Saturday, August17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Beecher Falls, VT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:43AMSunset 7:54PM Saturday August 17, 2019 9:36 AM EDT (13:36 UTC) Moonrise 9:12PMMoonset 7:34AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beecher Falls, VT
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location: 46.8, -71.2     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 171020 aaa
afdcar
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service caribou me
620 am edt Sat aug 17 2019

Synopsis
Surface high pressure will remain over the region into Monday while
multiple upper level disturbances move across the state this weekend.

A weak cold front will move through late Monday followed by weak
high pressure for Tuesday. A stronger cold front is expected
late Wednesday night and Thursday.

Near term through tonight
6am edt update... Biggest change to the forecast this morning is
to add isolated thunder to the forecast as there has been a few
strikes associated with the vort MAX currently moving through
the state. Water vapor satellite imagery & RUC analysis show an
80kt jet streak moving across the area this morning. This is
leading to enough dynamics and MUCAPE for a few isolated
strikes. In addition, pushed up the pops just a little over the
next 3 hours as this feature is a little stronger than
forecasted. Fog will quickly burn off this morning inland but
will hang tough along the immediate coast.

Broad cyclonic flow aloft will advect two shortwave troughs over
the state today, which will bring scattered showers and maybe a
few isolated thunderstorms. At the surface the flow will be out
of the south as a surface ridge remains centered just to the
east over halifax. This is allowing for a persistent southerly
push moving a higher dewpoint airmass in the low 60s over the
cold gulf of maine waters. The end result is a persistent marine
layer push through the next 24 hours bringing with it low
stratus and fog to downeast and the penobscot valley. Overall
this will lead to a cool gloomy day for most of the area. There
could be some breaks in the clouds across the north, but there
will also be more showers across northern maine this morning as
the first shortwave trough moves through. Small break in shower
activity is possible midday today before a stronger 500mb vort
max approaches from new york this evening. This could bring a
better chance for showers again tonight across the entire region
and even a few elevated thunderstorms could be possible with
mucape values just high enough. The hrrr is already hinting at
this possibility, so added the mention of isolated thunder
later tonight in the forecast. Overall not the best Saturday,
especially if you are on the coast.

Short term Sunday through Monday night
The short and long terms will be dominated by a progressive
wsw flow alf pattern with fqt S WV systems.

Sun begins with exiting shwrs in the morn, with ptly sunny
skies advcg ewrd from qb prov durg the aftn, reach the nb border
latest. Sun eve will begin fair, then clds will increase late
at ngt as a S WV trof from the great lks apchs. Shwrs and enough
cape for aftn eve tstms is xpctd msly across the N hlf of the
fa as the S WV crosses the rgn. Behind this system, a brief
surge of slightly drier air is xpctd for tue, with albeit warm
aftn hi temps.

Long term Tuesday through Friday
Tue ngt will begin fair, with increasing clds late and a chc of
shwrs alg the coast by erly Wed morn as more humid air begins
to return. The rest of the rgn will see ptly clds skies Wed morn
then mcldy skies Wed aftn eve with shwrs likely alg with sct
tstms. Shwrs will linger across the fa late Wed ngt and perhaps
even into Thu across the fa with longer range models uncertain
about the arrival and passage of a cold front thru the fa durg
this tm. All long rang models agree that the cold front
completely clears SE of the fa by Thu ngt, allowing for sig
cooler and much drier air to enter the fa from cntrl can.

Aviation 10z Saturday through Wednesday
Near term: variable weather conditions sums up the aviation
forecast over the next 24 hours with a deep marine layer push
expected to impact kbhb kbgr through tonight with low ifr
conditions. Ceilings could increase a bit this afternoon to ifr
conditions before dropping again tonight. Further north
expecting MVFR conditions today at the aroostook county taf
sites before dropping tonight as lower ceilings are expected to
push in. Scattered rain showers are also expected along with
light southerly winds.

Short term: mainlyVFR and light winds all TAF sites xcpt brief
MVFR ifr in tstms and heavier shwrs Mon aftn eve and wed
aftn eve and patchy ngt fog Sun ngt, Mon ngt, and Wed ngt.

Marine
Near term: seas and winds will remain below SCA conditions with
a persistent light southerly breeze moving a humid airmass over
the cold waters. This will keep low stratus and areas of fog
over the coastal waters through Saturday night. Winds will
generally remain in the 5 to 8kt range as a weak surface high
remains to the east of the region, waves will generally be in
the 2 to 3 foot range.

Short term: no marine hdlns for these ptns of the fcst with
marine fog likely Sun ngt thru Mon ngt and again late Tue ngt
thru Wed ngt. Went with about 80 to 90 percent of ww3 wv
guidance for fcst WV hts for outer mzs and a blend of ww3 nwps
for near shore waters. Spectral WV components consist of a short
srly wind fetch nwrd propagating 5 to 7 sec WV group and a nw
propagating background swell WV group of arnd 10 sec.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Dumont
short term... Vjn
long term... Vjn
aviation... Dumont vjn
marine... Dumont vjn


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Clayton Lake, ME90 mi81 minVar 3 mi63°F0°F%1017.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for K40B

Wind History from 40B (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr335542CalmCalm2CalmCalmCalm3CalmCalm2232Calm2Calm34
1 day ago42CalmCalm2324CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm4
2 days agoCalmCalm322CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm2CalmCalm32Calm2CalmCalm--32

Tide / Current Tables for Bassin De La Rivi?re St-Charles, Quebec
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Montmorency, Quebec
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Montmorency
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Sat -- 02:52 AM EDT     0.86 meters Low Tide
Sat -- 05:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:34 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 08:04 AM EDT     4.84 meters High Tide
Sat -- 03:33 PM EDT     0.69 meters Low Tide
Sat -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:35 PM EDT     4.39 meters High Tide
Sat -- 09:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.91.310.91.32.43.64.54.84.53.62.92.31.61.10.80.81.52.73.64.34.33.72.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.