Monday, January27, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Martin Lake, MN

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:36AMSunset 5:12PM Monday January 27, 2020 10:12 PM CST (04:12 UTC) Moonrise 9:26AMMoonset 8:04PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Martin Lake, MN
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location: 45.33, -93.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Twin Cities, MN
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FXUS63 KMPX 280001 AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 601 PM CST Mon Jan 27 2020

Updated for 00z Aviation Discussion. Issued at 556 PM CST Mon Jan 27 2020

SHORT TERM. (This evening through Tuesday night) Issued at 307 PM CST Mon Jan 27 2020

Not much will change over the next 36 to 48 hours. A split flow jet pattern will continue the stagnant airmass over the Upper Midwest with persistent cloud cover. A weak upper wave will move over WI tonight increasing the threat for patchy freezing drizzle in west- central WI. Elsewhere, the increased low level moisture will result in mist/haze. The fog threat will remain low as stratus will keep the overnight lows in the mid 10s.

Tuesday high temperatures remain near climatological average. An upper level ridge will build in and result in light and variable winds. The GFS and NBM are optimistic and want to break up the cloud cover Tuesday afternoon, but in reality the low stratus deck should hold together. Guidance indicates another weak disturbance for Tuesday night. A high pop low QPF event for western MN with light snow and little to no accumulation.

LONG TERM. (Wednesday through Monday) Issued at 307 PM CST Mon Jan 27 2020

The split flow pattern persists through much of the long term forecast period, with occasional blips of light precipitation possible, but nothing in terms of major systems foreseen.

The first chance of light precipitation will arrive Thursday night and Friday, as a weak wave drops down from Manitoba. Forcing and moisture are both relatively weak, so amounts should be relatively light. At this point the precipitation type is expected to be snow given that temperatures look cold enough and the dendritic layer is saturated attendant with the lift.

Southwestern CONUS mid-level ridging looks to build into the central CONUS over the weekend, although there are differences between the GFS and ECMWF regarding the timing and amplitude. The GFS features one more shortwave dropping south from Canada on Friday night into Saturday, while the ECMWF already features (dry) ridging into the Upper Midwest. Maintained low chance POPS for this wave, but those could end up going away if trends are toward the ECMWF model. The arrival of ridging will bring even more mild temperatures for next weekend, with highs in the lower 40s appearing possible for Sunday.

AVIATION. (For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening) Issued at 556 PM CST Mon Jan 27 2020

Overcast skies will continue with MVFR/IFR ceilings overnight and through Tuesday. Winds will be light, which is part of the reason why we can't get rid of this low level moisture and clouds. No changes in the weather patters for at least the next few days.

KMSP . Overcast skies will continue with MVFR/IFR ceilings overnight and through Tuesday. Was optimistic and put ceilings above 1700 Tuesday evening, but this might not come to fruition. Winds will be light, which is part of the reason why we can't get rid of this low level moisture and clouds. No changes in the weather patters for at least the next few days.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ WED . MVFR cigs/chc IFR. Winds SE at 05 kts. THU . MVFR cigs/chc IFR. Winds S at 05 kts. FRI . MVFR cigs/chc IFR. Winds W at 05-10 kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. WI . None. MN . None.

SHORT TERM . BPH LONG TERM . LS AVIATION . JRB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Minneapolis / Blaine, MN14 mi88 minNW 610.00 miOvercast23°F19°F86%1019.3 hPa
Cambridge Municipal Airport, MN20 mi77 minW 410.00 miOvercast21°F12°F68%1019.6 hPa
L O Simenstad Municipal Airport, WI20 mi78 minNW 510.00 miOvercast23°F20°F90%1020.3 hPa
Minneapolis, Crystal Airport, MN24 mi80 minNW 88.00 miOvercast22°F18°F85%1020.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KANE

Wind History from ANE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4NE4NE5NE4CalmN3N8CalmCalmW4NW4NW4NW4NW4NW5W6W4W6W6W6W6NW6NW6N5
1 day agoW6W7W5W4W5W4W5CalmW3W4W4W6NW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE6NE5NE6NE3
2 days agoN8NW8NW7NW7N6NW7NW9NW7NW8NW6NW7NW8NW10NW7NW8NW8NW8NW6NW8W8W4W4W5W5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Twin Cities, MN (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Minneapolis, MN
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.