Friday, January24, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Wheeler, OR

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:40AMSunset 5:08PM Friday January 24, 2020 5:19 PM PST (01:19 UTC) Moonrise 7:56AMMoonset 5:03PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ250 Coastal Waters From Cape Shoalwater Wa To Cascade Head Or Out 10 Nm- Waters From Cape Shoalwater Wa To Cascade Head Or From 10 To 60 Nm- 221 Pm Pst Fri Jan 24 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday afternoon...
Tonight..SE wind 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Wind waves se 5 ft at 6 seconds. W swell 11 ft at 16 seconds. Rain.
Sat..SW wind 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt, becoming S 5 to 10 kt with gusts to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves S 3 ft at 5 seconds. W swell 10 ft at 14 seconds. Chance of rain.
Sat night..E wind 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt, becoming S 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt after midnight. Combined seas 12 ft with a dominant period of 12 seconds. Rain.
Sun..SW wind 20 to 25 kt. Gusts to 30 kt, becoming 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves sw 6 ft at 7 seconds. W swell 13 ft at 16 seconds. Rain likely.
Sun night..SW wind 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt, easing to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt after midnight. Wind waves sw 5 ft at 6 seconds. W swell 15 ft at 16 seconds. Rain likely.
Mon..SW wind 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Wind waves 4 ft. W swell 14 ft. Rain likely.
Mon night..S wind 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Wind waves 4 ft. W swell 10 ft. Rain likely.
Tue..SW wind 20 to 25 kt. Wind waves 5 ft. W swell 14 ft.
Wed..S wind 20 to 25 kt. Combined seas 14 ft.
PZZ200 221 Pm Pst Fri Jan 24 2020
Synopsis for the southern washington and northern oregon coast.. A weak front will move across the waters tonight. A 990 mb low will then brush by the offshore waters late Saturday, then make landfall over western washington on Sunday. Active weather persist through the upcoming week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wheeler, OR
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location: 45.67, -123.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Portland, OR
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FXUS66 KPQR 242211 AFDPQR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Portland OR 210 PM PST Fri Jan 24 2020

SYNOPSIS. An active weather pattern will bring periods of valley rain and snow to the mountains through the weekend and into next week.

SHORT TERM. Tonight through Monday . Showers will transition towards rain this evening as a warm front moves across the area tonight. This will cause an increase in both precipitation chances and snow level will increase towards 5000 to 6000 feet through Saturday. Overall snow accumulations will generally stay below 6 inches through Saturday. The next major system is expected to impact our area by Saturday evening. Multiple models are showing a ~996 mb low tracking parallel to the OR and WA coast as it moves towards Vancouver Island, and looks to make landfall there by early Sunday morning. This will keep precipitation chances high , lower snow levels to 4000 to 5000 feet, as well as bringing some gusty conditions to the beaches and headlands with gusts around 40 mph. Depending on the track of this system and potential change in strength the gusts could change over the next few model runs. Sunday will still be on the wet side as stratiform precipitation persist into Monday, but the wind will start to subside as the gradient slackens. Monday looks to follow the already established pattern as a system looks to move across the area, continuing the stream of moisture along with snow levels around 4000 to 5000 feet. /42

LONG TERM. Monday night through Friday . Persistent valley rain and mountain snow is expected through the end of next week. Models and their ensembles are in agreement that a trough will move through the Pacific Northwest Monday night and Tuesday, bringing heavy rain to the coast and valley and snow in the Cascades. There will be a brief break from this precipitation during the day on Wednesday before the next system moves through the area Wednesday night. Precipitation will continue Thursday and Thursday night before another brief break on Friday. A zonal flow will persist through the forecast period keeping highs and low temperatures above average for this time of the year. Snow levels will be around 4500ft Monday through Wednesday before climbing to around 6000ft through Friday. -Thaler

AVIATION. A post frontal airmass will keep scattered showers going through this evening, with rain chances increasing tonight as the next system approaches the region. Expect mainly VFR in the interior, with occasional MVFR possible with heavier showers. The coast will remain a mix of IFR and MVFR. Conditions will remain IFR or MVFR along the coast tonight into Saturday with light rain while the interior will trend towards MVFR Saturday morning. Expect lower conditions to persist through most of the day Saturday.

KPDX AND APPROACHES . Mainly VFR showers this evening, with brief periods of MVFR possible with heavier showers. Light rain returns tonight, with conditions trending towards MVFR Saturday morning. MVFR conditions look to persist through the day Saturday. /64

MARINE. The active weather pattern will persist through the weekend and into next week as a series of frontal systems move across the NE Pac. This will result in periods of SCA winds to 30 kt, with seas generally remaining above 10 ft. Expect the next front to move across the waters tonight into Saturday. Guidance then shows an area of low pressure near 990-995 mb brushing by the offshore waters Saturday night into Sunday. This low could result in a brief period of low end gales late Saturday, with the low moving inland somewhere over western Washington Sunday. At this point don't think areal extent of gales is large enough to warrant a watch. Another weaker low near 1010 mb looks to then brush by the north waters Monday afternoon resulting in another round of SCA gusts. At this point, the next round of gales will likely occur on Thursday, but there is still a lot of uncertainty with this system.

Seas are currently around 10 to 12 ft this afternoon and look to remain in this range through tonight. Seas may briefly fall below 10 ft Saturday afternoon/evening, but will quickly build back into the lower to mid teens Saturday night into Sunday. Seas will generally remain in this range through the week. Guidance shows the potential for seas to build into the upper teens to lower 20s late next week, but confidence is low. /64

PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OR . None. WA . None. PZ . Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM PST Saturday for coastal waters from Cape Shoalwater WA to Florence OR out 10 NM-Columbia River Bar-Coastal waters from Cape Shoalwater WA to Florence OR from 10 to 60 NM.



Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSPortland www.twitter.com/NWSPortland

This discussion is for Northwest oregon and Southwest Washington from the Cascade crest to 60 nm offshore. This area is commonly referred to as the forecast area.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TLBO3 - 9437540 - Garibaldi, Tillamook Bay, OR 8 mi50 min 50°F1016.8 hPa
ASTO3 - 9439040 - Astoria, OR 38 mi50 min S 7 G 12 51°F 44°F1015.1 hPa
46243 - Clatsop Spit, OR - 162 39 mi20 min 51°F10 ft
46029 - COL RIVER BAR - 20NM West of Columbia River Mouth 44 mi30 min S 18 G 21 50°F 50°F11 ft1015.2 hPa (-0.0)50°F

Wind History for Garibaldi, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tillamook, Tillamook Airport, OR18 mi25 minSSW 47.00 miLight Rain52°F48°F88%1017.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTMK

Wind History from TMK (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Brighton, Nehalem River, Oregon
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Brighton
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:46 AM PST     6.95 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:47 AM PST     3.40 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:45 AM PST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:55 AM PST     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:33 AM PST     8.76 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:44 PM PST     New Moon
Fri -- 05:03 PM PST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:09 PM PST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:42 PM PST     -0.71 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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6.76.96.45.44.43.63.43.956.47.88.68.77.96.44.42.30.6-0.5-0.701.53.35

Tide / Current Tables for Barview, Tillamook Bay, Oregon
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Barview
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:37 AM PST     6.64 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:49 AM PST     3.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:45 AM PST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:55 AM PST     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:24 AM PST     8.38 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:44 PM PST     New Moon
Fri -- 05:03 PM PST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:10 PM PST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:44 PM PST     -0.66 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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6.56.665.14.13.33.13.64.86.27.58.38.27.464.12.20.6-0.4-0.60.11.53.35

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Portland, OR (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, OR
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.