Sunday, March7, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Martin Lake, MN

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 6:08PM Sunday March 7, 2021 9:41 PM CST (03:41 UTC) Moonrise 3:22AMMoonset 11:54AM Illumination 30% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Martin Lake, MN
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location: 45.33, -93.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Twin Cities, MN
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FXUS63 KMPX 072330 AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 530 PM CST Sun Mar 7 2021

UPDATED for 00Z Aviation Discussion. Issued at 527 PM CST Sun Mar 7 2021

SHORT TERM. (This evening through Monday night) Issued at 229 PM CST Sun Mar 7 2021

Mix of sun and clouds plus breezy conditions are being produced by a dry low pressure system centered over central MN this afternoon, being ushered along by a compact shortwave trough aloft. These features will shift eastward tonight, with the cold front moving to the east of the WFO MPX coverage area overnight, allowing for clearing skies overnight through tomorrow (mostly clear, generally speaking) along with slightly cooler temperatures due to northwest flow behind the departing system. This cool-down will be very short- lived as broad ridging coming off the Rockies spreads east into the central CONUS Monday into Monday night. The higher H5 heights with the arriving high pressure dome plus a more southerly flow returning Monday night will produce a much warmer Monday night minimum temperature.

Lows tonight will run in the upper 20s to mid 30s with lows Monday night jumping to the upper 30s to upper 40s, due to the aforemention incoming braod ridge. Highs on Monday will reflect the small bout of cold air advection with highs in the mid 50s to mid 60s, which is still significantly warmer than normal. Normal highs going into the second week of March are in the upper 30s.

LONG TERM. (Tuesday through Sunday) Issued at 229 PM CST Sun Mar 7 2021

The spring like weather that we enjoyed on Sunday will continue into Monday and Tuesday before a low pressure system returns the chance for precipitation and cools us down to more seasonable, yet still above average, temperatures.

On Monday we will still be under the influence of broad upper ridging across the CONUS. Temperatures on Monday will continue to be well above average for this time of year, but may cool slightly with light southeast winds. We will once again go with the 75th percentile for temps due to the recent cold bias in the NBM. So with light winds, mid 50s to mid 60s temperatures, and mostly sunny skies it will be a great day for outside activities.

Lows Tuesday morning will bottom out quite warm for this time of year with lows in the upper 30s to upper 40s across the CWA. Record high minimum temperatures look to be set for the date across the forecast area. We will be between surface high pressure in the southeastern CONUS and a low pressure system moving out of the Rockies. As the pressure gradient tightens winds will become breezy from the south/southwest and temperatures look to climb even further. Once again we will go with the 75th percentile for highs which gives highs in the 60s to low 70s. High temperatures also look to break(crush?) records on Tuesday. Another great early March day!

As the aforementioned low heads out of the Rockies and tracks northeast towards our forecast area PoPs begin to increase late Tuesday night. Models have been struggling to zero in on a solution for this system aside from bringing precipitation somewhere across our part of the world. As of now the model consensus is for rain across the area, except for possibly a change to snow before the precipitation ends. We currently have PoPs ranging from the 40s to the 60s from northwest to southeast. There is also a slight chance for thunder south and east portions of the CWA as a tongue of instability around 100-200 J/kg moves up from the south. The mean on the GEFS plumes is around a quarter of an inch for most of the area, although some members are much higher which is possible for any areas that get convective precipitation early in the event. Hopefully, future model runs will bring us more clarity with this system. Lows Wednesday morning will be above the record high minimum temperatures, but temperatures do not look to move much on Wednesday as cooler air moves into the area. It looks like STC and EAU could stay above their record warm lows through midnight, but it looks like they will lose that race as we cool through the evening.

The system should be out of the area by Thursday morning and high pressure moves into the area behind the departing system. Highs on Thursday and Friday will still be running above average topping out in the 40s and low 50s. We will have to watch another Colorado type low that could be affecting the area next weekend. This system looks to be colder and precipitation type looks to be a factor, but with this system being a week away, with another system between then and now, we will have to see how this evolves.

AVIATION. (For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening) Issued at 527 PM CST Sun Mar 7 2021

VFR conditions expected overnight with decreasing winds becoming more westerly/northwestly. Surface high pressure will move across the region which could lead to variable wind direction before becoming more southeast on Monday. There is a chance for some patchy morning fog to develop. For now went with 6mi in the TAFs, but it could be locally dense.

KMSP . VFR conditions expected overnight with decreasing winds becoming more westerly/northwestly. Surface high pressure will move across the region which could lead to variable wind direction before becoming more southeast on Monday. There is a chance for some patchy morning fog to develop. For now went with 6mi in the TAFs, but it could be locally dense.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ TUE . VFR. Wind SE 10-20kts. WED . MVFR with chance -RA, mixed with -SN late. Wind NE 10-20kts bcmg NW. THU . VFR. Wind NW 5-10kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MN . None. WI . None.

SHORT TERM . JPC LONG TERM . CEO AVIATION . JRB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Minneapolis / Blaine, MN14 mi56 minSSW 610.00 miPartly Cloudy55°F43°F63%1016.9 hPa
Cambridge Municipal Airport, MN20 mi46 minSW 310.00 miFair48°F37°F66%1016.6 hPa
L O Simenstad Municipal Airport, WI20 mi46 minSSE 310.00 miFair42°F39°F89%1017.9 hPa
Minneapolis, Crystal Airport, MN24 mi48 minSW 310.00 miFair47°F40°F77%1017.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KANE

Wind History from ANE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--SE3SE4SE3SE5SE8
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1 day ago--CalmE4CalmCalmCalmE5CalmCalmCalmCalmSE5SE10SE8SE8SE8SE8E8E7E7E6E6SE4SE3
2 days ago--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS5SE4SE4S5SE5S5SE6SE6SE44CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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