southern washington and northern oregon coast.. Weak low pressure will move over the waters Sun night, slowly shifting southward through Mon. High pressure builds in behind the low Tue.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lincoln Beach, OR
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location: 44.86, -124.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Portland, OR
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FXUS66 KPQR 050514 CCA AFDPQR

Area Forecast Discussion . CORRECTED National Weather Service Portland OR 1012 PM PDT Sat Apr 4 2020

Corrected typo in aviation discussion

SYNOPSIS. A couple of upper lows will maintain cloudy weather with a chance for showers through at least Sunday night. Instability will increase in the afternoons for a slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms over the Oregon Cascades. An upper ridge of high pressure builds over the pacific NW Monday and Tuesday and holds through at least Thursday for dry weather and gradually warmer daytime temperatures.

SHORT TERM. Tonight through Tuesday . Forecast appears to be on track at the moment, as the rain band which pushed through the Portland metro area has weakened while moving into Washington. Snow levels are generally around 3000 feet this evening. Strong April solar energy has kept the passes mostly wet this afternoon, but high elevation roads will likely become more icy and slick as this evening progresses. The leading shortwave responsible for the northern batch of precipitation will continue to lift northward the next few hours, splitting apart as it moves into Washington. Precip will be probably be spotty for our northern zones for the remainder of tonight, while additional precip bands/showers associated with low pres over SW Oregon keep a decent chance of rain and Cascades snow for Lane County into Sunday morning.

Water vapor imagery shows a complex upper low moving southward along 130W this evening. While the cold core of this upper low continues S-SE to the northern California coast Sunday, surface low pressure will push inland into Oregon. This system will continue the threat for showers for the area into Sunday and provide another possibility for afternoon thunderstorms across the Oregon Cascades Sunday afternoon. South to southwest 0 to 6 km AGL streamlines suggest that any thunderstorms that may form across the south and central Oregon Cascades may drift north to northwest for a slight chance of thunderstorms along the central Oregon Cascade foothills. Do not think the thunderstorms will last long enough to impact much of the Willamette Valley though due to the lack of surface-based instability across the lowlands. However, if there is clearing in the Willamette Valley late in the morning or early afternoon, it may improve the chances.

Showers will continue but decrease from the north to south Sunday night and Monday as an upper ridge begins to squeeze in between the upper low over northern CA and an upper trough over the British Columbia. The upper ridge builds over the Pacific NW Monday night and Tuesday pushing the Californian low further south. Models hint that the upper high may settle in north of the upper low into a rex blocking pattern by Tuesday afternoon. Weagle/TJ

LONG TERM. Tuesday night through Saturday . Models and ensembles forecast a rex blocking pattern starting the long term forecast with an upper ridge of high pressure over the Pacific NW and an upper low over southern California. This will result in at least a few days of dry weather with daytime temperatures gradually warming. Models currently forecast Thursday to be the warmest day of the week with afternoon temperatures peaking at or just below 70 degrees in the interior low lands. Light onshore flow will maintain near normal temperatures along the coast though with afternoon temperatures along the coast peaking at or just below 60 degrees.

Uncertainty begins to creep into the forecast Friday as some of the models forecast the southern upper low will move inland and an upper trough over the Gulf of Alaska flattening the upper ridge. Models have a tendency to forecast the breakdown of blocking patterns too quickly, and expect that the upper pressure pattern will take a little longer to change, and that dry weather will persist another 1 or 2 days. Regardless, PoPs are reintroduced to the forecast beginning Friday night with daytime temperatures gradually cooling Friday into next weekend. It is worth mentioning that if the upper ridge persists Friday into Saturday, that the afternoon temperatures may possibly be warmer on Friday as opposed to cooler. ~TJ

AVIATION. Low pressure to the southwest opened up and moved north this evening as another offshore low pressure begins to dive south. most terminals north of Salem remained VFR aside from brief exceptions. KSLE and KUEG have settled into IFR/LIFR respectively. Light northerly flow up the Willamette Valley will likely keep this low deck in place through overnight and well into the morning. Generally expect conditions to improve to VFR all areas as Sunday progresses. Instability generated by the now closer low will develop showers across SW Oregon Sunday afternoon. These showers will drift north to affect KEUG and possible thunderstorms most likely will stay east of the field and closer to the Cascades.

PDX AND APPROACHES . Main rain band has passed north but showers are trailing. Expect Cigs to primarily remain VFR but 035-040 to affect VFR approaches from terrain obscuration through 05/19Z. /JBonk

MARINE. Low pressure to the southwest will continue through this evening. It is slowly losing energy as it sits off the southern Oregon coast reducing chances of strong winds through tonight. There is some disagreement between the hi-res models on exactly where low will track but all solutions show relatively weak winds over the northern and central Oregon waters. Possibility of stronger gusts around 21 kt near 60nm late tonight into tomorrow morning.

Weak thermal trough will build Monday afternoon and rebuild with greater intensity Tuesday afternoon. Chance for SCA winds during this time for the central waters is likely. High pressure builds well offshore during this time which will keep northerly winds through next week.

Seas will build slightly as offshore winds turn more northerly. Wave heights will trend between 5 to 7 ft through the week. -BPhillips

PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OR . None. WA . None. PZ . None.

Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSPortland www.twitter.com/NWSPortland

This discussion is for Northwest oregon and Southwest Washington from the Cascade crest to 60 nm offshore. This area is commonly referred to as the forecast area.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SBEO3 - 9435380 - South Beach, OR 16 mi45 min E 8.9 G 11 45°F 50°F1000.1 hPa
NWPO3 - Newport, OR 17 mi33 min E 2.9 G 5.1 44°F
46050 - STONEWALL BANKS - 20NM West of Newport, OR 28 mi23 min NE 12 G 14 46°F 49°F999.8 hPa42°F
TLBO3 - 9437540 - Garibaldi, Tillamook Bay, OR 48 mi45 min 49°F1001.2 hPa

Wind History for South Beach, Yaquina River, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newport, Newport Municipal Airport, OR19 mi38 minE 710.00 miRain43°F42°F100%1000.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KONP

Wind History from ONP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE4E4E6E7E7E7E8E5NE4NE3W3N4N6W4CalmCalmCalmE4CalmE5E7E7E6E9
1 day agoE3E4E5E4E4E7E4SE4S6SW9W6W10
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SW7W6W8W5SW4CalmCalmCalmE3E4E5E5
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW8W5W8W8--W6W5W5CalmCalmE4E4E3E4E3

Tide / Current Tables for Kernville, Siletz River, Oregon
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Kernville
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Sun -- 05:59 AM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:59 AM PDT     1.29 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:48 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:25 AM PDT     5.80 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:56 PM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:31 PM PDT     -0.33 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:49 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.14.84.13.12.21.51.31.62.63.955.75.75.14.12.81.40.4-0.2-0.20.51.93.44.7

Tide / Current Tables for Newport, Yaquina River, Oregon
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Newport
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:48 AM PDT     2.08 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:59 AM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:48 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:45 AM PDT     7.83 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:57 PM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:20 PM PDT     -0.54 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:49 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:49 PM PDT     7.55 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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6.75.84.53.22.32.12.63.75.26.67.67.87.25.73.81.90.3-0.5-0.30.72.44.46.17.2

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Portland, OR (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, OR
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.